Spot the Differential
31 January 2020 1630 comments
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Gameweek 24 saw double-digit returns for 17 players, 10 of whom have ownership of 5% or less – encouraging our search for effective differentials.

Options such as Jack Stephens (£4.4m), Nathan Redmond (£6.2m) and Aaron Mooy (£4.8m) all delivered for those willing to think outside of the box, while two of last week’s selections, Joe Gomez (£5.3m) and Sébastien Haller (£7.0m), returned eight and seven points respectively.

This time, we focus on three low-owned picks who we like for Gameweek 25 and beyond.

Chris Wood

Ownership: 1.5%

Price: £6.2m

GW25-29 fixtures: ARS | sou | BOU | new | TOT

Chris Wood’s (£6.2m) goal in the recent win over Manchester United took him to 10 for the campaign, which means he is now one of only 12 players to have scored 30 or more Premier League goals since the start of the 2017/18 season.

The New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining the Clarets from Leeds United in August 2017, with his latest goals helping to deliver back-to-back wins for Burnley, who now sit 13th in the table, just four points behind fifth.

His tally could be even higher this season, with his 24 big chances only bettered by Jamie Vardy (£9.9m). That points to a player who more often than not, is getting into good positions in front of goal.

With Arsenal, level with Burnley on 30 points, due at Turf Moor on Sunday, Wood’s aerial ability could be key.

His five goals from set plays are more than any other player this season, whilst only Newcastle United have conceded more attempts from dead ball situations than the Gunners.

Sean Dyche’s team appear to have moved up a gear when it comes to attacking in recent weeks, with more confidence on the ball, and given Wood has scored in his last two games, more could be on the way.

Harvey Barnes

Ownership: 0.9%

Price: £5.9m

GW25-29 fixtures: CHE | wol | MCI | nor | AVL

In recent weeks, Harvey Barnes (£5.9m) has established himself as one of Leicester City’s main offensive threats.

The 22-year-old winger has scored three goals in five appearances during January, netting against Burnley and West Ham United in the league, with his performance in the 4-1 win over the Hammers arguably the best of the season to date.

Barnes’ ability to create has caught the eye, too.

He has assisted seven goals for the Foxes so far this season, which is two more than James Maddison (£7.6m).

Whilst rotation is a slight concern, he’s now started 16 of the last 21 league matches, and seems to be finding his feet at the top level.

Leicester currently sit third in the Premier League table and look well-placed to finish in one of the Champions League spots. They have an opportunity to move 11 points clear of their opponents Chelsea, who sit fourth, this weekend, while it’s also worth noting Frank Lampard’s men have struggled to keep clean sheets away from Stamford Bridge this season, with just one in 12.

Under the tutelage of Brendan Rodgers, there aren’t many hotter prospects than Barnes right now in the English game.

Martin Dubravka

Ownership: 1.6%

Price: £5.0m

GW25-29 fixtures: NOR | ars | cry | BUR | sou

Since arriving on Tyneside in January 2018, Slovakia international Martin Dubravka (£5.0m) has firmly established himself as Newcastle United’s number one.

In a season where the Magpies have often struggled in front of goal, Dubravka has produced a number of key saves.

In fact, his total of 97 is the best of any goalkeeper in the league, six more than second-placed Bernd Leno (£5.0m), which combined with six clean sheets, has seen him rise to fourth in the overall goalkeeper standings, on 92 points.

Newcastle boast one of the best home defences in the league this season, conceding just 12 goals in 12 games – only Liverpool (9) and Sheffield United (11) have conceded fewer.

They have also improved their form in recent weeks, having drawn at Wolverhampton Wanderers and Everton and won 1-0 at home against Chelsea.

Surprisingly, only 1.6% of FPL managers own Dubravka ahead of his home match against Norwich City.

A clean sheet is a real possibility with the Canaries only scoring six Premier League goals on the road all season. They’ve also created the fewest amount of Big Chances (seven) over the last six Gameweeks.

With a kind fixture run, Dubravka could be a major influence in the second half of 2019/20.

Which FPL assets topped goal threat, creativity and clean sheets this month?
  1. JonnyOnionRings
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Just did WC

    Pope-Button
    Rico-Lund-Targett-Kelly-Bednarek
    Salah-Mane-KDB-Traore-Dendpnker
    Firm-DCL-Aguero

    TO

    Pope-Button
    Rico-VVD-Gomez-Williams-Bendarek
    Salah-Perez-KSB-Traore-Douglas Luiz
    Auba-Jimi-Aguero

    Thoughts?

    1. Zladan
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Well it’s done now lol. I wouldn’t have given you now have 3 premiums blanking in GW28.

      1. Saka White Rice
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        can always use the FH chip for 28...or will there be another blank gameweek?

        1. Long ago I drew a walrus
          • 15 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          GW31 is the big one

          1. Saka White Rice
            • 11 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Is that confirmed?

            1. The Legend Squad
              • 11 Years
              6 years, 1 month ago

              Yeah pretty much

            2. THFC4LIFE
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              6 years, 1 month ago

              Fa cup quarter finals on the same weekend

            3. Long ago I drew a walrus
              • 15 Years
              6 years, 1 month ago

              If in doubt check the articles and hot topics cos it's all been covered in depth before but just this once

              GW28 - 4 teams blank (EFL cup final)
              GW31 - many teams blank (FA cup quarters)
              GW34/37 - DGWs with 34 possibly having blanks as well

      2. JonnyOnionRings
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Can transfer out Auba for Vardy in GW28

    2. Saka White Rice
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      1) no TAA can backfire
      2) Aguero likely to be rotated therefore cannot be captained that frequently
      3) Perez has tough fixtures
      4) Why Pope and not McCarthy?

      1. JonnyOnionRings
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Just did Pope to McCarthy

        1) It could but I have two more Liv defenders so I'm happy there
        2)He might be rotated but captaining him the last few weeks put me from 950k to 400k. I like the risk
        3)He does but I think he'll score vs chelsea and after GW28 they get much easier

  2. Champions League Varane
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Wildcard
    Just unsure on Dubravka?

    Suggestions appreciated!
    Dubravka
    TAA Gomez Egan
    Salah KDB Grealish Bruno
    DCL (Ings placeholder) Jimenez Auba

    Bench:McCarthy,Lascelles,Adama,Lamptey

    1. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lascelles only 4.2 - a cheaper and better way to NEW defence imo. I would not have two playing keepers even though they rotate well on paper.

      Dub > Button for itb

      1. BobbyDoesNotLook
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        For this gw only I see that Mccarthy is having a really tough gw and thus having both Dub and Mccarthy makes sense since SOU chance of cs is close to zero and Pool has great pen takers as well if we would want to speculate on pen save points. For this case having both keepers does seem pretty good short term

  3. andres
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Have 2FTs and no clue what to do with them..

    A mane, dcl => mooy, Auba/kun/jimi
    B Mane, soy => vvd/robbo, Mooy
    C mane, dcl, soy => vvd, mooy, auba/kun/jimi (-4)

    Hedno
    Sidibe TAA Soy
    Kdb Mane* Salah Traore
    DCL Vardy Ings

    Lund, Cantwell, Kelly 1.7, 2FTs

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'm on A but can't decide between Kun and Auba

      1. andres
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I think auba, nailed and good fixtures before and after blank

  4. On The Up
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Son and Jiminez
    or
    Traore and auba?

    1. Catastrophe
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Close, I would say B - assuming the 1m+ spare cash will help you elsewhere...

    2. Yank Revolution
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

  5. Strchld
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Can someone help, cant decides what to do.

    Mane, Kiko and Greenwood have to go for a -4.

    1) Would you get Traore, Jimenez and Robertson in and have a benching headache when Traore is your cheapest midfielder/forward.

    2) Or get Hayden over Traore to avoid benching headache and bank rest. Allows me to do next week Maddy to Son if I want.

    1. Pep bites Kun
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      2 sounds like your plan, so that's your gut feeling and should be your build to the next payers and fixtures.

      1 imo is a strong 'keep'

      1. Strchld
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks. If I would be sure that I want Son for Maddy, then yes. But Im not at all. Cant trust Spurs.

  6. Zladan
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Best midfielder up to 6.1m?

    1. FirMinaMiMo
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Adama

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Beundia

  7. FirMinaMiMo
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Anybody thinking over bruno! Based on his performance vs wolves 🙂

    1. Zladan
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Was very much in favour of it, then I saw United fixtures.

      Should swing back round when Pogba is also back making him a very attractive option.

      1. FirMinaMiMo
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Pogba ll be at late February ... Considering that he ll b at march ! 🙂 ... If he does well i ll kick out martial to him!

  8. Tonyawesome69
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed
    Dunk out:
    a. Lascelles (better GW25 fixture)
    b. Stephens (hauling big points recently)
    c. other suggestion

    1ft 1.5itb
    Pope
    Evans* TAA lundstram dunk*
    Grealish KDB salah(c) traore
    vardy ings

    Ryan Rico connolly* mane

  9. Siva Mohan
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Ryan
    TAA | Kelly | Soy
    Grelish | Salah(c) | KBD | Mane*
    Vardy | Jimenez
    4.0 | Greenwood | Rico | Lund

    1 FT & 0.4 ITB

    A. Mane >> Son
    B. Mane >> Martial
    C. Mane + Jimenez >> Martial + Auba (-4)
    D. Mane + Jimenez >> Martial + Aguero (-4)
    E. Mane + Jimenez >> Traore + Aguero (-4)

    Please suggest, thanks

    1. Siva Mohan
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      *Rico starts
      *Dendo on bench

    2. lekalatch
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      E

  10. lekalatch
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Please help guys!!

    Button McCarthy
    TAA Soy Lund Montoya Willems*
    Mane* Salah KdB Traore Cantwell*
    Vardy Abraham* Ings
    0.1itb 1FT

    A) Abraham —> Jimenez
    B) Abraham Mane —> Auba Mahrez (-4)
    C) Abraham Mane Willems —> Aguero Robbo Fleck (-8)
    D) Other?

    1. Siva Mohan
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      D

      1. lekalatch
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Give me any advice then please

        1. Siva Mohan
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          B with Martial?

          1. lekalatch
            • 6 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Why Martial over Mahrez?

            1. Siva Mohan
              • 13 Years
              6 years, 1 month ago

              Mahrez not a sure starter.. had him for 2 GWs before POOL DGW for 2 points

  11. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Here's a quick one! Sell one to get Aguero!

    A. Deeney
    B. DCL
    C. Vardy

    1. Siva Mohan
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Vlad Tepes
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. One for All
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

  12. The Legend Squad
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed, how am I looking... understand the GW28 risk

    McCarthy
    TAA Gomez Lascelles
    Salah KDB Grealish Traore
    Auba Kun Ings

    Button Stephens Hayden Williams

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Awesome

    2. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Very nice

  13. SADIO SANÉ
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    What has generally been the Steve Bruce formation in the past? surely he can go to 4atb now that he actually has some decent midfield options and an actual left back?

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Park the bus formation

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      3 at the back is pretty engrained now. From even before Bruce. He tired a little early in the season and we got destroyed (Norwich was one) and he admitted his mistake and changed it back to 3 again.

      1. SADIO SANÉ
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        balls

  14. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Good to go? Stick or twist bench order?

    McCarthy
    Trent(V) Digne Gomez
    Salah (C) KDB Mahrez Grealish
    Auba Vardy Deeney

    (McGovern Rico Cantwell Lundstram)

    1. The Legend Squad
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Like the Mahrez pick! Good team

    2. The Legend Squad
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe downgrade Digne and do Deeney to ings?

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        No Free transfers left, but will do something like that later on. Cheers.

  15. BobbyDoesNotLook
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Still wondering if it is worth transferring Mane out since I could probably get him back without losing value in the process.

    Any straight swap ideas that would be worth this gw plus potentially the next one if Mane is not back?

    Mahrez is tempting but you never know when he plays.

    1. lekalatch
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I’m tempted by this exact move. + Abraham to Auba, for a -4. I think Mahrez has done so well lately so Pep prioritizes him a lot, and he got subbed early last game

      1. BobbyDoesNotLook
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Tempting. But if Mane is available for NOR then I would want him back immediately. That is of course still if. 2FTs are also valuable hmm...

  16. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Anything worth a hit? Hate my defence but not sure it’s worth -4

    McCarthy
    TAA Söyüncü Lundstram
    Salah KDB Martial Traoré
    Vardy Firmino Ings

    Button Cantwell Kelly Mings

    1.6 in the bank

    Cheers

    1. The Legend Squad
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Nothing worth a hit imo

    2. FirMinaMiMo
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Team is good except soy!

    3. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No hits needed

  17. tim
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Are Foster and Ryan worth the extra money or just go with McCarthy? Have Gazza now so need to get a new GK.

    Henderson would be ideal but dont want to use another FT for a GK before the blank.

    CHEERIO!

  18. PattBrofield
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Really stuck with what to do here .. 1FT 0.6itb

    Pope, Button

    TAA, Sou, Lund, Rico, Reid

    Salah, Mane, KDB, Martial, Guendouzi

    Vardy, Ings, Greenwood

    Thinking Mane to Traore but just not sure ..

  19. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Hello all. What was the Manè verdict will it just be this weekend he misses it a few more weeks out?

    1. Long ago I drew a walrus
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Apparently he's in Mallorca right now

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I know he won’t play this week I’m wondering if he will be back by next and I can bench or if he is ruled out long term?

  20. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    On a WC...

    Aguero or Auba.

    Already have Ings & Jiminez.

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I was on Auba all week then just switched to Kun. So explosive. Can always downgrade if he starts getting benched or gets crocked

    2. FirMinaMiMo
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Kun

    3. FirMinaMiMo
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Kun performed well vs man utd!

      Auba ll pick up his legs considering the new strong defence Incomer!

  21. LewanGOALski
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I am starting Rico & Cantwell ahead of Lundstram and Ings - should I stick?

    1. Forza Papac
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Why would you do that?

  22. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I see soo many people selling DCL...what did i miss??

    - 2 goals in 2 games
    - Great stats
    - Decent goal involvement
    - Next 2 fixtures are decent before they turn horrific

    I can afford DCL >> Auba but currently leaning towards keeping DCL till gw27 before moving him to Jimmy. will instead use the funds to upgrade a cheap def >> Robbo

    VIews?

    1. andres
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      The temptation to get a heavy hitter in atack might swing it.

      Dcl perfectly ok to have though

    2. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Think I’m doing the same, Abraham another option

  23. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Play one:

    A) Cantwell
    B) Traore

    1. Forza Papac
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

  24. Saka White Rice
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I'm going to play WC please help much appreciated!

    McCarthy Hendo
    TAA VVD Egan Rico Lascelles
    Salah KDB Martial Traore Hayden
    Aubameyang Ings Jimenez

    Note: I've decided not to go with Aguero due to rotation/captaincy.

  25. trafalgarlaw
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    GTG ? 0 FT 1.8 ITB

    Ryan
    TAA Lunds Baldock
    KDB Salah Grealish Cantwell
    DCL Auba Greenwood

    Button Mane Kelly Soyuncu

    Swap Mane or hold ? Thx

  26. Warby84
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Double Defence with Goalkeeper.

    A. Southampton
    B. Newcastle..

    Edging for Southampton

  27. No_Mo_Salah?
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Mane to Son and Soyu to Vdjik for -4? Other defenders are TAA, Lund, Rico and Kelly... Cheers.

  28. JonnyOnionRings
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who for the next 3

    Jimi and Perez

    Ings and Grealish

    1. No_Mo_Salah?
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Ings and Grealish for me.

  29. willos_wanderers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    2 FT

    Pope
    TAA - Soy - Kelly - Rico - Lund
    Salah - KDB - Grealish - Cantwell - Doucoure
    Aguero - Vardy - Ings

    Have the money to bring Jiminez and VVD in for Vardy and Lund. Should I, or should I role a free transfer?

  30. Vlad Tepes
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Best 6,6 mid?

    1. Vlad Tepes
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Max*

      1. willos_wanderers
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Traore. Monitor this new boy at Sheffield Utd