Spot the Differential

Goal-hungry Duffy among three differentials for FPL Gameweek 26

This weekly series puts the spotlight on three players who all have an ownership of 5% or under in Fantasy Premier League.

We’re just about to enter into the final third of the season and for those Fantasy managers chasing a mini-league deficit or seeking a short-term measure to improve their overall rank, a considered differential pick could have an impact.

Joao Moutinho (£5.3m) was all set for a starring role in this piece given his form, his freer role in the Wolves midfield since Leander Dendoncker‘s (£4.3m) promotion to the starting XI and Newcastle United’s weakness at set plays, but the Portuguese star’s ownership has surged to 6% this week after a flurry of transfer activity in FPL.

Instead, we have turned to another Wolves asset and two defensive options for our selections this week.

Shane Duffy (£4.6m)

FPL ownership: 5.0%

The Irish centre-back just – only just – qualifies as a differential pick, given that he has a not insignificant following in FPL already.

No defender has scored more Premier League goals than Duffy (four) this season and, in the past six Gameweeks, the Brighton stopper has had more attempts from inside the opposition box and efforts on target than any player in his position.

Duffy had three shots on goal in the 0-0 draw with Watford alone and with Pascal Gross (£6.7m) supplying the ammunition – the German having created a staggering ten chances himself last weekend – further opportunities should arise from corners and free-kicks in Gameweek 26.

Only two clubs have allowed more attempts on goal from set plays than Burnley over the last six Gameweeks, with just Watford conceding more headed chances.

Four of Brighton’s five clean sheets in 2018/19 have arrived at the Amex, with the Seagulls boasting the second-best home defensive record this season among teams outside of the “big six”.

While Brighton don’t have a match in Gameweek 27 (and possibly Gameweeks 31 and 33, if the Seagulls progress in the FA Cup), their fixtures around that blank are among the best in the division and Duffy is arguably benchable next weekend at his current price.

Victor Lindelof (£5.0m)

FPL ownership: 4.7%

***UPDATE: Reports on Friday afternoon suggest Victor Lindelof is not among the Manchester United squad travelling to Fulham this weekend***

Manchester United have recorded three straight clean sheets on the road and indeed no Premier League side has registered more shut-outs than the Red Devils over the last six Gameweeks.

While Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has tinkered with his team on a weekly basis since taking charge in December, Lindelof has been an ever-present under the Norwegian interim manager and has greatly impressed at centre-back.

The excellent form of David de Gea (£5.7m) is a huge boost to Lindelof’s clean sheet prospects but the Swede and his fellow defenders have kept it fairly tight at the back of late, with only two clubs allowing fewer big chances than United over the last six Gameweeks.

At the other end of the pitch, Lindelof has registered five attempts on goal (one of which found the back of the net) in the last four Gameweeks – only five FPL defenders, two of whom are playing “out of position” in midfield, can better that tally.

Four of those five efforts were from Lindelof’s head and only two clubs have allowed more headed chances than Fulham (this weekend’s opponents) over the last six Gameweeks.

No Premier League side has conceded more goals or big chances than the Cottagers during that time, either.

Lindelof is guaranteed a fixture in Gameweek 27 – albeit against Liverpool – before the Red Devils take on Crystal Palace and Southampton.

Diogo Jota (£6.0m)

FPL ownership: 3.5%

While Moutinho has surged past the 5% barrier, Jota remains a relatively low-owned route into the Wolves midfield.

The yellow flag may be a deterrent to some FPL managers but the knock that caused the Portugal under-23 star to miss the FA Cup win over Shrewsbury Town is not thought to be serious and his omission from the match-day squad on Tuesday was only precautionary in nature.

Santo’s side sit top of our Season Ticker for the next four Gameweeks, with a home fixture against Newcastle United kicking off that excellent run.

Jota bagged an 11-point haul in the reverse fixture at St. James’ Park and has five goals and four assists in his last seven Premier League starts.

No FPL midfielder has had more big chances than Jota over the last three Gameweeks (five of which admittedly arrived in the 4-3 win over Leicester) while only four players in his position (all of them expensive premium options) have registered more shots on target during that time.

Jota has actually had more penalty box touches, shots on target and big chances than Raul Jimenez (£6.7m) over the last three Gameweeks.

Posted by

685 Comments Post a Comment
  1. jaywills
    • 3 Years
    6 months, 10 days ago

    Who to start and bench out of this lot:

    Digne (Watford A), Wan Bissaka (West Ham H), Joshua King (Liverpool A)

    Thanks!

    1. Jealous Viper
      • 1 Year
      6 months, 10 days ago

      How many can you start?

      1. jaywills
        • 3 Years
        6 months, 10 days ago

        1.

        Currently have Digne in, WB first sub.

  2. n14mul
    • 2 Years
    6 months, 10 days ago

    Richarlson to:

    A. Miliovic
    B. Madison
    C. Keep 1 more week

    1. Jarvish
      • 4 Years
      6 months, 10 days ago

      C

    2. Kopkloppers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      6 months, 10 days ago

      None of the above.
      Anderson?

    3. T96
        6 months, 10 days ago

        From those options I'd keep

      • Jealous Viper
        • 1 Year
        6 months, 10 days ago

        C

    4. Flapjack ✅
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 months, 10 days ago

      My defenders are a mess this week

      Doherty and AWB that’s fine

      TAA doubtful

      Valerie prob won’t start

      Alonso plays city and I have triple city

      Wanna save the FT so bad as only Newcastle interesting for both weeks yet far from perfect this

      1. Jealous Viper
        • 1 Year
        6 months, 10 days ago

        Strongly considering moving Alonso on to a Newcastle def. Decent fixtures and they play gw 31 as well i think

        1. Flapjack ✅
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          6 months, 10 days ago

          Yeah exactly what I was thinking.

          So will you be playing the Newcastle defender this week if you do it ?

          1. Jealous Viper
            • 1 Year
            6 months, 10 days ago

            Tough one. I may bench him for Wan B but would play next 2 weeks definitely

    5. SADIO SANÉ
      • 4 Years
      6 months, 10 days ago

      looks like Mendy was joking about being in Hong Kong because his Uber driver was Asian...uproar incoming

      1. Jarvish
        • 4 Years
        6 months, 10 days ago

        At least he didn't do the eyes.

        1. My heart goes Salalalalah
          • 2 Years
          6 months, 10 days ago

          Ha

          1. El Lobito
            • 2 Years
            6 months, 10 days ago

            If he were white there would be uproar. PC brigade coming for this comment now no doubt...

    6. SADIO SANÉ
      • 4 Years
      6 months, 10 days ago

      Auba was not sitting next to Lacazette in a picture on the coach btw... 😀

    7. Jealous Viper
      • 1 Year
      6 months, 10 days ago

      Alonso and Sane to Yedlin and Anderson for a hit. Would help to get Auba next week with the spare cash and also keeping an eye on gw 31

    8. Kunai red army
      • 3 Years
      6 months, 10 days ago

      Start 2 of the below

      A.Bendnarek
      B.Awb
      C.Luke shaw
      D.Sane
      E.Richarlson
      F. Transfer in pogba for -4 and play him for sane

      Thanks

      1. Johnny Leghorn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        6 months, 10 days ago

        C D

      2. Giggs-Tosun Particle
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        6 months, 10 days ago

        Sane and Ragnarok

    9. Hughes the Daddy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 10 days ago

      IMPORTANT !!

      Stop scrolling, go back to page 7 and help me find the right mid priced midfielder before I bring in some turd.

      Thanks

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 10 Years
        6 months, 10 days ago

        This is page 7?

        1. Hughes the Daddy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          6 months, 10 days ago

          I know, I'm literally that stupid!

      2. Hughes the Daddy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 months, 10 days ago

        PAGE 6 actually.

        See, I need help 🙂

    10. Weilong7
      • 2 Years
      6 months, 10 days ago

      Bottomed

      What to do with this team guys.. 1FT 3.9 ITB

      Lloris button
      Luiz taa robbo awb lindelof
      Pogba son salah sane masuaku
      Rashford Jimenez kamara

      Shld I change sane or luiz out?
      Seems like sane will not start the game.. being in Anderson or some other mids? Luiz out for Doherty or someone else? Thanks

    11. Federico
      • 6 Years
      6 months, 10 days ago

      I see that the Aguero to Auba question is recurring, but let's try this angle:

      Range these choices from best to worst:
      A) Aguero -> Auba
      B) Aguero -> Laca
      C) Keep

      1. Hughes the Daddy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 months, 10 days ago

        I wouldn't get Lacazette if that helps.

        1. Federico
          • 6 Years
          6 months, 10 days ago

          Yeah, it helps 🙂

          I saw your question earlier, and my thoughts was that you should try and reset your thoughts on Anderson. Not saying he's your man, but past results doesn't dictate the future.

    12. Sondre van Bank
      • 5 Years
      6 months, 10 days ago

      Would you start TAA or AWB? Already have VVD and playing him

      1. Giggs-Tosun Particle
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        6 months, 10 days ago

        TAA

    13. ct mariner
        6 months, 10 days ago

        Reposting as paged over and further thoughts!

        Current line-up

        Fab
        Robertson Doherty AWB
        Salah (c) Sane Pogba Fanderson
        Rashford Firmino Jimmy

        Boruc Richy Bennett Digne
        1 FT and 0.2 IB

        2 disasterous weeks and too much money on bench

        a. Sane to Son
        b. save FT
        c. other?

      • Tsparkes10
          6 months, 10 days ago

          Really unsure. Sane to Pogba defo happening... Thoughts on Rich to Anderson aswell for a - 4?

          1. JohnnyMagrinho
            • 49 Years
            6 months, 10 days ago

            Can you not wait a week?

          2. Simon Says...
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            6 months, 10 days ago

            I wouldn't move Rich for a -4, next week yes but not this week, his fixture isn't bad.

        • Tsparkes10
            6 months, 10 days ago

            Yh I can tbf

          • Blens
            • 2 Years
            6 months, 10 days ago

            Sane to:-
            1) Mane
            2) Son
            3) Jota

            Highest vote gets the nod..:-)

            1. Simon Says...
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              6 months, 10 days ago

              Son

            2. Giggs-Tosun Particle
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              6 months, 10 days ago

              Mane

            3. JabbaWookiee
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              6 months, 10 days ago

              Easy. Son.

            4. Obez65
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              6 months, 10 days ago

              Son

          • pundit of punts
            • 6 Years
            6 months, 10 days ago

            Start 1 -

            A. AWB (WHM)
            B. Mitrovic (MUN)

            Please vote.

            1. Giggs-Tosun Particle
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              6 months, 10 days ago

              B

          • Simon Says...
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            6 months, 10 days ago

            Start AWB or Bennett? Have Doherty and Guaita already starting...so basically which defence to double up on?

            1. Giggs-Tosun Particle
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              6 months, 10 days ago

              Wolves

          • boroie
              6 months, 10 days ago

              I was planning on saving my Bench Boost for a DGW but I’m sitting this week with a bench of:

              Guaita (WHU)
              Digne (wat)
              Llorente (LEI)
              Hojbjerg (CAR)

              Worth using it this week?

              1. Obez65
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 3 Years
                6 months, 10 days ago

                No

            • boroie
                6 months, 10 days ago

                Have just got in. Any news on Auba and TAA?

              • boroie
                  6 months, 10 days ago

                  Would you bench boost if you had this sitting on your bench?

                  Guaita (WHU)
                  Digne (wat)
                  Llorente (LEI)
                  Hojbjerg (CAR)

                • Vlad Tepes
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 2 Years
                  6 months, 10 days ago

                  Bench 2.

                  1. Llorente
                  2. AWB
                  3. TAA