Spot the Differential
3 March 2018 1544 comments
James H James H
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All three of our differentials delivered attacking returns last week, and we’re hoping to repeat the trick with our latest choices.

Two big-name midfielders need little introduction, while an in-form budget forward has taken our fancy ahead of a home match-up against a struggling Arsenal.

Leroy Sane

Following a stunning display in the 3-0 win over Arsenal on Thursday night, Manchester City’s Leroy Sane is our headline selection.

The winger produced a goal, assist and two bonus points against the Gunners for his seventh double-figure haul of the season.

Interestingly, five of those have come at the Etihad Stadium, where only Kevin De Bruyne (six) has tallied more double-digit scores.

Pep Guardiola’s in-form side entertain Chelsea tomorrow.

The Blues travel north having conceded nine times over the last four Gameweeks – only West Bromwich Albion (11) have let in more.

City then face a trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 30.

The Potters have conceded more goals (54) than any other side this season and lost 7-2 in the reverse fixture back in Gameweek 8, when Sane recorded a goal and an assist.

Despite being the most popular pick heading into Gameweek 29, Sane is still found in only 8.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, so has the potential to be a particularly explosive differential.

The City wide man has averaged an impressive 5.7 points per match (ppm), which is only bettered by just four other midfielders.

Priced at 8.4, Sane looks a tantalising option for those who need to turn to differentials to make big gains.

Glenn Murray

The home form of the Brighton & Hove Albion forward has drawn our attention.

Glenn Murray has produced four goals in his last three starts at the Amex, amassing 26 points.

He has now scored 10 goals the season and lies third among forwards in terms of points per million value with a score of 15.5.

Chris Hughton’s men enter tomorrow’s home clash against Arsenal full of confidence following their 4-1 victory over Swansea City.

The Gunners have lost each of their last three away matches and have given up 16 big chances over the last four Gameweeks – at least five more than any other side.

The form of the 3.5%-owned forward comes as no surprise when we take a look at his underlying statistics.

He has had four big chances in the last four Gameweeks, which is second to only Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane (nine) among FPL forwards.

The veteran striker sits fourth for shots (10), efforts in the box (nine) and attempts on target, with five, and has also displayed an ability to supply for his team-mates, despite the fact he has yet to register an assist this season.

The 5.8-priced forward is second to only Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino (seven) for chances created among strikers, with six.

In great form and facing an Arsenal side bereft of confidence, Murray looks to have the platform to enjoy another productive afternoon.

Aaron Ramsey

Matches away to Brighton and at home to Watford over the next two Gameweeks in particular see us plump for Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey as our final pick.

The Wales international lies sixth behind Sane for ppm among FPL midfielders with 5.6 – impressively ahead of Leicester City’s Riyad Mahrez and Spurs’ Christian Eriksen (both 5.4).

Ramsey’s away form has been particularly eye-catching.

His 44% goal involvement on the road is superior to any team-mate, while no other Arsenal player has produced more shots from inside the penalty area (18) or shots on target (11) in away matches.

Brighton’s defence over their last four home encounters also provides further encouragement for Ramsey’s prospects.

The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, while no side has conceded more goals (eight) or allowed more shots on target (20).

The Brighton rearguard is also the fifth worst for shots conceded inside the penalty area (29) over the last four home matches.

Available at just 6.9 in FPL, Ramsey provides terrific value.

The fact that Arsenal’s schedule from Gameweek 32 onwards (STK SOT new WHU) is so kind is worth noting, particularly for those Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard.

Arsene Wenger’s will also benefit from a double Gameweek, with their trip to Leicester still to be re-arranged.

With an ownership of 3.9% in FPL, Ramsey is another player who can be a difference-maker over the next couple of weeks as the need to secure mini-leagues and climb the overall rankings intensifies.

  1. essexcam
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one: Lingard, Walcott or Wilson?

    Currently have Wilson on the bench.

    Have Pope & Maguire which factors into my thoughts.

    1. COLLIN QUANER
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Wilson

    2. HonestBlatter
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Walcott

    3. Moves like Dejagah
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Wilson

    4. insertcomedyname
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Have the same dilemma. Thinking of benching Walcott. Everton are woeful at the moment

  2. LordEllison
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Otamendi or Azpi > Davies for free was gonna play both of them Thanks! 2FTs

    1. COLLIN QUANER
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Ota

  3. Positive vibes
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Hi, someone please tell me what to do with Otamendi.
    Any chance City will get CS this week?
    Otherwise want to replace him with Bavies.
    Cheers

    1. Moves like Dejagah
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I’d play him.

    2. Malcolm Tucker for England …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      sell for free, keep otherwise

    3. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I have been wanting him out for ages but I think I'm going to ride it out. City are so lethal and even though they don't have the best fixtures their end of season run is beautiful (obviously this will depend on CL progression). I think he will start given they romped their CL fixture.

    4. MGD
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      For me it depends how much value u have in him.
      They have Stoke next GW

    5. COLLIN QUANER
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Can't see a CS but always a threat in front of goal. I sold for Davies as I have Ederson.

  4. MGD
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pope, Elliot
    Otamendi, VVD, Daniels, Bauer, Mbemba
    Salah, Sterling, Lingard, ChopaMoting, Milijovic
    Kane, Kun, Firmino

    0.7 itb 1 ft

    Insane to keep FT?.

    Suggestions?

  5. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    DDG
    Alonso / Davies / VVD / Mee
    Salah / Eriksen / Sterling* / Shaqiri
    Kane / Firmino

    A) Save FT or sell Sterling (8.6 SV)?
    B) Sterling --> [?]

    Looking at Mahrez, Ramsey, Arnautovic or a GW31 asset.

    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I sold him for Arnautovic last night

    2. HonestBlatter
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mahrez

  6. Borisalandoris
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pickford
    Otamendi Mee Gomez
    Albrighton Salah Sterling Mahrez
    Wilson Firmino Aguero

    Elliot Vertonghan Gudmundsson Christensen

    344 overall rankings and 99 points ahead of rival and he has Kane. Stuck what to do with the blank coming up help! Bench boost and wildcard to play

  7. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    g2g?
    DDG
    Alonso VVD Chilwell
    Salah KDB Sterling Lingard
    Kane Firmino Wilson

    Elliot Fernandez Dunk RLC

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nice team.

      1. ooooo
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks so gtg?

        1. Zenith UK
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Yeah

  8. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pages are flyingggggg

  9. subhojit123
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Repost -
    Pope
    Alonso martina lowton
    Salah ramsey KDB shaqiri
    Kane(C) Firmino JAyew

    Bench - Arnie, ogbonna, pickford, Mbemba

    Whom do I bench to play Arnie?

  10. King Kun Ta
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    G2G or hit required? Bench right? Used my FH already....so also looking forward to GW 31! Cheers for the help!

    Foster (Elliot)
    Maguire Mee VVD (Holgate Ota)
    Walcott Salah Sterling Allen (Delofeu)
    Niasse Kane (C) Firmino

    1. King Kun Ta
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      By the way....3.4 ITB. Delofeu -> 8.3 player? Eriksen?

  11. HonestBlatter
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play Jesse...he will start I believe

  12. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Just get Kiko and captain Harry and enjoy your day 🙂

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      This

  13. JWilson3
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sterling & J Lingz -> Mahrez & Arnie(-4) Yay or Nay?
    Have a feeling Arnie is gonna fire over the next 2 GWs

  14. Hochoki
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    1. Keep sterling?
    a. yes
    b. no

    2. whom to play??
    a. Bauer
    b. Dunk

    1. COLLIN QUANER
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A
      A

  15. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Would you sell C.Wilson?

    1. rrcmc
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I am; so keep him, he'll probably score...

  16. Punty McPuntface
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Place the armband on...

    A Kane
    B Salah
    C Mane

    1. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B.

      If youre chasing then C

    2. COLLIN QUANER
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B for safety but A if chasing

    3. HonestBlatter
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kane

  17. PL Ball
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Arnie or Mahrez?

    (Already have Vardy)

    1. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I’m in same situation and I have Maguire too so unsure on triple Leicester.

      I could upgrade Vardy for Firmino in 31, but also not sure who I want on a 32 WC.

      1. PL Ball
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Bou and WBA seem good for triple LEI don't they?

  18. SiSenõr90
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Salah or kane who to captain !!?

  19. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    I would appreciate your help here.
    Adrian
    Alonso Robertson Dawson
    Salah Sterling Shaqiri Walcott
    Kane Wilson Firmino
    Elliot Ogbonna-Atsu-Schindler

    1ft 3.5 itb

    a)Save
    b)Sterling->Mahrez/Kdb
    c)Atsu->Arnie

    cheers

    1. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C

    2. Home Late From Age
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      a

  20. Collie01
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ota or Son out this week or roll FT?

    1. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      roll

    2. Home Late From Age
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      roll

  21. john25
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Repost

    Hey guys, what would you do with this team? Have 1FT and 0.9 ITB. It looks like I should make a TF but I don’t know what to do so considering to save..

    Pope-3.9
    Duffy - Hegazi - Alonso - Francis - 3.9
    Mane - Allen - Salah - Sterling - McArthur
    Wilson-Aguero-Kane

    Thanks!

  22. Horlicks esq.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play

    1. Sterling (CHE)
    2. Niasse (bur)
    3. Bauer (sot)

    1. Sid07
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Sterling by far

    2. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Sterling

    3. Horlicks esq.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I’ve got Niasse in my first XI.

      Sterling might not start?
      Sterling isn’t fit
      Sterling is playing Chelsea,

  23. Sid07
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Dunk to
    1) schindler
    2) zanka
    3) bauer

    1. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Zanka next week

  24. ChampChomp
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who would you bench?
    Alonso
    Lingard
    Gomez

    Concerned about 1 point cameos with Lingz + Gomez

    1. COLLIN QUANER
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Gomez

      1. ChampChomp
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers mate

  25. Shuvo127
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Please help, whom to play...
    !) Maguire (bourn)
    1) Long (Eve)

  26. 420king
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who to bench out of these 4:

    A) Cresswell
    B) Maguire
    C) Mee
    D) Robertson

  27. essexcam
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Harry Kane - 13 Points

    Salah - 5 Points

    1. Horlicks esq.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Interesting

    2. Horlicks esq.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Point break down?

  28. Radisson
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    What to do with Jones? Is he out forever?

    I have De Gea
    Ota / Jones / VVD / (Mariappa / Kenny)

    Jones > 6.6m to spend

    1. Horlicks esq.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I did Jones to Davies late last night

  29. Bobadoba
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ramsey or Arnie?

  30. mr messi
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Salah or Kane (c)? Can't decide.

    1. COLLIN QUANER
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Are you a sheep or a wolf? If you're the latter, Kane is your man.