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The Technical Area – Set-Piece Threat

Though for many fans the idea of the set-piece may conjure up images of Tony Pulis or convoluted chalkboard diagrams, such situations have long been considered golden opportunities within the realm of football analytics.

Set-plays tend to produce a surprisingly high volume of a side’s goals, accounting for between 25% and 35% of an average team’s tally across the major European leagues. The current Premier League season has been no exception to this rule, with 27.2% of all goals to date having come as a direct result of a set-piece.

Teams who can best profit from these situations therefore earn a meaningful advantage over their opposition. Perhaps the most famous example of this in recent history are FC Midtjylland, whose dedication towards dead-ball routines brought the Danish underdogs 23 set-piece goals en route to their first-ever league title in 2015.

Analysing sides – and players – who thrive in this oft-overlooked aspect of the game may help to identify some hidden gems among the FPL player pool as we enter the final Gameweeks of the campaign.

Indeed, with two (yet-to-be-scheduled) double Gameweeks between now and the end of the season, scouting for underpriced players who boast a goal threat from such scenarios could prove additionally vital as we look to supplement our core players with high-upside options.

This week’s Technical Area will look to break down the league’s premium set-piece threats, in the hope of outlining some key targets ahead of the busy upcoming run-in.

628 Comments Post a Comment
  1. batmaniac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Is ditching sterling and Son for a free as crazy as it sounds?

    Picky
    Vvd - Alonso - Duffy
    Shaq - Sterling* - Son* - Salah - Mhki
    Kane - Bobby

    Elliot - Schindler - Dcl - Francis

    I can do straight swap of either to Mahrez.
    What is the story with Sterling. If he was on his way back surely he was fit for a run out in the dead rubber against Basel.

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      He trained on Monday and wasn't expected to be risked against Basel was my understanding

    2. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      City's presser will hopefully shed some definitive light on the situation.

    3. @fpl_phenom
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Son surely plays on his form... Spurs must concentrate on top 4 place now so I think he plays and scores

  2. Fantasyamateur
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Foster - Elliot
    Dijk - Otamendi - Mee - Hegazi - Ogbonna
    Sterling - Salah - Deulofeu - Carroll - Shaqiri
    Kane - Firmino - Agüero

    0.4M ITB, 2FT.

    Either doing Deulofeu to La Parra, or Deulofeu+Otamendi+Carroll to La Parra, Schindler and Walcott for a hit, giving me 9 players ready for GW31 (plus a transfer between 30 and 31)

    What do you guys think? Leaning towards no hit myself, but tempting to have Walcott at home to Brighton..

  3. Jeremy Corbyn
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    I want to make this very clear: GW31 is for the Mane, not the Pugh.

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Too much Mounie involved these days

    2. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Yes Jezza.

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Driving us all in Sane

    4. Pariße
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      The truth.

    5. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Shame that you don't even represent your own nonsense slogan.

    6. F4L
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      that's about the only thing i'll agree with you on Jeremy

  4. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Best goalie for week 31 from

    A Pickford
    B Butland
    C Lossl

    1. Duffy Dunk
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B/C

    2. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Butland I think

    3. Baps hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Begovic imo

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks. With Ake not keen to double up.

        1. Blame it on Traore
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          I'd definitely choose Stoke's defence over Bournemouth's at the minute

  5. Sc007
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    What to do here ?

    De Gea
    Van Dijk / mee/ Dawson
    Salah/ Walcott / mahrez / sterling / son
    Kane / firminho

    Speroni
    Mariappa. Dunk. Mcburnie

    2 ft 0.7 in the bank

  6. Denis Tueart on the wing
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    When will the GW34 DGW fixtures be announced - thanks

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      19 March

      1. Denis Tueart on the wing
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        excellent, is there a good link to the possible fixtures, i'm planning my wildcard after GW31

  7. Sadio
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Anything worth a change?

    Pickford
    Maguire | Trippier | Robertson
    Salah | Silva | Walcott | Son
    Kane | Aubameyang | Firmino

    (Foster | Schindler | Ake | Lewis Cook)

    1. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      no

  8. La vida FPL
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Choose 1!

    A) Play Duffy (or Ogbonna) and transfer in VLP (bench Shaqiri)

    B) Transfer in Schindler (and start him ahead of Duffy/Ogbonna) and play Shaqiri

  9. DIOCCÁ
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Play Adrian or Pope?

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Adrián

    2. Twisted Saltergater
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Pope

  10. Morgs
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Think my team needs lots of advice! 2FT, 4.7 itb

    Ryan
    Ake, Mawson, Mee
    Sarah, Gross, Ward-Prowse, Walcott
    Kane, Firmino, Aguero

    Elliot, Tcarroll, Long, Mbemba

    Any transfer advice appreciated, thanks!

    1. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I would sell Long for a gw31 defender.I like Coleman,Schindler.

  11. N00B
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    What to do with Sterling ?
    A) Keep him. I have Kenedy 1st on bench
    B) Sell him for Siggy or Stanislav

    1. JabbaWookiee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B

  12. Kiwivillan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Any Huddersfield fans can confirm VLP job security when Kachunga comes back??

    1. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I think that Kachunga plays in the right side.

  13. columbo
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    What are people doing with the man that is Choupo-Moting please? Really don't want him but he's a BGW player and all..

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Keeping as not worth wasting transfer much as I would really like to. With Diouf out guess chance he might get a goal if plays in striker position

      1. columbo
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        thanks mate. really want to get him out as have no other major pressing transfers to make at the moment. argh!

  14. La vida FPL
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Bring in Schindler or Van la parra for next two?

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Van La Parra

  15. stat
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A) VLP + Coleman
      B) Pritchard + Baines

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        A

    • Tazah
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      can really see shaqiri scoring v city on monday, city defence isnt that solid and stoke quick on the counter

      1. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        That would be nice

    • cescpistols111
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Play any 1 from: Van Dijk (mun), Daniels (TOT), Shaqiri (MCI)?

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Shaqiri

      2. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Shaq

    • JabbaWookiee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Who to replace Sterling with?

      A) Stanislas
      B) Pritchard (already have vlp)
      C) Sigurdsson
      D) Walcott
      E) Mahrez
      F) Son
      G) Keep
      H) .........

      1. TLF
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        How many GW31 have you got currently ?

      2. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        E for 30 but if looking at 31 A

        1. JabbaWookiee
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Ideally want someone I can play both weeks. Was leaning towards Stan or one of the Everton boys

      3. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        7 for defo. 8 if Kenny comes back in for whatever reason. 2nd in ML and need all the points I can get. Undecided about WC in 32...

        1. TLF
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          D or E, good luck in mini league....im trailing too in 2nd by 27 points. Leader has Aguero, i dont, that's a worry this week 🙂

          1. JabbaWookiee
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            Ditto. 15 behind and no Aguero. My differentials are KdB and Alonso. His WC is live though....

      4. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Keep or Ramsay

        1. TLF
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          You reckon Ramsey will start ?

        2. JabbaWookiee
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          So forsake 31?

          1. Kiwivillan
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            I have Salah Mane Firmino Allen Wilson and only will probably get 2 more Benteke and maybe Hudd or Stoke defender

            1. JabbaWookiee
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              Got Salah, VVD, Firm, VLP, Wilson, Shaq, Dawson and Kenny. Looking at Butland or Zouma next week and maybe Mounie or King. Still can't help considering Siggy or Wally for this week and next.......

      5. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        A) Good but why this week if Sterling plays which I think he might
        B) Not that sold on Hudd returns next 2 and he has corked thigh so may not play
        C) Everton are trash under Sam
        D) See C
        E) Very tempting
        F) Terrible away form and may get a rest
        G) I am
        H) Ramsey fixtures price and Milan statement

        1. JabbaWookiee
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Cheers KV. Plenty to work with there. Obv won't touch Pritchard unless he's confirmed fit. Agree not convinced by Hudd and it would def be a punt.

          I have 2 FTs though and wanna use one. Maybe I'll look to the defence... Ogbonna for Zanka or Schindler maybe. But dull though and see above for Hudd caveats.

    • Nigawan
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      what do I do with sterling?

      a) keep
      b) sell

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Sell - there are better options imo (see above)

    • TLF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Mahrez v Sane, tough choice

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Toss a coin! I would say Mahrez- just

    • La vida FPL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Play Shaqiri (city) or Van la parra (Swansea)?

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        VLP

    • Feed tha Sheep
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      With GW31 in mind who is best sterling replacement? (not Lpool)
      Have Salah Mahrez Son

    • stat
        6 years, 2 months ago

        How is Coleman a better option than Baines? Isn't Baines on pens when Rooney doesn't play?

        1. La vida FPL
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Cuco Martina

          1. Kiwivillan
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            Worst LB in the league

          2. stat
              6 years, 2 months ago

              Do you think he's going to keep Baines out the team for good?

          3. Ramboros
            • 12 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            It helps that Coleman is certainly a first choice and going to play. Coleman is also in his prime, while Baines is clearly past it.

            1. stat
                6 years, 2 months ago

                Good point. Do you know whether Kachunga's possible return would mean VLP is taken out of Huddersfield's starting 11? I'm debating on whether I should get VLP + Coleman or Pritchard + Baines.

          4. GW30 Odds/Stats
            G-Whizz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 6 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            GW30 DS Stats, Clean Sheet and Fixture Odds.

            Last week Tottenham (579DS) beat Huddersfield at home 2-0, Liverpool (488DS) faced Newcastle at Anfield and beat them 2-0 and finally Manchester United (DS377) came from 2-0 down to beat Crystal Palace 2-3.

            Last week's stats can be found here:
            https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/17739671

            GW30 DS stats:
            ARS: WAT 334
            BOU: TOT -250
            BRI: eve -169
            BUR: whm 76
            CHE: CPL 517
            CPL: che -517
            EVE: BRI 169
            HUD: SWA 49
            LEI: wba 136
            LIV: mun -143
            MCY: stk 571
            MUN: LIV 143
            NEW: SOU 45
            SOT: new -45
            STK: MCI -571
            SWA: hud -49
            TOT: bou 250
            WAT: ars -334
            WBA: LEI -136
            WHM: BUR -76
            (Doosra gives a more detailed explanation of these numbers here http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/16458109)

            So this week sees two stand out fixtures with the summit being reached by Manchester City (571DS) with their fixture away to Stoke on MNF. Chelsea make an appearance in second with a 517 DS at home to Crystal Palace and Arsenal (334DS) show up just under the radar with their fixture at home with Watford.

            GW30 Fixture Odds can be found here:
            http://prntscr.com/iooecv
            (Provided by Betfair.com)

            Clean sheet odds: Implied chance of a clean sheet
            Chelsea 1.80 56%
            Man City 1.83 55%
            West Ham 2.30 43%
            Everton 2.37 42%
            Tottenham 2.40 42%
            Huddersfield 2.50 40%
            Arsenal 2.62 38%
            Leicester 2.87 35%
            Newcastle 2.87 35%
            Swansea 2.87 35%
            Southampton 3.0 33%
            West Brom 3.20 31%
            Burnley 3.25 31%
            Brighton 3.40 29%
            Man Utd 3.40 29%
            Liverpool 3.50 29%
            Bournemouth 7.50 13%
            Watford 8.0 13%
            Crystal Palace 8.50 12%
            Stoke 12.0 8%
            (Provided by Betfair.com)

            As there's being a lot of talk about GW31 I thought I'd thought I'd include the Clean Sheet odds for that too:

            Clean sheet odds: Implied chance of a clean sheet
            LIV 1.83 55%
            BOU 2.50 40%
            HUD 2.80 36%
            STO 2.80 36%
            CPL 2.87 35%
            EVE 3.40 29%
            WBA 4.0 25%
            WAT 13.0 8%

            I'll provide the other data for you all next week in the usual format.

            Good luck!

            G

            1. TLF
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              Cheers G, helpful as ever

              1. G-Whizz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 6 Years
                6 years, 2 months ago

                You're welcome!

            2. Pierce34
              • 8 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              Everton 42%? Good luck with that...

              1. G-Whizz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 6 Years
                6 years, 2 months ago

                There's worse (imo) just above them...

            3. Virgil Hilts
              • 7 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              Interesting Bournemouth are 2nd favs to keep c/s in 31...thanks for the odds, good info

              1. G-Whizz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 6 Years
                6 years, 2 months ago

                You're welcome 🙂

            4. wulfrunian
              • 7 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              cheers

              1. G-Whizz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 6 Years
                6 years, 2 months ago

                Hope it helps...

                1. wulfrunian
                  • 7 Years
                  6 years, 2 months ago

                  Always mate.

            5. wulfrunian
              • 7 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              Its weird that we have WHM: BUR -76 and West Ham 2.30 43%+Burnley 3.25 31%.

              1. G-Whizz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 6 Years
                6 years, 2 months ago

                I can't say I agree with the Bookies this week regarding that fixture and the Everton one...

                1. Baps hunter
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 6 Years
                  6 years, 2 months ago

                  Time to make some cash then 😉

                  1. G-Whizz
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • Has Moderation Rights
                    • 6 Years
                    6 years, 2 months ago

                    Nice Username 🙂

            6. TLF
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              Based on this there is a clear winner in the Sane v Mahrez comparison for this week.

            7. agueroooooney
              • 9 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              Just an observation on GW31 odds. Multiple bookies offering CS odds on Bournemouth at 7/4, which is an implied chance of 36%. Brings them back to pack.

              1. G-Whizz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 6 Years
                6 years, 2 months ago

                Great info! Thanks for that 🙂

            8. arndff_
              • 12 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              Cheers, mate! Appreciate your work! 🙂

              1. G-Whizz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 6 Years
                6 years, 2 months ago

                Hope it helps Arn, have a great week mate 🙂

            9. Lukakuna
              • 7 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              Cheers, gonna let this decide for me between Pope and Adrian!

              1. G-Whizz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 6 Years
                6 years, 2 months ago

                Good luck!

            10. Ranger3
              • 7 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              So I should bench De Gea and make Adrian play.. Hmmm :/

              1. G-Whizz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 6 Years
                6 years, 2 months ago

                I don't have any confidence in the Hammers not conceding tbh...

            11. FC Lackless [BALEGIUM]
              • 7 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              cheers

            12. The Overthinker
              • 7 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              Thanks

          5. Mikkman
            • 7 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            What about Sigurdsson for GW 30 and 31?

          6. @fpl_phenom
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            DDG or Lossl this week?

            1. TSN
              • 7 Years
              6 years, 2 months ago

              Lossl. Liverpool may score against any opponent

          7. cescpistols111
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            Van Dijk/Daniels and Shaqiri/Jordan Ayew?

          8. TSN
            • 7 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            1 FT 0.2 itb

            Pope (elliott)
            VVD/ota/davies/ogbonna (daniels)
            Salah/sterling/mahrez (richarlison/carroll)
            Firmino/kane/wilson

            Need a lot of changes here.
            Which do u think better?
            a. Take -4 hit this GW and probably -8 next GW and keep WC for later
            B. Take no hit this gw and use WC in GW31

            Cheers