Spot the Differential
31 January 2020 1630 comments
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Gameweek 24 saw double-digit returns for 17 players, 10 of whom have ownership of 5% or less – encouraging our search for effective differentials.

Options such as Jack Stephens (£4.4m), Nathan Redmond (£6.2m) and Aaron Mooy (£4.8m) all delivered for those willing to think outside of the box, while two of last week’s selections, Joe Gomez (£5.3m) and Sébastien Haller (£7.0m), returned eight and seven points respectively.

This time, we focus on three low-owned picks who we like for Gameweek 25 and beyond.

Chris Wood

Ownership: 1.5%

Price: £6.2m

GW25-29 fixtures: ARS | sou | BOU | new | TOT

Chris Wood’s (£6.2m) goal in the recent win over Manchester United took him to 10 for the campaign, which means he is now one of only 12 players to have scored 30 or more Premier League goals since the start of the 2017/18 season.

The New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining the Clarets from Leeds United in August 2017, with his latest goals helping to deliver back-to-back wins for Burnley, who now sit 13th in the table, just four points behind fifth.

His tally could be even higher this season, with his 24 big chances only bettered by Jamie Vardy (£9.9m). That points to a player who more often than not, is getting into good positions in front of goal.

With Arsenal, level with Burnley on 30 points, due at Turf Moor on Sunday, Wood’s aerial ability could be key.

His five goals from set plays are more than any other player this season, whilst only Newcastle United have conceded more attempts from dead ball situations than the Gunners.

Sean Dyche’s team appear to have moved up a gear when it comes to attacking in recent weeks, with more confidence on the ball, and given Wood has scored in his last two games, more could be on the way.

Harvey Barnes

Ownership: 0.9%

Price: £5.9m

GW25-29 fixtures: CHE | wol | MCI | nor | AVL

In recent weeks, Harvey Barnes (£5.9m) has established himself as one of Leicester City’s main offensive threats.

The 22-year-old winger has scored three goals in five appearances during January, netting against Burnley and West Ham United in the league, with his performance in the 4-1 win over the Hammers arguably the best of the season to date.

Barnes’ ability to create has caught the eye, too.

He has assisted seven goals for the Foxes so far this season, which is two more than James Maddison (£7.6m).

Whilst rotation is a slight concern, he’s now started 16 of the last 21 league matches, and seems to be finding his feet at the top level.

Leicester currently sit third in the Premier League table and look well-placed to finish in one of the Champions League spots. They have an opportunity to move 11 points clear of their opponents Chelsea, who sit fourth, this weekend, while it’s also worth noting Frank Lampard’s men have struggled to keep clean sheets away from Stamford Bridge this season, with just one in 12.

Under the tutelage of Brendan Rodgers, there aren’t many hotter prospects than Barnes right now in the English game.

Martin Dubravka

Ownership: 1.6%

Price: £5.0m

GW25-29 fixtures: NOR | ars | cry | BUR | sou

Since arriving on Tyneside in January 2018, Slovakia international Martin Dubravka (£5.0m) has firmly established himself as Newcastle United’s number one.

In a season where the Magpies have often struggled in front of goal, Dubravka has produced a number of key saves.

In fact, his total of 97 is the best of any goalkeeper in the league, six more than second-placed Bernd Leno (£5.0m), which combined with six clean sheets, has seen him rise to fourth in the overall goalkeeper standings, on 92 points.

Newcastle boast one of the best home defences in the league this season, conceding just 12 goals in 12 games – only Liverpool (9) and Sheffield United (11) have conceded fewer.

They have also improved their form in recent weeks, having drawn at Wolverhampton Wanderers and Everton and won 1-0 at home against Chelsea.

Surprisingly, only 1.6% of FPL managers own Dubravka ahead of his home match against Norwich City.

A clean sheet is a real possibility with the Canaries only scoring six Premier League goals on the road all season. They’ve also created the fewest amount of Big Chances (seven) over the last six Gameweeks.

With a kind fixture run, Dubravka could be a major influence in the second half of 2019/20.

Which FPL assets topped goal threat, creativity and clean sheets this month?
  1. Saka White Rice
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Why are people bringing Aguero in? His fixtures aren't that great, but more importantly hes prone to rotation, especially considering Pep will want to use him for the Champions League. I'd only keep KDB in the squad.

    1. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      That's the risk with kun. High risks, high rewards

    2. Here is Cash, give McGinn
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Aguero is fixture proof so that is irrelevant. Rotation is the main concern

    3. Le Bluff
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      People have said this for the last 2/3 seasons but he always delivers whenever he plays. If you catch him at the right time, he can shoot you up the ranks.

    4. tokara
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Jesus playing like crap at the moment

    5. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Widely regarded as having the 2nd best fixture this week, and is the obvious captain choice for next week. Should play in both (at the risk of anticipating Pep roulette).

    6. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Straight up, i think he is a more explosive points deliverer than Auba - and I prefer to have him.

      But for those reasons you stipulated, I signed Auba. I couldnt bear sitting through a full weekend having a 12m player benched. So Im not even going there...

    7. JJeyy
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Tottenham is a great fixture and he has the best stats in the game. Obvious player to bring in...

      1. Saka White Rice
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        He is only obvious IF he's nailed. I mean imagine you captaining for West Hame fixture and he starts on the bench!! Literally 50% chance of that happening

  2. bigdip
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I had crazy red arrows last GW. I'm thinking of using my FH to close the gap. Thoughts? FH or keep team?

    Current team:
    Ryan Button
    Gomez, Lundy, TAA (c)
    Mane, Son, Martial, Grealish
    Ings, Aguero, Calvert-Lewin
    (1.5mn ITB)

    FH team for GW25 (Changes in CAPS):
    Ryan Button
    LASCELLES Gomez, TAA
    SALAH (c), KDB/STERLING, Martial, Grealish
    VARDY, AUBA, Calvert-Lewin

    1. AzzaroMax99
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Do you have FT? You can get Salah for Mane and g2g.

      1. bigdip
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        already it and took a hit to bring in Aguero (before Mane got injured 🙁 )

        1. AzzaroMax99
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Which 3 players you have on your bench? Save FH.
          Bench Mane. Kun(C)

          1. bigdip
            • 13 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Targett & Lundy

            1. bigdip
              • 13 Years
              6 years, 1 month ago

              and Fleck

            2. AzzaroMax99
              • 9 Years
              6 years, 1 month ago

              Play Lundy. Targett first sub.

              1. AzzaroMax99
                • 9 Years
                6 years, 1 month ago

                Sorry. Play Fleck deffo!

                1. bigdip
                  • 13 Years
                  6 years, 1 month ago

                  Ok but my competitors have Salah and they will captain him sigh 🙁 . I hope Aguero helps me a captain

  3. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    G2G?

    Hendo
    TAA, Holgate, Webster
    Salah(C), KDB, Grealish, Perez
    Auba, Ings, DCL

    Button, Cantwell, Williams, Stephens

    1. bigdip
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      solid

  4. Lone Wolf FPL
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who would you pick for next 2 games only:

    A) Auba (bur, NEW) - nailed
    B) Kun (tot, WHU) - rotation risk

    1. Here is Cash, give McGinn
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      for 2 GWs probably still Kun. I think Arsenal will struggle vs Burnley

  5. So Troublesome
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    WC team

    Henderson
    Dunk - TAA - Kelly
    Salah(c) Fleck KDB Perez
    Jimenez Auba(v) Firmino

    Pope - Rico - Stephens - Jorghino

    Still debating whether to play Rico ahead of Kelly.

    1. Taegugk Warrior
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Get rid off rico & kelly

  6. tokara
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Best mid for below 5m

    Fleck? Mooy?

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Puke

    2. AzzaroMax99
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Fleck has better fixtures but also bgw28.

    3. Warby84
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Mooy

  7. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    *BOTTOMED*

    Hey fam!

    Schmeichel Button
    TAA Lundy Williams Rico Kelly
    Salah Mane KDB Martial Dendo
    Vardy Deeney DCL

    1 FT
    0 ITB

    Mane & Kelly to Robbo & Traore?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Seems nice. I can also do this move or with VVD which leaves money for Ings and Jimmy

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Reckon below Pep? Thank you

  8. Football Heaven
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is Mahrez still a viable option with sane nearing return?

    1. Long ago I drew a walrus
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'm getting him in for 2 weeks. High risk high reward. Sane's been out for like a year, I can't see him being match fit so soon if he's just started training.

    2. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Think so. The way sterling is playing it will likely be sane and mahrez either side.

    3. So Troublesome
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Been in and out of my WC team...

  9. Davido989
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Cedric is a decent signing for Arsenal. Worse full backs have been sold for 5-10 times the price in the last year.

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      He is on loan though

      1. Davido989
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I read that they have to buy him in the summer for £5m?

        1. SADIO SANÉ
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          option to

        2. jb1985
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          I thought his contract is up in the summer with Soton? So would get him for free initially.

  10. FPL Mentor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who gets the nod this week for a start this week?

    A. O'Connell (and have double Shef Utd defence)
    B. Ings (and have 1 Shef Utd defender)

  11. H-Over United
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Play Lundy or Kelly? Think both are not nailed...
    Any idea?

    1. Here is Cash, give McGinn
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lund

    2. Kaiser123
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Close one, but Kelly. Basic is predicted to play, with Serge on the bench.

      1. Kaiser123
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Besic even!

      2. Kaiser123
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Bloody typos I mean Berge

  12. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Mané headaches!! 2FTs. Best move?

    A. Soy >> Fernandez (and roll FT)
    B. Mané+Greenwood >> Hayden+Agüero
    C. Mané+Maupay >> Traoré+Agüero
    D. Mané+Soy >> Traoré+VVD

    McCarthy
    TAA • Lunds • Rico • Soy
    KDB • Salah • Grealish • Mahrez
    Vardy • Maupay
    (McGov. Greenwood. Aurier. Mané*)

    1. Pieterke30
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      C or D

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks mate. Squad feels a bit weak looking at it so I am tempted to drop Mané now

    2. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      C looks good! Even I am thinking of getting Aguero & Traore!

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I thought you’d say D 🙂 thanks

  13. Kaiser123
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    My defence is goosed. Don’t think Lund will play, Concensus on SU forum. Kelly dropped to Ward and Kiko is still MIA. I need a 4.2 nailed defender and can only think of Lascelles club captain from NU.

    1. AzzaroMax99
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Get Lasc.

    2. jb1985
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      C.Taylor or Williams?

  14. Atwood
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone considering Mane > Son?

  15. bigdip
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I had crazy red arrows last GW. I'm thinking of using my FH to close the gap. Thoughts? FH or keep team? (to take Mane out will be a -8 hit because I brought in Aguero for -4 hit before Mane got injured 🙁 )

    Current team:
    Ryan Button
    Gomez, Lundy, TAA (c)
    Mane, Son, Martial, Grealish
    Ings, Aguero, Calvert-Lewin
    (1.5mn ITB)

    FH team for GW25 (Changes in CAPS):
    Ryan Button
    LASCELLES Gomez, TAA
    SALAH (c), KDB/STERLING, Martial, Grealish
    VARDY, AUBA, Calvert-Lewin

  16. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on my team? (2 free transfers, 0.1ib)

    Henderson* (McGovern)
    Trent Söyüncü Lundstram* (Kelly) (Rico)
    Salah Mané KDB* Grealish* (Hayden)
    Vardy Ings DCL
    *Blank GW 28

  17. FPL Marc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Which 2 to start from Rico (AVL), Lundstram (cry) and Kelly (SHU)?

    Play Lascelles or Hayden?

  18. Pep Pig
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    In case anyone missed it I put a community article up today and I touched on Aguero's goal per minute ratio:-

    Aguero has only played 1,107 minutes in the league this season. That’s a goal every 69.1 minutes. To put this into perspective, Vardy’s average goal per minute is 113.6 minutes, Ings is 116.8, Jesus is 131.2 and Aubameyang is 138.7

    https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2020/01/31/fpl-gameweek-25-pick-of-the-bunch/

    1. Christina.
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Welcome to Nirvana

    2. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Poor that FFS don't promote these articles so you have to. I still have no idea why community articles aren't just posted as normal articles, especially as they are better more often than not.

      1. Pep Pig
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Yes I guess it was a needy post by me to get some more attention. (get a grip Pig) 😀

        1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Not at all mate - if I put hard work into an article, I'd want people to read it too 🙂

        2. Geoff
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 9 days ago

          Haha message me directly on the next one and we can do a HT for it 🙂

    3. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks Pep. Don't know why these aren't just normal articles.

      Also, telling me what I want to hear so great.

      1. Pep Pig
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        No problem mate. Happy to hear

  19. Long ago I drew a walrus
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    How is Richairo Zivkovic Dutch. That is not a Dutch name. Almost as bad as Ibrahimovic being Swedish or Lundstram being English

    1. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      proper brexit post this

      1. Long ago I drew a walrus
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Haha

      2. Captain_Shirokov
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        yup, makes me think it's a troll, given the day it is and all

    2. Captain_Shirokov
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      having a surname not traditionally from your home country doesn't mean you're not from the place

      simply means your parents, or someone further down the family tree may not be from there

      1. Long ago I drew a walrus
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        was a joke. sorry if that wasn't clear.

        1. Captain_Shirokov
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          aha, no worries lol

    3. Longlatini
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      So McDonald’s isn’t Scottish?

    4. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Josh King is still English though , isn't he?

      1. Long ago I drew a walrus
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        as is Daniel Podence

  20. Warby84
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Double Defence with Goalkeeper.

    A. Southampton
    B. Newcastle

  21. BNMC
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Hold DCL through Everton's tough fixtures?

  22. mazkills
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Soy to who?

    Stevens Baldock too expensive by .2

    Is O'Connell viable?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      O’Connor or Fernandez

  23. bigdip
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Play Lundy or Kelly?

    1. I Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lund

    2. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'm currently playing both. Would you play both ahead of Rico (VILLA) ?

  24. Taegugk Warrior
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Thought on my WC team..?

    McCarthy
    TAA/Robertson/Lascelles
    Salah/KDB/Grealish/Traore
    Auba/Aguero/Wood

    Button-Egan-Hayden-Taylor
    0.8 itb

    Wood to Ings next GW

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lovely. Makes me want to WC which is a good sign. Good luck

      1. Taegugk Warrior
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Pull the trigger... And don’t forget to cosidering BGW28.

    2. John Nerdelbaum
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Looks sensational, I tried to do that team and I was 2.9m off with Ings instead of Wood. You must have some good TV?
      What's the plan with the keeper and getting another playing one?

  25. milanista10
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    For WCers:
    Isn’t Pope & Taylor better than McCarthy & Stephens if you are going with Henderson & a Sheffield defender too?
    You probably won’t bench the Sheffield lads so the favorable fixtures of Soton will be wasted on your bench! However, Pope has decent GW28&31 when Hendo blanks & Taylor plays GW31 in the big blank!

    1. Long ago I drew a walrus
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      McCarthy cheaper than Pope and has a better fixture (arguably) in 28. 31 is still ages away and a lot could happen. There's not going to be just 2 games in 31.

  26. VaVaVoom
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I have trent.

    A. VVD Fleck
    B. Sidibe Perez

    1. Taegugk Warrior
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

  27. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Also who goes first, Soy or Aurier?

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Hmm. If in doubt, the most expensive one

  28. Over Midwicket
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on Kun + Gomez over Auba + VVD?

    Love the idea of Kun(C) and Gomez will mostly match VVD until the end of the season barring the odd VVD goal

  29. CelticBhoy1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    What is the best bench order from these three

    A) Lundstram (been making cameos lately)

    B) Kelly (Ward is now back)

    C) Cantwell (has a knock)

    1. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Was City away for Lundy, though...

  30. Big_Andy_GAWA
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on Chris Wood as a cheapie option to free up funds...?

    1. Long ago I drew a walrus
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Fantastic option, except there are 3 better ones. With Aguero Auba Vardy Jimenez Ings all viable options and DCL Maupay Deeney Tammy (once fit) etc all waiting in line, what exactly are you freeing up funds for?

    2. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Very good