Spot the Differential
25 July 2020 4295 comments
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Gameweek 38+ offers FPL managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

Since the restart, we’ve tipped the likes of Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m), Kieran Tierney (£5.3m), Michail Antonio (£7.1m), David Silva (£7.5m), Junior Stanislas (£5.8m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.7m) and Gabriel Jesus (£9.9m), all of whom we like this week, but this time, our final three selections for the 2019/20 campaign are very much in the punt category.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Alexandre Lacazette

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £9.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: WAT

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.2m) has had to bide his time at Arsenal this season, but in recent weeks has finally started to find some form.

It’s now five attacking returns for the Frenchman since the restart, all of which have arrived following Mikel Arteta’s decision to switch to a 3-4-3 formation in Gameweek 31+.

The new approach has provided more balance, and despite Lacazette often dropping deep to link play, he’s still managed to accumulate four big chances during that run, which is the same amount as team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), despite fewer minutes.

Since the change to a back-three, only five teams have scored more goals than Arsenal, which is an ominous sign for their opponents on Sunday, Watford. To add to their worries, the manager-less Hornets have given up more big chances than any other side since the restart, conceding seven goals in their last two games, and realistically need to avoid defeat to harbour any hopes of securing Premier League safety.

Despite Arsenal being out of the running for a Europa League spot via their league position, Arteta will still be demanding a response having lost 1-0 to Aston Villa on Tuesday night, and whilst Aubameyang remains the popular pick, if funds are needed elsewhere, Lacazette is worth a look.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW38+ fixture: BOU

While Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.3m) has underwhelmed for much of the season, a change in system by Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti in Gameweek 37+ may give the Icelandic international an opportunity to finish strongly. 

Since the Italian’s appointment in December, when selected, Sigurdsson has had to operate in a 4-4-2, either as part of a central midfield duo, or out on the left flank, neither of which he has looked particularly comfortable in.

However, on Monday night at Bramall Lane, Ancelotti switched things up after a dismal run of results, playing both André Gomes (£5.2m) and Tom Davies (£5.3m) behind Sigurdsson, who operated as a number 10, in a 4-2-3-1.

Suddenly, Everton’s captain on the night was finding himself in good positions between the lines, and went on to create three chances, and lay on an assist for Richarlison’s (£8.2m) winner. 

He actually could have scored himself too, had Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.1m) been more aware of his team-mate’s position.

Everton will finish the season in 11th or 12th spot, and entertain second bottom Bournemouth on Sunday, who need three points and other results to go their way to stand any chance of staying up.

There is no doubt Sigurdsson looks more comfortable in his natural position behind the forward, and with a share of set-pieces and penalties, could be an intriguing differential for the final round.

Trézéguet

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: whu

Winger Trézéguet (£5.2m) has taken time to settle in the Premier League, but is now well on his way to becoming a Villa Park hero, having scored three vital goals in as many games.

The Egyptian has often rotated with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) this season, with neither player offering any kind of consistency, but since the restart, Trézéguet ranks first amongst teammates for big chances with five, and against Arsenal on Tuesday night, was the most advanced player in a claret and blue shirt. Finally, he’s starting to deliver on that early season promise he showed against the Gunners back in September. 

Now out of the relegation zone for the first time in five months, Villa’s destiny is in their own hands when they face West Ham United at the London Stadium on Sunday, and you get the feeling they’ll need to score, having failed to keep a Premier League clean sheet on the road all season. 

To do that, they may well have to rely on wide players Trézéguet and Jack Grealish (£5.9m), with both of their forward options, Mbwana Samatta (£5.1m) and Keinan Davis (£4.2m), struggling in front of goal.

The positive for Villa is they have momentum, having picked up seven points from the past nine available, and despite inconsistencies throughout the season, Trézéguet is now stepping up, and could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a budget midfielder.

4,295 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. jamiet
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Article got me thinking

    Current Team

    Pope (Steklenburg)
    Pieters, Garcia, Lamptey (Williams,Tanganga)
    Richarlison, Sterling (c), DSilva, Pulisic, Salah
    Kane, Ings (Greenwood)

    Inform to Outtaform

    Pulisic & Ings > lacazette & Barnes

    Chelsea fan maybe a few beers talking but thinking this might be a good movE.
    Might have gone to far with this

    Any sane advice is greatly appreciated

    Thanks in advance

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      I would keep Pulisic and ditch Richarlison. I am sober as well.

  2. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Who partners Laporte for city?
    Otamendi? Garcia?

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Garcia I would think

    2. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Garcia is their future, you would think he'd be given the start.

    3. mdm
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Fernandinho or Stones i think

    4. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Cheers.

      Need to decide which city defender to go with

  3. Bubz
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Jesus being overlooked isn’t he. His stats are unreal. Norwich concede to strikers most often. Shame he’s a useless donkey though

    1. Thomas M.
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      He is

    2. FPLHaggis
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Yes all stats point to Jesus. Think I'm going for him. And he's cheaper than Kane/Auba which makes other moves possible

    3. Maddocio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Yes indeed, I'm hoping Sterling/KDB/Dilva will cover City off and allow me to get Kane/Auba who aren't donkeys

    4. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      stats schmatz
      He has been appalling on the pitch. A current owner.

      1. Bubz
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Norwich though

    5. Long ago I drew a walrus
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      I've been debating this. Do Norwich concede most to strikers, or just whoever's in the box? I suspect it may be the latter and City play very fluid, Jesus not necessarily better than Sterling or Mahrez in this respect

      1. Bubz
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Good point, not sure. Perhaps the best trio is Sterling, Mahrez, Jesus!

        1. Long ago I drew a walrus
          • 15 Years
          6 years, 26 days ago

          For sure he gets the chances but I took a look at his returns today especially in home games and it really doesn't fill me with confidence

          1. Bubz
            • 13 Years
            6 years, 26 days ago

            Hes rubbish tbh! But I dont know... just have a feeling he could get loads of tap ins vs Norwich

    6. Shineonme
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      He sure is. Jesus is a must imo.

  4. Old Gregg
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    FH, which looks better please. Thanks In advance.

    A)
    Martinez
    Aurier-Pieters-Bardsley
    Martial-sterling-Dilva-Salah
    Jesus-Ings-Kane

    B)
    Pope
    Aurier-pieters-Stephens
    Martial- Sterling-Dilva-Mahrez
    Kane-Ings

    1. fkmzcgp
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A

    2. Thomas M.
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A

    3. COW
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A

    4. Big Ronnie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      not sure you posted this correct

      1. Big Ronnie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        B has 10 players

        1. Old Gregg
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 26 days ago

          Doh. Thanks. No wonder A is more popular.

          Salah!

          1. JabariParkersEyelid
            • 6 Years
            6 years, 26 days ago

            B is much better imo then.

    5. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A

    6. Shineonme
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A

  5. FPLGeezer
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    If not on FH which midfielders or strikers do you see as must own for gw38?

    1. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Just Sterling? Don't think there's a must own forward.

      1. FPLGeezer
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Sterling is the one I want contemplating losing KDB for him. Would be my captain choice too

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Salah, Sterling, Kane Jesus, Dilva.

      Whichever you can afford.

      1. FPLGeezer
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Jesus to start? Would need to lose one of Rash, Ings or Jimi as part of a -8 not sure it's worth it.

      2. JfA
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Some people with a FH will have all five of them 😮

        1. FPLGeezer
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 26 days ago

          Yep it certainly won't be a comfortable afternoons viewing and I'm a United supporter too.

  6. fkmzcgp
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Jesus or Kane?

    1. Phlajo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      I own both + Auba on FH. Cointoss between all 3 of them imo.

      So guess I'd pick Jesus as he's cheaper.

    2. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Kane

  7. Thomas M.
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Leading ML's with 37 respectively 43 points. Rivals has FH and will load up. Quite happy with my team but...

    What should I do?
    A. Get Salah? Only way is -4 and getting rid of Trent, not worth It right?
    B. Doherty -> Robbo or someone else?
    C. Pulisic -> Antonio / Moura / X

    Got main city trio, martial, Kane etc

    1. FPLGeezer
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Maybe D) hold where you're at. If you have the triple city martial and Kane you might just cover a Salah and Mane running wild with your 37 point cushion. Captain could be key

      1. Thomas M.
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        captain is Sterling. Would double pool defense (TAA and Robbo) help cover some. Kinda afraid of that Egyptian king even tho he haven't delivered lately. could've had a hat trick easy against Chelsea

  8. Bob B
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    DDG
    TAA Tarkowski Doherty (Azpilicueta)
    KDB Mahrez(c) Foden Fernandes Martial
    Vardy Jimenez (DCL)

    Any transfers here that stick out?
    Would need a hit to upgrade Vardy to Kane or Foden to Dilva.

    1. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Mahrez cap is ballsy and fun.

      Could just do Jimmy to Ings and avoid hits But no Sterling would worry me.

  9. Rolls-Royce
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Anyone going Triple Burnley defence or is it too much a risk?

    1. MattysFantasyFooty
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      I am

    2. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Plenty are because it's so cheap.

      Not for me though.

    3. Bubz
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      I am in one of my drafts where I need all the money for attackers. Have a feeling it is a bad idea though

      1. Rolls-Royce
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        They do have quality players like Trossard who can turn up with a worldie in his day.

        1. Paul Psychic Octopus
          • 15 Years
          6 years, 26 days ago

          so do most teams

    4. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Double feels too much.

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        This

      2. Rolls-Royce
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Yeah. probably just going with one of the attacking full-backs.

        1. Rainer
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 26 days ago

          They wont be as near attacking vs 11 men.

      3. Amey
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        I'm on Pope
        Finally !!

    5. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Concede 1 = utter fail.

    6. Lignja
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Have Pieters and Pope not sure should I go Taa, Greenwood or triple Bunley with Bardsly, Martial

      1. JabariParkersEyelid
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        TAA Greenwood is miles better.

        1. Vazza
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 26 days ago

          But is TAA going to play?

          1. JabariParkersEyelid
            • 6 Years
            6 years, 26 days ago

            Why do we think he won't?

            1. Vazza
              • 6 Years
              6 years, 26 days ago

              There are rumours that there will be a lot of rotation tomorrow

              1. Sargasso C
                • 7 Years
                6 years, 26 days ago

                There are rumours you are a mor on.

      2. JfA
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Got to have TAA in, going to be a cricket score against us tomorrow 🙁

    7. JfA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      If you're FH, why not Martinez and double Burnley, free up loads of money.

    8. Amey
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Too much for me

    9. Eastman
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      No. One goal and it’s bad news.

    10. FPLGyarados
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Triple here!

  10. HollywoodXI
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Potential hauls covered?

    McCarthy
    Trent Pieters Williams
    Salah Sterling KDB Dilva Antonio
    Kane Ings

    Martin Greenwood Branthwaite Justin

    1. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Starting Williams is a stretch but then again front 7 is fire.

      Personally I'd look at downgrading KDB to upgrade a bit in defence, but as I've said before I won't actually advise others to do that because of the risk involved.

    2. Treadstone
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Not really----Utd attackers and Auba could all haul but you cant have them all.

      1. HollywoodXI
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Could play Greenwood over Antonio?

    3. Amey
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Yep
      One benched too 😀

      1. HollywoodXI
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Branthwaite??

  11. MattysFantasyFooty
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    What’s better?

    A) Ings, Salah
    B) Auba, Martial/Son

    1. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A

    2. Big Ronnie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A) Salah will be greedy. As long as he bring half his shooting boots

    3. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Trustings Salah.

    4. Bushman
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A

  12. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    FPL website likely to go down at 14:45 tomorrow? Is it a risk to wait for team news to finalise free hit?

    1. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A big risk.

    2. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Doubt it. Always.

    3. Party time
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Yes imo

  13. gomez123
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Start Egan or Boly??

    1. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Boly

  14. Will J 256
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Which three do you prefer:
    1:
    Salah
    Ings
    Trent
    2:
    Son
    Auba
    Robbo

    1. Bushman
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      1, close though

    2. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Assuming all start, 2, just.

    3. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      1 by a hair yeah.

      1. Will J 256
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Thanks guys

  15. wildnothing
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Any improvements?

    Martinez
    Robbo Aurier Pieters
    Salah Sterling Dilva Antonio
    Kane Auba Jesus

    3.9 Branthwaite Guendouzi Williams

    Jesus to Ings and Antonio to KDB if Jesus doesn't start.

  16. leo_messi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Start Doherty or Maguire???

    1. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Doherty

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Doherty. Attacking returns.

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Doherty.

    4. treez
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      +Doherty

    5. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      In that position and have benched Maguire

    6. JfA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      I've got rid of Maguire so will get a header against his old club.

    7. leo_messi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      thanks guys

  17. how now brown cow
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Evening all.

    Used my FH to limited effect already, so now just have 2ft to play with and a shagged bench.

    Pope
    TAA Doherty Egan
    Salah KDB Bruno Martial
    Greenwood Vardy Jimenez

    Button Kiko Holgate Hayden

    City mids the obvious choice, but any ideas?

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Vardy > Ings

      KDB > (S)terling

    2. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Lose a United mid for Silva or mahrez, swap Jesus in for Vardy?

      You want in on that City game for sure.

    3. Shineonme
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Definitely KDB to Sterling

      1. how now brown cow
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Reckon 1 possibly superior city mid is better than 2 other city mids?

  18. treez
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Guys, your opinion. Will use BB as my final chip.
    FT 1 / In bank 1.4

    Martinez; Pope
    TAA, Doherty, AWB, Aurier, Pieters
    KDB, Sterling, Martial, Bruno, Saka
    Wood, Ings, DCL

    A) Bruno -> Dilva
    B) Martial -> Dilva
    C) Bruno+DCL -> Dilva + Rash / -4
    D) Bruno+DCL -> Dilva + Jimi / -4
    E) Martial+DCL -> Dilva + Jimi / -4

    p.s.
    Plan to captain Dilva or Sterling

  19. WE GO FOR IT
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Would you lose KdB/Mahrez for Sterling?

    1. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Either, probably Mahrez first.

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Yep

    3. JfA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      What do you mean, both or just one?

      1. WE GO FOR IT
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Just one

    4. Shineonme
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      YES

    5. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Cheers all! 🙂

  20. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    If both Mahrez and DSilva start who would you want in your team most alongside Sterling and KDB?

    A D Silva
    B Mahrez

    1. Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Mahrez has higher ceiling so B

    2. GROBARI
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Dilva

    4. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Mahrez off around 60 would be annoying. Favouring Dilva.

    5. Shineonme
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A

  21. Vazza
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Are we all being naive by assuming that TAA will play tomorrow?

    1. Whats the Huth
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      He will play. Why not

  22. Will J 256
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Is salah and mane on FH crazy? I have Trent at the moment as my Liverpool asset!

    1. Will J 256
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Sorry should say is going without salah and mane crazy!

      1. Vazza
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        I think TAA won’t feature tomorrow.

        1. Shineonme
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 26 days ago

          That's a big call.

  23. AC Pilkington
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Who scores more this GW?

    a) Auba, Son, Mahrez

    b) Salah, Jesus, Wood

    1. Party time
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      Just go Salah Son Jesus

  24. GROBARI
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Bruno to David Silva transfer (-4)
    Is it good transfer or not?

    1. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      No

  25. QUEN
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Doherty rashford foden > sterling pieters wood/dcl (-4)?

    Martinez
    TAA aurier doherty
    Kdb foden Mahrez mane Bruno
    Rashford giroud

  26. Old Gregg
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    FH, which looks better please.

    Repost. Apologies but I missed a player off in the previous post.
    Thanks In advance.

    A)
    Martinez
    Aurier-Pieters-Bardsley
    Martial-sterling-Dilva-Salah
    Jesus-Ings-Kane

    B)
    Pope
    Aurier-pieters-Stephens
    Martial- Sterling-Dilva-Salah-Mahrez
    Kane-Ings

    1. Shineonme
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A

      1. Old Gregg
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Thanks

    2. Watson300
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      My current draft is the same as A except Trent instead of Aurier. My bench is fodder tho so a risk if one of them doesn’t start

  27. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Think I've settled on my FH team. Pending hearing someone is benched. How does it look?

    Pope
    TAA, Aurier, Pieters
    Sterling, Dilva, Mahrez, Salah, Martial
    Kane, Ings

    Martin, Nketiah, Branthwaite, Williams

  28. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Who scores more this GW do you reckon?

    a) Mahrez

    b) KDB

    1. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 26 days ago

      A

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 26 days ago

        Agree

  29. Thewoodyhorse
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    A - Son & Jesus
    B - Mahrez and Kane

  30. jimmy.floyd
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 26 days ago

    Play Lamptey or AWB?