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The Final Hurrah – GW38 Plans

Picture this: It’s the last gameweek of the season, there’s everything to play for in your mini-league and you’re hanging on to dear life for the top position. Your Bench Boost failed, your Triple Captain was a disgraceful decision, but you’ve saved the best chip till last, the chip you know will bring you all the joy in the world to end the season on an inevitable high…but what do you do with it?

Well, I just so happen to be that guy who saved his Free Hit chip for the last gameweek of the season, so let me walk you through what I, and quite possibly a fair few of you, could do with the Free Hit chip in GW38+.

David Silva’s Swansong

This looks to be written in the stars, especially when you consider his recent form. After 10 successful years, over 300 appearances for the club and 11 major trophies (I won’t count the Community Shield), David Silva (£7.4m) has decided not to renew his contract at Man City, therefore making the game against Norwich his last for the Sky Blues. Taking into account Pep Roulette which we all know and love, he has still managed 3 goals and 3 assists from 5 starts, the 2nd most in-form Man City player behind the slightly (a lot) more expensive Raheem Sterling (£11.9m). With all these factors considered, I’d like to think Pep will allow David Silva to have the send-off he deserves and therefore he won’t be a victim to rotation, making him my No.1 captaincy choice for GW38+.

Teams fighting for something at both ends of the table

If there’s one thing I’ve learned from the end of season run-ins, its never about who the better team is, it’s about who is fighting for something. Everton, Newcastle and Crystal Palace have been perfect examples of teams that know they are safe and are fully aware that Europe is an unachievable dream this season. Thankfully, there are plenty of teams still looking for something! Aston Villa, Bournemouth and Watford scrapping to stay in the Premier League, Chelsea, Leicester and Man Utd challenging for the final 2 Champions League spots, and the likes of Wolves and Sheffield United dreaming of European football. These are the teams who will be pushing for a big result on the final day of the season and that more often than not means there will be goals! With this in mind, here are a few players I think will be looking to make a difference and carry their team into Europe or away from the dreaded drop:

  • Vardy, Fernandes, Rashford, Martial, Barnes (LEI v MNU)
  • Pulisic, Giroud, Wilian, Jimenez, Traore, Doherty (CHE v WOL)
  • Aubameyang, Lacazette, Deeney, Sarr (ARS v WAT)
  • Kane, Son, Stanislas, Antonio, Trezeguet, McBurnie, Trossard (The rest)

Too many choices, plenty of time to deliberate and make some bad decisions.

Avoid Norwich and Crystal Palace

This is fairly straightforward and pretty self-explanatory. Norwich have given up following their impending relegation and Crystal Palace look like they were told to get to 40 points and then go back to the beach. Between them, they have won 1 and lost the other 13 since the restart, needless to say, it’s not something you go shouting about. The plan – avoid any Norwich or Palace players and strongly consider investing in Spurs and Man City players.

Must-have cheap youngsters

The last games of the season often give us an insight into the youth coming through the ranks, possibly a hint at what players we might be seeing feature in the first team more often in the following season. For FPL managers, it means saving that extra bit of cash to be used elsewhere in the team, whilst having a few players that look to be fairly nailed on in the starting XI. We’ve already seen Mason Greenwood (£4.8m) for Man Utd and Eric Garcia (£4.5m) for Man City providing us with great options and value for money in teams competing in the top 4 and have recently seen other youngsters becoming viable first-team options. Luke Thomas (£4m) for Leicester is capitalising on injuries to Chilwell and Fuchs, Emiliano Martinez (£4.4m) for Arsenal is also showing promise between the sticks following an injury to Leno and Tariq Lamptey (£4.1m) for Brighton is showing off his pace and making to right-back position his own after some solid performances. If I am going to get the players in my team that I want, these 5 guys will be crucial to making sure that I stay within budget.

Who really wants to win the Golden Boot?

Let’s get selfish for a minute, let’s talk about the guys who will be chasing the beautiful trophy they call The Golden Boot. At the time of writing, Jamie Vardy (£9.7m) looks odds-on to secure the award (23 goals), with the likes of Danny Ings (£7.6m) (21) and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m) (20) still thinking they are in with a chance. Mohamed Salah (£12.5m) (19) is explosive and cannot be discounted, especially against a frail Newcastle United who’s defence is currently being blighted by injury, could he score 4 goals? I wouldn’t be brave enough to say no. Like most goals, you ultimately need to be looking at who is going to be setting them up, so making sure you know who is most likely to be helping out the players chasing the Golden Boot are just as important. Players who immediately come to mind are Barnes (LEI), Alexander-Arnold and Robertson (LIV), Pepe and Lacazette (ARS) and Ward-Prowse (SOU). Plenty to consider, the form of the players is absolutely pivotal and all of the leading candidates are thankfully firing on all cylinders!

Final Thoughts

After I finished writing all of this, I don’t think I even realised how much I had to think about! To think this is all for one gameweek is incredible, but that’s what happens when you are desperate to finish as high as possible in your mini-league. Here are the key points that I’ve highlighted above for picking my free hit team in GW38+

  • Captain David Silva for his final game for Man City
  • Pick players for teams that are fighting for something
  • Find those cheap enablers to allow the budget to be spent elsewhere
  • Keep Golden Boot contenders and their assisters in mind
  • Don’t pick Norwich or Palace assets

I hope this helps, good luck to everyone and if all fails…don’t worry, next season is just around the corner!

60 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Rotation's Alter Ego
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Thank you for submitting Franco!

    It's interesting you bring up Silva - surely he starts in that game, especially given it's at home, but how good is it?

    Not having a crowd there might lessen his desire to put in a masterclass perhaps, but equally may mean he's less likely to be subbed early as there would be no crowd to clap him off like a standard final game. However I think the bigger issue is the kind of a player he is - if it was, say, Aguero leaving City, you know he'd be taking every penalty and looking to leave with a hattrick.

    I'm not so sure Silva is the same - he's very much a team player. Will he be interested in one final goal? Probably, but I think he'd probably be happier looking for assists and maybe taking over all direct free kicks.

    I certainly want him, but I'm not sure I'd go as far as to captain. Will be interesting to hear what others think!

    1. POLSKA GOLA
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I feel too many are discarding KDB for 38+. Isn’t he after Ozil’s assist record? NOR would be a perfect opportunity for that

      1. Forza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        I think he's already beaten Ozil's record, but he's still chasing Henry's record of 22.

        1. OverTinker
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          record is of 20 assists by Henry

          1. Forza
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            You're right, the official number is 20. I read somewhere that it was 22 but it looks like a lot of sites get it wrong (Transfermarkt says it's 25).

    2. Long ago I drew a walrus
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I posted my views on triple City a couple of days ago and so far they still stand.

      https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2020/07/19/woods-aerial-threat-bodes-well-for-brighton-match-as-burnley-get-behind-pope/?hc_page=6&hc_sort_by=comment_date#hc_comment_22158128

      As good a pick as David Silva is I think that IF City go big, the main points will still be in the front 3. Silva has been such a great player over the years because of his passing, his vision, his set piece play, not his legendary feats of goalscoring, so IF we get treated to a David Silva masterclass it won't be him tucking the goals away, it will be Sterling/Jesus. It's a bit like in GW6 when KDB produced a masterclass performance and got 3BP (17pts) but Bernardo Silva scored a hattrick (19pts), or vs Liverpool more recently when KDB produced another 3BP performance (14pts) and still got outscored by Sterling (16pts). People make a big deal about Silva being nailed but in the likely scenario that we get a team leak, EVERYONE is nailed so for the captaincy might as well chase the big points.

      My 2 cents.

      1. Make Arrows Green Again
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Very good point. If we get a team leak a lot of the value of him being an almost certain starter gets undermined. However, he probably will play almost all the game, maybe the full 90, and he is quite cheap simply because he isn't a sure starter, so for this game he is great VFM (i.e. if FPL towers were pricing him for this game alone it would be 8.5m plus). Agree it's best to pick another captain if we do get leaks, but if we don't (or even if we do) he's a top pick and could still get a massive score.

      2. Humpero
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        So on this logic, Silva is guaranteed a big score and one of the front 3 will probably get 2-3 points more - but it’s a 1 in 3 chance of getting the right player as they won’t all score hatricks. Surely the better option is the guaranteed points...

    3. Baps hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I did trust Dilva with armband gw36 and he did deliver. Even with hindsight he was the best option. Jesus is unreliable, KdB can play too deep, Raz is more than capable to blank...

    4. Dybala10
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Agreed, would have him in my team but not a chance as captain

    5. Whits
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I'm on a TC and I'm reluctant to captain Silva due to uncertainty of mins. I'm triple captaining Kane because he's nailed to play at least 60 (barring an injury) and those extra few points make a huge difference. I will have Dilva but it feels like it's being built up too much. Seen this oh too many times for it then to fall on its face.

  2. POLSKA GOLA
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Impossible to guess which of City’s players does best but all who start should get returns. Let’s hope for early team news to make that decision easier for is 🙂

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      And how they lineup against Watford as pep said everybody will play during the 2 last matches

      1. POLSKA GOLA
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Yeah, that should provide some clues but nothing can beat the early team news 🙂

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Any good sources for early team news? I know Rockstar on twitter has said he wont be revealing.

    3. Khurram Sikandar
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      From where u guys get early team news. Which website post it?

  3. BNMC
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Dilva to get subbed off on 21 mins?

    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Not everyone is as vain as JT

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Could have been a small possibility if crowds were there in the stadium
      Know someone that brought in JT for that final GW as a punt!

      1. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        But it would be absolutely hilarious to see the meltdown on here though
        Bonus points if he gets booked for taking off his shirt as he walks off!

        1. St Pauli Walnuts
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Even if I captained him, would have to laugh at that.

    3. Rover
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      No way.

      1. Rover
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Honestly, people forget that JT was basically out of the Chelsea side that season. Between GW5 and GW36 (by which time the title was secured), he made 0 starts and played a total of 16 minutes, despite being available for 16 matchday squads.

    4. Lucy2019
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      With no crowd, I doubt it.

    5. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Never know with Pep says everybody will play during the last 2 matches, but not very likely

      1. OleGGMU
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        FA CUP lineup vs Arse the most likely line-up vs Norwich period
        Game against Wat will give insight as to how far that is true,
        Personally can see D.Silva being taken off at 70+ to sort of pass the torch on to the player most likely to take his spot i.e Phil Foden

    6. YuvalFPL
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Pep ain't like that.

  4. Tosa86
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    my actual draft with freehit:

    martinez
    pieters bardsley williams
    dilva (C) sterling (Vc) fernandes martial
    kane jesus auba

    button diop noble saka

    any suggestion?

    Do i need found place for salah?

    1. Saint Tim
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      nice, i have similar. not exactly sure who to captain/vice-captain yet

      martinez
      robertson pieters bardsley
      dilva kdb fernandes martial
      kane jesus auba

      martin barnes williams reid

    2. Big Ronnie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I would be worried without Salah, especially if he gets a goal or 2 tomorrow.

    3. dinner14
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      i think neglecting your defence to get in the most expensive attacking players you can will backfire , id look to get a cheaper option somewhere - antonio/ings/foden etc and then have a taa/digne/aurier better players with better fixtures and chances of hauling ,

      also don’t bother having saka just get the cheapest bench you can , there’s loads of defenders who will play at around 4.0-4.2 so just pick a good one as a 1st sub and spend the minimum on the other players as we should get team news before the deadline (mainly man city needed)

      good luck and just my opinion (currently 25k)

  5. Oringer7
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Playing around with FH, 20 points clear of rival both FHing, my team value is trash so this is what I have so far with .1 itb

    Pope (button)
    Tark, Aurier, Gomez (Brathwaite, Williams)
    KDB, Dilva, Fernandes, Antonio (Gundozi)
    Auba, Ings, Jesus

    Appreciate the help!

    1. JustPark
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Prefer 352 with Sterling but that could work too.

  6. garriq
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Final week... worst time to be indecisive so i turn to you.. the community!

    Final 2 are only separated by about 5 points. My opponent has FH, and I have Triple Capt. 3 questions

    1) Worth 4 points?

    2) Transfers: )
    1 - Vardy, Pulisic out - Kane, and (6.5m Mid) in - Thinkinig Trezeguet
    2 - Vardy, TAA out - Kane, and VVD in
    3 - Vardy, Pulisic out - Jesus, Antonio in

    3) Trip Capt.
    Options:
    a) KDB
    b) (D)ilva
    c) Jesus
    d) Kane
    e) Bruno

    Any input is appreciated!

  7. ceasar55
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    GW38 transfer wisdom needed:

    1) vardy out / Jesus in
    2) willian out / Silva Or Antonio in
    3) both 1 & 2 (-4 hit)
    4) Doherty + vardy out / Kane + Aurier (or sub 5.4 defender) in (-4 hit)

    Any help much appreciated!

  8. wantsharptv
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Sterling Mahrez -4 > KDB Fernandes?

  9. themaindanger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Chasing a 23pt deficit in my mini league.

    I have one free transfer with £1.9M ITB. Which is best option?

    KDB to Sterling
    Or
    Vardy to Kane

    Would consider doing both and taking a -4 hit, but don't have enough money and -8 hit is too much on top of a 23pt deficit.

  10. campion201
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    TAA or Robbo?

  11. campion201
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    A) Sterling,Rashford
    B) Kane, Fernandes
    C) Auba, Fernandes
    D) KDB,Rashford

    Thanks!