Spot the Differential
31 March 2018 2111 comments
James H James H
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With partial success back in Gameweek 31 via a Salomon Rondon assist, we’ve opted for three strikers in our selection of Differentials this time around.

Front men from Manchester City, Southampton and Burnley are backed to produce as we enter the final block of the season.

Gabriel Jesus

With Sergio Aguero remaining a doubt for Manchester City’s trip to Everton, his team-mate and fellow striker Gabriel Jesus looks a tempting option.

The Brazilian made his first start against Stoke City in Gameweek 30 following a spell on the sidelines and produced his fifth assist of the campaign in the 2-0 win.

The forward now faces an Everton side that have managed just one clean sheet from their last 11 encounters.

Jesus has scored eight goals from 21 league outings and just 13 starts, and should be handed plenty of opportunities at Goodison Park leading the line for league’s top scoring side.

Pep Guardiola’s men have scored a sensational 85 goals, 12 more than second-placed Liverpool.

They have also created an astounding 108 big chances, with Liverpool again the next best on 93.

Given the injuries to Aguero and Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane, Jesus could represent good value as a replacement, priced at 10.0 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

Owned by only 6.7% of FPL managers, he might just be worth a roll of the dice if you believe City can run riot on Merseyside in their bid to seal the title.

Charlie Austin

With an eye not just on Gameweek 32, but also the upcoming Double Gameweek 34, Southampton’s Charlie Austin is an interesting name to consider.

The Saints forward is in line to return to the squad for this afternoon’s crunch trip to fellow strugglers West Ham United after recovering from a hamstring injury.

By the time Mark Hughes’s side face Chelsea and Leicester City in Double Gameweek 34, the striker is expected to be fully up to speed.

Austin’s importance to Southampton’s survival hopes cannot be understated.

He is their top goalscorer with six goals, despite injuries and a suspension limiting him to just five starts.

Significantly, his underlying statistics are hugely impressive given his budget price tag of just 5.8 in FPL.

The former Queens Park Rangers front man has fired a shot every 22.1 minutes over the season, which is only bettered by Kane (15) and Aguero (21.4) among regular starting forwards.

Indeed, only Aguero betters Austin’s minutes per goal record this campaign, with the Saints striker finding the net every 98.1 minutes compared with the Argentine’s 93.8 minutes.

Facing a West Ham side that have conceded more goals (11) than any other side over the last four matches, Austin could enjoy another successful afternoon at the London Stadium, having produced a goal and an assist in this fixture last term.

He also netted the winner from the penalty spot in a 3-2 victory in the reverse fixture this season, despite only playing 10 minutes as a substitute.

While investment in the 0.6%-owned striker does carry a risk as he may not be fit to start this afternoon, his goalscoring record when on the pitch suggests he could be worth a gamble for the run-in, particularly with the south coast club benefitting from two double Gameweeks.

Chris Wood

While team-mate Ashley Barnes (5.3) has been the name on the lips of many managers due to his more budget-friendly price tag, fellow Burnley forward Chris Wood should not be overlooked.

The New Zealand international has scored three goals in two substitute appearances since returning from a knee injury, and has strong claims for a recall for this afternoon’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

His chances have certainly increased since he was omitted from the New Zealand squad for their friendly with Canada.

Wood matches up very well when compared to Barnes.

Despite being limited to just 17 appearances, as opposed to 29 for Barnes, the New Zealander holds the edge for goals scored (seven to six).

Indeed, he has a goal every 157.4 minutes, which is far superior to Barnes (269.3).

Wood has also been involved in a staggering 62% of Burnley’s goals scored when he’s been on the pitch, which helps justify the extra outlay required to bring in the 6.2-price forward.

Facing a West Brom defence that has shipped nine goals in their last three encounters at the Hawthorns, Wood looks to have the ideal platform to maintain his strong form.

With his appeal also boosted by a Double Gameweek 34 (LEI/CHE) and a fixture in Gameweek 35 away to Stoke City, the 1.2%-owned Wood could be a powerful differential for the season run-in.

  1. Ribus
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Wildcarding after this gw.
    Now bringing in:
    A) Mahrez
    B) Alexis
    C) Micky

    Thanks

    1. Teror
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Micky

    2. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Never Sanchez. Go miki or Mahrez. I vote for Mahrez

  2. barcaa7
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Who to bench?
    a-Vert
    b-Lowton

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

  3. KLOPPTOMANIA
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Smalling or mustafi to to take through dgw?

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      smalling

  4. Pedaso Pirates
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Kiko instead of Mariappa? OOP..
    Will he play?

  5. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Any United team leak?

    1. Lexi2014
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Looks like Jones is back

      1. KLOPPTOMANIA
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Surely Jones is better option then for WCs and just bench today if required?

        1. KLOPPTOMANIA
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Ps - any source on Jones?

          1. ENZO SZN™
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            No sighting of him with the team at pre-match base.

            Source : Manchester Evening News
            https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/man-utd-team-news-squad-14477063

      2. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        No he isn't...

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      No

  6. Lexi2014
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Thoughts?? Have 10.3 itb with 1ft.

    Pickford

    Lascalles / Janmaat / Azpi / VVD

    Gudmonssen / Salah / Stanislas/ Shaquri

    Wilson / Firmino

    Elliott / Chilwell / Walcott / Niasse

  7. sunzip14
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Gtg? without WC. Starting 11 okay?
    Ddg
    Vvd, Mee, Ogbonna
    Salah, Mkhi, Mahrez, Walcott, Shaqiri
    Auba(c) Firmino
    Subs: Begovic, Davies, Baines, Quaner

  8. N00B
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    I am crazy to bench Son and captain Auba this week ?

    DDG
    Alonso - Mustafi - Lowton
    Salah - Mahrez - Willian - Gross
    Lukaku - Aubameyang(C) - Barnes

    Bench: Ryan, Son, Schelotto, Morgan

    1. Lexi2014
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Benching Son?? Rather you than me!

  9. CloudSky
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Someone was asking about Thibs.

    Courtois is struggling to shake off the hamstring injury which forced him to miss the FA Cup QF clash with Leicester + the recent internationals. Caballero is on standby for his second PL start of the campaign. Conte will make a decision on the goalkeepers involvement today. #CFC

  10. darrellb
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    On wc, but have more than a million to spend. Where can I upgrade?

    Ddg, Ryan
    Morgan lowton mustafi alonso smalling
    Mahrez son salah willian gross
    Auba vardy barnes.

    Planned my two ft to downgrade mustafi and upgrade auba to kaku. Still leaves me with money. Don't wanna spend on barnes because he'll be bench fodder.

    Was looking at smelling but can only exactly afford azpi/ valencia so will price me out of a move if kaku goes up. Any advice?

    1. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Morgan to Maguire?

      1. darrellb
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        That's a good one

    2. KLOPPTOMANIA
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      http://www.manutd.com/en/News-And-Features/Football-News/2018/Mar/jose-mourinho-provides-latest-team-news-for-manchester-united-v-swansea.aspx

      If jones fit, makes sense to bring in on wc so don't have to spend transfer before dgw

  11. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    On a WC, which pair?
    Vardy + Smalling
    Wood + Alonso
    Barnes + Alonso
    Vardy + bailly
    Help out ASAP

    1. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Wood and Alonso

    2. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Vardy Bailly

  12. rokonto
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    I'm thinking of wc 34. Fh 35. Bb 37
    Is this a popular strategy?

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Most are wildcarding now or GW33 to BB34, FH35, TC37

      1. rokonto
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        My TC is done :/

  13. Pariße
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    A) Vertonghen, Barnes, Lukaku
    B) Stephens (not sure about him), Firmino, Vardy

  14. Garlana
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Bong is nailed right?

  15. PocketZola
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    on wc, all chips

    ddg
    apzi bailly tara
    salah son mahrez willian
    barnes auba firm

    bench: ryan, gud, duffy, morg

    rmt?

    bbin 34, auba and firm to luka and vardy

  16. Teror
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    2 week punt:

    A. Jesus

    B. Mkhi

    1. CAPTAIN CRESPO
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

  17. seanie3
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    best choice to go with please

    a) son, lukaku, murray
    b) gross, firminio, vardy

  18. rokonto
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Any chance Long starts for Burnley?

    1. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      no chance

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Slim

    3. rokonto
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I suppose it's a long shot... (soz)

  19. #FPLBhuna
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    #prayforwanbissaka

    Captain Rom locked in so no doubt Salah will go have a stormer now

    1. Jafalad
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Madness.

      1. #FPLBhuna
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Madness or genius

        Ml leader has omitted rom from his wc squad and I’m trailing by 65

        Sniffing blood

        1. seanie3
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          how do you know he has omitted him?

  20. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    On a WC, which pair?
    Vardy + Smalling
    Wood + Alonso
    Barnes + Alonso
    Vardy + bailly
    Cheerio!

  21. CAPTAIN CRESPO
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    1 week only

    A) AUB
    B) JESUS

    1. Jafalad
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      a

    2. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      B

  22. Borran
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Keep Firmino or switch to Vardy?

  23. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Will Son be playing up top against Chelsea?

    Can't decide whether to play him or Barnes who has a better fixture.

  24. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Liverpool team ? Leaks?

  25. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Repost - G2G;

    DDG
    Alonso, Monreal, Smalling
    Salah, Gross, Mahrez, Mkhi
    Auba, Vardy, Murray

    Pope, Gudmund, Lowton, Chilwell

    1. Jafalad
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      No Citeh a concern.

      1. Zenith UK
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        No City & No Spurs.
        I've just dropped my City players (Ota/KdB).

      2. Zenith UK
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        But seriously. They might tear Everton apart but then Utd, then Spurs, then Blank, then if they progress in CL (sorry 'Pool) I see rotation risks everywhere really (given they'll have the league wrapped up if they topple Utd).

  26. Sweden11
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Hey! What about this WC-team? Anything you would change? I have no FH and 0.0 in the bank.

    DGD
    Alonso Lowton Mustafi
    Salah Willian Mahrez Son
    Vardy Auba Barnes

    Bench: Karnezis, Gudmunsson, Mariappa, Morgan

  27. Don Rogers FC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Wally to

    A) Gross
    B) sterling
    C) Kenedy

    One week only WC next week. Other mids Salah, Mahrez, Son.

    1. MTPockets
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Gross (b/c some doubts about Sterling - illness)

        1. Don Rogers FC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Thanks, In was leaning that way. Kenedy too Punty?

    2. BigAsGiroud_
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      On WC
      1) Wood or Barnes
      2) Monreal or Mustafi

      1. Naboo
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Barnes Must

      2. Don Rogers FC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Wood Mustafi

    3. ENZO SZN™
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Mahrez or Vardy?

      Who will score more for the remainder of the season.

      1. Naboo
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        M

    4. davies
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A) Bailly + Mustafi

      B) Smalling + Monreal + 0.4 itb

      1. Naboo
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        A