Spot the Differential
7 April 2018 2250 comments
James H James H
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Two of our Gameweek 32 selections got on the scoresheet and weโ€™re hoping our latest trio of differentials can continue in a similar vein this weekend.

This time around, weโ€™ve opted for one premium and two cut-price midfielders to hopefully take advantage of favourable home fixtures.

Eden Hazard

While he was bitterly disappointing in the 3-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, Chelseaโ€™s Eden Hazard remains a powerful differential option.

The 6.9%-owned Belgian faces a promising home match-up with West Ham United this weekend.

David Moyesโ€™ side have conceded 11 goals on their last three road trips, while only Stoke City (117) have given up more shots than the Hammers (115) over the last six away matches.

Although Hazard has only produced a single assist from his last four appearances, he has faced both Manchester sides as well as Spurs over that spell.

Despite that, he has impressively created more chances (16) than any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) midfielder over the four matches.

He has also enjoyed recent success against the Hammers, scoring in two of his last three league outings against the east London club, including in the corresponding fixture last season.

Priced at 10.6 in FPL, Hazard is something of a luxury item.

However, he has still produced 11 goals and five assists this season and has registered six double-digit hauls, all coming since Gameweek 10.

With two Double Gameweeks (sot bur, LIV HUD) to come in a favourable run-in, he could prove to be a stand-out differential over the remaining six Gameweeks, starting on Sunday.

Jordon Ibe

With Junior Stanislas suffering a season-ending knee injury, Bournemouthโ€™s Jordon Ibe looks to have the platform to finish the campaign strongly.

The winger registered a 10-point haul in the 2-1 victory over West Bromwich Albion in Gameweek 31 and has produced a respectable two goals and six assists from just 19 starts overall.

The primary factor behind the midfielderโ€™s appeal is his 4.7 price tag in FPL, making him an effective enabler.

Ibeโ€™s underlying statistics also provide further room for optimism.

He is second to only Stanislas (11) among Bournemouth players for shots over the last three Gameweeks, with six, while he has registered more crosses (11) than any team-mate over that period.

The Cherries face a favourable home fixture against Crystal Palace this afternoon.

Roy Hodgsonโ€™s side are second to only Stoke City (75) for shots conceded over the last four matches, with 66.

Ibeโ€™s prospects are also boosted by the fact Bournemouth play twice in Double Gameweek 34, albeit involving a daunting trip to his former club Liverpool and a home clash against Manchester United.

The wide man is definitely a viable alternative to Newcastle Unitedโ€™s Kenedy in the budget bracket and offers an obvious upgrade for later in the season, when Bournemouth’s schedule (sot SWA bur) compares favourably to the Magpies’ (wat tot CHE).

Sat in only 1.4% of FPL squads, Ibe looks a viable short-term differential given he now looks assured of starts.

Alex Iwobi

Another midfielder who looks set to benefit from an injury is Arsenalโ€™s Alex Iwobi.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan was forced off with a knee injury in the 4-1 win over CSKA Moscow in Thursday’s UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg, and there are fears he has damaged a medial ligament.

The Gunners will be full of confidence following Thursday nightโ€™s emphatic victory and entertain struggling Southampton at the Emirates tomorrow.

The Saints suffered a dismal 3-0 defeat to West Ham last weekend and also lost 3-0 at Newcastle in their previous league encounter.

In Mkhitaryanโ€™s absence, Iwobi should gain regular starts in the league while Arsenal are still in the Europa League, starting with tomorrowโ€™s fixture.

Despite only managing two goals and three assists, the Nigerianโ€™s underlying statistics suggest he has the potential to improve his output.

He has averaged a shot every 36 minutes, which is tied with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and superior to both Mkhitaryan (55.2) and Mesut Ozil (55.5).

Iwobi also impresses when assessing his creativity.

The 0.7%-owned midfielder has created a chance every 50 minutes, which is only bettered by Ozil and Mkhitaryan among Arsenal players.

During his last run of starts โ€“ between Gameweeks 23 and 26 โ€“ he registered a goal and two assists. Those four matches were his best run in the starting XI this season.

Available at just 5.1 in FPL, Iwobi is another interesting cut-price contender who can prove to be a real difference maker for those managers prepared to take a risk as we approach the final month.

  1. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    a) Vert + Hazard + Barnes

    b) Alonso + Eriksen + Barnes

    c) Vert + King + Auba (-> Lukaku GW34)

    Would bench Barnes this week in A/B, bench King with C

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Also, already have Son and Kane so b is for triple spurs attack

    2. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

    3. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

    4. Red Rock
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      B, triple Spurs is a good shout, Alonso offers more than Vert

    5. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Thanks guys. Could also go 4.4 def (not Burnley/Leicester) + Lingard + Auba/Lukaku as an option d)

    6. LÖrKingMuch
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      C breaks the mould a bit, could work well

  2. #FPLBhuna
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    ..
    Really need some advice with what to do here re. Salah (already on -4)

    Lloris
    Maguire - Smalling - Robertson
    Salah - Mahrez - Mili - Zaha
    Kane(c) - Lukaku - Vardy
    Bench: Elliot - Keane - mcarthur - Kenny

    1. LÖrKingMuch
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Step away from keyboard, breathe, and just leave Salah in is what I've done. You have a bench.

  3. Weeb Kakashi
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    WHo is more safer to start both dgw games?
    Alonso OR Hazard ? ?

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Haz imo

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Alonso

    3. LÖrKingMuch
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Alonso probably

  4. The_FF_King
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Should I go Morgan over Chilwell?

    1. Dokdok666
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      yes he is nailed

      1. The_FF_King
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks ๐Ÿ™‚

  5. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Safe to bench Salah?

    1. The_FF_King
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      May as well start him

  6. Ask Yourself
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Alli (C) anyone?

  7. Sol
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    WC GTG ?
    Loris Rayan
    Smalling Lowton Chilwell Morgon Alonso
    Willians Grob lingard Son Mahrez
    Auba Kane Barnes

    Cheers

  8. Moves like Dejagah
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Is Son nailed for today?

    1. Pieterke30
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      90%

    2. COLLIN QUANER
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      87.6%

  9. Stats Don\'t Lie
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Bench one:

    A)ddg
    B)fab

    1)morgan
    2)fernandez

    X)Albrighton
    Y)Kenedy

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Did you know that Man City have only failed to score in four games all season. Three of those were away from home.

      CPL away in the PL (0-0)
      Wigan away in the FA Cup (1-0)
      Wolves home in the EFL Cup (0-0) - played a weak team in this game
      Liverpool away in the CL (3-0)

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      B2Y

      help me below lad

  10. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    bottomed
    play 3 out of these 4 please?

    a. Lowton
    b. Ota
    c. Mustafi
    d.Morgan

    Cheers

    1. LFC4EVER
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      a c d

    2. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      b,c,d

    3. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Acd

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        thanks lads

        ACD it is!

    4. Sigurd's Son
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Still don't rate Leicester's defence all that much:

      ABC

  11. DV8R
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Is this worth a -4?

    Vardy + Salah -> Kane + Gross

    1. Lukakwho
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

  12. LFC4EVER
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Need youre help!

    Pope - Hennessey
    Alonso - B Davies - Chilwll - Robertson - Keane
    Salah - Mahrez - Sterling - Mkhitaryan - Ibe
    Aubameyang - Firmino - Barnes
    0.1 itb

    What should I do? No WC or Fh.. How much of a hit should i take? Should i try to ger Kane, and lose Alonso, miky and Sterling?

    I could go :
    Alonso -> Marippa
    Miky+Sterling --> Willian + Milivojevic
    Barnes -> Kane

    If I'm not going big - who is the best straight up replacement for miky?

  13. Babyangus01
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Ryan, Dunk, DDG, Smalling. Which 2?

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      You know Man City have only failed to score in four games all season. Three of those were away from home.

      CPL away in the PL (0-0)
      Wigan away in the FA Cup (1-0)
      Wolves home in the EFL Cup (0-0) - played a weak team in this game
      Liverpool away in the CL (3-0)

      1. Ten Season Wonder
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        But DDG could rack up the save points

    2. Ten Season Wonder
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      DDG & Dunk

  14. Ten Season Wonder
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Lowton or Barnes first sub?

    1. The_FF_King
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Barnes

    2. LFC4EVER
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Barnes imo - he is in great form

  15. ignis88
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Which one would you go for?

    A) Lukaku, Alli, Gudmundsson, Alonso

    B) Firmino, Sánchez, Willian, Monreal

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

  16. Red Rock
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    WC, got all chips left: BB34, FH35, TC37. How is she looking?

    Ryan
    Alonso Davies Chilwell
    Son Mahrez Willian Gross Lingard
    (K)ane Auba

    DDG Barnes Lowton Kiko

    £1.5m in the bank for Auba > Lukaku, unsure whether i should use the £0.5m to upgrade somewhere? Defence?

  17. Hart-ake
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Leaked Lpool team news?

    1. Lukakwho
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      No Salah or Bobby

  18. TaiwanHC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Bench one:

    A. Morgan
    B. Dunk
    C. Barnes

    Thanks guys!

  19. Gruu
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    GTG? hit me please

    Ryan
    Christensen, Lowton, Mustafi
    Salah, Mahrez, Son, Willian, Gross
    Kane, Auba

    (DDG, Barnes, Mariappa, Tarkowsky)
    -4, 0.2itb

  20. Ten Season Wonder
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    DDG over Ryan for me this GW. I am playing Lewis Dunk so he covers my Brighton def.

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Interestingly Man City have only failed to score in four games all season. Three of those were away from home.

      CPL away in the PL (0-0)
      Wigan away in the FA Cup (1-0)
      Wolves home in the EFL Cup (0-0) - played a weak team in this game
      Liverpool away in the CL (3-0)

    2. The_FF_King
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I’m going DDG.
      I have a feeling Mourinho will do a job today

  21. DeadStarComing
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Start Tarkowski or Lowton? Seems that Lowton has more chance of getting something positive but has no goal threat. Tarkowski I guess always has a chance from a corner.

    1. Little Frank
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Lowton has had two assists in his last 6 games and has created several other chances so go with him.

  22. Delph & Safety
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    I really want to play Kiko as I got his goal last week, but I don’t think I can bench anyone else for him.

    Ryan
    Alonso Maguire Mustafi
    Salah Mahrez Son Willian Groß
    Aubameyang Vardy

    De Gea Barnes Kiko Tarkowski

  23. seanie3
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Why are people saying salah won't play gw34?

    This gw yes I appreciate he won't be risked but why 34 against BOU?

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      They are trying to justify selling him

      1. *Reformed-Character*
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        No they're being realistic rover

        1. seanie3
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Please explain why he won't play gw34 if he misses gw33 through precaution? The semi final isn't for a couple of weeks after bou

    2. Salarrivederci
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      What if he plays slightly injured against City? Just what if? Then he would need to be rested next week too.

  24. Sotamendi84
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Start salah or Barnes?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Salah

  25. King Kun Ta
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Please RMWCT....

    Currently 18th in my ML and the top ten players will win an amount on moneyyyy!

    Ryan (Pope)
    Chilwell Mee Christensen Monreal (Smalling)
    Mahrez Son Willian Gross (Lingard)
    Kane (C) Barnes (Lukaku)

    FH allready played, so i want to save FT’s for the blanks GW. BB next week! G2G?

    Cheers lads and GL y’all!

  26. Evasivo
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Salah to troll everyone and get a brace ๐Ÿ˜‰

    1. *Reformed-Character*
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      From his armchair ?

  27. TaiwanHC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Bench one:

    A. De Gea
    B. Hennessey

    Thanks guys!

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I see Man City have only failed to score in four games all season. Three of those were away from home.

      CPL away in the PL (0-0)
      Wigan away in the FA Cup (1-0)
      Wolves home in the EFL Cup (0-0) - played a weak team in this game
      Liverpool away in the CL (3-0)

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      same issue here mate... ๐Ÿ™

  28. McSauce
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Captain Choice;

    Kane or Aubameyang?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Either. Not much between them.

    2. lugs
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Kane , as i'm worried about the amount of changes Arsenal will make , worst case scenario is Laca playing through the middle with Auba out wide

  29. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Sold Mane and keep Bobby yesterday ๐Ÿ˜Ž

    #nugget

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      RIP

  30. CRO KLOPP
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Barnes or Morgan first sub?