Spot the Differential
28 February 2020 1056 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

After huge success for this column in Gameweek 27, our tails are up for our Blank Gameweek 28 selections.

Last time out, all players we tipped, Shane Long (£4.6m), Bruno Fernandes (£8.2m) and Dwight McNeil (£6.0m) all registered important hauls for their brave owners.

All of these options, at the time of writing, were owned by fewer than 5% of Fantasy Premier League managers, suggesting there is still value to be found.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL Ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £6.9m
  • GW28-32 fixtures: SOU | ars | WOL | tot | CHE

Despite a narrow defeat on Monday night, West Ham United came close to inflicting Liverpool’s first Premier League defeat of the season and were the first team to score two goals at Anfield since Everton last year.

It was a vastly improved performance by David Moyes’ men and gives the Hammers something to build on in their battle against relegation.

In fact, post-match, Reds boss Jurgen Klopp described them as being a “proper threat”.

Setup in a 4-5-1 shape, Michail Antonio (£6.9m) led the line and impressed till tiring in the second half. Despite not getting on the scoresheet, he continually looked dangerous on the counter, using his pace to keep Liverpool’s centre-backs on their toes.

Since returning to the starting XI in Gameweek 25, Antonio has been West Ham’s most advanced player.

Over that same period, he has produced six shots in the box. That tally is four more than any other teammate, whilst it is only bettered by three FPL midfielders – Mohamed Salah (12.8m), Son Heung-min (£9.8m) and Richarlison (£8.3m).

The next set of games are crucial for the Hammers, with Saturday’s match against Southampton being billed as a ‘six-pointer’. Knowing a win will move them outside of the bottom three, Antonio looks a good differential for Gameweek 28.

Reece James

  • FPL Ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW28-32 fixtures: bou | EVE | avl | MCI | whu

Chelsea right-back Reece James (£5.0m) has burst onto the scene in 2019/20, and has quickly established himself as a key part of Frank Lampard’s exciting young team.

He has made 23 appearances in all competitions this term, contributing two goals and three assists, and has now been named in the Blues starting XI in six of the last seven Gameweeks.

His marauding displays have drawn plenty of praise in recent weeks, with Gareth Southgate reportedly eyeing him up for a place in the next England squad.

The underlying numbers show he has been one of the most attacking defenders in FPL over the last two Gameweeks. His total of four shots is only bettered by Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.7m) and Virgil van Dijk (£6.6m), whilst his three created chances demonstrate his assist potential.

Also, if we look back further to the turn of the year, we can see he’s been putting his superb delivery to good use – only five defenders have put in more crosses than him.

Chelsea have had an unpredictable season, and despite a forgettable Champions League night against Bayern Munich earlier this week, we’re tipping James to get back on track against a Bournemouth side who sit just two points above the relegation zone.

Diogo Jota

Jota shines in central role as Traore is handed second successive benching
  • FPL Ownership: 4.3%
  • Price: £6.2m
  • GW28-32 fixtures: tot | BHA | whu | BOU | avl

Diogo Jota (£6.2m) is a player who has been in our thoughts for a while now. In fact, he only narrowly missed the cut for last week’s Spot the Differential.

Since then, the 23-year-old ran the Norwich City backline ragged, and followed up his Europa League hat-trick with a brace. Those goals, alongside an assist and maximum bonus, meant he returned a huge 16-point haul for his small army of owners.

It was a hugely impressive performance by the Portuguese, who led the way for shots, shots in the box and big chances.

With 11 games to go in the Premier League, Wolves remain in the hunt for a Champions League place, and sit just two points behind Manchester United in fifth.

Rested in midweek, Jota looks set to be unleashed on Sunday, against a Tottenham Hotspur side who have struggled defensively in recent matches, conceding seven goals in their last four in all competitions.

After Spurs, the schedule couldn’t be much kinder for Wolves, who face Brighton and Hove Albion, West Ham, Bournemouth and Aston Villa.

Currently owned by just 4.3% of FPL managers, Jota is a man in form, and looks like a major differential for the season run-in.

1,056 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. FPL Daniel
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    from team news.

    Latest News: Jonny was substituted in the win over Norwich City last weekend with what Nuno Espirito Santo described as a "strong kick" and the wing-back subsequently missed the Europa League clash with Espanyol, with the Wolves boss saying on Wednesday that the Spaniard was "in pain" and expressing hope that he "doesn’t stay out very long". Ruben Vinagre could be deputising on the left flank against Spurs, then, and his early withdrawal in Barcelona was perhaps made with one eye on that trip to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Wolves' involvement in the UEFA Europa League means that we may not hear much more from Santo ahead of Friday's deadline, with there being no standalone press conference ahead of that clash with Jose Mourinho's troops. Diogo Jota and Ruben Neves were both absent from the matchday squad against Espanyol (presumably rested rather than anything more ominous), while Raul Jimenez was an unused substitute and Romain Saiss was only thrown on in the final half an hour. That quartet, fitness permitting, will all expect to start in north London this weekend, with the likes of Max Kilman, Morgan Gibbs-White and Daniel Podence making way after rare run-outs in Europe. Santo's main decision will likely be whether to stick with a 3-5-2 or return to a 3-4-3 ahead of Sunday's game, with Wolves having used the former since an hour into the 4-0 win over Espanyol last week. Traore's excellent display against Spurs in the reverse fixture in December may factor into Santo's thoughts but the powerful winger may have to again be content with a place on the bench this weekend if there is no change in formation, unless Matt Doherty is handed an unexpected breather at right wing-back. Leander Dendoncker could be the makeweight if a 3-4-3 is used, with Traore joining Jota and Jimenez in a front three.

    Bad news for us Traore owners...

    1. The Fantastic Mr Fox
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Sure does raise some eyebrows

    2. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Unless Nuno has written it who worries...pure guesswork...

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        they r usually correct

    3. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Traore joining Jota and Jimenez in a front three is bad news?

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        he is out of the predicted lineup on team news. pls check

        1. I Member
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          It's just FFS guessing the lineup.

        2. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 17 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          Were they right last week with Traore?

    4. Barnabus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Traore ripped Spurs apart in December as part of the front 3, I'd be amazed if he doesn't start frankly.

  2. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Dgw confirmed?

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      what?

      1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        He said "Dgw confirmed?"

        1. GENERATION X
          • 12 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          That question mark makes a big difference!

        2. JIMMY TUGGINS
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          eh

  3. KINGS
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Bottom

    Martial owners. Keep or transfer for?

    1. OldBenKenobi
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Transfer

    2. jia you
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      keep

    3. LSK
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Swapping for Maddison

  4. GENERATION X
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    All this umming and ahhing re Leicester assets and just watch Tielemans cut loose - that would be classic FPL...

  5. Lachkov
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Terrible GW in terms of transfer decisions.

    I may just start 10 players (including Traore) and save my two FTs, rather than bring someone like McNeil or Tarkowski only to see Liverpool beat Chelsea in the FA cup, which would require the use of FH in GW31 anyway.

    We will know so much more about fixtures, chip strategies, etc. by the end of next week, so saving my 2 FTs will be a huge advantage over playing a crap 11th player this week.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Very true. Pool winning would make FH31 much more popular.

  6. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Best move here?

    A) Martial -> 7.9m max (save a FT)
    B) Williams & Martial -> Robbo & Cantwell
    C) Stephens & Martial -> Robbo & Snoddy
    D) Martial & Auba -> Mane & DCL/Jota

    Ryan
    TAA, Soy, Aurier, Stephens
    Salah, Moura, Perez, Martial*
    Vardy, Ings

    Button, Dendoncker, Williams, Auba
    Bank 0.0m, 2FT, all chips

    1. OldBenKenobi
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      You want 3 pool players one way or another.
      D with Jota stands out

      1. Jinswick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        I think you are right about 3 LIV. Losing Auba before his decent run feels risky though. Could just do a Martial downgrade to someone like Snoddy/Cantwell this week and reassess with 2FT and a chunk of change for after we get more news on the 31 blankers next week?

  7. davies
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Which option lads?

    A) Traore > Barnes
    B) Play Cantwell

    1. Orion
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Play Traore ?

  8. Champions League Varane
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Crazy?

    KDB TO Mane
    Gomez TO Boly

    Gw 29
    Vardy TO Auba..?

    1. Hulk Smash
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      If City have a DGW announced then no.

  9. faux_C
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    I'm at rank 4,900ish and need to make sure I consolidate rather than take risks to push upwards.

    Based on this should I captain Salah instead of Mane?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Salah if you don't want a top 1K rank.

    2. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      You should be pushing on for top spot!! Time to gamble. Nobody remembers 2nd..... 😉

      1. GENERATION X
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Did that from 2nd, ended 53rd.

        1. Jinswick
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          Other way round for me

    3. Pinturicchio10
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Which one do you think has the better chance of hauling?

      Go with that player no matter what your rank is.

    4. Syd.
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I would captain Mane

      Also didn’t you just say that your were ranked 5k ish

      1. faux_C
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        This was my only post all day...?

  10. mvtaylor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    So I've ended up in a weird position where I can only field 8 players this week.

    I have two transfers banked, plus the second wild card and free hit.

    Is it better to use any of the chips or just use the two transfers and field ten players? I'm leaning to just using the two free transfers.

    My GKs are Henderson and Button so I think I'll just go with no GK this week. Other players not starting are O'Connell, Baldock, Grealish and Aguero. Will ditch Baldock and Aguero for Gomez and Vardy. Gives me some cash next week to get Arsenal players in.

    1. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      2 FTs all day...

    2. Bergkamps second touch
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I would just use the 2 FT and get 10 players out. The average score this week will be lower, so you're not missing out on big opportunities like in a DG or something. I'm going with 11 and no subs, with a couple of rotation risks too like Traore.

      This week will be rough for most, just use free transfers and let it pass 🙂

      1. Nomar
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah, I used my 2 FT to get 11 out, but not expecting Traore or Aurier to start, so I'm working on 9 starters and 2 possible walk ons for 1 pt each.

    3. jamie1972
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Could use 1 ft to do Henderson to Pope, gets you a playing keeper this week and in the blank 31 (if not FH'ing)

  11. cravencottage
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Need some advice- please rank:

    A) Saint Maximin
    B) Ayoze Perez
    C) Mount
    D) Armstrong

    1. gergin
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      DBCA

    2. Barnabus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      BDCA

    3. MASTER ROSHI
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      BDCA

  12. Sz21
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Grealish + Maupay -> Barnes + Jota?
    Is a -4 decent for Hendo -> Pope too?

    TAA, Stephens, Williams, Saiss, Holgate.
    Mane, Salah, Dendoncker.
    Ings, Maupay.
    2ft, 0.2m ITB.
    Non players- Hendo, Stek, Auba, Grealish, KDB.

  13. osceola31909
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Who’s a better pick? Barnes or Pérez?

    1. Mingo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A difficult question indeed, one I've been wrestling with myself. Perez's ceiling is much higher than Barnes', however Barnes is the darling of the stat sheets in the last few weeks. Perez is the risky choice, Barnes is more FFS template.

  14. lekalatch
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Only have Mahrez from Arsenal and City. Could save FT this week and use 2FT to get two players in for DGW29. Or Free Hit worth it? With Aguero, KDB, Sterling, Auba, Pepe, Bellerin, All in!

  15. jimmyabs1987
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    I back Madd and Vardy to come back with a bang this week...

  16. kimking
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    sold Mahrez to Martial yesterday before the game (i know 🙁 )
    Cantwell, Rico and KDB on bench. 0 FT.
    Hold?

    1. I Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Yeah just play Cantwell.

  17. some witty pun
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Is Martial worth a -4 to replace? I cant field 11 players if he dosent play

    1. XabiAlonso
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I think so. Same dilemma myself looking at Bruno possibly

    2. Barnabus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Needs a scan, chances are he's out for a few weeks at least. I'd get rid.

  18. Jonny HOW SON?
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Would you start:

    A) Dendoncker
    B) Rico

    1. I Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      a

  19. Call Me Old Fashioned
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Boring question, but play Williams (eve) or Dunk (CRY)?

    1. I Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Dunk

    2. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Dunk

    3. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      dRunk

      1. Call Me Old Fashioned
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        thanks for replies

  20. jesimon7
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    For next 3 games, perez, barnes or bruno Fernandes (money not an object)?

  21. NUFCAndrew
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Hold FT? 1.4 ITB

    McCarthy

    TAA VVD Boly Stephens Williams

    Salah Adama Cantwell

    Auba Ings

    1. NUFCAndrew
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      4 subs don’t play this GW

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        KDB + ?

        1. NUFCAndrew
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          Auba & grealish

          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 17 Years
            6 years, 5 months ago

            one outfield player missing?

            1. NUFCAndrew
              • 10 Years
              6 years, 5 months ago

              Henderson is only other sub

              1. TorresMagic™
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 17 Years
                6 years, 5 months ago

                You named 11 above including Auba.

        2. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 17 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          and will Williams play? Will Traore start?

      2. Gazza2000
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Add Auba to those four on the bench, and probably Traore and Williams as well..

  22. manu4life99
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Why is Grealish 4th in watch list with a blank gw followed by hard fix?

    Any reason Barnes isn't backed by FFS?

    Toying between:

    A) Grealish > Barnes (Start Boly)
    B) Williams > Lascelles (Bench Boly)

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      26th Feb

      1. manu4life99
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Exactly so surely updated ahead of this gw?

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 17 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          Passed it on.

  23. aidmata
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Bruno or Maddison as a Martial replacement?

    Have Vardy and Soyuncu as Leicester cover but no other United players.

    1. Barnabus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Bruno

  24. Wakanda
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    is Tammy out for this GW ?

  25. GENERATION X
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Think he is fine.

    1. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      reply fail to above

  26. ViperStripes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Thoughts on:
    GW29: Ditching both Mane & KDB > Pepe & Fernandes
    That frees up cash for Vardy > Auba (possibly for a hit)
    OTher transfer under consideration is Jiminez > Jota for the cash.

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Don't like any of those moves

  27. Mufc202020
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Would you play Hayden and have no bench or take the hit and put Hayden as only sub???

  28. Tinmen
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Who’s the better option folks?

    R.James
    Soyuncu

    Leicester better defensively, but James more attacking potential

    1. Cahill
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      reeces pieces

  29. PompeyUpNorth!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    So, what to do? 1 FT 2.8 ITB
    RYAN Button
    Soy TAA VVD Stephens Rico
    Traore Salah cantwell Grealish KDB
    Vardy Ings jimmy

    A. Save transfer
    B. Grealish to Fernandes
    C. Grealish to Barnes
    D. Grealish to Maddy
    E. Suggest something else
    Cheers!

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      B

      1. PompeyUpNorth!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        That’s what I’m thinking, thanks for replying.. I’ll see what else comes in ta

  30. GENERATION X
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    In a way I'm glad for Laporte that is a new injury, this does tend to happen after a long lay off. Hope he recovers soon there are some doubles coming!

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Probably plays one at best especially if in CL