Spot the Differential
3 March 2018 1544 comments
James H James H
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All three of our differentials delivered attacking returns last week, and we’re hoping to repeat the trick with our latest choices.

Two big-name midfielders need little introduction, while an in-form budget forward has taken our fancy ahead of a home match-up against a struggling Arsenal.

Leroy Sane

Following a stunning display in the 3-0 win over Arsenal on Thursday night, Manchester City’s Leroy Sane is our headline selection.

The winger produced a goal, assist and two bonus points against the Gunners for his seventh double-figure haul of the season.

Interestingly, five of those have come at the Etihad Stadium, where only Kevin De Bruyne (six) has tallied more double-digit scores.

Pep Guardiola’s in-form side entertain Chelsea tomorrow.

The Blues travel north having conceded nine times over the last four Gameweeks – only West Bromwich Albion (11) have let in more.

City then face a trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 30.

The Potters have conceded more goals (54) than any other side this season and lost 7-2 in the reverse fixture back in Gameweek 8, when Sane recorded a goal and an assist.

Despite being the most popular pick heading into Gameweek 29, Sane is still found in only 8.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, so has the potential to be a particularly explosive differential.

The City wide man has averaged an impressive 5.7 points per match (ppm), which is only bettered by just four other midfielders.

Priced at 8.4, Sane looks a tantalising option for those who need to turn to differentials to make big gains.

Glenn Murray

The home form of the Brighton & Hove Albion forward has drawn our attention.

Glenn Murray has produced four goals in his last three starts at the Amex, amassing 26 points.

He has now scored 10 goals the season and lies third among forwards in terms of points per million value with a score of 15.5.

Chris Hughton’s men enter tomorrow’s home clash against Arsenal full of confidence following their 4-1 victory over Swansea City.

The Gunners have lost each of their last three away matches and have given up 16 big chances over the last four Gameweeks – at least five more than any other side.

The form of the 3.5%-owned forward comes as no surprise when we take a look at his underlying statistics.

He has had four big chances in the last four Gameweeks, which is second to only Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane (nine) among FPL forwards.

The veteran striker sits fourth for shots (10), efforts in the box (nine) and attempts on target, with five, and has also displayed an ability to supply for his team-mates, despite the fact he has yet to register an assist this season.

The 5.8-priced forward is second to only Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino (seven) for chances created among strikers, with six.

In great form and facing an Arsenal side bereft of confidence, Murray looks to have the platform to enjoy another productive afternoon.

Aaron Ramsey

Matches away to Brighton and at home to Watford over the next two Gameweeks in particular see us plump for Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey as our final pick.

The Wales international lies sixth behind Sane for ppm among FPL midfielders with 5.6 – impressively ahead of Leicester City’s Riyad Mahrez and Spurs’ Christian Eriksen (both 5.4).

Ramsey’s away form has been particularly eye-catching.

His 44% goal involvement on the road is superior to any team-mate, while no other Arsenal player has produced more shots from inside the penalty area (18) or shots on target (11) in away matches.

Brighton’s defence over their last four home encounters also provides further encouragement for Ramsey’s prospects.

The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, while no side has conceded more goals (eight) or allowed more shots on target (20).

The Brighton rearguard is also the fifth worst for shots conceded inside the penalty area (29) over the last four home matches.

Available at just 6.9 in FPL, Ramsey provides terrific value.

The fact that Arsenal’s schedule from Gameweek 32 onwards (STK SOT new WHU) is so kind is worth noting, particularly for those Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard.

Arsene Wenger’s will also benefit from a double Gameweek, with their trip to Leicester still to be re-arranged.

With an ownership of 3.9% in FPL, Ramsey is another player who can be a difference-maker over the next couple of weeks as the need to secure mini-leagues and climb the overall rankings intensifies.

  1. n-doggg
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sterling to Mahrez for -4?

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Leicester haven't been great of late

      They are struggling

    2. Victor6359
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Not for me

    3. milan17
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      no

  2. Old Gregg
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Morning Y’all,

    Bavies or Shaq in this week?
    Will get shaq in 31 if I don’t this week.Will have 8/9 playing in 31. Before any hits.

    Lingz > shaq
    jones > bavies

    Purely about points who will score more over the next 2?

    Thanks

    1. pricycle
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I've just brought in Davies over shaq. Think it'll be worth it if you can still get him in for the blank. No good defensive options who play in 31

    2. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Jones - bavies

      Jones' is out isn't he? at least lingard has potential to do well if he plays

  3. GE
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Otamendi ->

    1) Davies
    2) Sanchez

    1. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      2

    2. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Sanchez safer

      He's just a pick for spurs cover though as he offers little more than a cs and maybe a bap if you lucky

  4. Patch
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    My pearl of wisdom for this GW:

    If you have Pogba - Play Him!!!

    I have decided to bench Wally in favour of Richarlison...

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Lol how do you still have Rich. Not even worth keeping for 31

      1. Patch
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Wisdom of the crowd suggests many single goal games, Watford up for two goals...surely Richarlison is gonna go thru a purple patch

    2. Toblerone52 - Zlatan Ibra-H…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Interesting

      1. Patch
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Shame I have to wait till Mon to say I told you so with respect to Pogba

        Put it this way if Richarlison does nothing today, then feel free to ignore my Pogba comment

  5. jackhammer1
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    De gea
    VVD Alonso Mee
    Salah Sterling Mahrez Shaq Walcott
    Kane Firmino

    1ft

    A. Hold
    B. Alonso to b Davies
    C. Sterling to Arnie

    1. TeddiPonza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Keep

    2. Victor6359
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    3. pricycle
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Better side already than most will have this week. Save.

  6. La Vida Latte
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Asked the wrong question... trying again

    Who would you bench?

    A) Alonso
    B) Milijovetic
    C) Young

    thanks in advance

    1. JJO
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B easy

    3. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  7. JJO
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    A) Aguero to Kane
    B) Jones + Sterling to Davies + Eriksen for -4

    1. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. La Vida Latte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      If you think Sterling is out B sounds good. Otherwise A. I took a chance and transfered out Sterling.

    3. JJO
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      thanks guys

  8. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Good morning chaps.

    One question:

    I have 2 FT amd 1,1m in bank so I have to use one transfer. I will wildcard in gw 32/33. Would you bring in Mahrez for Sterling now? Otherwise I would use my transfer on Dunk to Schindler (and bench himk) to prepare for bgw 31.

    Thanks

    1. JJO
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Depends how many players you already have for gw31

      1. TeddiPonza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        7

        1. JJO
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          then probably Schindler

    2. The Albatross
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Dunk to Schindler

  9. Afghanistanislas
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Narrowed it down to two...would you play:
    A) Walcott
    B) Wilson

    1. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    3. AzzaroMax99
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I am playing both, but in this case maybe B

    4. Victor6359
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    5. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    6. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I would play B but chose A because Howe hinted Defoe could start or somthing

    7. Afghanistanislas
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks all

  10. QuintonFortune25
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    G2G??
    DDG
    VVD - Mee - Marriappa
    Salah (c) - Erikson - Mahrez - Albrighton
    Kane - Firmino - Wilson

    Speroni - Bauer - Walcott - Jones

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nice team

  11. Rhodes your boat
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Gtg?

    Fabianski
    Alonso bavies vvd Jones Long
    Salah sterling mahrez
    Kane(c) firmino

    Speroni lingard choupo quaner

    1ft 0.1itb

    1. GreenArrows
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Jones won’t play

      1. Rhodes your boat
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        But should I keep?

        1. GreenArrows
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          No get him out

          1. Rhodes your boat
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 2 months ago

            For who?

    2. AzzaroMax99
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Long also could be benched.

    3. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Start Lingard over Jones/Long

  12. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sorry for repost.

    Still have a few issues:

    a) keep or sell sterling (bought him @7.9)
    b) keep or sell alonso
    c) sell dunk for who? (hegazi, tarkowski or lowton, stephens, watford defender...)

    0.7 idb, 1ft

    Pickford
    Alosno, VVD, Dunk
    Sterling*, Salah, Mkhi, Wally
    Kane(C), Firmino, Wilson

    Elliot, Mili, Kenny, Taylor

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Just save FT

  13. GreenArrows
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    gtg or take a hit?

    Pope
    VVD Davies Otamendi
    Salah (C) Sterling Son Shaqiri Walcott
    Kane Firmino

    Elliot Ogbonna Duffy Quaner

    0FT 0.5itb

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Gtg

  14. MFPL
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Thinking Sterling to Mkhi, have 1FT and 0.2mITB with all chips available... thoughts?

    Pope
    Alonso Van Dijk Bauer
    Salah Sterling Mahrez Walcott
    Kane Firmino Niasse

    Elliot Schindler Choupo-Moting Yedlin

  15. Kevtheotter
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Good to go?

    Adrian
    Sanchez VVD Naughton
    Sterling Salah Choupo KDB Walcott
    Kane(c) Firmino

    Elliot Ogbonna Quaner Zanka 1 FT 1.1 ITB

    Cheers

  16. DIOCCÁ
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pick three of:

    Alonso, Otamendi, Walcott, Wilson

    Help please!

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Alonso, Otamendi, Wilson

      1. DIOCCÁ
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks mate

    2. Surfreak
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Probably bench Walcott just over Wilson.

    3. The Albatross
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Bench Otamendi imo

  17. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ddg
    Lowton gomez chilwel (ogbona dunk)
    Kdb sterling salah wally shaq
    Firmino kane (depoitre)
    2 ft
    A) kdb dunk to mahrez/eriksen davies
    B) sterling to mahrez (save other ft next gw chelsea arsenal have good fixture eye on willian and ramsey)

  18. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Villa v qpr called off today. Hope no prem games off.

    1. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Hmmmm worrying as Villa do have the facilities to cope

  19. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    A. Aguero & Jones ➡ Firmino & Davies
    B. Sterling & Jones ➡ DSilva & Davies
    C. Wilson, Alonso & Otamendi ➡ Firmino, Davies & Mariappa (-4)
    D. Aguero, Sterling & Jones ➡ Firmino, Eriksen & Davies (-4)

    Foster Elliott
    Arnold Ogbonna Otamendi Jones Alonso
    Sterling Salah Ramsey Walcott McArthur
    Wilson Aguero Kane

  20. Harmonica1967
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pope
    Ota-VVD-Maguire-Ake
    Salah-Son-Sterling-Shaq
    Kane-Aguero

    Elliot, Dunk, Carroll, Crouch
    0.4 ITB, 1FT

    Trying to limp to 7-8 players for 31, so which move makes most sense now:
    A). Sterling to Walcott
    B). Ota to an Everton defender

  21. Surfreak
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which GW31 keeper to bring in?
    Currently have Pope & Elliot.
    Or just ignore and focus on the front 10.

    1. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I just brought in pickford for ryan

  22. Siggy Azalea
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Morning...Have I got my defence right? Thanks!!

    VVD (New, H) - Mee (Eve, H) - Chilwell (Bou, H)

    Bench: Naughton (WHU, H) - Hegazi (Wat, a)

    1. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Looks good bud

      1. Siggy Azalea
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks!

      2. Big_Andy_GAWA
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Yeah.

    2. Surfreak
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes looking ok

    3. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Looks gd but could have pts on the bench this week

      1. Siggy Azalea
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Worth a Bench boost? I only have Ibe as my other midfielder...and begovic

    4. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes. Good luck with Mee though. God I hate that man

      1. Siggy Azalea
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Every week I keep saying he's due a goal...

    5. WVA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'd play naughton over chilwell

  23. The Left Duke #3
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    My final first 11 spot comes down to

    A) Alonso (che home)
    Or
    B) Otamendi (city away)

    Who plays?

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Ota, city more likely to score

    2. @persecuted_by_mods
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Anyone else not using free hit in 31 but also will only have a max of 4-5 players.

        For once I'm gonna be brave and avoid stocking up on crap players just for blank/dgw purposes

        1. diesel001
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          I think I will have 7 in GW31. For me GW31 is a crap week. More interested in GW32 onwards

        2. Syd.
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Me

          It would be a complete waste. Apart from Liverpool the other teams playing that week are awful

          1. Pasqualinho
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 2 months ago

            They are awful for GWs 30 and 32. But for GW31 they are the best players in the game.

            1. @persecuted_by_mods
                8 years, 2 months ago

                Good point

                1. Pasqualinho
                  • 16 Years
                  8 years, 2 months ago

                  I’m FHing in 35, but I have a bare XI out for 31 that contains RLC, Wilson, Daniels, Gomez who may not play much, or I might get lucky and they will. But if you have 4 or 5 you really have to free hit, if you have it. You’re pretty much guaranteed a 5 mil GW rank if you don’t, but should get a sub 1 mil quite easily if you do. I don’t think the swing will be anything like that great in GW35.

            2. @persecuted_by_mods
                8 years, 2 months ago

                I'm without a wildcard so transfering these players in is a definite no no, may still play the free hit as the next blank doesn't look too bad

            3. WVA
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 2 months ago

              Nope I'm getting 10 players

            4. Four Letter Wirtz
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 2 months ago

              I still think that all those "crap" players will average about 3 points each, and so by saving the FH amd playing only the Liverpool boys you'd be giving up about 20-25 points. That's a decent enough haul for the chip.

              1. @persecuted_by_mods
                  8 years, 2 months ago

                  True

              2. DJDave1979
                • 11 Years
                8 years, 2 months ago

                I think the fact that all the teams are terrible is exactly the reason TO free hit in 31. No need to avoid bringing in rubbish now and can still get a team out. If you actively avoid picking 11 and someone like Walcott, Wilson etc has a great game, you are going to get a huge and totally avoidable red arrow. You are also absolutely guaranteeing losing ground with no such guarantee of making it up.

                I've never seen the community as a whole advocating throwing a game week beforehand. Seems weird.

                1. @persecuted_by_mods
                    8 years, 2 months ago

                    Good points. So you're completely averse to using the free hit in the second blank?

                    1. DJDave1979
                      • 11 Years
                      8 years, 2 months ago

                      Not completely. But there are likely to be more players already in teams. Most would agree the only players we generally have are a couple/3 of Liverpool plus Shaq.

                      But I certainly can't advocate going into a GW with fewer than 8/9 players.

              3. #FPLBhuna
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 2 months ago

                Gtg?

                Lloris
                Maguire - Robertson - Smalling
                Salah - Mahrez - Richarlison - Walcott
                Kane(c) - Firmino - Vardy

                Bench: Elliot - Mili - Kenny - Dunk

                1. WVA
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 2 months ago

                  Very nice

              4. purple.emu
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 2 months ago

                Play Wilson or Siggy?

                1. WVA
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 2 months ago

                  Siggyyyy

                2. Count of Monte Hristo
                  • 13 Years
                  8 years, 2 months ago

                  Not Callum 2,2,2,2 Wilson.

              5. Sahil Yadav
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 2 months ago

                Which move?
                A) Hazard to Mane/Mahrez

                B) Sterling to Mane/Mahrez

                C) Hazard, Sterling to Mane, Mahrez for free

                1. dbeck
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  8 years, 2 months ago

                  C looks very tempting indeed

              6. PocketZola
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 2 months ago

                I went with my guy and brought in Ramsey for the next 2gws, arsenal have a point to prove

                1. Toblerone52 - Zlatan Ibra-H…
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 2 months ago

                  Thinking of doing this for a hit... not sure if it's a good plan or not

              7. diesel001
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 2 months ago

                Who are you captaining this Gameweek and why?

                For many FPL managers this GW it is a choice between Kane and Salah. Anyone brave enough to captain someone else?

                1. diesel001
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 2 months ago

                  I am captaining Salah as I don't own Kane. But if I owned Kane I would captain him.

                2. Danstoke82
                  • 11 Years
                  8 years, 2 months ago

                  Kane at the moment but I’m still undecided. How long will he play today considering they have the Juve game midweek!?

              8. dbeck
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 2 months ago

                DDG
                Alonso VVD Lowton
                Son sterling salah Mahrez
                Kane niasse Firmino

                Subs: Elliot Allen Kenny Dunk

                A) save
                B) sterling to Arnie

                I’ve had 7 red arrows on the trot so need to stop this rot