Spot the Differential
3 March 2018 1544 comments
James H James H
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All three of our differentials delivered attacking returns last week, and we’re hoping to repeat the trick with our latest choices.

Two big-name midfielders need little introduction, while an in-form budget forward has taken our fancy ahead of a home match-up against a struggling Arsenal.

Leroy Sane

Following a stunning display in the 3-0 win over Arsenal on Thursday night, Manchester City’s Leroy Sane is our headline selection.

The winger produced a goal, assist and two bonus points against the Gunners for his seventh double-figure haul of the season.

Interestingly, five of those have come at the Etihad Stadium, where only Kevin De Bruyne (six) has tallied more double-digit scores.

Pep Guardiola’s in-form side entertain Chelsea tomorrow.

The Blues travel north having conceded nine times over the last four Gameweeks – only West Bromwich Albion (11) have let in more.

City then face a trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 30.

The Potters have conceded more goals (54) than any other side this season and lost 7-2 in the reverse fixture back in Gameweek 8, when Sane recorded a goal and an assist.

Despite being the most popular pick heading into Gameweek 29, Sane is still found in only 8.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, so has the potential to be a particularly explosive differential.

The City wide man has averaged an impressive 5.7 points per match (ppm), which is only bettered by just four other midfielders.

Priced at 8.4, Sane looks a tantalising option for those who need to turn to differentials to make big gains.

Glenn Murray

The home form of the Brighton & Hove Albion forward has drawn our attention.

Glenn Murray has produced four goals in his last three starts at the Amex, amassing 26 points.

He has now scored 10 goals the season and lies third among forwards in terms of points per million value with a score of 15.5.

Chris Hughton’s men enter tomorrow’s home clash against Arsenal full of confidence following their 4-1 victory over Swansea City.

The Gunners have lost each of their last three away matches and have given up 16 big chances over the last four Gameweeks – at least five more than any other side.

The form of the 3.5%-owned forward comes as no surprise when we take a look at his underlying statistics.

He has had four big chances in the last four Gameweeks, which is second to only Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane (nine) among FPL forwards.

The veteran striker sits fourth for shots (10), efforts in the box (nine) and attempts on target, with five, and has also displayed an ability to supply for his team-mates, despite the fact he has yet to register an assist this season.

The 5.8-priced forward is second to only Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino (seven) for chances created among strikers, with six.

In great form and facing an Arsenal side bereft of confidence, Murray looks to have the platform to enjoy another productive afternoon.

Aaron Ramsey

Matches away to Brighton and at home to Watford over the next two Gameweeks in particular see us plump for Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey as our final pick.

The Wales international lies sixth behind Sane for ppm among FPL midfielders with 5.6 – impressively ahead of Leicester City’s Riyad Mahrez and Spurs’ Christian Eriksen (both 5.4).

Ramsey’s away form has been particularly eye-catching.

His 44% goal involvement on the road is superior to any team-mate, while no other Arsenal player has produced more shots from inside the penalty area (18) or shots on target (11) in away matches.

Brighton’s defence over their last four home encounters also provides further encouragement for Ramsey’s prospects.

The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, while no side has conceded more goals (eight) or allowed more shots on target (20).

The Brighton rearguard is also the fifth worst for shots conceded inside the penalty area (29) over the last four home matches.

Available at just 6.9 in FPL, Ramsey provides terrific value.

The fact that Arsenal’s schedule from Gameweek 32 onwards (STK SOT new WHU) is so kind is worth noting, particularly for those Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard.

Arsene Wenger’s will also benefit from a double Gameweek, with their trip to Leicester still to be re-arranged.

With an ownership of 3.9% in FPL, Ramsey is another player who can be a difference-maker over the next couple of weeks as the need to secure mini-leagues and climb the overall rankings intensifies.

  1. Sol
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    is sterling ok to start today ?

    1. Bun Rab
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nope. He plays tm.

      1. Sol
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        is sterling fit to start tomorrow or should i sell him ?

        1. COLLIN QUANER
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Not sure but I'm keeping. They have Stoke after Chelsea.

          1. Sol
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 2 months ago

            cool thanks

        2. Bun Rab
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          No one is sure. I'm keeping atm but will be gone very soon.

  2. Pi
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Lingard out Eriksen In (FT)
    Yay or Nay please

    1. COLLIN QUANER
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Good move

    2. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Makes sense

      1. Pi
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers

    3. kysersosa
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      110%

  3. Planet Head
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Have one FT remaining. Aguero out? If so, to whom?

    1. Planet Head
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      BTW I have Bobby and Harry already

      1. Planet Head
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Was thinking Deeney with GW31 in mind and he's got WBA and ars in the meantime. Won't Kun be rested?

    2. V-2 Schneiderlin
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      keep imo
      Vardy maybe if you want to use the FT?

    3. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Roll it. Aguero will score

    4. kysersosa
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      With that front free your mid must be suffering? 1) go for Vardy, 2) Save and down grade to either Murray or Wilson Next week and beef up that mid.

      1. Planet Head
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Mid is Salah, Mahrez, Gud, Ox and Mili so maybe yes a little but Mili and Gud have come through as diffs quite nicely 🙂

        1. Planet Head
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Saving, sod it

  4. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts please? 20 minutes until deadline;

    DDG
    Otamendi, Smalling, Naughton
    Ramsey, Salah (c), KDB, Lingard, CM
    Firmino, Vardy

    Pope, Alonso, DCL, Azpi

    I'm thinking;
    A) Alonso > Robertson
    B) Alonso & Azpi > Robertson & Davies
    C) Alonso & Azpi > Robertson & Mustafi
    D) Alonso & Azpi > Robertson & Morgan
    E) Alonso, Azpi & Lingard > Robertson, Morgan & Arnie (-4)
    F) Other... Please let me know your thoughts.

    1. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      one of Alonso or Azpi out for Robertson, I would save the other FT

  5. Gerci
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    van dijk or Robertson?

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Robertson, use funds elsewhere.

    2. kysersosa
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I would say Robertson, but Moreno is coming back to fitness and who knows how Klopp will view that option.

  6. Bun Rab
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    To all those looking to make late changes.

    Stop. Step away from the keyboard. Trust in the team you set up earlier in the week. There is very little advantage to making changes this late.

    Or if you have your transfers in mind, and haven't set up your team yet, you are a casual and everything will work out fine for you 🙂

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'm not a casual I have just been so busy! Aha. Now I don't want to make a panic transfer!

      1. Bun Rab
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Don't. Allow it to roll over or don't take a hit. I believe in you.

        Busy isn't an excuse for us saddos who set up our team after the 1st update!

  7. Ivz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    bench walcott or wilson?

    1. Victor6359
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Wilson

  8. FPLShaqiri
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Will Vertonghen start??

    1. COLLIN QUANER
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Unlikely but who knows.

  9. JONALDINHO
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    First to three wins!

    A)Save FT
    B)Sterling to Mane
    C)Sterling and Depoitre to Firmino and McArthur(-4)
    D)Wilson and Alonso to Firmino and Schindler(-4)
    E)Jones and Son to Schindler and Mane(-4)

    1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

  10. acidicleo
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    play one:

    a) hegazi
    b) kiko

  11. Gerci
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    To play:
    A) Bauer
    B) Gomez

  12. Victor6359
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which would you go for?

    A: Sterling, KDB and 3.9 bench fodder defender -4

    B: Walcott, KDB and 5.1 defender -4

    Defence Ota, McGuire, jones, Mee and Kalgan

    Cheers

    1. Victor6359
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      * Klavan

      Not looking to bring Sterling in just not sure whether to get rid or not

  13. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Quickkkkk! 2 minutes!

  14. scottmac
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    I think there's a good chance Sterling's proce could drop overnight according to FPL %

    1. scottmac
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Or even his price

      1. Angin out the Begović
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Sterling Man City M I 25.6 £8.8m -1 0 -477.6

        Yeep 😀

  15. Angin out the Begović
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Good to see Coleman back to be honest!