Spot the Differential
31 January 2020 1630 comments
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Gameweek 24 saw double-digit returns for 17 players, 10 of whom have ownership of 5% or less – encouraging our search for effective differentials.

Options such as Jack Stephens (£4.4m), Nathan Redmond (£6.2m) and Aaron Mooy (£4.8m) all delivered for those willing to think outside of the box, while two of last week’s selections, Joe Gomez (£5.3m) and Sébastien Haller (£7.0m), returned eight and seven points respectively.

This time, we focus on three low-owned picks who we like for Gameweek 25 and beyond.

Chris Wood

Ownership: 1.5%

Price: £6.2m

GW25-29 fixtures: ARS | sou | BOU | new | TOT

Chris Wood’s (£6.2m) goal in the recent win over Manchester United took him to 10 for the campaign, which means he is now one of only 12 players to have scored 30 or more Premier League goals since the start of the 2017/18 season.

The New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining the Clarets from Leeds United in August 2017, with his latest goals helping to deliver back-to-back wins for Burnley, who now sit 13th in the table, just four points behind fifth.

His tally could be even higher this season, with his 24 big chances only bettered by Jamie Vardy (£9.9m). That points to a player who more often than not, is getting into good positions in front of goal.

With Arsenal, level with Burnley on 30 points, due at Turf Moor on Sunday, Wood’s aerial ability could be key.

His five goals from set plays are more than any other player this season, whilst only Newcastle United have conceded more attempts from dead ball situations than the Gunners.

Sean Dyche’s team appear to have moved up a gear when it comes to attacking in recent weeks, with more confidence on the ball, and given Wood has scored in his last two games, more could be on the way.

Harvey Barnes

Ownership: 0.9%

Price: £5.9m

GW25-29 fixtures: CHE | wol | MCI | nor | AVL

In recent weeks, Harvey Barnes (£5.9m) has established himself as one of Leicester City’s main offensive threats.

The 22-year-old winger has scored three goals in five appearances during January, netting against Burnley and West Ham United in the league, with his performance in the 4-1 win over the Hammers arguably the best of the season to date.

Barnes’ ability to create has caught the eye, too.

He has assisted seven goals for the Foxes so far this season, which is two more than James Maddison (£7.6m).

Whilst rotation is a slight concern, he’s now started 16 of the last 21 league matches, and seems to be finding his feet at the top level.

Leicester currently sit third in the Premier League table and look well-placed to finish in one of the Champions League spots. They have an opportunity to move 11 points clear of their opponents Chelsea, who sit fourth, this weekend, while it’s also worth noting Frank Lampard’s men have struggled to keep clean sheets away from Stamford Bridge this season, with just one in 12.

Under the tutelage of Brendan Rodgers, there aren’t many hotter prospects than Barnes right now in the English game.

Martin Dubravka

Ownership: 1.6%

Price: £5.0m

GW25-29 fixtures: NOR | ars | cry | BUR | sou

Since arriving on Tyneside in January 2018, Slovakia international Martin Dubravka (£5.0m) has firmly established himself as Newcastle United’s number one.

In a season where the Magpies have often struggled in front of goal, Dubravka has produced a number of key saves.

In fact, his total of 97 is the best of any goalkeeper in the league, six more than second-placed Bernd Leno (£5.0m), which combined with six clean sheets, has seen him rise to fourth in the overall goalkeeper standings, on 92 points.

Newcastle boast one of the best home defences in the league this season, conceding just 12 goals in 12 games – only Liverpool (9) and Sheffield United (11) have conceded fewer.

They have also improved their form in recent weeks, having drawn at Wolverhampton Wanderers and Everton and won 1-0 at home against Chelsea.

Surprisingly, only 1.6% of FPL managers own Dubravka ahead of his home match against Norwich City.

A clean sheet is a real possibility with the Canaries only scoring six Premier League goals on the road all season. They’ve also created the fewest amount of Big Chances (seven) over the last six Gameweeks.

With a kind fixture run, Dubravka could be a major influence in the second half of 2019/20.

Which FPL assets topped goal threat, creativity and clean sheets this month?
  1. Chandler Bing
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who plays RB for SOU now that Cedric is gone?

    1. BNMC
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      KWP

      1. claretparrot
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        This, just not this weekend

    2. SADIO SANÉ
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      no-one knows yet

    3. Total Slotball
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      KWP first choice. Valery back up.

    4. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Looks like nobody this week.

      1. Gazwaz80
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Great chance for Robertson to exploit that flank...

    5. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      KwP.
      Danso filled in last week

  2. Gudjohnsen
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Somehow Martial is still in my team on wc.

    My current wc midfield:

    Salah, KDB, Grealish, Martial, Mooy

    Would you rather have Traoré?

    1. Woy_is_back
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Martial the trap, get rid

    2. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Like the Mooy pick!
      Tricky one - structure looks better with Martial but Adama probably the better pick right now

    3. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Rather have Tony this week at least.

    4. Tsparkes10
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      What's your defence?

  3. Marcin the Pole
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Stuck. Very tempted to do Vardy and Firmino to Aguero and Ings but not sure if that's too risky. 2FT 0.3ITB.

    Ryan Button
    Soyuncu Robertson Holgate Lundstram Tanganga
    KDB Salah Maddison Grealish Dendoncker
    Vardy Firmino Jimenez

    1. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Could really go either way, that.
      I'd rather get rid of Soy personally and maybe get a New defender instead of Tanganga

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Funny week to get Ings in.

    3. Tsparkes10
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Soy to Stevens. You'll want a Sheff U defender who starts for the fixtures :p

  4. HAMMERTIME107
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Gtg?

    Pope
    Baldock | Gomez | Lascelles
    De-Bruyne | Traore | Salah | Grealish
    Aguero | Jimenez | Aubameyang
    -
    Button | Rico | Dendoncker | Kelly

    1. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yep, really like Baldock pick! Not sure about Auba but could be very tasty if it pays off

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Cool. No Trent?

  5. claretparrot
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed at the 2nd attempt!
    This lot G2G?

    McCarthy
    TAA - VVD - Lund - Digne
    KdB - Salah (C) - Madds - Doucouré
    Jiménez - Vardy
    [ Button ¦ Rico - Ings - Cantwell]
    1 FT; £0.7m ITB

    Good luck, all!

  6. Woy_is_back
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Wasnt Bruno a flop in Serie A?

    1. Greenbackbøøg…
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      He was young when he moved there, unfair to judge him based on that

    2. The Train Driver
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      He played for a Udinese that had lots of issues and it was pretty early in his career.

  7. Greenbackbøøg…
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Tammy owners selling?

    1. lindeg
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      would be for a hit, so no

  8. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Why did they not even ask about Mané? USELESS

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Secret weapon

    2. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Klopp said he would be fine after the winter break.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        A small update like he’s back out running or something could have been gold! SH*TTY press

    3. Bury94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Was nothing said about him at all? How annoying!

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        No one asked

    4. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe they know something we dont... 🙄

      1. potatoace
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        astutely aware of their incompetence, I hope.

  9. dbeck
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    g2g, just did Mane, Greenwood and Soy to Egan, Traore and Kun for a -4

    McCarthy
    Lund Egan TAA
    Grealish Salah KDB Traore
    Maupay Vardy Aguero

    McGovern Rico Kelly Sarr

    Looking at Vardy and Kelly to VVD and Ings next week, early vibes

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good. Planned back to back hits not so. Good luck

      1. dbeck
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        it was either that or a wildcard

        1. dbeck
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          its my 2nd hit of the season so i feel fine about it, but yeah not ideal

          1. RAFA THE GAFFA
            • 9 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Yeah not so bad. I’m trying to find a way to get MITB for Ings next GW with my current transfers

    2. Tsparkes10
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lovely moves.

  10. Aubamazette
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    On WC
    Henderson
    TAA Robbo Lund Lascelles Stephens
    Salah De Bruyne Grealish Traore ....
    Ings Jiminez .....

    A) Aguero + Hayden
    Or
    B) Auba + H.Barnes

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Warby84
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Auba and Mooy

  11. FPL Mentor
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Any changes needed here?

    Pope
    TAA Lundstram Digne O'Connell Robbo
    Salah(C) KDB Martial
    Auba Maupay

    Button / Ings / Noble / Cantwell

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      That'll do Rudi, that'll do.

  12. Mattymo23
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Already used my FT and have some value tied up in Mane so just bench him this week? Having to play Ings or Greenwood instead of him this week.

    1. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah play Ings

  13. Warby84
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone tempted by Rose?

    1. BNMC
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Unless he turns into Doherty from last season, no.

  14. DF
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    who is on pens for Spurs?

    1. lindeg
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      alli

      1. DF
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        defo?

        1. Earn your Spurs
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          He left years ago, currently at Rangers

          1. Fulchester's New Centr…
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            🙂

          2. Max City
            • 9 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Nice

      2. Pukki Party
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        My guess too

      3. BNMC
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I thought it was Son?

  15. Gudjohnsen
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Irrelevant of price. Which one is the best pick?

    A. Martial
    B. Traoré
    C. Maddison
    D. Moura
    E. Someone else for max 8.0

    1. Pukki Party
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A or C

  16. Pukki Party
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Play one:

    A) Aurier (MCI)
    B) Holgate (wat)
    C) Kelly (SHU)

    1. BNMC
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Kelly.

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      C, but not sure he'll start

  17. kamdaraji
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Mane (C)?

    1. Earn your Spurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      That's the brave differential choice

    2. Max City
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Why not?

  18. BNMC
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Bruno Fernandes has already hit 0.2% ownership. The casuals!

    1. Al
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Double digit haul incoming

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Could be 9 million by kick off

      1. Holmes
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Price should be lock?

        1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          ......

          1. Holmes
            • 12 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            No price changes for one week, isnt it?

            1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
              • 11 Years
              6 years, 1 month ago

              Dunno, but Kanchelskis was clearly joking.

    3. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Utd fans - but they might have stolen a march and not turn out to be so casual after all.

  19. mazkills
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Would love a quick shout - not sure what to do.

    Ryan
    Soy-Kelly-TAA (Lundy/Tomori)
    Grealish-Martial-(M)o-KDB
    Jimenez-Vardy-Firmino

    2 ft 0itb

    Defensive bench change and roll a free?

    Then do Firmino+Vardy > Auba(home-Newcastle) + Ings (home-Burnley)

    Cheers

    1. Tsparkes10
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Soy to Stevens. You'll want a sufc defender with the fixtures coming up. Lund will not start them all

      1. Max City
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        SHU or SOU def is better?

  20. Rhodes your boat
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Gtg? or take -4 for dcl to jimi with exact cash itb! Close to a rise too so likely to be priced out or have to downgrade soy/Lund/Guaita

    Guaita
    Taa Lund soy Cathcart
    Salah(c) kdb Traoré
    Vardy ings dcl

    Button kelly dendo mane*

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Soy to NUFC def and play this week? You can get Jimi with the change next week.

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Think of the hit as being for Jimi

    2. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Downgrading Soy or Guaita probably no bad thing

  21. Warby84
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Differential Back line but think I may go for it, currently have Bertrand over Rose, but Newcastle looking more solid especially at home..

    Dubravka McCarthy
    Trent Robertson Rose Stevens Taylor

    1. Tsparkes10
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Stevens is sexy. Think a 3 with TAA, Robo and Stevens is enough so I'd personally do rose to a cheapie and save the money itb

      1. Warby84
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I was eyeing Stevens up for a while, and he was class last season for you as well, so glad to own him..

  22. FPL Mentor
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    a. play DBL Shef Utd defence and bench Ings

    b. play Ings, bench 1 Shef Utd defender

  23. Don Kloppeone
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    RP
    G2G? Anything you'd change?

    5.5itb 0FT
    McCarthy
    TAA, Lunds, Holgate
    Salah (C), KDB, Martial, Grealish
    Vardy, Ings, DCL
    (McGovern) (Cantwell, Soy, Williams)

    Cheers!

    1. Tsparkes10
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Gtg

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers matey. You all set?

        1. Tsparkes10
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Yup.

          Hendo
          TAA Lund Robo
          Martial Alli Salah KDB
          Vardy Maupay ings
          (Martin, Cantwell, Rico, Williams)

          Did Mane to Salah and rolling 2nd FT

          1. Don Kloppeone
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Nice team!GL

  24. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Chances of these clowns playing?

    Rico
    Lunds
    Greenwood

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      65
      60
      50

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      3
      2
      1

      1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Dusty Bin

  25. lekalatch
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Button McCarthy
    TAA Soy Lund Montoya Willems*
    Mane* Salah KdB Traore Cantwell*
    Vardy Abraham* Ings
    0.1itb 1FT

    What to do?

    1. Zladan
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Abraham is okay.

      1. Pipermaru
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Lampard on Abraham: "He's trained today and felt ok. We need to see if there's a reaction because it's a pain injury, there's a lot of pain. Even in training he has pain."

        Ok but not ok 😉

  26. Jones Kusi
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Which two to play?
    A. Ings
    B. Kelly
    C. Cantwell
    D. Greenwood
    E. Lundstram
    F. Soyuncu

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      E and B (prob need a sub for him),

  27. Zladan
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Mane and Mousset to Bruno and Wilson?

    Leaves me with:

    McCarthy
    TAA Lundstram Rico
    Salah (c) KDB Bruno Richarlison
    Vardy CWilson Ings

    McG Moura Tanganga Kelly

    1. Max City
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      CWilson probably not

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Heck no

  28. Gudjohnsen
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Start Mooy or Ings?

    Have TAA and Robbo

    1. Max City
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Ings

    2. Zladan
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Ings.

      I mean if Ings scores but he’s on your bench, you take 3 Ls.

      If Ings doesn’t score (and in turn Saints probably don’t score at all) but you play him, you only take 1 L.

      I guess it’s insurance.

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Sorry, what is an "L"?

  29. Max City
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I need to bench 2:

    a) Rico (AVL)
    b) Dunk (whu)
    c) Evans (CHE)
    d) Traore (mun)
    e) Ings (liv)
    f) Lundstram (cry)

    Thanks

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Really difficult. A and B?

  30. BNMC
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    @Tsparkes10 if you had to own only one SHU defender, who would you pick? If Lundstram starts to lose his place I will sell despite all the value I have in him.

    1. Tsparkes10
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'm doing Lund to Stevens next gw for what it's worth 🙂

      1. potatoace
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        With the signing of a DM , is there a risk Steven's falls back into a back 4.