Spot the Differential
7 April 2018 2250 comments
James H James H
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Two of our Gameweek 32 selections got on the scoresheet and we’re hoping our latest trio of differentials can continue in a similar vein this weekend.

This time around, we’ve opted for one premium and two cut-price midfielders to hopefully take advantage of favourable home fixtures.

Eden Hazard

While he was bitterly disappointing in the 3-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea’s Eden Hazard remains a powerful differential option.

The 6.9%-owned Belgian faces a promising home match-up with West Ham United this weekend.

David Moyes’ side have conceded 11 goals on their last three road trips, while only Stoke City (117) have given up more shots than the Hammers (115) over the last six away matches.

Although Hazard has only produced a single assist from his last four appearances, he has faced both Manchester sides as well as Spurs over that spell.

Despite that, he has impressively created more chances (16) than any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) midfielder over the four matches.

He has also enjoyed recent success against the Hammers, scoring in two of his last three league outings against the east London club, including in the corresponding fixture last season.

Priced at 10.6 in FPL, Hazard is something of a luxury item.

However, he has still produced 11 goals and five assists this season and has registered six double-digit hauls, all coming since Gameweek 10.

With two Double Gameweeks (sot bur, LIV HUD) to come in a favourable run-in, he could prove to be a stand-out differential over the remaining six Gameweeks, starting on Sunday.

Jordon Ibe

With Junior Stanislas suffering a season-ending knee injury, Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe looks to have the platform to finish the campaign strongly.

The winger registered a 10-point haul in the 2-1 victory over West Bromwich Albion in Gameweek 31 and has produced a respectable two goals and six assists from just 19 starts overall.

The primary factor behind the midfielder’s appeal is his 4.7 price tag in FPL, making him an effective enabler.

Ibe’s underlying statistics also provide further room for optimism.

He is second to only Stanislas (11) among Bournemouth players for shots over the last three Gameweeks, with six, while he has registered more crosses (11) than any team-mate over that period.

The Cherries face a favourable home fixture against Crystal Palace this afternoon.

Roy Hodgson’s side are second to only Stoke City (75) for shots conceded over the last four matches, with 66.

Ibe’s prospects are also boosted by the fact Bournemouth play twice in Double Gameweek 34, albeit involving a daunting trip to his former club Liverpool and a home clash against Manchester United.

The wide man is definitely a viable alternative to Newcastle United’s Kenedy in the budget bracket and offers an obvious upgrade for later in the season, when Bournemouth’s schedule (sot SWA bur) compares favourably to the Magpies’ (wat tot CHE).

Sat in only 1.4% of FPL squads, Ibe looks a viable short-term differential given he now looks assured of starts.

Alex Iwobi

Another midfielder who looks set to benefit from an injury is Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan was forced off with a knee injury in the 4-1 win over CSKA Moscow in Thursday’s UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg, and there are fears he has damaged a medial ligament.

The Gunners will be full of confidence following Thursday night’s emphatic victory and entertain struggling Southampton at the Emirates tomorrow.

The Saints suffered a dismal 3-0 defeat to West Ham last weekend and also lost 3-0 at Newcastle in their previous league encounter.

In Mkhitaryan’s absence, Iwobi should gain regular starts in the league while Arsenal are still in the Europa League, starting with tomorrow’s fixture.

Despite only managing two goals and three assists, the Nigerian’s underlying statistics suggest he has the potential to improve his output.

He has averaged a shot every 36 minutes, which is tied with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and superior to both Mkhitaryan (55.2) and Mesut Ozil (55.5).

Iwobi also impresses when assessing his creativity.

The 0.7%-owned midfielder has created a chance every 50 minutes, which is only bettered by Ozil and Mkhitaryan among Arsenal players.

During his last run of starts – between Gameweeks 23 and 26 – he registered a goal and two assists. Those four matches were his best run in the starting XI this season.

Available at just 5.1 in FPL, Iwobi is another interesting cut-price contender who can prove to be a real difference maker for those managers prepared to take a risk as we approach the final month.

  1. The_FF_King
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Lloris or De Gea until the end of the season???

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      B

    2. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      ddg

  2. FPL_WILDCARD
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Bailly to Vertonghen this week then Aubameyang & Arnautovic to Kane and Gudmundsson for -4 next week?

  3. rokonto
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Are Salah and Firmino defo not starting today then?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Not definite, unlikely.

      1. *Reformed-Character*
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 20 days ago

        Salah is pretty much Definate

        1. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 20 days ago

          He's not definite though.

  4. gislih09
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Chasing, but close, planning on FH in 35, bench boosting in 34 and TC in 37.

    GTG on WC?

    DDG/Ryan
    Bavies-Christensen-Dunk (Tarkowski, Simpson)
    Sanchez-Son-Gross-Hazard(C) (Young)
    Barnes-Vardy-Kane

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Chasing how much?

      1. gislih09
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 20 days ago

        Different leagues, top3 paid, H2H, etc, Currently top5 in all and longest lead I'm chasing is 60 points for top spot

        1. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 20 days ago

          Not bad then with the differentials you've got in there, they will be needed.

  5. thep025
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    What transfers to do for this GW?

    DDG Ryan

    Christensen Morgan Mustafi Naughton Lowton

    Son Mahrez Salah Willian Gross

    Auba Firmino Vardy

    0.3 itb, 1 FT. All chips left except WC.

    What to do? Remove Salah?

    1. Trane84
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Personally I've done Firmino to Kane and Salah to Gudmundson (benched for today). Gives me cash to do Auba - > Kaku for GW 34.

  6. Rrendan Bodgers
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Stuck on the wildcard merry-go-round! Need to free up 0.3m from these to do Aubameyang to Lukaku next week.
    Any ideas?

    DeGea Dubravka
    Lowton Alonso Kiko Chilwell Naughton
    Mahrez Salah Alli Ibe Kenedy
    Aubameyang Kane Murray

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Murray > barnes

    2. Bragazeti
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Then Alli to Son, and Ibe to Gross

    3. Cookie Kid
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Alonso>Azpilicueta
      If that’s not enough then Naughton>VDH

  7. Fantasizer
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    kiko or lowton ?

    1. lugs
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Kiko this week , Lowton next week

    2. Rrendan Bodgers
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Who else do you have in defence?

  8. tiger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Goalkeeper for this gameweek...Ryan or De Gea?

    1. gislih09
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Ryan

    2. Buck The Trent
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      I go DDG

    3. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      I'm laying Ryan out of the 2.

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 20 days ago

        Laying? he wishes.

    4. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Ryan

    5. tiger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      I forgot to say I also have (and will have to play Valencia)...

      seems like Ryan might be the one

  9. Trane84
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Which 2 of the following should I start today?

    Kiko / Chilwell / Barnes

  10. Buck The Trent
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Play Barnes or Tarkowski ?

    1. gislih09
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Barnes

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Barnes

    3. Ten Season Wonder
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      I assume the same goes for Barnes / Lowton question then?

  11. Delph & Safety
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Is mark getting rid of Mhki to fund the Kane move early?

  12. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Think I'm done

    D Gea Fabianski

    Dunk Christensen Chilwell Lowton Fernandez

    Mahrez Willian Son Lingard Gross

    Kane Vardy Aubameyang

    Start DDG or Fabs?
    Any other changes?

    Thank you and here's to green arrows

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      I'm on ddg

  13. james 101
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Gtg / Set up right?

    Ryan
    Christensen Chillwell. Lowton
    Alli(VC), Son, Mahrez, Willian,
    Vardy, Kane(C), Lukaku

    DDG, Kante. Mariappa. Smalling

    Thanks - and good luck!

    1. Jaok
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      gtg! Happy gameweek!

  14. Aubaaaaa
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Play 1:
    A. Young
    B. Kenedy

  15. Jonny HOW SON?
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Ryan
    Alonso, Morgan, Lowton
    Willian, Alli, Mahrez, Gross
    Aubameyang, Kane, Barnes

    DDG, Cedric, Tarkowski, Kenedy

    Think I'm settled on this WC team.

  16. ILOVEBAPS
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Is Robertson still a good pick?
    Have 5m to spend on a def if not... any better options?

    a. A second Lei def
    b. A second Bur def (shed Gundy)
    c. Get a Swan or other GW 37 def?

    1. Kasparov
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      I was sad to drop Robertson. Despite good fixtures, he's possibly dropped this week (going by leaked team sheet), only a single game next week. Without really looking at 35 onward (where I'll be using FH), I think there are better options, at least in the immediate term.

      FWIW I think I'm going with 2 LEI def.

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 20 days ago

        Thanks K! I was thinking of lei but not sure. Maybe Bur!

  17. Maddamotha
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    If Liverpool lose this game, the top 4 will be very close again, now that Liverpool has a 8 point gap to Chelsea at #5, but Chelsea has one less game played. So if they lose to day, and Chelsea win both their games, there will only be a 2 point difference. People here talking like its all wrapped up, and Salah will get rested for the rest of the season... Do we really think Klopp will gamble that much, and bench "everyone" for the city game? I expected Firmino to start, considering he was taken off at 70min at wednesday.

    1. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      10 point gap not 8.

    2. lugs
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Klopp could make 11 changes against Everton and still get a result

      1. Salarrivederci
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 20 days ago

        Has Solanke even scored since he moved up from U/21 ?

        If Ings and/or Solanke scores and Everton loses Klopp is class! But with the leaked lineup I do't see Pool taking 3 points today.

      2. Naboo
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 20 days ago

        Could also make none and lose

  18. Carcetti
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Firmino to Kane (-4)??

    1. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Yes!

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Yes

    3. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Yes

    4. Kasparov
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Yup.

  19. KenyaDigIt
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Thoughts on Ramsey starting? Playing until the end of season....

  20. #FPLBhuna
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Bottomed

    Really need some advice with what to do here re. Salah (already on -4)

    Lloris
    Maguire - Smalling - Robertson
    Salah - Mahrez - Mili - Zaha
    Kane(c) - Lukaku - Vardy
    Bench: Elliot - Keane - mcarthur - Kenny

  21. BBC_TF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Is it a good idea to double up on Burnley’s defence?

    Or should I diversify and get Fernandez/Van de Hoorn instead who have a good GW34 and a DGW37?

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Double up is fine

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Thinking the same but it limits the BB now

  22. Winks Club
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Ibe or Lowton to start?

    1. BBC_TF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Ibe

    2. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Ibe

  23. GreenArrows
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    gtg? Barnes over Lowton to cover Salah

    Ryan
    Azpi Mustafi Morgan
    Salah Son Mahrez Willian Gross
    Auba (C) Vardy

    DDG Barnes Lowton Smalling

    1FT 0.7itb

    1. Jaok
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      gtg

  24. Zilla
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Haz shot 2 shots only during the last four GWs! Not the most interesting stat obviously but I definitely thought he has done a bit better than this.

  25. Aladdin Sané
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Play DDG or Ryan? Have Dunk

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Ryan

    2. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      ryan

    3. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Man City have only failed to score in four games all season. Three of those were away from home.

      CPL away in the PL (0-0)
      Wigan away in the FA Cup (1-0)
      Wolves home in the EFL Cup (0-0) - played a weak team in this game
      Liverpool away in the CL (3-0)

  26. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    play 3 out of these 4 please?

    a. Lowton
    b. Ota
    c. Mustafi
    d.Morgan

    Cheers

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Bench Lowton imo

  27. Jaok
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    wc gtg?

    Ryan
    Dunk Christensen Chilwell
    Salah* Willian Mahrez Son Gross
    Auba (C) Kane

    DDG Morgan Lowton Barnes
    Auba -> Kaku34

    1. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      yes. Why not bench Salah?

      1. Jaok
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 20 days ago

        I hope everything is wrong and he plays ^^

  28. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    g2g?
    Ryan
    Alonso Chilwell Morgan Lowton
    Mahrez Son Willian
    Kane Auba(C) Barnes

    DDG Salah Robertson L.Cook.

    1. Jaok
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      gtg!

  29. Bruno Bruno!!
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    WC GTG ?

    Ryan
    Mustafi Vertonghen Lowton Christensen
    Mahrez Alli Willian
    Kane Aubameyang Barnes

    DDG Morgan Lingard Gudmundsson

    1. Jaok
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      gtg

  30. Weeb Kakashi
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 20 days ago

    Who is more safer to start both dgw games?

    Alonso OR Hazard

    1. GreenArrows
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 20 days ago

      Hazard