Metrics

New template forming after extensive Wildcard usage

With the Christmas period looming large for Fantasy managers, there have been increases in Wildcard uses from week to week.

Gameweek 16 saw the continuation of the heavy Wildcard usage among the top 10 thousand FPL managers, especially.

4.54% of them activated the chip compared to 3.64% in Gameweek 15. This leaves around 12% first Wildcards left for managers to use in December.

There are clues to the new template when we look at how Gameweek 16 Wildcards compare with those from Gameweek 15. As you can see, the options selected are mostly similar across the two line-ups.

The two squads share 13 from a possible 15 players, which means Gameweek 15 Wildcarders benefited from many price changes which Gameweek 16 Wildcarders probably missed.

One of the two selection differences is Callum Wilson replacing the injured Marko Arnautovic in the front line, although ironically he also picked up an injury himself.

The second is the inclusion of Sead Kolasinac instead of Lucas Digne, with Arsenal’s fixtures looking better long-term compared to Everton’s.

The rest of the most selected Wildcard picks are the same except for slight changes in the ownership percentages of certain players.

For example, Wildcarders became more convinced of including Harry Kane (74.45% to 85.9%) and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (61.26% to 70.70%) in their new squads this week. Meanwhile the likes of Marcos Alonso (54.12% to 30.4%) and Leroy Sane (60.71% to 53.96%) suffered marginal drops in their Wildcard representation.

One major thing many Wildcarders missed was the inclusion of hat-trick hero Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian is now the highest-scoring player so far in Gameweek 16 with 21 points, and he’s only included in just 32.2% of Wildcards this week.

He is also not that highly owned in general among the top 10k teams, with only 39.5% ownership, raised to 52.1% effective ownership by factoring the captaincy in.

This meant his owners earned big rank jumps, especially with the latest captain poll winner Aubameyang (40.31%) scoring only five points.

Meanwhile, the popular Wilson and Trent Alexander-Arnold missed out on Saturday lunch-time which again raises the importance of having a good bench in December.

Running simulations of the exact autosubs that will take place for just the two of them in the top 10k indicates the following results. It is Aaron Wan-Bissaka who will gain the most increase of effective ownership, followed by Alonso and Ryan Fraser, as indicated in the following table.

PlayerIncrease in Effective Ownership after TAA and Wilson autosubs
Wan-Bissaka23.40%
Alonso11.88%
Fraser9.09%
Bennet7.46%
Doherty3.23%

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1,907 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Internal Error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 11 days ago

    Which is a worse situation to be in going into next week. No Salah or no city mids?

    1. Holmes
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      No city

      1. Holmes
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Or maybe salah, who knows... 😮

        Everton may continue to concede not more than 1 goal

    2. Optimus.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      No Salah

    3. Becks
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 11 days ago

      No ManC

    4. Zladan
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 11 days ago

      I’m content with no Salah and No City.

      It’s not having enough Spurs, Chelsea and Arsenal cover that should worry you.

  2. umerlfc
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 11 days ago

    1 FT, 0.3 ITB

    Foster
    Alonso Robbo Doherty AWB
    Sterling Sane Richy Fraser
    Kane(c) Laca

    Fab Success Paterson Digne

    Two Options:

    A) Richy - > Fanderson
    B) Play WC

    1. how now brown cow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Why wc that?

      1. Becks
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 11 days ago

        This

    2. bialk
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      A

  3. Gunner Boy
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 11 days ago

    current midfielders: 1FT, 1.9 itb

    Hazard Anderson Richarlison Neves Gudmundsson

    Best replacement for Gudmundsson fro up to 7.8?

    1. Becks
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Long term Siggy, not this gw

    2. HIAFL (Howe to Train your D…
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 11 days ago

      gylfiii longtermm

  4. manu4life99
    • 9 Years
    3 months, 11 days ago

    A) Duffy > Luiz
    B) Duffy > Kola
    C) Haz,Duffy > Sane,Alonso(-4)
    D) Haz,Duffy > Sterling,Kola(-4)

    Fab
    Doherty Robbo Laporte
    Rich Haz Salah Anderson
    Aub Wilson Rondon
    (Hamer,Bacuna,Duffy,Digne)

    1. how now brown cow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      B

    2. caldracula
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      A, Arsenal have no defence

      1. Becks
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Koscielny and Monreal was on bench

        1. caldracula
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Match fitness?

    3. HIAFL (Howe to Train your D…
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 11 days ago

      wth will u remove hazard

    4. Becks
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Keep Salah, i'm thinking its worth getting two ManC mids in for Salah and Rich

    5. samaael
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      a or b

    6. bialk
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      A

  5. how now brown cow
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 11 days ago

    So after my la(c)atastrophe of a 11.25 captain change (i wish there was an option to prevent last minute changes), what is the view on him?

    Minutes played now makes getting him in at all look like a stupid decision in hindsight. Worth being patient?

    1. bialk
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Keeping for now.

    2. samaael
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      keeping

    3. J - Gimme your Mané …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Getting rid this week, cutting my losses immediately and going with a double of Salah and sterling so will be downgrading Laca to Kamara.

      Auba clearly the favourite with emery.

  6. Sondre van Bank
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 11 days ago

    Salah and Hazard --> Sterling and Kane....... FML

    1. Optimus.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      How'd you do that?

      1. Sondre van Bank
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Well you tell me. It wasn't very clever was it

        1. Sondre van Bank
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Oh wait. Forgot to add Arnie to the equation

      2. how now brown cow
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Kane has been playing deep. Maybe he's been reclassified

    2. bialk
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Feel your pain mate.

  7. QUEN
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Bottomed

      Hey guys

      Was out all night day yesterday someone mind filling me in on any important bits?

      In particular how did chico sane haz alonso perform?

      Also I heard sterling played bad is that true? Thanks

      1. samaael
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        salah supernova

      2. J - Gimme your Mané …
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Sterling is never good as a false 9/striker IMO.

        The points will come when he’s on the right. If Aguero is back then the points will be flowing again fir sterling.

      3. JT11fc
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Alonso wasnt very attacking, he was playing man c tho.
          Sterling could easily have scored.
          Haz was playing striker so didnt have as much freedom as he norm would do.
          Sane was ok just abit tired i think so subbed early

          1. Sencha
              3 months, 11 days ago

              Alonso wants very attacking? Check his position on both the goals.

        • mojoindojo
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          WC this week or wait?

          Patricio Foster
          Laporte Robbo Bellerin AWB Yedlin
          Hazard Rich Dilva Kante Fraser
          Auba Kane Jimenez
          1 ft .3 itb

          1. bialk
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            WC will only mess your team. I wish I didn't have that useless chip after this GW disaster.

            1. mojoindojo
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              So just let it burn then?

        • samaael
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Rui
          Laporte/ Robertson/ Kolasinac /Bennett
          Salah/ hazard/ Schurrle/ Delofueo
          Kane/ Lacazette

          4.0/ WanB/ HojbeRg/ Wilson

          1FT 1ITB

          need to sort Schurrle and Delo. Who to downgrade? Wilson? Robbo?

        • My Pet Egg
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Hi,

          -8 for Mitro, Snodgrass and Balb in for Arni (dead), Camaraso and Peirera?

          Would love F Anderson instead of Snoddy but would mean downgrading Mitro to Success or Kamara or someone in that price slot?

        • Whats the Mata?
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          What are people with Lacazatte doing?

          Also, keep Salah? Was planning to get Sterling in for Salah this week.

          1. bialk
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Keep Laca.

          2. Holmes
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Benching as of now

            May get rid for a hit

        • LD
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Very early thoughts, but -

          A) Martial -> Fanderson
          B) Laca -> Chicharito (hopefully a nice differential over the coming weeks. Got Laca this week though, realising it was a mistake)

          1. Federico
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            I'm considering A myself. It looks a good transfer, but at the same time I wan't to upgrade Martial to the likes of Alli or Son.
            Let's say I'd hold on B until it's part of a two transfer deal.

            1. LD
              • 1 Year
              3 months, 11 days ago

              With the money I get from doing Laca to Chich, I can do Martial -> Haz. Maybe even sterling if I free up around 0.4. Gives me a core of - Robbo, Salah, Sterling/Haz, Sane and Kane 😮

        • My Pet Egg
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Off topic ... bUt anyone else finding the website keeps failing and reloading itself every few minutes ... Don't know if it's my device or the site?

        • welsin sidabutar
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Everybody here ever did realize when Manchester United in first match league
            When Luke shaw first Goal against Leicester City?
            I saw the first game in the first match of PL game He choose Shaw as captain and he become high score in 1st place in first match on pl fantasy league and how could he knows Shaw will make a goal? Let's compares Luka vs Shaw, 99% to 1%, if pl fantasy league in here will be choose lukaku than Shaw on the match and will be choose triple captain on lukaku. On the point of this is simple I think this case was like setting from other to others. Because this is not logic when you choice Shaw as a captain than lukaku. I was play pl fantasy league 3 times. In 3 years I was learning this tips and trick from myself and from other sources. I think Guys this my last pl fantasy league, 5 million player didn't realize the happenings of these

            1. Federico
              • 6 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              I'm having difficulties understanding this one, sorry.

              1. mojoindojo
                • 5 Years
                3 months, 11 days ago

                What I gleaned:
                FPL is mostly luck. I won't be playing next year as logic and strategy don't work.

                1. Federico
                  • 6 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  I'd say you need a lot of luck to carry on with no strategy for 38 weeks. Some weeks are just painful, but I still value this game over a full season. Give's me a lot to talk about at work, even with people that aren't necessarily all about football.

                  Of course, if you feel that it ruins football for you (which I know people who thinks), then it's ok to step away for a while.

                2. welsin sidabutar
                    3 months, 11 days ago

                    FPL I think you right but if you only use your lucky is not working because almost 6 million players play FPL just think 1 against 6 million, I think your FPL it must be unlucky for you

                    1. Federico
                      • 6 Years
                      3 months, 11 days ago

                      To win FPL you need a lot of luck, in addition to skills and planning.
                      I'm happy to have top 10k as my target, and take joy out of the competition I get from friends in my mini leagues.

                3. welsin sidabutar
                    3 months, 11 days ago

                    In first match in primer league in Manchester United whom you choose as a captain Lukaku or Luke Shaw? It must be lukaku right?
                    In first match one players choose Luke Shaw as a captain on pl fantasy league and match M.U won against Leicester with 1-0 score in the only make a score the match is luke shaw and the players choose shaw as a captian plus with triple captian, if you know football any time could make a score including the goal keeper but the changes of the opportunity of 11 players on pitch it must be the striker has big opportunity to make a goal. And the other case other player pl fantasy league choose wing back as a captian
                    If you had mathematics logic the opportunity score strikers to wing back make a score it should be 90% against 10%.

                    1. Federico
                      • 6 Years
                      3 months, 11 days ago

                      Thanks for the rewrite, much better this time 🙂
                      Like I said in my post above, these kind of decisions (TC Shaw) won't work out most of the time, so over 38 gameweeks, you will probably catch these guys. Keep going, and climb steady!

                      1. welsin sidabutar
                          3 months, 11 days ago

                          I don't talk about players I just talk about FPL this game is fair or not. In FPL I got lot of problems after kick off whistle began we were couldn't changes player and transfer player but if we do that it will be work in next game right?
                          I have problems I want to substitute my players as a captain on the bench, it 30 minutes before kick off but when I make my strategy and substitute players I want after kick off and other team FC play my all players doesn't work, my strategy, my captain it's doesn't work
                          It's seem like I fool man

                4. samaael
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  anyone liking rondon?

                  1. Holmes
                    • 5 Years
                    3 months, 11 days ago

                    Must be better than Lacazzete

                5. Winston.
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  So many options on wildcard...if Aguero is fit next weekend...
                  A. Hazard and Aguero
                  B. Sane and Kane
                  Currently on B, right combo?

                  1. Joggers Nipple
                    • 9 Years
                    3 months, 11 days ago

                    A if aguero fit, and get son

                6. Federico
                  • 6 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Won't do anything for a few days, but would you say this looks an easy decision?
                  A) Anderson
                  B) Son -4
                  Nevermind where my FT went in case B 😉

                7. BrutalLogiC
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 3 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Glad I moved Salah out several weeks ago rather than last week I guess. Got to find the positives..

                8. Brosstan
                  • 4 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Sterling, Sane, D. Silva, Lacazette. A grand total of 6 points between them. Auba (C) not much better with a single assist. I believe they will come back stronger though! Probably dropping Silva for Son.

                  As usual not going to even qualify for the cup. What is it with GW16?

                  1. Holmes
                    • 5 Years
                    3 months, 11 days ago

                    Not sure, have qualified only once for FPL cup and that was 3 years back! 😆

                9. Lord Tachanka
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 2 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Watching MOTD back and I love that 3rd Salah goal. Absolutely rekt Cook and then takes the piss out of Begovic to boot.

                10. twoplustwo
                  • 4 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Hazard is just about returning enough to keep hold of him at the moment but it's close. Anyone else moving him on?

                  1. LD
                    • 1 Year
                    3 months, 11 days ago

                    If I had him, I’d keep. Given you have either Salah or city assets

                  2. Lord Tachanka
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 2 Years
                    3 months, 11 days ago

                    No chance, he’s been getting back to match fitness after injury so has plenty more to give.

                    Upcoming fixtures look good as well. I’m captaining next weekend.

                11. Malcom in the Middle
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 2 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  I have Sterling and Sane but no Spurs attacking coverage. Sane to Son?

                12. doyeon
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 1 Year
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Siggy to Son or Sane?
                  Hoj to Torreira a no-brainer?

                13. doyeon
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 1 Year
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Best GK replacement for Ryan up to 4.6m?

                14. aleksios
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 3 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Really thinking of Richarlison+Laca to F.Anderson+Wilson for a hit.Leaves me with enough to do Diop to Robbo later.

                  -Fab
                  -Alonso-TAA-Digne-Doherty
                  -Salah-Sane-Fraser
                  -Kane-Laca-Jimenez
                  ----Butt--Camarasa--Diop--Richa.

                  What do you think guys?

                15. Nicepix
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  To copy that squad comes to £106.2 at the present time and I can't see many players having that TV. I certainly haven't . I'm £2m short as are the current top 3 in the game.

                  So there must be some savings to be made somewhere and I would suggest that doing Arni > Kamara would bring the TV of this Dream Team into the realms of many of the Top 10K who have yet to play their WC without negatively influencing the projected points scored.

                16. mdm
                  • 7 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Which option is better:

                  A. Mitro and Sane
                  B. Ings and Hazard

                17. Artemis Titans
                  • 4 Years
                  3 months, 9 days ago

                  Hi, thanks in advance for advice.
                  96 (-4) no Salah (c) no chips used. Siggy playing.

                  Lloris (Hennessey)
                  Robbo, TAA, Doc, Awb, Rice
                  Sterling, Haz, Salah, Siggy, FAnd
                  Rashford, Jimenez (Success)

                  Any changes going forward? No Ft, 0.2 itb.

                  Can’t help tinkering!!

                  1. Artemis Titans
                    • 4 Years
                    3 months, 9 days ago

                    Felipe (c) this GW and next?

                  2. how now brown cow
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 4 Years
                    3 months, 9 days ago

                    Are you after advice or just a brag?