Metrics
12 January 2021 1155 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
Share:

Just under two-thirds of Fantasy Premier League managers ranked inside the top 10,000 played the Free Hit chip for Blank Gameweek 18.

Before Tuesday’s deadline, just 15.6% of them had pulled the trigger on a one-week-only squad.

However, as the evening’s first games kicked off, it was confirmed by LiveFPL.net that the usage of that chip after 18 Gameweeks had risen to 78.5%.

That means just under 63% of the top 10k saw Blank Gameweek 18 as the optimal time to play the Free Hit.

It is now by far the most utilised of the three non-Wildcard chips this season.

As a result, the Triple Captain and Bench Boost were largely, and expectedly, left untouched.

However, it is certainly of note that 7.6% of the top 10k played their second Wildcards, almost certainly with Double Gameweek 19 at the forefront of their planning.

After several weeks of planning, we can finally examine the players that made the Free Hit cut among the top 10k.

As you can see from the template above, the small number of matches made for a large number of heavily-owned assets.

For example, Bruno Fernandes (£11.3m), Son Heung-min (£9.8m), Harry Kane (£11.0m) and Kevin De Bruyne (£11.8m) all secured places in over 94% of top 10k Free Hit squads.

Callum Wilson (£6.6m) has already let down the 70.1% who brought him in for one week only, blanking in the 1-0 defeat to Sheffield United.

Meanwhile, over 60% chose Tyrick Mitchell (£3.9m) and João Cancelo (£5.8m) and 58% felt Kieran Tierney (£5.4m) was worth extra spend compared to Rob Holding (£4.5m).

Therefore, it is up to the relative differentials to make a difference among these managers with roughly 44% investing in John Stones (£5.0m), Alexandre Lacazette (£8.3m) and Marcus Rashford (£9.6m).

It looks as if the goalkeeping department has the potential to make the biggest difference between these Free Hitting managers with just 26.4% ownership for the most popular shot-stopper, Hugo Lloris (£5.6m), in such squads, with Bernd Leno (26.3%) just behind him.

It is also worth considering which Free Hit assets count as relative differentials compared to the wider template top 10k template – although the 62% usage for the Free Hit will have significantly influenced that matrix of players.

Once again, it looks like the goalkeepers have the biggest power, however underwhelming that sounds. 

32.4% of this week’s top 10k came into Blank Gameweek 18 considering neither one of Leno (22.1%) or Lloris (19.2%) has a particularly large share at this level.

Bukayo Saka (£5.3m) could be something of an effective difference-maker for Free Hitters considering 53.9% of such managers decided to own him for Blank Gameweek 18 compared to 43.2% ownership for the rest of the top 10k.

Meanwhile, Rashford and Lacazette are both in roughly 44% of Free Hit squads compared to 33.5% and 32.4% of all top 10k squads.

There are some interesting decisions on display from those taking a longer-term approach with their Blank Gameweek 18 teams.

Holding is preferred to Tierney and Pedro Neto (£6.0m) has been selected by 31% of the top 10k’s Wildcard managers despite just one match in Double Gameweek 19.

And with Manchester United’s kind fixture schedule, Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.3m) was chosen by a similar share, more than the backing for Harry Maguire (£5.4m).

All eyes will be on Manchester City and Spurs on Wednesday concerning the top 10k captaincy debate.

40.8% of managers at this level backed De Bruyne with the armband, off the back of his double-digit haul against Chelsea and Brighton’s growing injury list.

The addition of Spurs’ meeting with Fulham did play a big part in the captaincy conversation in the end.

Kane mopped up 29.8% of the armband support among the top 10k, which left Fernandes with just 15.6% of it for Manchester United’s trip to Burnley.

Even though Son still sits in more top 10k squads than Kane, he is backed by fewer of them for the captaincy for the match with Fulham – just 11.2% of them choosing the South Korean as their skipper.

Raheem Sterling (£11.4m) has been conspicuous by his absence in this article thus far – mainly because he has gone under the Free Hit radar, it would seem.

Not among the most popular midfielders among Free Hitting top 10k managers, just 0.9% of managers at this level have captained him for Blank Gameweek 18.

Statistics taken from LiveFPL.net

GET IN-GAME DATA AT LIVE FPL

Check your own rank and in-play FPL stats on LiveFPL.net every Gameweek

  1. The Wizard of Ozil
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Looking forward is double City & Double Chelsea a good idea?

    Looking at

    Mendy
    Cancelo - Dias - Zouma - Caufal

    Takes a lot of messing about to get Robo/TAA in and not sure it’s worth it

    1. The Wizard of Ozil
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      At the back...

  2. Ibralicious
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Marinez - Johnstone
    Chilwell - Dallas - Bednarek - Coufal - Taylor*
    Salah - Bruno - Rashford - Grealish - Bowen*
    Kane - Bamford - Adams*

    0.0 ITB - 1 FT

    Which fires worth sorting out with 1 FT in this GW19 team? Cheers!

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Planning BB?

      1. Ibralicious
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Yes!

        1. Pat Bonner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          As TM says you need to see on villa news and also if Leeds saints is moved. Personally I wouldn’t go near BB this week

          1. Ibralicious
            • 11 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Cheers, I'll keep an eye out

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Who knows, you might have 3 Villians without a game.

      1. Ibralicious
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Fair enough

  3. Cookie Kid
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    I fell for Saiss again

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Fell for Wilson again.

      1. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Fell for both

  4. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Didn't watch the game, Pogba a big issue for Bruno FPL wise?

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Potentially . Not selling him though. No way

    2. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Not for me. More so Ole running him into the ground. Looks fatigued.

      1. Here's Tom with the We…
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        No I don’t think so. Bruno never leaving my team.

    3. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      TM will I win LMS ? I have good chance this year

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Same chance as the other 1000+, next to no chance.

        1. FPL Daniel
          • 16 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Disagree. I am winning it

    4. Railwayman
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Wouldn't say so. Bruno had a rare away night off.

    5. Fudgy
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Our teams are so similar

    6. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Bruno still getting in good areas and very advanced. Didn’t see pogba negatively impacting him after watching the game

    7. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers all. Hopefully KDB plays or else Bruno vc would hurt.

      1. Bleh
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Same here, hope he turns up!

      2. FPL Daniel
        • 16 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Why would KDB not play ?

        1. Salah’s Sonnet
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Wondering the same. Could slip on a banana peel or something maybe?

    8. BOATIES FC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      No. Pogba was sitting deep quite a lot. Bruno saw plenty of the ball in dangerous areas still

  5. Bleh
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    -1 from 3, lovely!

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      How?

      1. Long ago I drew a walrus
        • 15 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Counting hits presumably

      2. Eddie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Still can't work it out.

      3. Sharkytect
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Hits

    2. Eddie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      How?

    3. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Great stuff!

    4. Bleh
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Did Salah, DCL > KDB, Brewster (-4) for a one week punt/create funds.

      Players today were Bruno (2), Brewster (1) and Stephens (0).

      1. Eddie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Stephens doesn't really count. And, why do you have Stephens?

        1. Bleh
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Had him since my WC in GW4, best fodder at the time. Rest of the team is Dias, Stones, Mitchell, Holding, KDB, Son and Kane so hoping for some returns there!

    5. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      That's painful.

    6. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      -6 from 1.

      Quite happy to be honest..

  6. ivantys
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Dawson too risky to get for a hammers defender?

    1. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Ive punted on wc. Think only his old legs are the worry

      1. ivantys
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        I'm tempted to go Ogbonna as well, he might become next Zouma with those fixtures coming up.

  7. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    The FPL Scout having the Midas touch so far
    Can't wait for them to jinx KDB tomorrow!

    @OfficialFPL 2h
    SCOUT: Pedro Neto (£6.0m) has taken more shots (32) and created more chances (28) than any of his team-mates

    The @Wolves star has scored or assisted in four of his last five home matches

    #FPL #WOLEVE

    @OfficialFPL 2h
    SCOUT: In 14 #PL away matches since joining Man Utd, Bruno Fernandes averages over 10 points per game

    #FPL #BURMUN

    @OfficialFPL 2h
    SCOUT: Sheff Utd last kept a clean sheet against Chelsea in GW35+ back in July
    They've conceded in each of their 20 #PL matches since
    Callum Wilson owners = Smirking face
    #FPL #SHUNEW

    @OfficialFPL 2h
    SCOUT: Karl Darlow (£5.0m) faces a Sheff Utd side who have failed to score in each of the last three Gameweeks
    The Blades have managed just eight goals all season
    #FPL #SHUNEW

    1. Footieboot
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Lol can't make this up really

    2. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Ah ah ah

  8. I Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Pleased that double United defence delivered. Clean sheet seemed more likely to me than a bunch of goals so went with DDG, AWB and Bruno. Now for Sterling to hopefully outscore the City defenders.

    1. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      If he plays...

  9. Ruudy Van
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Cavani punt fail but it was exciting at least!

    1. I Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Could've really had some points.

    2. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      He'll come through.

    3. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Was it?

    4. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      It was

      And he had chances... on another day...

  10. Marcin the Pole
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Out of interest, what wins out of these two:

    A) Leno, Son, Gundogan
    B) Tierney, Saka, Sterling, Laca

    1. Whazza
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. Footieboot
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Easily B. Must be veeeery unlucky to lose this

    3. I Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B

  11. Well you know, Triffic
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Scenes when Zaha scores

  12. dshv
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Johnston Antonio Taylor Dallas

    Would you hit the BB ??

  13. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Best defender up to 4.5 for gw19?I have Coufal,Balbuena,Taylor.

    1. Here's Tom with the We…
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Holding or Alioski, if Leeds keep their dgw.

      1. Old Wulfrunian
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        cheers.I also have 3 players from Leeds.

  14. HaffNanner
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    1FT 0.1ITB
    Martinez // Button
    Robertson / Dias / Coufal // Dallas / Mitchell
    Salah / Fernandes / Grealish / Soucek // Stephens
    Kane / Vardy / Bamford

    A. Grealish, Kane > KDB, Antonio (-4)

    B. Robertson, Grealish, Vardy > Cancelo, KDB, Antonio (-8)

    C. Robertson, Stephens, Vardy > Stones, KDB, Brewster (-8)

    1. Whazza
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Too soon to decide

  15. Alisson WondHaaland
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    7 from 4, quite a few poor turnouts from my differential Free hit picks for today. Sterling (C) to look forward to tomorrow!

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A capped Sterling is never anything to look forward to

  16. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Assuming Everton-Villa game is off.

    Is Martinez-> Mendy for a hit a good move? Bench boosting next gw

    1. Whazza
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Tricky! Villa would have 4 games in hand if that's the case.. Triple Villa here considering just benching them if it's against City only and saving the BB

    2. ivantys
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Not bad, Mendy could keep one against Fulham

    3. Eddie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      No. They'll probably still play the City game and if he gets 2 or more, you are relying on Mendy keeping cleansheet in at least one just to break even. And you'll have lost Martinez.

    4. Sharkytect
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Why would it be pff?

      1. Whazza
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Villa have asked for postponement as they might only be able to return to the training ground the day before the game

      2. S.Kuqi
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        The usual reason nowadays. Villa not might not be able to train properly

    5. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks all

  17. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    What to do ?
    Any ideas appreciated
    1ft
    0.6 in the bank

    Leno
    Meguire, Cancelo, Targett, Dier
    Kdb, Son, Neto, Bruno, Grealish
    Kane

    Sub: Forster, Dcl, Brewster, Rhys Williams

    1. Villa will play game or it will be postponed?
    2. Should I keep Dcl (7.8 selling value) ?

  18. The Hunt
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Scouts should have listened to me and tripled up on SHU instead of new. They've obviously no concept of the bookmaker and a carrot.

    1. Here's Tom with the We…
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Which 3 SHU players did you have?

      1. The Hunt
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Ramsdale, Ampadu & Mcgoldrick.

        1. The Hunt
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          ...middle one first sub unfortunately.

          1. Here's Tom with the We…
            • 14 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Unlucky. A chance of him coming on?

            1. The Hunt
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Very probably not but double SHU defence was always going to be a bit of a leap of faith anyway!

  19. Malkmus
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Dcl owners, what are you doing?

    Ings? Holding?

    Ta

    1. Whazza
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Certainly not holding.. Might just get Antonio even though he looks off the pace

      1. Jebiga
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        He looked nice last gw

      2. Malkmus
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Good fixtures for Antonio but is he fit/nailed ?

        1. Whazza
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          He should be good for minutes with Haller gone. Prolly not 90 90 but enough

          1. Malkmus
            • 14 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Cheers for that

    2. F_Ivanovic
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Holding is a defender mate.

      I'm probably switching to Antonio next week if I don't FH.

      1. Malkmus
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Ta, I meant not selling Dcl...

      2. aleksaa2
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        He means holding like keeping

  20. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    So Leeds definitely down to one game for the next GW right?

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Are they?! News to me.

    2. Whazza
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Defenitely not if you have to ask

  21. F_Ivanovic
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Comical from my premium midfield assets... i transfer out Bruno for Salah 3 GW ago when Salah had West Brom because neither had a game in 18 at the time and Salah's fixtures were much better. He gets nothing in any game and Bruno gets 28 points in that time. Then I sell Salah for Bruno this week (who now has a DGW and I wouldn't have got rid of had I known at the time) and he goes and blanks.

  22. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    If Bruno gets a yellow card vs Liverpool will be suspended for Fulham!

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. Whazza
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Correct, not a captain option

  23. Under my Cucurella
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Is Vardy expected not to play in DGW19?

    See a yellow flag and his price set to drop.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      No game in 18 is the main reason.
      Should be fine for the 1st game in 19.

      1. Under my Cucurella
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers TM

  24. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    1. Villa will play game or it will be postponed?
    2. Should I keep Dcl (7.8 selling value) ?

    1. Salarrivederci
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      1. Personally feel like Villa will face Man City next GW. Tricky fixture to postpone because City will move on in the FA-Cup and in CL. Villa also have a lot of games in the hand at the moment. Also think there is a good chance that enough players are back given the time between the outbreak and the date for the City match. Everton - Villa is more of a 50/50 to me.
      2. I don't think so

  25. Huddersfield
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    13 from 3, 6 to go

  26. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Gutted i switched Saiss in late on. Had planned DDG + Dier, with Saiss first sub. Ended up with Lloris + Saiss, with Shaw 1st sub. Late changes NEVER work! Why won't i learn!

  27. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    @TM. Why would KDB not play? Why you are scared of Bruno VC ?

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Wondering the same as above

    2. Fudgy
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      positive covid test scare

    3. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      It's 2021 & Pep

    4. FPL.team
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Anyone can not play any given game.

  28. Dele
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    LiveFPL reckons effective number of players played is 7/12? Is this due to teams with players without fixtures?

    1. Whazza
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      7/12 is odd, I can only field 11.. Captain counts as two I guess

      1. Dele
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah that’s it!

    2. Salarrivederci
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Yes. A lot of teams are playing the likes of Watkins, Martínez and so on this week (they are only fielding 8-9 players), but since their bench is filled with blankers I guess those starting blankers count up in the 'total players played' average

    3. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      3 out of 6 matches done so it’s probably right

      1. Dele
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        I forgot about this ha!

    4. Ragabolly
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      It counts the blanking players yes

  29. Spg76
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    I’m shocked people went Bruno and Rashford against Burnley. It was never on

    1. My heart goes Salalalalah
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Don't be

    2. Salarrivederci
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Surely every sane manager went with Bruno. Either on FH, kept/bought on WC or kept/bought without using chips.
      Even in hindsigt returning 2 points not many taking this game 'seriously' went without Bruno.

      Rashford did return the same as a defender thanks to the assist - not the worst thing in the world.

    3. FC Belter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Not bad if you didn't captain Bruno and Rash got 6 points. Both score well in away games, shocking that you were shocked mate...

  30. Bonus magnet
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    -12 or just FH for DGW

    Kane+ Zaha+ Martial+ Tierney-> Dias+ Ziyech + Jesus + Antonio

    Rest of team
    Martinez
    Robbo Dallas
    Bruno Son Mahrez Bowen

    1. Here's Tom with the We…
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Losing Kane as part of a -12 is ridiculous.

    2. Right In The Stanchion
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Ziyech Loooool

    3. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Do the -12, if you hate fpl points.

    4. Bonus magnet
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Trying to maximise on DGW players

    5. elwardio
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      First 4 could outscore the second 4 without even taking the hit into account, so definitely not