Scout Notes
8 April 2018 3467 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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A favoured Gameweek 33 captaincy pick finally brings in some points as Arsenal scraped past a battling Southampton 3-2 at the Emirates Stadium.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang was the weekend’s fourth most backed player with the armband as 7.9% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers hoped for another haul from the Gunners striker.

He duly delivered, scoring for a fourth successive match, after the Gameweek’s more popular captains either didn’t play, in the case of top pick Mohamed Salah (20.95%), or blanked, as befell Harry Kane (15.96%) and Romelu Lukaku (11.38%).

Tellingly, Aubameyang was the captain of choice for 56 of FPL’s top 100 managers.

More than 178,000 new owners also made him the second most purchased player of Gameweek 33 and he now has six goals and an assist from his seven Arsenal appearances, all of which have involved a full 90 minutes of action.

Until today, that is, when coach Arsene Wenger decided to replace him after 70 minutes – an unexpected turn of events considering the striker is ineligible for the Europa League trip to Moscow on Thursday.

As the match opened up in the latter stages, it was left to Danny Welbeck to exploit Southampton’s plentiful defensive weaknesses, with Aubameyang’s 14.5% ownership left to wonder what might have been had their man remained on the pitch.

Those owners now face a dilemma.

Aubameyang has no Double Gameweek 34, unlike Kane, Lukaku and Jamie Vardy, and his single fixture involves a trip to Newcastle, who have conceded just twice in their last six home matches.

Those with the Free Hit chip to employ can chop and change at will to bring in the likes of Aubameyang, who will host West Ham, for the reduced Gameweek 35 slate.

Those without the chip who have benefited from Aubameyang’s recent form will have to weigh up the potential of Kane and Lukaku in Gameweek 34, against their missing fixture to follow.

Aubameyang went into the match as the third most sold player ahead of next Saturday’s deadline with over 16,000 transfers in the last 24-hours. That remains the case after today’s points but the exodus has clearly slowed with the striker also Arsenal’s most popular target for transfers in.

Wenger rotates freely

As expected, the Gunners’ second leg of their Europa League quarter-final on Thursday was uppermost in the mind of Wenger.

He made seven changes to the side that won the first leg 4-1, with only one of those an enforced one.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan missed out, with Wenger confirming the extent of the midfielder’s problem post-match.

“Mkhitaryan has a medial knee ligament damage. He will not be available for Thursday, or Newcastle, or the week after. He could still play at the end of the season.”

The 8.8%-owned Armenian had already been sold on by 201,000+ owners ahead of Gameweek 33 and many more will now surely follow that lead.

But the market in Aaron Ramsey was a buyer’s one – he was brought in by 70,000+ – only for the Welsh international to be rested for the third time in four Gameweeks, while centre-half Laurent Koscielny was kept back for a third successive league match.

Nacho Monreal was another, perhaps more unpredictable absentee; the left-back was rested to the bench as Sead Kolasinac got the nod.

Monreal had been brought in by 44,000+ ahead of Saturday’s deadline with an ownership hike of 98,000+ over the last two Gameweeks.

As anticipated, while Arsenal’s European campaign remains afloat, he and Koscielny will have their minutes managed. That should continue to benefit Shkodran Mustafi who made his 13th successive start on Sunday. Calum Chambers – priced at just 4.7 – has also started three of the last four Gameweeks.

Even the previously undroppable Mesut Ozil missed his first match since Gameweek 23 and should Arsenal complete the European job on Thursday, we can perhaps expect more of the same for the semi-final, which takes place on April 26 and May 3.

Gameweek 35’s home fixture with West Ham precedes the tie and they’ll be away at Man United between the two legs.

Double Gameweek 37 then follows, with a home match against Burnley just two days after the second leg and a trip to Leicester City on the Wednesday making it six fixtures in a fortnight for the Gunners.

And if they were to make the final, that takes place on Wednesday, May 16 – just three days after their final fixture of the season away at Huddersfield.

All of that means Arsenal’s budget-friendly options could flourish for a schedule (new WHU mun BUR lei HUD) that still offers some attractive match-ups.

Welbeck (7.3) did his cause no harm with two goals, an assist and maximum bonus for a season-best 16 points against the Saints.

They were his first returns since Gameweek 4, and it could have been even better had he not contrived to miss a huge chance to complete his hat-trick.

Differential pick Alex Iwobi (5.1) supplied two assists and could also profit from a run of starts if progress in Europe continues, particularly as competition for midfield slots is reduced by Mkhitaryan’s injury and a three-match ban for Mohamed Elneny, who was sent off in Sunday’s victory.

Saints’ glimmer of hope

Mark Hughes ditched the 4-4-2 formation he’d employed in his first two matches in charge of Southampton, switching to a 3-4-2-1 in which Dusan Tadic and James Ward-Prowse operated behind lone striker Shane Long.

That meant Charlie Austin dropped to the bench as the more mobile Long scored for only the second time in the league all season.

Post-match, Hughes gave this explanation behind his selection in attack…

“Our approach to the game initially didn’t suit Charlie, but it was always my intention to bring him off the bench. We went for Shane because he’s the best at stretching the play and working backwards but with Charlie, you know he will get scoring chances, he comes alive in the box.”

As it transpired, Long limped off with an ankle issue late on, while Austin did his claims for an immediate recall for the Double Gameweek (CHE lei) no harm by scoring just seconds after coming on in the 72nd minute.

Among forwards with more than one goal, Austin is second only to Sergio Aguero for minutes per goal (100 to 93.8).

The wing-back system employed by Hughes also boosted the cause of Cedric Soares, who provided both assists, but a late sending off for Jack Stephens could have ramifications for the plans of both Hughes and Fantasy managers.

The Saints aren’t exactly blessed with options at centre-half, so the defender’s three-match ban could scupper Hughes’ new system almost before it’s started.

And FPL owners who were considering Stephens (4.5) as a cheap Bench Boost option for Southampton’s double-header will now have to think again.

The centre-back misses only two league matches – his ban will also take in the side’s FA Cup semi-final – so he’ll be back for Gameweek 36 as the Saints do not feature in the preceding round of fixtures.

Then again, investment in Southampton defenders is not exactly a major priority – they’ve conceded three goals in both league matches since Hughes took charge.

  1. FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Any idea on LMS safety score? Can't load the TM website at work

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Was 34

      1. FPL ZB
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        thanks! I'm still clinging on somehow

        1. Ask Yourself
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          Impressive that anyone’s still in it the way this season’s gone 🙂

  2. Z3US
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    What to do.... Have 2FT - using FH in 35 so need to use both those up rather than waste them. 0.1 ITB

    BB in 34 -

    DDG - Ryan
    Alonso - Lowton - Morgan - Kiko - Bailly
    Willian - Salah - Mahrez - Son - Kante
    Kaku (c) - Auba - Murray

    Thinking 2 Ft - Auba + Kiko --> Vardy + Tark .... Gives me 14 players (+ Salah) on BB.
    Will allow me to do Kaku to Kane in 36.

    Thoughts / suggestions etc all very welcome pls.

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Good idea

  3. pol
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Any Kenedy replacement for 5.9 worth -4? (DGW player)

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      You could go Kante or Matic and hope for the best from two starts 🙂

    2. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      What about Albrighton?

  4. GoonerByron
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    How does this first draft FH DGW34 team look? All DGWers in first 11..

    Courtois
    Azpi - Smalling - Simpson
    Sanchez (c) - Mahrez - Alli - Lingard
    Kane - Vardy - Wood

    Nordfelt - Romeu - Goldson - Rangel

    0.0 ITB

    1. Gonna mesut up
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I would like it if i wasnt stuck in my fh35 situation. Sanchez over Kaku is the right decision in my book.

  5. GreenArrows
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Is Eriksen and Son overkill? Dont want Kane until GW36

    1. Gonna mesut up
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I think it works, both in form and could be a decent differential vs Kane. I would back them to score more than Kane myself.

  6. Gonna mesut up
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Okay, so if Liverpool make it through they will have games either side of their westbrom and stoke games. Salah could feasibly be rested for both of them with a most possible bench situation for both right?

    With no dgws unlike some teams that have two. Not mental to ditch in my opinion, talking about an extra two games and extra funds with someone else. Or is this a little too easy simplistic?

    And yes, I have been paying attention, he is a very good player in great form, duly noted 🙂

    1. @fpl_phenom
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      we should know if Salah starts v Bournemouth before deadline on Saturday via leaked line-up...

      If he starts you definitely want him in your team... if not easy switch to the likes of eriksen

      Next week is BGW35 , better to have the cheaper Salah in for this when Free Hitting.

      GW36 you can transfer him to eriksen or downgrade to fodder to afford another premium DGW37 Striker.

      1. Gonna mesut up
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        I think Im most curious about the gw 35 match tbh, no one has a crystal ball but if he is looking likely to be benched with other games in mind then thats what I imagine to be the main factor on whether it is worth it. Still a good point about the funds for next week though 🙂

      2. Cojones of Destiny
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        can i get a link to this leaked line up pls

        1. @fpl_phenom
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          i'll send you the twitter link later

    2. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      ... incoming ... 😉

  7. Gonna mesut up
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Last question for now 🙂

    Christnsen looks a nogo for dgw? Anyone know anything about his chances? Any quotes sitting out there from Conte?

    1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I'm keeping - I think he will play at least one, and I'm not removing for a hit.

    2. Pasqualinho
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Worth the risk. He's had periodic rests before - maybe yesterday was just his turn.

  8. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    If Salah is doubtful for full 90 is this worth for a -8?
    Salah + Barnes + Auba + stafi to l.cook + Kane + Kaku + Cedric for -8??

    1. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Not for me
      I'd also wait on Salah news

  9. Bellybig
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    if you have a 40 point lead and have Kane already, would you:

    A) extend the lead by taking a -4 for Aub + Mahrez > Sanchez (C) + Vardy, or

    B) Block (13 similar players) by doing Aub > Lukaku (C)

    Rival is likely to do Aub > Kane.

  10. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Jones, keep or sell?

    I am struggling to explain why I kept him but do we think he will come back into the team?

    1. @fpl_phenom
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I doubt it, Bailly fit ans Smalling has aeriel presence which Jose likes

  11. Cojones of Destiny
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    on FH. got Kaku, Sanchez, DDG for 34 any suggestions for the defensive line ?

  12. GE
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Bailly -> Vertonghen (-4)

    Can see Vertonghen playing both DGW but Bailly only getting one in each..

    I was so close to pick Vertonghen on WC32, should have done that 🙁

  13. emyoueffsee
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Thoughts on these for a FH team for GW34? 0.0 itb after both.
    A.
    Hennessey
    Azpilicueta Cedric Chilwell
    Mahrez Pogba Eriksen Salah
    Kane Lukaku(c) Barnes.

    Dross on bench

    B.
    De Gea
    Davies Chilwell Alonso
    Eriksen Sanchez Milivojevic Salah
    Vardy Barnes Kane(c)

    Dross on bench

  14. El-Kloppico
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Best replacement for Mustafi? 5,4M?

    Def looks like: DDG - Lloris - Chilwell - Mustafi - Tarko - Dunk - Azpi

    your advice would be greatly appreciated!