Spot the Differential
3 March 2018 1544 comments
James H James H
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All three of our differentials delivered attacking returns last week, and we’re hoping to repeat the trick with our latest choices.

Two big-name midfielders need little introduction, while an in-form budget forward has taken our fancy ahead of a home match-up against a struggling Arsenal.

Leroy Sane

Following a stunning display in the 3-0 win over Arsenal on Thursday night, Manchester City’s Leroy Sane is our headline selection.

The winger produced a goal, assist and two bonus points against the Gunners for his seventh double-figure haul of the season.

Interestingly, five of those have come at the Etihad Stadium, where only Kevin De Bruyne (six) has tallied more double-digit scores.

Pep Guardiola’s in-form side entertain Chelsea tomorrow.

The Blues travel north having conceded nine times over the last four Gameweeks – only West Bromwich Albion (11) have let in more.

City then face a trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 30.

The Potters have conceded more goals (54) than any other side this season and lost 7-2 in the reverse fixture back in Gameweek 8, when Sane recorded a goal and an assist.

Despite being the most popular pick heading into Gameweek 29, Sane is still found in only 8.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, so has the potential to be a particularly explosive differential.

The City wide man has averaged an impressive 5.7 points per match (ppm), which is only bettered by just four other midfielders.

Priced at 8.4, Sane looks a tantalising option for those who need to turn to differentials to make big gains.

Glenn Murray

The home form of the Brighton & Hove Albion forward has drawn our attention.

Glenn Murray has produced four goals in his last three starts at the Amex, amassing 26 points.

He has now scored 10 goals the season and lies third among forwards in terms of points per million value with a score of 15.5.

Chris Hughton’s men enter tomorrow’s home clash against Arsenal full of confidence following their 4-1 victory over Swansea City.

The Gunners have lost each of their last three away matches and have given up 16 big chances over the last four Gameweeks – at least five more than any other side.

The form of the 3.5%-owned forward comes as no surprise when we take a look at his underlying statistics.

He has had four big chances in the last four Gameweeks, which is second to only Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane (nine) among FPL forwards.

The veteran striker sits fourth for shots (10), efforts in the box (nine) and attempts on target, with five, and has also displayed an ability to supply for his team-mates, despite the fact he has yet to register an assist this season.

The 5.8-priced forward is second to only Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino (seven) for chances created among strikers, with six.

In great form and facing an Arsenal side bereft of confidence, Murray looks to have the platform to enjoy another productive afternoon.

Aaron Ramsey

Matches away to Brighton and at home to Watford over the next two Gameweeks in particular see us plump for Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey as our final pick.

The Wales international lies sixth behind Sane for ppm among FPL midfielders with 5.6 – impressively ahead of Leicester City’s Riyad Mahrez and Spurs’ Christian Eriksen (both 5.4).

Ramsey’s away form has been particularly eye-catching.

His 44% goal involvement on the road is superior to any team-mate, while no other Arsenal player has produced more shots from inside the penalty area (18) or shots on target (11) in away matches.

Brighton’s defence over their last four home encounters also provides further encouragement for Ramsey’s prospects.

The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, while no side has conceded more goals (eight) or allowed more shots on target (20).

The Brighton rearguard is also the fifth worst for shots conceded inside the penalty area (29) over the last four home matches.

Available at just 6.9 in FPL, Ramsey provides terrific value.

The fact that Arsenal’s schedule from Gameweek 32 onwards (STK SOT new WHU) is so kind is worth noting, particularly for those Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard.

Arsene Wenger’s will also benefit from a double Gameweek, with their trip to Leicester still to be re-arranged.

With an ownership of 3.9% in FPL, Ramsey is another player who can be a difference-maker over the next couple of weeks as the need to secure mini-leagues and climb the overall rankings intensifies.

  1. Pedro's snacks
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Help please, bench one?

    A Alonso
    B Wally
    C Wilson

    1. RashFraud
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Wilson

    2. MrInbetween
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Expecting 1 or 2 points from all 3 tbh

    3. woodles
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

  2. Js31
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    50 behind in ML. Time to captain Kane

    1. RashFraud
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      With you on this one

    2. FPL Ultras
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Come on you Kane!

  3. kinghenry14
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    what would you do with this lot? 1FT 0.6ITB not playing FH in 31 but probably WC in 32

    pope
    alonso daniels duffy
    salah mane sterling* son walcott
    kane firmino
    subs: eliott kenny quaner hünemeier

    sterling to shaqiri maybe?

    cheers

    1. Going Home
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Roll it over and have another look next week. Pickford for pope seems sensible next week and then 2FTs to get in Shaqiri and another for 32 ahead of WC

      1. kinghenry14
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        thanks

    2. MrInbetween
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Shaq has Man City next week, right?

  4. SuperMario
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Those of you with Hazard.

    Are you holding for the Stoke game? With the Barcelona and Cup game around that time, surely Stoke at home means reduced minutes?!

    If I sell him I can afford Firmino in!

    1. DR0GBA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Stoke?

      1. Going Home
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Palace?

        1. SuperMario
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Yes

      2. SuperMario
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Palace

    2. Mesh
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I was going to keep him for the Palace game but I'm thinking of shipping him for Eriksen

  5. Sliver
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Toughest decision of the gameweek - Ryan or Fabianski?

    1. Sliver
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      My 3 old says Ryan.

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Brighton at home against easy opponent

  6. MallettMan
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Kane or Salah captain?

    1. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      million dollar question mate

    3. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      If Salah scores decent and Kane C flops you're getting red arrow

      1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        can say the same the other way round too

    4. The Final Boss
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      The problem with Salah is that pools got many other goal scoring sources like firm,mane etc,and if they are in a winning position,klopp will pull salah off,cannpt guarantee the minutes,but with kane we can ensure the 90 minutes,with that being said,i still gonna cap salah anyway 🙂

  7. milanista10
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    A) Sterling to Mahrez
    B) Hazard to Eriksen
    C) Save transfer

    Which one would you go for lads?

    1. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Hazard to Mahrez

  8. KUNingas
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one

    A) Ogbonna (swa)
    B) Mee (EVE)
    C) CM (sou)
    D) Ayew (WHU)

    1. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Cm

      1. KUNingas
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks

  9. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench whom ogbona or lowton?

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Og

    2. KUNingas
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Ogbonna

  10. JabbaWookiee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bottomed out...

    Struggling with what to do with my 2 FTs!

    A) Switch De Bruyne out for Eriksen?
    B) Start stocking up for 31 (currently have 6/7 incl 3 Liv)
    C) Something else

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Any more than 6-7 seems ridiculous. Selling KDB at home seems ridiculous regardless of opposition and Stoke away next

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Except he's playing deeper with Fernandinho out and Eriksen is on form right now...

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Get in Huddersfield for next 2 if you want more 31

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        That's what I'm thinking. Van la Parra this wk and Lossl +a n other next then wc them out in 32...

  11. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Eriksen or Mahrez?

    1. Nightf0x
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Same dilemma, looks like will end up with mahrez

  12. Bathman315
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    G2G?

    Ddg
    Vvd bellerin mee
    Sterling Salah lingard mane son
    Kane Ayew

    Pope Kenny ogbonna Quaner
    1ft 0ITB

  13. woodles
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    HELP PLEASE!
    Bench one
    a) shaq
    b) rich
    c) wilson

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      When did Rich score more than 2-3pts??

      1. woodles
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        haha don't know what hes still doing in my team, hes benched every week... but WBA

  14. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    This Kane v Salah captaincy is killing me. I watched Kane bag two hatties after I sold him but have also watched Salah haul in the Saturday evening match when I captained someone else.

    Do we know who Mark, Jonty etc have gone for?

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      scoutcast they all planned on salah

    2. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mark always goes for Kane.

    3. elkunaguero
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      wait for the preamble from Mark if you want to know

  15. StayoutheSpiceZone
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    GTG?

    Karius
    Davies ogbonna Maguire
    Son Ramsey salah mane Walcott
    Kane (c) vardy

    Bench Wilson kenny Daniels

  16. Gizmo13
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Deulofeu to Ward-Prowse for a free?

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No. Huddersfield mid. I like Van la Parra 30 and 31

  17. batmaniac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Morning folks,

    Duffy to bauer for a free?

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Rubbish fixtures

      1. batmaniac
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        The idea is for this gw & 31. Then wc.

        This week I have
        vvd, Alonso, Duffy
        (Francis, schindler)

        Maybe I should save then?

  18. FPL Ultras
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who would you CAPTAIN?

    a) Vardy
    b) Kane
    c) Firmino
    d) Son
    e) Hazard
    f) David Silva
    g) Mkhitaryan

    I am thinking about Kane, but perhaps captain Vardy or Silva as a differential?

    Thank you guys!

    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B. No contest

      1. FPL Ultras
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks mate!

    2. George James
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Preamble

      1. George James
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Reply fail

    3. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Where is Salah

      1. FPL Ultras
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Have Hazard as differential. Even my grandma has Salah!

  19. Viper
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Good to go or start Walcott?

    DDG

    Otamendi Robertson Davies (Mee Alonso)

    Salah Arnautovic Gross Shaqiri (Walcott)

    Kane Firmino Wilson

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      i’ve gone for walcott over wilson, gut call really. kind of expecting 2 from either

    2. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      also I personally would go alonso over otmendi, I don’t think either will get a CS but alonso better attacking potential

  20. grooveymatt65
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Hi guys im in abit of a pickle and need some advice. My team is the following:

    Pope / Joel Pereira

    Smalling/ Francis/ Alonso Simpson/ Rangel

    Salah/ Mahrez/ Sterling/Walcott/RLC

    Wilson/ Firmino/ Kane 

    (£1.0 ITB with 1 ft)

    What should i do out of these options?

    1. Sterling to Mane
    2. Wilson to Murray
    3.Sterling to Eriksen
    4. Save

    Thanks guys 🙂 🙂

    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      4

  21. HD7
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    If I have no sub for Sterling:
    A) Save
    B) to Arnie -4
    C) Walcott -4

    9.2 ITB

    Midfield is: Sterling Shaq Salah Mahrez

    1. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      save

    2. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Definitely not C. I've done B for free. In your situation, I'd say A

    3. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      How about upgrade your bench so you have a sub of sterling, a game 31 cheaply like Allen, Pritchard or milli

    4. FPL Ultras
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Save

  22. Brosstan
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Is Kun -> Kane worth a -4 this week? Brain says no but its torture watching Spurs without having Kane.

    1. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      yes

    2. FPL Ultras
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Already did this!

  23. Legomané
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Kun has 18 attacking returns in 19 games v CHE STK

    Firmino has 0 attacking returns in 8 v NEW MUN

    *PL only

    A. Kun > Firmino
    B. Kun > Aubameyang (get Bobby for Kane in 31)
    C. Save FT

    B would be to have a wee differential 29-30-32. 48pts back and running out of time to catch up. Our front lines are very similar 🙁

    1. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      save

    2. Mulla
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Pep has said that Kun has been forced to carry the can up front the last while so wouldn't be surprised to see reduced minutes now that Jesus is back.
      Arsenal look shot, I'd get Firmino personally

    3. FPL Ultras
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Save

  24. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ibe > Arnie for -4? 

    Front 8
    Salah, Mane, Sterling, Ibe, Shaq
    Kun, Kane, Qauner

    ?

    1. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Or Ramsey

  25. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Any official news from Leicester? Villa and Wolves both called off this morning and both are nearby

    1. Pras (FPL)
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nothing official yet, but thanks for info

    2. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      about and hour away from there, should be fine

    3. 1NAM
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Definitely on.

  26. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    would be harsh on llorente to get benched after a hatty right?

    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No

    2. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No

    3. Dybala10
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nice try

  27. Seany A
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    any news of postponements today?

  28. Totti
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    bench one:

    A) wilson
    B) doucoure
    C) milivojevic

    1. Nightf0x
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C

  29. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Defence (ogbona lowton dunk gomez chilwel)
    2 ft
    A) kdb dunk to erisken/mahrez davies
    B) sterling to mahrez (gw30 2 ft)

    1. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B
      KDB only one least prone to rotation

      1. Nightf0x
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks mate

    2. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

      1. Nightf0x
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks for replying

  30. HonestBlatter
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Lingard starting after scoring in last game?