Pro Pundits - Sam

Using the Wildcard to manage Liverpool’s Blank Gameweek 18

Normally the first Wildcard burns a hole in my pocket and by Gameweek 3 or 4 it’s been played but this season has been different.

I built my team for Gameweek 2 onwards knowing that that might have cost me in Gameweek 1 (it definitely did!) but that it might allow me to have a better start to the season and hold the Wildcard a little longer – second international break rather than the first.

I started the season without Raheem Sterling (£11.8m), preferring to have Kevin de Bruyne (£10.3m) instead.

At the time I remember thinking the Wildcard would be my route to bringing Sterling in when he surely punishes me for not having him.

However, his season is yet to truly fly in my opinion and I haven’t felt the need to own him – yet.

This means that my Wildcard is still in my back pocket ready to deal with the Liverpool blank, the busy Christmas period and the fixture-swing clubs.

Whilst I am sitting just five points outside the top 10k right now I am not alone in still having the original Wildcard left to play with a fifth of the managers in the top 10k still holding theirs.

This adds an interesting dimension to the game and is unchartered territory for me. As the 2019/20 has gone on I have looked in to the statistics behind the best use of the Wildcard last season and found that the managers who played the second one in early January tended to fair better than those, like myself, who held it for the Blank and Double Gameweeks later in the campaign.

As a result of this when I didn’t play my Wildcard at the first or second international breaks I decided, barring catastrophe, to hold the original one as late as possible so as hopefully to gain the advantage of an effective early January wildcard (albeit in late December) as well as holding the second Wildcard to navigate the Blanks and Doubles – I’m hoping this gives me the best of both worlds, although we’ll have to see how it plays out.

As a result, I now have two free transfers going into Gameweek 18 with which I can take a punt on if I want.

I have decided to take Sadio Mané (£12.2m) out this week as I don’t want to bench all that level of my budget.

Given that I did the Mohamed Salah (£12.2m) to Mané move late I don’t have much value in him he shouldn’t cost too much for me to get him back if I need to.

I am, however, planning to have Salah in my Wildcard so I won’t need to worry about value. This week, therefore, I have the pick of the midfielders and there are a wealth of options.

The options for Mané replacements came down to these…

Anthony Martial

Anthony Martial (£7.7m) plays Watford this week who, while showing some degree of the so-called ‘new-manager-bounce’ against Liverpool, have conceded nine goals in the last five Gameweeks.

Lucas Moura

Lucas Moura (£7.0m) is the less popular option from the Spurs midfield but, like many of his colleagues, he has had a whole new lease of life under Jose Mourinho.

The Brazilian has three goals in his last four and, as a result of his price, the player most easy to hold and after Gameweek 18 as part of my Wildcard. He is that much cheaper than the other options when it comes to working Salah back in.

Spurs’ shots on target ratio of 47.5% since Gameweek 13 is the highest in the league, thus making Son and the next option really good candidates…

Son Heung-min

Son Heung-min (£10.1m) has three double-digit returns in his last five matches, coinciding with Mourinho’s arrival at Spurs.

Using the Members Area to run a comparison of Moura and Son over the last six and then four Gameweeks shows Son winning the statistics both time, although this was by a smaller margin over the last four matches. As such of the two spurs candidates if I pick one of them I’ll likely go with Son.

Raheem Sterling

Given that the original plan for my first Wildcard was to use it to bring in Sterling, I should probably consider him this week.

His form this season has been inconsistent at best. However, whilst he wasn’t up to the player of old we did see glimmers of his former self in Gameweek 17 and he did get attacking returns.

For me this game against Leicester is critical for Manchester City if they want to maintain their title challenge and thus Sterling surely needs to play a big role in this game.

My major concern is with his statistics in home matches this season. Of Sterling’s 10 goals in 2019/20, eight have come away from home and 14 of his 17 big chances have occurred on the road.

Conclusion

When I rolled my transfer from Gameweek 17 to give me two free ones for Gameweek 18 I was really excited for punts on a couple of players who could easily be changed on a Wildcard.

However, now while I am pondering who should come in I am finding the prospect difficult, with five points to make up on the top 10k and a cup match again Frank Olufsen to try and win I’m feeling more pressure!

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547 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Warby84
    • 5 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Henderson
    Lundstrum Kelly Aurier
    Son (c) Grealish Zaha Salah(NS)
    Vardy Jimenez Kane

    Trent Mings March

    Bit of an injury nightmare so had to make a move for a -4 and still playing with 10 men. I could do a -8 and remove Mings but not sure it’s worth it..

    A -8
    B Hold with 10 men

    1. Abraham & Cheese
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 21 days ago

      I would transfer Mings out for a player with good fixtures for the next weeks. In the end I prefer to pay the price to be able to play a full team, even though it's a gamble.

      1. Warby84
        • 5 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Targett or maybe Schar??

        1. Abraham & Cheese
          • 1 Year
          7 months, 21 days ago

          I was thinking Targett or Fernandez because of their price. But maybe Scharr is a good idea.

  2. Abraham & Cheese
    • 1 Year
    7 months, 21 days ago

    What to do?
    A. TAA & Abraham --> Evans & Rashford?
    B. TAA & Zaha --> Targett & Son
    C. Save transfer

    1FT, 2.6 ITB

    Pope Henderson
    TAA, Aurier, Rico, Lundstram, Kelly
    Zaha, KDB, Alli, Mane, Dendocker
    Abraham, Jiminez, Vardy

    1. Abraham & Cheese
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 21 days ago

      I am inclined towards B.

  3. manu4life99
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    What's the consensus on Salah vs Mane (wc in gw20)

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Go for Salah imo

    2. Rash
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Think I may go both if possible

      1. GreennRed
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        A lot of cash, nearly 1/4 your budget, for two players. When one hauls the other is unlikely to but if you have a De Bruyne, Son, Vardy, Kane, Aguero might be better long term.

    3. Abraham & Cheese
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 21 days ago

      I've got Mane. Wish I had Salah.

    4. Hot Toddy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Both for me.

  4. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 6 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Targett or Fernandez ? Thanks ( Fernandez rotates well with lundstram)

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Please 🙂

    2. Abraham & Cheese
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 21 days ago

      I might have to make the same choice. Although neither are defensively inspiring, Villa has the better fixtures, so I'll probably go with Targett. But Fernandez does rotate with Lund well - might be the better option.

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 6 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Think Fernandez is nailed ? Thanks

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          He is

      2. Abraham & Cheese
        • 1 Year
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Btw nice name! 😀

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 6 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Haha cheers reference to the wire 🙂

          1. Abraham & Cheese
            • 1 Year
            7 months, 20 days ago

            Best show!

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Fede 🙂

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 6 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Thanks

  5. EL tridente
    • 2 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Henderson (Button)
    Soyuncu, Lundstram, Guilbert (Robbo, Diop)
    Son, Maddison, McGinn, Shelvey (Salah)
    Vardy, Rashford, Tammy

    What to do with this squad? Have 1 ft, 0.6 in the bank
    A) Diop to Kelly
    B) Diop to Fernandez
    B) Salah to KDB
    C) Other

  6. Coys96
    • 3 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    1. Zaha (new)(WHU)(sou)(nor)(ARS) -4
    2. Ings (che)(CRY)(TOT)(lei)

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Zaha could be a massive trap imo

      1. Coys96
        • 3 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        True, but the fixtures are great. I am also going to Norwich Palace so would really like someone to own for that match.

        Is Ings still the best option even if Zaha gets an extra game?

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 6 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Why does he have an extra game ? What have I missed ??

          1. Coys96
            • 3 Years
            7 months, 21 days ago

            It's confusing, but:

            I want to go Jimenez to Rashford next GW (which I currently have funds to do)

            I can do Dendoncker to Zaha this week for free, but that would mean to get Rashford in, I'd have to take both Jimenez and Ings out to raise the funds.

            1. Ajax Hamsterdam
              • 6 Years
              7 months, 21 days ago

              It is confusing but I kind of understand it 🙂 as you're going to the game get Zaha that will be fun !!

              1. Coys96
                • 3 Years
                7 months, 21 days ago

                OK thanks!! Only problem is it's essentially a hit, but he does basically get an extra game over Ings!

                1. Coys96
                  • 3 Years
                  7 months, 20 days ago

                  Tbf I could keep Ings and just not have Rashford/find another way to get him in

      2. Abraham & Cheese
        • 1 Year
        7 months, 21 days ago

        I'm thinking of selling him this week at risk of missing a Newcastle hattrick.

        1. Coys96
          • 3 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Fair enough, who you bringing in?

        2. GreennRed
          • 8 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          No away player will score a hat-trick at James Park. Will be doing well to get one

    2. GreennRed
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Ings.

    3. ALI_G
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Ings

      Crystal Palace just don't score enough IMO

      1. Coys96
        • 3 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Neither do Southampton though. But when southampton score it's nearly always Ings tbf. Fixtures are awful though

        1. GreennRed
          • 8 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          His blood's up.

  7. Marko1985
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Anyone know why Soy is close to dropping in price on FPLstats?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Not sure . City and pool next

    2. No Professionals
      • 3 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Don't want to be a n*b, but you could check yourself

      1. No Professionals
        • 3 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Or I could read your post correctly

      2. Abraham & Cheese
        • 1 Year
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Before you wreck yourself

        1. teneighty
          • 5 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Solid advice! 😀

    3. lugs
      • 3 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      fixtures probably

    4. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      He's not close to dropping. He's on positive ~72, not negative 72.

      1. Marko1985
        • 4 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Oh yeah of course. I think the red arrows threw me! Obviously people are just selling him because of fixtures

    5. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      He's being sold

      1. Pukki Party
        • 3 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        And nowhere near a drop

  8. No Professionals
    • 3 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Pope
    Lundstram Kelly Rico
    Son Alli Maddison Cantwell
    Vardy Rashford Jimenez

    Button Soyuncu mane VVD
    1ft 0itb

    Mane to sterling?

    1. Abraham & Cheese
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Just for 1 week?

      1. No Professionals
        • 3 Years
        7 months, 20 days ago

        Possibly 2 if sterling did well

    2. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      I'm thinking Salah to Sterling for this week too, but i would play over a defender. Who would you bench?

      1. No Professionals
        • 3 Years
        7 months, 20 days ago

        Cantwell I think. Annoyed i missed the price swings on mane and KDB

        1. Pukki Party
          • 3 Years
          7 months, 20 days ago

          Could be worth it, you never know if Cantwell will play. I'd rather bet on ManCity then Liverpool next 4.

  9. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Best combo this GW?

    A. Maddison+Greenwood+1FT
    B. Alli+Greenwood (means losing Maddy)
    C. Alli+Maddison (means losing Mané)

  10. Fernando Torres
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Willems or Dunk?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      The one that plays left forward practically

      1. Dthinger
        • 3 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        and yet, Dunk scores more goals

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          And yet, that’s not true!

    2. Coys96
      • 3 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Dunk

  11. MadFinCha
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Any thoughts on what I do here
    0.4m itb and 2 transfers. 1st wildcard still available.

    Pope Button
    Robertson Lundstrom Soyuncu Rico Aurier
    Salah KDB Dele Traore Dendonker
    Vardy Abraham Jimenez.

  12. dwight
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    No idea who to bench?? I’ve changed it a hundred times lol

    Ryan
    Lundstram, Rico, Kelly, Targett
    Son (C), Alli (VC), KDB, Grealish
    Vardy, Abraham
    Bench: Maddison, Mousset

    1/ Maddy/Mousset
    2/ Targett/Mousset
    3/ Kelly/Mousset
    4/ Targett/Maddy
    5/ Kelly/Maddy

  13. TaiwanHC
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Is it too crazy to go without any Liverpool players up until GW24?

    1. Hot Toddy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 20 days ago

      Yeah

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      I personally don't like it

    3. Arse Craic
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      Mental

    4. FourLokoLeipzig
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      I hope not, as I’m planning to

  14. Pulisick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    7 months, 20 days ago

    WCing in 19 or 20. Want to use 2FT this week so as not to waste one if WC in 19. Def doing Mane->Son this week.

    Thoughts on what to do....
    A) Mane, Dend -> Son, Grealish (potential bench headache but strong 1st sub)
    B) Mane, Zaha -> Son, Grealish (bank 4.0)
    C) Mane, TAA -> Son, Aurier (bank 5.6, defender benching headache)

    Ryan
    Kelly Rico Lund
    Mane*** KDB Zaha Maddison
    Vardy Rashford(c) Abraham

    Button / Soy Dend TAA***

    2FT 1.5ITB

    1. Bossworld
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 20 days ago

      A

      1. Pulisick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        7 months, 20 days ago

        Who to bench? Zaha or Madds?

    2. KUNingas
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      A

  15. KUNingas
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 20 days ago

    2FT and 0.3ITB

    A) Maddison -> Grealish
    B) Maddison -> Martial
    C) Any other move?
    D) Burn Fat

    Ryan
    Lund, Targett, Rico
    Son, KDB, Maddison, Cantwell
    Vardy, Abraham, Jimenez

    Button, Soyuncu, TAA, Mane

    1. KUNingas
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      Burn *FT

      1. EL tridente
        • 2 Years
        7 months, 20 days ago

        Henderson (Button)
        Soyuncu, Lundstram, Guilbert (Robbo, Diop)
        Son, Maddison, McGinn, Shelvey (Salah)
        Vardy, Rashford, Tammy

        What to do with this squad? Have one free transfer, 0.6 in the bank
        A) Diop to Kelly
        B) Diop to Fernandez
        B) Salah to KDB
        C) Other

    2. Arse Craic
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      D) Burn Fat

      1. KUNingas
        • 4 Years
        7 months, 20 days ago

        After chrismas, indeed

        1. Arse Craic
          • 10 Years
          7 months, 20 days ago

          🙂 Burn FT and keep 2 for next week

  16. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 6 Years
    7 months, 20 days ago

    Is manquillo nailed ? Didn't realise he was only 4.3.

    Thanks

  17. pingissimus
    • 1 Year
    7 months, 20 days ago

    If you put Mo and Mane together what proportion of Liverpool GI do you get?

  18. stu92
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    7 months, 20 days ago

    Best replacement for VVD? Thinking Aurier but is he potentially prone to rotation? Villa and Palace have best upcoming fixtures, Man Utd also look good fixture wise but not sure I trust them.

    1. Arse Craic
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      Aurier for attacking points and baps

  19. Brosstan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    7 months, 20 days ago

    Ranked 650k still... really feeling the will to put in effort waning as the chance of achieving a top 10k finish is getting increasingly improbable. Any stories of second half of the season come backs in FPL?

    1. Rocky.007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      Yes, I had one last season. I was 500k in GW 27-28. I was stuck around 500k for the whole season actually. Everything thing changed when Sterling scored a hat-trick around GW 28 and I luckily managed to captain him. It was a sea of green arrows from there onwards, careful planning around BGWs and DGWs really helped. And finished the season around a respectable 30k.

      1. Brosstan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        7 months, 20 days ago

        inspiring stuff, Im printing this out and hanging it on the wall above my nightstand!

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      You're only approx. 106 points off the Top 10K score.

      Stop ya whinging, persevere and you may get a string of captaincy decisions right.

      You'll be right in the ball-park.

      Or y'know, just give up if it's really such hardship.

      1. Brosstan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        7 months, 20 days ago

        Ill whinge as much as I want, thank you very much!

    3. pingissimus
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 20 days ago

      2 mill this time of year to 86k and got very little from DGWs and made some truly dumb moves - another 30 points would have been easy.

      More importantly had great fun climbing the rankings.

      1. Brosstan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        7 months, 20 days ago

        The most fun part of the season so far was consecutive green arrows from 3m to 450k between gw5 and 14. Maybe the rest of the season will be more fun because of my terrible rank now, a nice thought.

    4. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      (Not to be patronising BUT)

      Halving your rank each week is eminently possible with a bit of luck and a few good captaincy choices

      You could go 640k > 325k > 160k > 80k in literally 4 weeks and all of a sudden the top 10k is in sight instead of in the distance

      Halving your rank every 2 weeks is even more feasible

      Take a step back from looking at the next GW & look instead at the next 3-4, although admittedly you may be doing this already

      And I know it’s sometimes seen as boring as hell, but I think there’s definitely a strong correlation between avoiding hits at all costs AS LONG AS it’s combined with the right selection logic for the players you brought in

      Grind through it!

      1. Brosstan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        7 months, 20 days ago

        The very sensible but also very verbose answer, true to yourself as always Maximus 😉

    5. El Lobito 10
      • 3 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      All it takes to fly up is a couple of good gameweeks, particularly captain calls. Captaining Salah last week helped me crack top 100k for first time. Before, I was languishing for weeks. Consistency the key imo

  20. EL tridente
    • 2 Years
    7 months, 20 days ago

    Henderson (Button)
    Soyuncu, Lundstram, Guilbert (Robbo, Diop)
    Son, Maddison, McGinn, Shelvey (Salah)
    Vardy, Rashford, Tammy

    What to do with this squad? Have one free transfer, 0.6 in the bank
    A) Diop to Kelly
    B) Diop to Fernandez
    C) Salah to KDB
    D) Other

    1. Arse Craic
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      A

  21. andres
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 20 days ago

    What is the status of pieters? Playing or likely to je dropped?

  22. The 12th Man
    • 7 Years
    7 months, 20 days ago

    Richarlison or Alli?

    Already have Son.

    1. Brosstan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      Alli. Still feels like RIch is a bit overpriced considering the team he plays for. Could be a decent punt now with a new manager coming in but its risky.

      1. The 12th Man
        • 7 Years
        7 months, 20 days ago

        Thanks, just fancy some Everton. Might go Holgate instead.

  23. Mr Wizard
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 20 days ago

    Mané to Sterling for -4?

    Already have KDB

    1. KUNingas
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      Why

      1. Mr Wizard
        • 9 Years
        7 months, 20 days ago

        Why nae

        1. El Lobito 10
          • 3 Years
          7 months, 20 days ago

          Lol. I don't know mate, City have a lot of games, he might get a rest. Leicester not conceded more than one all season and Raheem hasn't a good record v them. I've gone a Spurs midfield double up instead, avoiding him and KdB

          1. Mr Wizard
            • 9 Years
            7 months, 20 days ago

            Cheers buddy. I might just hold

            1. El Lobito 10
              • 3 Years
              7 months, 20 days ago

              NP. On the rest, I meant a later Christmas game, unlikely he rests him the weekend. I love Sterling but flattrack bully of late

  24. drughi
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 20 days ago

    Best replacement for boly ? leaning towards targett, so attacking and up against 4 teams with very dodgy defences next.

    A. Targett
    B. Dunk
    C. Kelly

    1. Arse Craic
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      All good picks.
      C for me

      1. drughi
        • 10 Years
        7 months, 20 days ago

        does kelly have any attacking threat whatsoever ?

    2. KUNingas
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      I went A

      1. drughi
        • 10 Years
        7 months, 20 days ago

        leaning towards that myself

  25. andres
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 20 days ago

    Richarlison or Grealish?

    1. drughi
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      richarlison for me if money no object

      1. Pompel
        • 6 Years
        7 months, 20 days ago

        which means Grealish ....

        1. TaiwanHC
          • 4 Years
          7 months, 20 days ago

          Haha good point

  26. TaiwanHC
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 20 days ago

    Would you play Rico (BUR) or Kelly (new) for GW18?

    1. Balls of Steel
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 20 days ago

      Kelly