Spot the Differential
7 April 2018 2250 comments
James H James H
Share:

Two of our Gameweek 32 selections got on the scoresheet and we’re hoping our latest trio of differentials can continue in a similar vein this weekend.

This time around, we’ve opted for one premium and two cut-price midfielders to hopefully take advantage of favourable home fixtures.

Eden Hazard

While he was bitterly disappointing in the 3-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea’s Eden Hazard remains a powerful differential option.

The 6.9%-owned Belgian faces a promising home match-up with West Ham United this weekend.

David Moyes’ side have conceded 11 goals on their last three road trips, while only Stoke City (117) have given up more shots than the Hammers (115) over the last six away matches.

Although Hazard has only produced a single assist from his last four appearances, he has faced both Manchester sides as well as Spurs over that spell.

Despite that, he has impressively created more chances (16) than any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) midfielder over the four matches.

He has also enjoyed recent success against the Hammers, scoring in two of his last three league outings against the east London club, including in the corresponding fixture last season.

Priced at 10.6 in FPL, Hazard is something of a luxury item.

However, he has still produced 11 goals and five assists this season and has registered six double-digit hauls, all coming since Gameweek 10.

With two Double Gameweeks (sot bur, LIV HUD) to come in a favourable run-in, he could prove to be a stand-out differential over the remaining six Gameweeks, starting on Sunday.

Jordon Ibe

With Junior Stanislas suffering a season-ending knee injury, Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe looks to have the platform to finish the campaign strongly.

The winger registered a 10-point haul in the 2-1 victory over West Bromwich Albion in Gameweek 31 and has produced a respectable two goals and six assists from just 19 starts overall.

The primary factor behind the midfielder’s appeal is his 4.7 price tag in FPL, making him an effective enabler.

Ibe’s underlying statistics also provide further room for optimism.

He is second to only Stanislas (11) among Bournemouth players for shots over the last three Gameweeks, with six, while he has registered more crosses (11) than any team-mate over that period.

The Cherries face a favourable home fixture against Crystal Palace this afternoon.

Roy Hodgson’s side are second to only Stoke City (75) for shots conceded over the last four matches, with 66.

Ibe’s prospects are also boosted by the fact Bournemouth play twice in Double Gameweek 34, albeit involving a daunting trip to his former club Liverpool and a home clash against Manchester United.

The wide man is definitely a viable alternative to Newcastle United’s Kenedy in the budget bracket and offers an obvious upgrade for later in the season, when Bournemouth’s schedule (sot SWA bur) compares favourably to the Magpies’ (wat tot CHE).

Sat in only 1.4% of FPL squads, Ibe looks a viable short-term differential given he now looks assured of starts.

Alex Iwobi

Another midfielder who looks set to benefit from an injury is Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan was forced off with a knee injury in the 4-1 win over CSKA Moscow in Thursday’s UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg, and there are fears he has damaged a medial ligament.

The Gunners will be full of confidence following Thursday night’s emphatic victory and entertain struggling Southampton at the Emirates tomorrow.

The Saints suffered a dismal 3-0 defeat to West Ham last weekend and also lost 3-0 at Newcastle in their previous league encounter.

In Mkhitaryan’s absence, Iwobi should gain regular starts in the league while Arsenal are still in the Europa League, starting with tomorrow’s fixture.

Despite only managing two goals and three assists, the Nigerian’s underlying statistics suggest he has the potential to improve his output.

He has averaged a shot every 36 minutes, which is tied with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and superior to both Mkhitaryan (55.2) and Mesut Ozil (55.5).

Iwobi also impresses when assessing his creativity.

The 0.7%-owned midfielder has created a chance every 50 minutes, which is only bettered by Ozil and Mkhitaryan among Arsenal players.

During his last run of starts – between Gameweeks 23 and 26 – he registered a goal and two assists. Those four matches were his best run in the starting XI this season.

Available at just 5.1 in FPL, Iwobi is another interesting cut-price contender who can prove to be a real difference maker for those managers prepared to take a risk as we approach the final month.

  1. alfast1c
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Lukaku >> Kane for -4pts?

    1. Pi
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Stone might play leaking load of goals.
      I am playing Lukaku

      1. alfast1c
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        agree

    2. TaiwanHC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      no

    3. Ikey Warrior
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Not for a hit IMO based on next week's fixtures.

  2. JRO093
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Which order would you play/bench these:
    A) Tark
    B) Mariappa
    C) Lowton
    D) Lingard

    Currently have them in that order, with Tark playing and the rest on bench (Mariappa first to not get Burnley double-up, then Lowton, etc.)

    1. Ikey Warrior
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      ABDC

      1. AgentRed
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        ADBC

    2. Red Rock
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Why are you playing Tark ahead of Lowton? Just curious as Lowton gets forward more

      Bench: Lingard, Mariapa, Tark

      1. JRO093
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        I don’t really know... Lowton does get forward more but I guess I was banking on Tark playing 90 whereas with Lowton I don’t know..?

  3. Ikey Warrior
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Start Barnes (wat) or Morgan (NEW)?

    1. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Barnes

    2. TaiwanHC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Considering the same. Currently on Morgan. Please keep me updated.

    3. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Always the attacker

    4. Ikey Warrior
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Cheers gents. Been on Barnes from the start, but got jumpy. Gonna stick.

  4. Trane84
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Gah my comment keeps getting lost I need some help

    Which 2 of the following should I start today?

    Kiko / Chilwell / Barnes

    1. Ikey Warrior
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I've got a similar dilemma. I would start Kiko as he's playing further forward, plus he can still get his clean sheet.

      Stuck between Barnes and Chilwell.

  5. Punty McPuntface
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Struggling with the Ryan or DDG choice...

    City will score yeah?

    1. Trane84
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I have both but definitely starting Ryan this week. HUD home is a plum fixture currently.

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      They sure will!

    3. Ikey Warrior
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Ryan

    4. JurgenRocks
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Ryan for me. I think City will score

    5. Punty McPuntface
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Thanks all. Been on Ryan all week and need to stick!

  6. ILOVEBAPS
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Double Lei or double Bur defence better?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Essentially Morgan or Tarkowski?

      1. Jaok
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        I think Morgan, better fixtures if your BB in 34

    2. Ikey Warrior
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I wouldn't double up on either.

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Or I could go Van de Hoorn?

        1. Ikey Warrior
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          If you've only got 4.5 to spend, then I would actually double up. Morgan if you would play him in GW37, otherwise Tarkowski.

  7. #FPLBhuna
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Gtg?

    Lloris
    Smalling - Maguire - Robertson
    Mahrez - Alli - Zaha - Mili
    Kane(c) - Lukaku - Vardy

    Bench: Elliot - Keane - mcarthur - kenny

    1. JurgenRocks
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Yes, that looks good. You have a lot of CP players.
      Can you look at my team too?

      Ryan,
      Alonso, Duffy, Morgan,
      Eriksen (vc), Gross, Mahrez, Salah,
      Barnes, Lukaku, Auba (C)

      DDG, Mee, Cork, Cedric

      Not sure about whether to put Mee or Cork first on my bench. Salah might not play, so good to think about.

      1. #FPLBhuna
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        I’d be tempted to bin Salah personally to Haz or someone if you can afford.

        Unlikely he will play and mee is also a concern and the rest of the bench are not appealing

    2. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Yeah mate.

  8. Weeb Kakashi
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Best Captain option

    A Hazard
    B Aubamayeng
    C Mahrez

    1. DR0GBA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I have all 3 and think B is the safest option, Hazard a decent punt

    2. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      B

    3. JurgenRocks
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      B

    4. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

  9. Naboo
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Barnes or Morgan first on bench (starting Salah)?

    1. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Lei 42% chance of CS according to bookies

    2. GreenArrows
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Morgan, I’m playing him over Lowton and Smalling

    3. JurgenRocks
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Morgan

    4. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Barnes of course

  10. TaiwanHC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    GTG?

    Hennessey
    Alonso - Mustafi - Morgan - Dunk
    Eriksen - Mahrez - Willian - Gross
    Lukaku - Aubameyang

    De Gea, Barnes, Lowton, Stanislas

    Thanks guys!

  11. Thiga
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Can't decide between Alli and Son. Help!

    1. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Alli if you can afford

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Son.

    3. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Son

    4. FPL Maldini
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      For me it goes

      Kane > Eriksen > Son > Alli

    5. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Thanks so much guys. Son it is

  12. Pi
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Leading most leagues
    Who should I choose as (C)?
    Cheers

    Salah Mahrez Son Willian
    Murray Firmino Lukaku

    1. Lukakwho
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Mahrez or bring in Kane and Captain

    2. GreenArrows
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Mahrez

    3. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Son or Willian

  13. GreenArrows
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Barnes or Lowton first on bench to cover Salah...

    1. Jaok
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Im going Barnes

    2. Lizardprime
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I've gone back and forth a couple of times but I think I'll stick with Barnes

  14. THEKID_88
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    With Firminio not in the leaked line up this week what do you think of this for a -4?

    Salah> Arnie & Firminio > Kane

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

  15. trinzoo
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    DDG / Ryan
    Alonso / Verto / Small / Chilwell / Lowton
    Mahrez / Son / Willian / Gross / Ibe
    Kane / Kaku / Barnes

    0.3 ITB

    Please RMWCT

    1. seanie3
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      What are your Plans to bring salah back and for when?

      1. trinzoo
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        35 on FH, then we will see...

  16. seanie3
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Regarding salah and Kane, the way I see it is salah won't be risked at all today. He will play against city and BOU next week, however not sure on how many mins

    Kane will start today why wouldn't he? Played nearly 20 mins against Chelsea and has trained hard and fine all week this week? He will start today no doubt about it

    1. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Kane will start and blank.

      Salah will either not play or get final 10-15 if fit enough and Liv in trouble. Most likely I'd get won't play. But next week can see him out scoring many of the DGWers even with just 60 mins

  17. DV8R
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Which is a better option?

    A) Salah -> Alli (FT)
    B) Vardy + Salah -> Kane + Gross (-4)

    A means no Kane for DGW.

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

  18. J T
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Not really up to date but I’ve just done my WC in 5 mins, how’s it look?

    Pope
    Davies Mustafi Rüdiger
    Son Mahrez Gross Sterling
    Vardy Auba Firmino

    Ddg Kenedy Robertson Tark

    No FH left.

    1. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Heaton in contention apparently

      1. J T
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Ok cheers

    2. Lukakwho
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      All 3 of your defenders aren’t nailed, you have to rethink that

      1. J T
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Davies has served my very well so he stays.
        Mustafi looks nailed
        Rüdiger doesn’t miss many and Christensen trolled me bad. Can’t afford the wingbacks.
        Robertson has served me very well he stays.

    3. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Would get rid of Sterling, Firmino and Rudiger for better players/players with a DGW34

      1. J T
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        I have no FH so have to be mindful of the blank gw

        1. AgentRed
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Fair enough, still not sure about the Rudiger pick

          1. J T
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Me either but Christensen trolled me really bad and can’t afford wingbacks

    4. seanie3
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      What are your Plans to bring salah back

      1. J T
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Sterling + 2nd keeper >

    5. Trane84
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Get a Burnley def rather than keeper and bring Ryan in. You could also have Kane instead of Firmino if you downgrade Vardy. Leicester def is a good shout with their run in too.

      1. J T
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Thx will do this.

  19. Squib
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Need some serious help here gents.
    Just under 40 points clear in my mini league. No WC or FH left. But got BB and TC.
    Team is a shambles and not equipped for next double game week or the week after that. Bench is woeful. What should I do?
    Pickford/Adrian
    Otamendi/Robertson/Hegazi/Bard-sley/Martina
    Salah/De Bruyne/Mahrez/Doucoure/Carrol/
    Auba/Firmino/Benteke

    Benteke got to go. Thinking Vardy.
    Do I take a hit/hits?
    Kane necessary now?
    What are people's thoughts?
    Thanks

    1. Lukakwho
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      How much ITB and any FT’s?

      1. Squib
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        1.2 in bank. 1 FT

  20. XabiAlonso
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Alonso and barnes or Christensen and king

    1. Peace-o
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I went Christensen due to Alonso current form, is he worth the premium with the form he is in?

      1. Peace-o
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        So Christensen and Barnes

    2. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Alonso and Barnes

    3. DR0GBA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Alonso could have had a couple against Spurs in the first half, don't be surprised if he returns attacking points in the next 3

    4. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A everyday

    5. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Cheers folks

  21. Peace-o
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    GTG?

    Ryan
    Christensen, Chilwell, Vertonghen
    Gross, Willian, Mahrez (vc), Son
    Vardy, Auba (c), Barnes

    De Gea, Lowton, Smalling, Gudmundsson

    1. Trane84
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      GTG

  22. Den
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    What is the leaked Liverpool news then? Does anyone have an update?

    1. Lukakwho
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      No bobby, no salah no Robertson no VDK

  23. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Captain
    A) Kane
    B) Auba

  24. Red Rock
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    5th defender, on a WC, currently doubling up on Burnley with Tark/Lowton.

    Should i swap one out? Thinking Kiko OOP, but should i focus on Swansea with their double later on?

  25. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Really struggling between Kane and Auba captain.

    Both fantastic options

  26. Point-one short
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Ryan(HUD)
    Alonso(WHU), Vertonghen(stk), morgan(NEW), Lowton(wat)
    Mahrez(NEW), Willian(WHU), Son(stk),
    Auba(c, SOU), Vardy(NEW), Barnes(wat)

    DdG| Salah, Mkhi, Smalling
    1FT, 0.3ITB

    GTG? Or use FT this week?

    1. UshFPL
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Start Salah just in case. If he doesn't play he'll be autosubbed

  27. Bayas'ed
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Somewhat different WC team.

    DDG Hennessey
    Mustafi Lowton Kiko Morgan Christensen
    Sanchez Alli Willian Albrighton Gudmundsson
    Kane Auba Austin

    Any suggestions?

    1. JurgenRocks
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Austin doesn't play every week. I would go for a different cheap striker. Not sure about Albrighton either. The rest of the team looks good though.

  28. JurgenRocks
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    G2G?

    Ryan,
    Alonso, Duffy, Morgan,
    Eriksen (vc), Gross, Mahrez, Salah,
    Barnes, Lukaku, Auba (C)

    DDG, Mee, Cork, Cedric

    Not sure about whether to put Mee or Cork first on my bench. Salah might not play, so good to think about.

  29. Waynoo
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    im going to captain Vardy, there i said it

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Gd move

  30. Frank Koscielny
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    I’m thinking Salah has to go, but not sure whether I should downgrade him this week or save the FT. Every point counts at this point and I’ve got Smalling coming off the bench.. What have you guys done/what would you recommend I do?

    1. JurgenRocks
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I've kept Salah, he's still 75% and I want to save the transfer for next week in case of more injures or red cards.