Spot the Differential
27 November 2020 1464 comments
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The Gameweek 10 deadline is now upon us which gives us the opportunity to have a look at some other differential options.

This time, we’ve got routes into Manchester City and Leeds United’s attacks, plus Manchester United’s defence.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Raphinha

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW10-14 fixtures: eve | che | WHU | NEW | mun

Raphinha (£5.4m) has had to be patient since his deadline day move from Rennes, but finally made his first start against Arsenal last time out.

Operating on the right of Leeds United’s 4-1-4-1 setup, the Brazilian looked lively throughout. 

Though he lacked an end product, he showed his quality in flashes and provided some eye-catching moments, producing four shots, four penalty area touches and the highest expected assist (xA) total of any player on the pitch. It was an impressive full debut for the 23-year-old who saw out the full 90 minutes and almost capped the day with a late winner.

His performances in France certainly suggest he can thrive in England, as he helped Rennes to qualify for the Champions League last season, contributing a combined eight goals and assists in 22 Ligue 1 appearances. 

Whites head coach Marcelo Bielsa will know, of course, that he may be able to target Everton’s left-flank this weekend, knowing that Lucas Digne (£6.2m) will sit out after suffering an ankle ligament injury in training. That could mean the inexperienced Niels Nkounkou (£4.0m) steps into a defence which has now conceded two or more goals in six straight Premier League matches, which further boosts Raphinha’s appeal. 

Leeds could count themselves highly unlucky not to have scored against Arsenal last weekend, but will take encouragement from their performance. The signs are good though, and Raphinha should only get better as he settles into his new surroundings.

Raheem Sterling

  • FPL ownership: 4.7%
  • Price: £11.5m
  • GW10-14 fixtures: BUR | FUL | mun | WBA | sou

England forward Raheem Sterling (£11.5m) has gone from strength-to-strength during his time at Manchester City, netting 31, 25 and 23 goals in his last three seasons.

He is yet to hit those heights this term, but has enjoyed a reasonably productive start, scoring five times in all competitions despite the Citizens’ well documented troubles in front of goal.

Against Olympiakos on Wednesday night, Pep Guardiola made several tactical tweaks in an attempt to rejuvenate his faltering attack. The wingers, who played on their stronger footed sides, were positioned closer to Gabriel Jesus (£9.3m) with the full-backs providing the width. It resulted in them looking sharper than they have done in weeks, with Sterling providing the assist for Phil Foden’s (£6.5m) winner. 

We’ve seen the wingers playing on their natural sides in Europe on a couple of occasions now, is the Premier League next?

Saturday’s opponents Burnley were dealt a huge blow earlier this week with the news that influential keeper Nick Pope (£5.4m) looks set to miss out. With home games against Fulham and West Bromwich Albion to follow, either side of the Manchester derby, City now have the opportunity to kick start their season, and if they are to find that rhythm their assets have the potential to rack up huge individual hauls.

Sterling is an intriguing differential ahead of City’s fixture swing, and is perhaps an overlooked pick for the armband in Gameweek 10.

Alex Telles

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW10-14 fixtures: sou | whu | MCI | shu | LEE

After making his first Premier League start against West Bromwich Albion last weekend, Alex Telles (£5.5m) is at long last ready to make his debut in this column.

The Brazilian completed his move from Porto to Manchester United in the summer, but has had a stop-start beginning to his Old Trafford career after testing positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) last month.

However, the 27-year-old has now started back-to-back matches for his new club and impressed in both, particularly with his delivery from wide areas. Against the Baggies, Telles served up seven crosses in total, which was more than any other player on the pitch. He also had the second highest number of touches in the final third and registered two shots, which are encouraging numbers. 

He then built on that performance against Istanbul Basaksehir in midweek, which is where he really caught the eye. One of the standout performers on the night, Telles created four goalscoring chances and was instrumental in The Red Devils first two goals.

In the absence of Luke Shaw (£4.8m), Telles is expected to get an extended run in the starting XI, and could become a major asset down United’s left-flank. Given how focused they are down that side, he has the potential to be one of the best defensive assets in the game, and could be a huge differential for those willing to invest early.

  1. CrouchDown
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    What would you guys do with this mess? 1.8 itb

    Martinez

    Chilwell Bellerin Justin

    Rashford Son Grealish Zaha*

    Werner DCL Kane

    Subs: Steer, Bissouma Taylor Mitchell

    1. MattysFantasyFooty
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Zaha to Jota

      1. CrouchDown
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers mate.

        Would you also do Son/Kane > KDB or Vardy for -4?

        1. Camzy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          I would, yes. You need a captain this week.

        2. MattysFantasyFooty
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          As someone with vardy and no city I’m biased and say go vardy but it’s really up to yourself. I’d say don’t do a hit unless captaining one of them

    2. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      upgrade taylor/mitchell to cancelo/dias?

    3. MJF
        5 years, 5 months ago

        I think that team's fine, its not ideal but get rid of Zaha and you've 11 decent starters and your bench are all fit.

        I think Zaha -> Jota is the right move and I would possibly cap DCL.

    4. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      thoughts guys? play
      A dallas
      B w peters
      C kilman
      cheers

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        C

        1. Gizzachance
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          thanks

    5. tabby98
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Mccarthy (Nyland)
      Chilwell, Reece James, Mitchell, Justin, KWP
      Salah, Son, Ziyech, Grealish
      Kane, DLC, Bamford

      2.1m itb

      Want to try and get Vardy in for Bamford.
      Bamford + Son ---> Vardy + Jota?

      Any other suggestions? someone help pls

      1. CAREFREEE
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Not sure why you're getting rid of Bamford.

        I think I read on here he's had the most shots in the penalty area over the last few GW's.

        Digne is out too, so Leeds will have some joy down the left hand side.

        I'd do Kane > Vardy personally.

      2. MJF
          5 years, 5 months ago

          I wouldn't be losing Bamford in a hurry. Terrific value.

          Why don't you just go Kane -> Vardy. One Spurs attacker is probably plenty for this tougher run plus you already have Salah so I don't see the need to jam in Jota at the cost of four points at all.

      3. MattysFantasyFooty
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Is Dallas the best Leeds defender to have?

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Think it's 50/50 between him and Ayling

        2. Rasping Drive
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          From GW12, Leeds have some nice fixtures so there is a good chance Dallas will play midfield, so him.

          1. Miguel Sanchez
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            What's the logic here? Interesting if true

            1. Rasping Drive
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              5 years, 5 months ago

              I think Bielsa prefers to play him midfield against weaker opposition, or at least he does often enough to make Dallas the better pick imo

              1. Miguel Sanchez
                • 9 Years
                5 years, 5 months ago

                Fair - he played 45 of 46 games last season in the Championship across both full back positions and midfield

      4. _Gunner
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Thoughts on Kane > Aguero as a punt for free?

        1. LegsA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          itching to do the same but I don't have Vardy and its maybe a bit early for Kun as his minutes will be managed

        2. Miguel Sanchez
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Not sure Aguero starts this GW from what I read

        3. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          No way

      5. ChuckyPancamo
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        This is doing my nut in! What would you do here? All moves for a -4

        Current front 8:
        Grealish Zaha Salah Son Bowen
        Kane DCL Delap

        A) Zaha + Bowen to KDB(C) + Soucek
        B) Zaha + Delap to Bissouma + Vardy(C)
        C) Zaha + Kane to Bruno + Vardy(C)

        Cheers!

        1. Kuzser
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          B or C

        2. Mings the Merciless
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          C

      6. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Vardy, Sterling or DCL for (C)?

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Vardy

        2. Camzy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Vardy.

          1. Christina.
            • 16 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            hows the team looking Camzter?

            1. Camzy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              5 years, 5 months ago

              It's ready. -4 again.

              Semedo > Cancelo
              Kane > Vardy

              1. Christina.
                • 16 Years
                5 years, 5 months ago

                nice

              2. OverTinker
                • 7 Years
                5 years, 5 months ago

                I want to do Semedo to Cancelo/Dias too but I Semedo is playing against Arsenal so hit might not work here NO??

                1. Camzy
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 15 Years
                  5 years, 5 months ago

                  No. This is one of those sort of unintuitive but good transfers to make because it saves you time.

                  Next week Semedo has Liverpool and you'll be getting rid next week anyway. Why not move a week earlier and get Burnley at home as well? Next week there will be other fires to fight and if you put off this move too long you will end up keeping Semedo through poor fixtures and bad returns.

                  1. OverTinker
                    • 7 Years
                    5 years, 5 months ago

                    Ok thanks I think I need to be brave and do the move. But since i don't have a playing sub so i should go for Dias instead of cancelo

              3. Brosstan
                • 11 Years
                5 years, 5 months ago

                Why sell Semedo for a hit when 0-0 is locked in?

                1. Brosstan
                  • 11 Years
                  5 years, 5 months ago

                  Especially for cancelo who is a rotation risk this week

        3. how now brown cow
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Vardy

          1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
            • 11 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            Party it is

      7. Kuzser
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Keep thinking who to get from Salah, KdB and Vardy... Will appreciate your help guys, what to do here?
        1ft, 2.5itb
        1) Son-> KdB
        2) Son Kane -> Salah/KdB Vardy for -4
        3) Son Ziyech-> Jota KdB for -4
        4) Kane Bowen-> bamford Salah/KdB for -4
        5) Bowen->Jota

        Martinez
        Robbo - James- Justin
        Son - Bowen - Grealish - Ziyech - Bruno
        DCL - Kane

        Mitchell - Brewster - Saiss

      8. FPL Doctor
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        FInal WC team - any changes?

        Martinez
        Justin Cancelo Dias
        KDB Bruno Grealish Ziyech Jota
        DCL Vardy

        Steer Brewster Dallas Lewis

        1. Rasping Drive
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Not sure I would have Martinez or Justin on a WC; rest looks great. Any cash itb?

      9. Captain_Shirokov
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Righteo, anything here worth a hit or am I ready to rock?

        Martinez
        Chilwell, Dias, KWP
        KDB, Bruno(c), Ziyech, Grealish
        Kane, DCL, Bamford

        (Dallas)

      10. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Not seeing many sides with Sterling, any reason?

        1. Rasping Drive
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Because he has been pants recently

        2. how now brown cow
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Think people have been watching him play.

      11. ZimZalabim
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Should I start

        A. Coufal vs Villa at home
        or
        B. Lewis vs Palace away

        I own Grealish and Martinez also

        1. Rasping Drive
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          If you’re the kind of manager that doesn’t like head-to-heads for your players, then Lewis. I’m not such a manager and would play Coufal.

          1. ZimZalabim
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            Its not that I dont like head to heads for my players Im just thinking how both games would likely play out and feel Palace vs Newcastle probably has a higher chance to end goalless or atleast be quite a tight game.
            Im just not sure, I have Coufal in at the moment but wondering if Lewis might be the better pick for this week.
            Tougher choice than it appears to be.

      12. Podge
        • 15 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Salah Barkley Wilson Zaha
        Which 2 to sort first ?

        1. how now brown cow
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Why does salah need sorting?

          Wilson is back.

          Barkley and zaha.

          1. Podge
            • 15 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            Ta

      13. Dybala10
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Knowing Pope is out really makes me want a City player, but would I captain them?

        I already have Salah and may captain and my problem is Mane hasn't quite worked out as I hoped.

        Is Mane to KDB for -4 worth it? Or only if I captain him?

      14. FPL_Crisis
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        repost
        would you play Soucek over Foden this week or move Foden to Jota and bench Soucek?

        1. claretparrot
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          If keeping Foden, got to start him over Soucek.
          I'd be tempted by the Jota move but not sure this is the week for it

          1. FPL_Crisis
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            the risk is 20 min cameo for Foden vs Soucek start that's all

            1. claretparrot
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              5 years, 5 months ago

              I back 20 mins of Foden against Burnley over 90 of Soucek. I have both and will be starting Foden

              1. FPL_Crisis
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 15 Years
                5 years, 5 months ago

                interesting and cheers might just be worth waiting on Jota

      15. MattysFantasyFooty
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        What to do?

        A) Saiss to Dallas
        B) Saiss, Lamptey to Dias, Lewis/Kilman -4pt hit

      16. IRBOX ⚽
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        @AZ.. you around bro..? It’s ‘J’ota..‘ not ‘Y’ota.. Spanish pronounce the J very differently to the Portuguese (see Jose Mourinho).. please amend this in FPL Blackbox. Amazing pod but you need to fix this. Every commentator calls him correct phonetically, I think you can too bro

        1. Az
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          YES WE GET IT THANK YOU

          😉

          1. built_this_city
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            Jota pal

          2. IRBOX ⚽
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            Bro, it’s the best pod around.. just trying to help you take it to the next level! Appreciate what you and Mark have done, it’s the Scoutcast of the glory days (but better). Xx

            1. Rasping Drive
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              5 years, 5 months ago

              I could sense Mark and Az lying awake at night, racking their brains for an additional cutting edge, that elusive “je ne sais quoi” ingredient to elevate Black Box to the next level. They can now sleep soundly in their beds, take a bow sir.

        2. The Count of Monte Cristo
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Incidentally, 'jota' is actually the name of the letter 'J' in Spanish.

          As in, how in English the letter 'J' is "jay".

          1. IRBOX ⚽
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            Amazing

          2. Rupert The Horse
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            Hehe, yeah.

        3. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Bring Santi Cazorla back

        4. The Polymath
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          "Every commentator?" Big claim. 😀

          1. IRBOX ⚽
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            No prem commentators call him Yota that’s for sure

          2. The Polymath
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            We at Wolves renamed him Jota with a jay, 😀

      17. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Bench 1

        Chilwell
        Riedwald
        Targett
        Cresswell

        1. TheSteel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          B

        2. The Count of Monte Cristo
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          B

      18. KDB4PREZ
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Any ideas team?

        Martinez
        Chilly Semedo Dallas (Lamptey,3.9)
        Son Bruno Rashy Grealish Ziyech
        Kane Bambam (Brewster)

        A) Kane>Vardy(C)
        B) Kane&Lamptey>Cancelo

        1. KDB4PREZ
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Fail delete if poss plz

      19. TheSteel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Going Sterling (c) over Vardy. GLTA

        1. KDB4PREZ
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Gl

        2. OverTinker
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          same here

      20. FPLMACKEM
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Choose a captain?

        A Salah
        B KDB
        C Fernandes

        * I'm currently on Salah

        1. Camzy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          KdB. It's Burnley at home. Jesus.

          1. Rover
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            No Jesus, Aguero is back 😉

          2. Wolfman180
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            Which could have 1-0 written all over it as City struggle to break them down

            1. The Big Fella
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 5 months ago

              Pope being out helps I think

          3. TheSteel
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            So which one you going with?

            1. Camzy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              5 years, 5 months ago

              KdB or Vardy. I'm still undecided...

          4. petergriff
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            But Salah's previous fixture with Brighton he scored a brace and assisted 2 i think. Brighton will be more open than Burnley. And City out of form compared to Liverpool. And will KDB play deep? I think it's tough between Salah and KDB.

            1. Camzy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              5 years, 5 months ago

              The thing is, Liverpool are not that hot. That loss to Atalanta wasn't great, they still have injury problem especially in midfield. Salah also newly recovered from COVID.

              And also, I don't like captaining against Brighton. They are capable of some big performances that other mid-table teams can't do. They can dominate possession, they concede very few shots, it's just not a team that I feel like targeting will work nearly as well as some other ones (FUL, BUR, WBA, SHU are the key targets imo).

              It didn't really work when Spurs played them, and I don't think Salah will get like 15+ points in this one either.

        2. IRBOX ⚽
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          B

        3. GreennRed
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Bruno.

      21. Pep Roulette
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Podence to Jota for free?

        1. KDB4PREZ
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          I would

        2. Camzy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Super easy transfer here.

        3. TheSteel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Podence is a great player but his shot is just too weak for a PL calibre keeper

        4. Pep Roulette
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Cheers everyone

      22. cruzex
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        No vardy No party

      23. SomeoneKnows
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Best captain out of the following?
        (Currently on Bruno)

        A) Bruno
        B) DCL
        C) Kane
        D) Son
        E) Ziyech

        1. Wolfman180
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Keep with Bruno

      24. Patio Kev
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Love all 3 of these Differentials as great picks on paper, real chance they all deliver this week.

        1. avfc82
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Thanks mate, Raphinha is a bit punty, but that's what this column is all about.

          Sterling and Telles I like a lot.

          Hopefully we'll get a bit more joy than that Struijk pick from a few weeks back 🙂

          1. Stranger Mings
            • 5 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            Hi with digne out would you still captain DCL or look at others like sterling or Bruno ? Thanks

            1. avfc82
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              5 years, 5 months ago

              If it were me, I'd go Sterling, followed by Bruno.

              1. Stranger Mings
                • 5 Years
                5 years, 5 months ago

                Ok cheers maybe I will change to sterling then

      25. afsr
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Planning to take a hit and need advice

        Martinez
        Сhilwell, Mitchell, Cresswell
        Grealish, Son, Bruno, Jota
        Vardy, DCL, Bamford

        Forster, Bowen, Lamptey, Dunne
        0FT, 5.3 ITB

        A - Dunne -> Cancelo/Van Anholt (-4)
        B - Bowen -> KdB (-4). If so, then who do i bench for this gameweek?
        C - Son -> KdB (-4)
        D - A+B/C (-8)

        1. KDB4PREZ
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          A with Cancelo then maybe A&B if you wanted

      26. KDB4PREZ
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Best captain

        A) KDB
        B) Vardyparty

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          B

        2. afsr
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Planning B myself

      27. QUEN
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        A) any hints on Jotas minutes?
        B) the who replaces Digne

      28. Riggs
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Martinez (Steer)
        Robbo Chilwell Coufal (Lamptey) (Kilman)
        Son Grealish Zaha* KDB (Burke)
        Kane DCL C. Wilson
        1 FT, 1.9 ITB
        Who to replace Zaha with? Jota, Ziyech, F. Torres? And do I need hits?

      29. balint84
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        A,) zouma to dias
        B) coady to 3.9 to make money and save zouma