Spot the Differential
31 March 2018 2111 comments
James H James H
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With partial success back in Gameweek 31 via a Salomon Rondon assist, we’ve opted for three strikers in our selection of Differentials this time around.

Front men from Manchester City, Southampton and Burnley are backed to produce as we enter the final block of the season.

Gabriel Jesus

With Sergio Aguero remaining a doubt for Manchester City’s trip to Everton, his team-mate and fellow striker Gabriel Jesus looks a tempting option.

The Brazilian made his first start against Stoke City in Gameweek 30 following a spell on the sidelines and produced his fifth assist of the campaign in the 2-0 win.

The forward now faces an Everton side that have managed just one clean sheet from their last 11 encounters.

Jesus has scored eight goals from 21 league outings and just 13 starts, and should be handed plenty of opportunities at Goodison Park leading the line for league’s top scoring side.

Pep Guardiola’s men have scored a sensational 85 goals, 12 more than second-placed Liverpool.

They have also created an astounding 108 big chances, with Liverpool again the next best on 93.

Given the injuries to Aguero and Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane, Jesus could represent good value as a replacement, priced at 10.0 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

Owned by only 6.7% of FPL managers, he might just be worth a roll of the dice if you believe City can run riot on Merseyside in their bid to seal the title.

Charlie Austin

With an eye not just on Gameweek 32, but also the upcoming Double Gameweek 34, Southampton’s Charlie Austin is an interesting name to consider.

The Saints forward is in line to return to the squad for this afternoon’s crunch trip to fellow strugglers West Ham United after recovering from a hamstring injury.

By the time Mark Hughes’s side face Chelsea and Leicester City in Double Gameweek 34, the striker is expected to be fully up to speed.

Austin’s importance to Southampton’s survival hopes cannot be understated.

He is their top goalscorer with six goals, despite injuries and a suspension limiting him to just five starts.

Significantly, his underlying statistics are hugely impressive given his budget price tag of just 5.8 in FPL.

The former Queens Park Rangers front man has fired a shot every 22.1 minutes over the season, which is only bettered by Kane (15) and Aguero (21.4) among regular starting forwards.

Indeed, only Aguero betters Austin’s minutes per goal record this campaign, with the Saints striker finding the net every 98.1 minutes compared with the Argentine’s 93.8 minutes.

Facing a West Ham side that have conceded more goals (11) than any other side over the last four matches, Austin could enjoy another successful afternoon at the London Stadium, having produced a goal and an assist in this fixture last term.

He also netted the winner from the penalty spot in a 3-2 victory in the reverse fixture this season, despite only playing 10 minutes as a substitute.

While investment in the 0.6%-owned striker does carry a risk as he may not be fit to start this afternoon, his goalscoring record when on the pitch suggests he could be worth a gamble for the run-in, particularly with the south coast club benefitting from two double Gameweeks.

Chris Wood

While team-mate Ashley Barnes (5.3) has been the name on the lips of many managers due to his more budget-friendly price tag, fellow Burnley forward Chris Wood should not be overlooked.

The New Zealand international has scored three goals in two substitute appearances since returning from a knee injury, and has strong claims for a recall for this afternoon’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

His chances have certainly increased since he was omitted from the New Zealand squad for their friendly with Canada.

Wood matches up very well when compared to Barnes.

Despite being limited to just 17 appearances, as opposed to 29 for Barnes, the New Zealander holds the edge for goals scored (seven to six).

Indeed, he has a goal every 157.4 minutes, which is far superior to Barnes (269.3).

Wood has also been involved in a staggering 62% of Burnley’s goals scored when he’s been on the pitch, which helps justify the extra outlay required to bring in the 6.2-price forward.

Facing a West Brom defence that has shipped nine goals in their last three encounters at the Hawthorns, Wood looks to have the ideal platform to maintain his strong form.

With his appeal also boosted by a Double Gameweek 34 (LEI/CHE) and a fixture in Gameweek 35 away to Stoke City, the 1.2%-owned Wood could be a powerful differential for the season run-in.

  1. Snoop
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Who do you prefer

    A vertonghen, smalling
    B Bailly, monreal

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

    3. Point-one short
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A - you'll want spurs defence for the run-in.

    4. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A, only one of those players is nailed

      1. Snoop
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Yes that's my issue I really think smalling might be replaced with Jones..

    5. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

  2. Jaok
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Repost: Im waiting to wc in 32. Worth a -4 punt for this gameweek?

    Courtois*
    Ota Mee Robertson Shindler
    Salah Mahrez Stanislas
    Auba Firmino Mounie

    Elliot Daniels C.moting* Walcott
    6.1 itb

    A: walcott -> mikhi for -4
    B: mounie -> g. Jesus for -4
    C: dont take a hit..

    1. Flynniesta
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I’d get your skates on mate, 20mins til the end of gw32 deadline

  3. Isco Disco
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Would really appreciate some help here...Finally settling on this WC team...Any changes needed?

    DDG Ryan
    Christensen Tark Lowton Morgan Stephens
    Salah Willian Mahrez Son Gross
    Auba Kaku Austin

    Planning to do Auba --> Kane GW34

    1. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Template team

    2. MTPockets
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Defence isn't brilliant, but looks fine.

        1. Isco Disco
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Cheers!

      • buttigieg93
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Starting Austin or Gross?

    3. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Option 1
      Keep 2.3m ITB to do Auba > Kane for free for DGW 34.

      Option 2
      Spend the money on maybe Willian > Ozil or someone 9.3m max

      Appreciate the responses guys!

      1. MTPockets
          7 years, 11 months ago

          I'm keeping enough to do Auba to Lukaku.
          Will do double transfer if needed for Kane. Otherwise feels a lot to keep banked.

        • Point-one short
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Same dilemma, except for me it's mkhi or gross plus 2m itb for auba->kaku/kane

          1. Sailboats
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            let me know when you've decided =)

      2. Norregard
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        A) Alonso, Willian and Vardy + 2m itb
        B) Smalling, Hazard and Firmino + 0m itb

        1. Sailboats
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          A

        2. Sweden11
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          A

        3. Pariße
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          A

      3. Babyangus01
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Is this g2g or too light in midfield?
        DDG, Ryan
        Alonso, Smalling, Tarkowski, Dunk, Morgan
        Salah, Son, Willian, Gross, Gudmundsson
        Vardy, Auba, Firmino

      4. CloudSky
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Getting cold feet about losing Firmino.

        1. Jafalad
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Good good.

        2. Point-one short
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Rotation and others with more games, time to wave goodbye to his pearly whites imo.

          1. *Reformed-Character*
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Where does to miraculous rotation come from ?

      5. Sweden11
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Hey! What about this WC-team? Anything you would change? I have no FH and 0.0 itb

        DGD
        Alonso Lowton Mustafi
        Salah Willian Mahrez Son
        Vardy Auba Barnes

        Bench: Karnezis, Gudmunsson, Mariappa, Morgan

        1. Sailboats
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          template team. Now sure about karnezis

      6. ATXHorn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Best Mid 4.5 or less. Last spot on WC. Planning BB in 34

        1. Sailboats
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Cook

          1. ATXHorn
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            thanks

        2. ENZO SZN™
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Cork 4.5

        3. william prunier
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Cook saves 0.2

      7. Pariße
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Can Lukaku & Vertonghen outscore Firmino & Vardy over the next few fixtures?

        1. Ghost Gooner
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Yes if Firm benched today but I'd go for the striker pairing

          1. Pariße
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Firm might be benched?
            Thanks 🙂

      8. The Mighty Hippo
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Play:

        a) Vertonghen
        b) Lowton

        1. Pariße
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Vert

        2. MTPockets
            7 years, 11 months ago

            B although I'm playinig both

        3. Borran
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          I have De Gea. Go for Vertonghen or Bailly?

        4. Weasel51
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          A) or Son???

          B) Tarkowski or Stephens??

          Cheers

          1. Weasel51
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            A) Mkhi or Son

        5. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Morgan and Chilwell rotation risks?

          1. MTPockets
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Morgan isn't, but he no spring chicken either.

            • william prunier
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Chilwell yes
              Morgan possible for dgw

          2. sergioaguero67
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Smalling or Jones
            Please help.

            1. william prunier
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Neither

          3. vinniebolton
            • 12 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Any more news on Sterling?

            1. Jairzinho
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              0.71 to the dollar today

            2. Pukki Party
              • 8 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Nothing mentioned by pep

            3. G-Whizz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 8 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Looking good against the Euro...

          4. Teror
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Two week punt :

            A. Jesus

            B. Mkhi

            1. Jaok
              • 11 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Jesus

            2. Point-one short
              • 9 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              B

          5. Jaok
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Jesus or mikhi worth a -4 only for this gameweek?

          6. Pariße
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Has Bailly been injured for half a season, why did he miss so many games?

            1. Holmes
              • 12 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              injured

          7. My Name Is Prince
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Bench one:
            A) Barnes
            B) Willian
            C) Son
            D) Gross

          8. PocketZola
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            ive bought firm on a wc lol

          9. TheEgyptianKing
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Does Dummett play?

            1. william prunier
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Yep

          10. sergioaguero67
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Safest pick?
            Smalling, Jones or Bailey?

            Please help

            1. Jeremy Corbyn
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Jones

              1. *Reformed-Character*
                • 8 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Please stop, he's not even playing today

                1. G-Whizz
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 8 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  This

          11. The Yorkshire Pirlo
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Ranked 95k. Captain Aubameyang over Salah?

            1. william prunier
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              In that position yes

            2. vinniebolton
              • 12 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Probs not... too much of a risk
              Salah is on fire
              Just having auba will be a little differential

          12. FPL Emu
            • 15 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Any idea who is more nailed out of Chilwell and Simpson?

            1. william prunier
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Well the reserve rb is injured so...

          13. ducksfly2gether
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Sterling to who for (-4)?

            Any mid up to 8.5 to keep until GW36...

            1. Reuser
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Why do you want to lose Sterling?

              Brought him in on my wildcard.

              1. Reuser
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 12 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Although to be fair, I'm FH34.

                1. ducksfly2gether
                  • 10 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  He’s been sick and is touch and go. Likely won’t play full 90 if at all. With no double and back to back tough fixtures I could justify selling him for a hit. Thinking about Gudmundsson

                  1. Reuser
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 12 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Just rumours as far as I can tell. Pep didn't mention anything yesterday.

                    He does have a game in 35 too.

                    If selling I would punt on Mhiki. No dgw but fixtures, form and plays in 35.

          14. Babyangus01
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Any chance Pogba would be any good going forward as Man Utd cover? Saves money on Lukaku?

            1. Teror
              • 11 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Rumours of a bust up with mourinho. Avoid.

            2. Ghost Gooner
              • 12 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Get Lingard

          15. Teror
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Two week punt :

            A. Jesus

            B. Mkhi

            C. D.Silva

            1. korbendallas82
              • 12 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              B.

          16. Sweetboi
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            a) Get Smalling and hope he gets both in 34

            b) Get Bailly

            1. Point-one short
              • 9 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              What difference to your team does the 0.5/0.6 make?

            2. G-Whizz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 8 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              c) Avoid and play safe with DDG for now...

          17. Snoop
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Who do you prefer

            A vertonghen, smalling
            B Bailly, monreal

            If I choose B which I think is more nailed I plan to use my next two weeks transfers to change to A before gw34