Spot the Differential
3 March 2018 1544 comments
James H James H
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All three of our differentials delivered attacking returns last week, and we’re hoping to repeat the trick with our latest choices.

Two big-name midfielders need little introduction, while an in-form budget forward has taken our fancy ahead of a home match-up against a struggling Arsenal.

Leroy Sane

Following a stunning display in the 3-0 win over Arsenal on Thursday night, Manchester City’s Leroy Sane is our headline selection.

The winger produced a goal, assist and two bonus points against the Gunners for his seventh double-figure haul of the season.

Interestingly, five of those have come at the Etihad Stadium, where only Kevin De Bruyne (six) has tallied more double-digit scores.

Pep Guardiola’s in-form side entertain Chelsea tomorrow.

The Blues travel north having conceded nine times over the last four Gameweeks – only West Bromwich Albion (11) have let in more.

City then face a trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 30.

The Potters have conceded more goals (54) than any other side this season and lost 7-2 in the reverse fixture back in Gameweek 8, when Sane recorded a goal and an assist.

Despite being the most popular pick heading into Gameweek 29, Sane is still found in only 8.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, so has the potential to be a particularly explosive differential.

The City wide man has averaged an impressive 5.7 points per match (ppm), which is only bettered by just four other midfielders.

Priced at 8.4, Sane looks a tantalising option for those who need to turn to differentials to make big gains.

Glenn Murray

The home form of the Brighton & Hove Albion forward has drawn our attention.

Glenn Murray has produced four goals in his last three starts at the Amex, amassing 26 points.

He has now scored 10 goals the season and lies third among forwards in terms of points per million value with a score of 15.5.

Chris Hughton’s men enter tomorrow’s home clash against Arsenal full of confidence following their 4-1 victory over Swansea City.

The Gunners have lost each of their last three away matches and have given up 16 big chances over the last four Gameweeks – at least five more than any other side.

The form of the 3.5%-owned forward comes as no surprise when we take a look at his underlying statistics.

He has had four big chances in the last four Gameweeks, which is second to only Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane (nine) among FPL forwards.

The veteran striker sits fourth for shots (10), efforts in the box (nine) and attempts on target, with five, and has also displayed an ability to supply for his team-mates, despite the fact he has yet to register an assist this season.

The 5.8-priced forward is second to only Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino (seven) for chances created among strikers, with six.

In great form and facing an Arsenal side bereft of confidence, Murray looks to have the platform to enjoy another productive afternoon.

Aaron Ramsey

Matches away to Brighton and at home to Watford over the next two Gameweeks in particular see us plump for Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey as our final pick.

The Wales international lies sixth behind Sane for ppm among FPL midfielders with 5.6 – impressively ahead of Leicester City’s Riyad Mahrez and Spurs’ Christian Eriksen (both 5.4).

Ramsey’s away form has been particularly eye-catching.

His 44% goal involvement on the road is superior to any team-mate, while no other Arsenal player has produced more shots from inside the penalty area (18) or shots on target (11) in away matches.

Brighton’s defence over their last four home encounters also provides further encouragement for Ramsey’s prospects.

The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, while no side has conceded more goals (eight) or allowed more shots on target (20).

The Brighton rearguard is also the fifth worst for shots conceded inside the penalty area (29) over the last four home matches.

Available at just 6.9 in FPL, Ramsey provides terrific value.

The fact that Arsenal’s schedule from Gameweek 32 onwards (STK SOT new WHU) is so kind is worth noting, particularly for those Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard.

Arsene Wenger’s will also benefit from a double Gameweek, with their trip to Leicester still to be re-arranged.

With an ownership of 3.9% in FPL, Ramsey is another player who can be a difference-maker over the next couple of weeks as the need to secure mini-leagues and climb the overall rankings intensifies.

  1. Shuvo127
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Need Suggestion, whom to play today...
    1) Maguire
    2) Long
    3) Janmaat

    1. Home Late From Age
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      1

    2. Forza Papac
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      1

    3. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      1 for sure

    4. Magic Hat
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      1

  2. Sedemuda
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sterling To Alli for a differential?

    1. COLLIN QUANER
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Could be a wonderful move. I like it.

    2. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Alli is a differential for a reason. Been awful all season.

      1. Sedemuda
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Yes I agree, but I prefer his minutes, team & fixtures over Mahrez, Son & Arnie.

  3. barracuda
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Any Swansea fans?

    The game is going ahead, right?

    1. Forza Papac
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      According to Twitter there's little to no snow in Swansea

  4. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Just need one comment guys;

    DDG
    Otamendi, Smalling, Naughton
    Ramsey, Salah (c), KDB, Lingard, CM
    Firmino, Vardy

    Pope, Alonso, DCL, Azpi

    I'm thinking;
    A) Alonso > Robertson
    B) Alonso & Azpi > Robertson & Davies
    C) Alonso & Azpi > Robertson & Mustafi
    D) Alonso & Azpi > Robertson & Morgan
    E) Alonso, Azpi & Lingard > Robertson, Morgan & Arnie (-4)
    F) Other... Please let me know your thoughts.

    1. Side Salah
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      F. Alonso + Lingard to Davies + Arnie

  5. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    DDG
    Alonso / Davies / VVD / Mee
    Salah / Eriksen / Sterling* / Shaqiri
    Kane / Firmino

    A) Save FT or sell Sterling (8.6 SV)?
    B) Sterling --> [?]

    Looking at Mahrez, Ramsey, or a GW31 asset.

    If I get a non GW31-er, I'm probably looking at fielding 8 for the BGW. Is that okay?

  6. Old Man
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    I've done a wonderful thing - I finally got rid of Richarlison. No doubt he'll score this afternoon.

    1. Horlicks esq.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      And plays in gw31

  7. The Big Fella
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    I was debating Lingard to Ramsey/Mkhitaryan but now I am thinking of doing Walcott because Palace's defence is in tatters at the moment with 3-4 injuries. Advice anybody?

    1. RomeluAndJuliet
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Palace is playing United

      1. Horlicks esq.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        That’s helpful advice

      2. The Big Fella
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        So keeping Lingard would be useful then, no?

        1. RomeluAndJuliet
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Maybe, no too sure he'll start though

  8. LordEllison
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Otamendi > Davies or D Sanchez got 2 FTs?

    1. Gentle_Turks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I´m keeping Ota for the Stoke game.

  9. Who Ate All Depays?
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pickford
    Hegazi / VVD / Davies
    Salah / Hazard / Mahrez / Walcott
    Kane / Firmino / Wilson
    (Coleman / Bardsley / McArthur / Tomkins)

    Gtg or should I do Hazard to Eriksen for a hit?

  10. JabbaWookiee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who from Hudd for 31?

    A) Pritchard
    B) Van La Parra

    1. Horlicks esq.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I like Pritchard (live in norwich) but ffs don’t have him in the starting XI. So maybe VLP.

      This is next weeks move tho cos of spurs fixture this weekend

    2. Toby Lerone
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A for me

  11. Gentle_Turks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    I´m assuming there aren´t any premiership games cancelled this weekend?

    1. Horlicks esq.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nope

      1. Gentle_Turks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers.

  12. Brosstan
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Just realized I have 0 City players. :worried:

    1. Toby Lerone
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Same here

  13. SeizeYourLuck
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Got both Gomez and Jones on my team right now... What to do...?

    --------------Fabianski.................(Adrian)
    Jones - Gomez - Hegazi - Bavies - (Daniels)
    Lindgard - Hazard - Salah - Mahrez - (Milivojevic)
    Kane - Firminho - (Tammy)

    I guess the obvious thing to do is Jones out, but whom to bring in??

    Already used my FT on Kun to Kane

    Help much appreciated

    1. Horlicks esq.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Jones for chilwell

  14. Stat Sloth
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Would you

    a) do Gross to Walcott now for free

    or

    b) wait until next week, get more in the bank, and do Gross to Sigurdsson instead?

    Focus is only gw29-gw31.

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

      1. Stat Sloth
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks, Thedom1.

  15. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play 3 out of these 4 pls ?

    *Mee / Robertson / Fernandez / Ota

    Thoughts would be greatly appreciated peeps?

    1. Horlicks esq.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Ugh. That’s a horrible choice. Robertson...?......? Maybe Ota cos of value on bench

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Looking at the fixtures more so!

        at present I'm on Mee, Fern, Robertson as all 3 have home fixtures but then so does Ota!

    2. Kevin Twine
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Just look at the clean sheet odds

    3. Stat Sloth
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Robertson will CS. The others will not. Choose the two you think might get attacking returns.

  16. Kevin Twine
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sterling -> Mahrez or save? (got a crap bench)

    1. HonestBlatter
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yay

  17. RomeluAndJuliet
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Why is no buying D. Silva. Surely nailed now?

    1. Horlicks esq.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Opposite in fact. Did he play much when Jesus, Aguero, kdb, sane, Sterling, d.Silva were all fit. No.

      1. Horlicks esq.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Retract. I thought that was a B.Silva.

        Yeah. D.silva nailed. Sorry.

    2. Forza Papac
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Could be called away at any moment due to family matters

  18. N00B
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bauer or Kiko Femenia for next 3 games ?

    1. Toby Lerone
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Bauer more nailed

  19. Toby Lerone
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Quick fire.

    Start Wilson or Lingard?

    Thanks

  20. CAPTAIN CRESPO
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Help needed guys. Which one will get me more points:

    A. Jones > Davies
    B. Lingard > Ramsey

  21. Hart-ake
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Talk me out of doing Wilson and Fraser to Ramsey and Niasse for a -8.

    I know, I know, for a -8, but it sets me up nicely going forward (no wildcard).

  22. 1zverGGadeM
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who is the captain here if it was you?
    -------------------Pope
    --Janmaat Van Dijk BDavies
    Salah Doucoure Ramsey Sterling
    ------Aguero Kane Firmino

    Thanks!

    1. Hart-ake
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kane, surely.

    2. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      captain Kane would be a differential in my ML.

    3. 1zverGGadeM
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks guys! Captain Kane confirmed.

  23. Isco Disco
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Best defender under £5.8m? Already got Bavies.

    1. 1zverGGadeM
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'm gonna monitor Baines this week just because of gw31 blanks as I already have Bavies VVD and Janmaat as options..

  24. Planet Head
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pick Naughton(WHU) or Mustafi(bri) today?

    1. Hart-ake
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Naughton. I reckon Arsenal concede today.

      1. Planet Head
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Picking Kyle then. Knowing me it'll be the wrong pick yet again. 235 points on bench this season 🙁

  25. Hart-ake
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Gah. Arnie or Ramsey? If in doubt, do nothing?

  26. poohdini
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    My mate who is 100 points ahead of me is captaining Salah. Should I captain Kane? Would I be crazy to captain Son?

    1. @fpl_phenom
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Copy him if you have other differential players that he doesn’t and beliefs they will do well....

    2. V-2 Schneiderlin
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      go with Kane imo

  27. King Kun Ta
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    G2G or hit required? Bench right? Used my FH already....so also looking forward to GW 31! Cheers for the help!

    Foster (Elliot)
    Maguire Mee VVD (Holgate Ota)
    Walcott Salah Sterling Allen (Delofeu)
    Niasse Kane (C) Firmino

    3.4 ITB

  28. @fpl_phenom
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Any postponements?

    1. Arctic_Orangutans
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nope

  29. Judders
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    What's the latest on the Sterling injury?

  30. Magic Hat
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Adrian
    Alonso VVD Maguire
    Erisksen Son Shaq Salah(c)
    Kane Firm Wilson

    Zanka Wimmer* RLC*

    Should I do Wimmer to Hegazi? Likely just a 1st bench warmer this week unless Son or Wilson get dropped