Spot the Differential
15 January 2021 658 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Double Gameweek 19 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, Fulham and Leicester, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the players must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Hakim Ziyech

  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £8.1m
  • GW19-23 fixtures: ful + lei | WOL | BUR | tot | shu

Despite a stop-start few months at Chelsea, largely due to injury, Hakim Ziyech (£8.1m) has been one of the club’s top performers this season.

Prior to his latest setback in early-December, the Moroccan looked sharp, scoring one goal and assisting three more in four matches.

That coincided with the Blues hitting form and climbing to the top of the table.

However, with Ziyech out they struggled, winning just one of their six matches.

That run has threatened to derail their season, but now with all of their attackers fit and available, they have an opportunity to get back on track.

Last weekend’s convincing 4-0 win against League Two side Morecambe at least offers some encouragement.

Though not on the scoresheet, Ziyech provided the assist for Callum Hudson-Odoi’s (£5.7m) strike, while he was also involved in the build-up to Timo Werner’s (£9.2m) goal.

His crossing ability was again on show, and I expect we’ll see plenty of those trademark diagonals to the opposite flank, and in particular Ben Chilwell (£6.1m), in the coming weeks.

Frank Lampard is now heading into a defining period of Chelsea’s season, with games at Fulham and Leicester City in Gameweek 19 followed by Stamford Bridge encounters with Wolverhampton Wanderers and Burnley.

Ziyech has had a testing start to his Chelsea career, but has excelled when fit, and could be key to unlocking the Blues attacking potential again.

Ademola Lookman

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW19-23 fixtures: CHE + MUN | bha | wba | LEI | WHU

We’ve been big fans of Ademola Lookman (£5.0m) for a while now, having included him in this column back in October.

Now, with an appealing set of fixtures which include a double in Gameweek 19, we think he’s worth talking about again.

Against Tottenham Hotspur in midweek, Lookman impressed.

Fresh off the bench, he put in a great cross for Fulham’s equaliser and went on to create three chances in just 23 minutes.

Following that assist, he’s now been directly involved in five of Fulham’s 11 league goals since making his first appearance back in October.

During that time, he also leads the way among teammates for shots, attempts in the box, chances created and expected goal involvement (xGI), highlighting his importance to the team.

Fulham’s recent upturn in form has seen them put together a six-game unbeaten run, and the evidence suggests that they have overcome their recent COVID-19 outbreak.

Up next is a tricky double against Chelsea and Manchester United, but to be fair to Scott Parker’s side, they have already proven they are capable of competing against the top teams this term.

However, the real appeal lies in the games to follow, with trips to Brighton and Hove Albion and West Bromwich Albion looking key.

Panenka aside, Lookman has looked good since arriving at Fulham on loan from RB Leipzig.

He is fast becoming essential to their survival hopes, and given their schedule, could offer FPL managers real value in the coming weeks.

Harvey Barnes

Barnes matches Vardy's output over last four ahead of Double Gameweek
  • FPL ownership: 4.2%
  • Price: £6.8m
  • GW19-23 fixtures: SOU + CHE | eve | LEE | ful | wol

In recent matches, Harvey Barnes (£6.8m) has established himself as one of Leicester’s main attacking threats.

The 23-year-old has now netted three times in his last four appearances in all competitions, and is starting to add more end product to his game.

The potential has always been there, but now with added consistency, he has become a regular starter on the left flank under Brendan Rodgers.

Barnes has now scored nine goals in 23 appearances this term, his best campaign for The Foxes, and the numbers have caught the eye, too.

In the last four matches, Barnes has taken more shots (12) than any of his team-mates, including Jamie Vardy (£10.1m). In fact, that total ranks fifth among all midfielders, while his final-third touches, take-ons and penalty area touch tallies are also in the top 15.

Leicester currently sit fourth in the Premier League with a favourable run of fixtures, including a double in Gameweek 19 and games against Leeds and Fulham to follow shortly after.

They are in good form, too, as they are now unbeaten in five in all competitions, scoring 11 goals during that run.

Along with James Justin (£5.0m), Barnes has arguably been Leicester’s most improved player this season, and could be a nice punt for those in search of midfield differential.

658 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Mufc202020
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Triple captain Sterling?

    1. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Nah

    2. No Professionals
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      i wouldn't. i'd be surprised if he starts both.

      1. *Reformed-Character*
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        can you provide some logic to a statement like this - Isn't he City's most rested player?!

    3. M2.0
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      -6 incoming

    4. The Sociologist
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Definitely not

    5. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Would be the ultimate boom or bust

      1. Mufc202020
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Exactly. Not doing very good in the ML so tempted

  2. Stormbringer22
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Would you do DCL > Antonio -4 and play Antonio but bench Bamford?

    1. No Professionals
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      probably.

    2. King of Kings.
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Yes

    3. The Sociologist
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Not for me

    4. M2.0
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Definitely not, bamford is more likely to outscore antoinio in my opinion regardless of the hit.

    5. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Thanks all!

    6. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Strongly considering the same, but the other part of my hit is getting a West Ham defender

    7. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      No.

  3. LIARS POKER
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Would you BB this?

    Meslier (BHA), Raphina (BHA), Adams (lei), Taylor (whu, liv)

    Adams could become Antonio for (BUR, WBA) as I have the funds to upgrade with my ft

    1. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Yes if Taylor + Antonio are fit

    2. King of Kings.
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Would probably do it with Antonio

    3. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Yes.

  4. Xna
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    So, for everyone considering TC, the options have come to KDB or Salah.
    What are your reasons for or against one or another.

    KDB / + form, + home fixtures, - stories of rotation risk are baffling me
    Salah / + home fixtures, form is something worth discussing as Liverpool will want to use this home fixtures run to end the bad form, and seeing Salah's history, this blank streaks are NEVER long, these three matches are the longest so far this season, I don't have the stats from previous ones, but I guess it doesn't get longer than this, so the maths and stats behind it are tempting.

    Any observations are welcome, if you are going with one, why?

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I'd go with KDB.
      I have watched their games, and he is getting tons of chances, bound to score soon.
      Salah is in a team without form, and he is also playing poorly.

      1. unclesbasement
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        worth the triple captain?

  5. Jdpz
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Buy kdb or sterling? 🙂

    1. Vlekz
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Ummm.

    2. King of Kings.
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      KDB. Not even close.

    3. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      KDB. Long term pick.
      Im thinking about holding off KDB for one week.

    4. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      The one who scores his penalties

    5. aleksaa2
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Sterling, he is good on pens

    6. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      The one who is not over rated

      1. *Reformed-Character*
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        20,17 and 18 goals in last 3 seasons from midfield - Stop being a sheep....

  6. The 12th Man
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Which -8?
    1FT 1.2m itb.
    TAA,Raphinia,Kane >>
    A) Cancelo,KDB,Antonio
    B) Stones,Rashford,Vardy ( Salah >> KDB in 20)

    Martinez
    Chilwell,Dias,Coufal,________?
    Salah,Fernandes,Grealish,_________?
    Watkins,________?

    Johnstone,Soucek, Bamford,Dallas,

    I know most will say A because of KDB but getting Rashford and Vardy means an easy way, if needed back to Son or Kane when needed.
    Then just rotating the Salah/KDB spot when needed.

    1. The Sociologist
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      A), lots will captain KDB this week think you need to cover that base.

    2. King of Kings.
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I get your reasoning, but still A.

    3. SolomonKalou
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      A for KDB

    4. Vlekz
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Still A. If kdb or salah don't fire in the next 3 weeks(spurs have pool in 20), you can still downgrade them to spurs and upgrade any other player in the team just as easily.

      Cancelo has crazy upside over stones.

      Kdb is well better than rashford.

      And Antonio might not play all 180 mins but even vardy has a hip problem. So evens that out I guess

      1. The 12th Man
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Yeh your probably right. Uniteds fixtures are awsome and not convinced by Antonio either was making me look at alternatives to option A.

    5. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I prefer B for this week. Was going A myself but am having second thoughts after Salah rest

    6. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      A is my plan with Robbo out

  7. Tsparkes10
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    A or B. Feel free to ask a question of your own after and I’ll try my best to reply as detailed as I can.

    A) Use my bb (-8)
    Martinez Johnstone
    Coufal Dias Justin Dallas Lowton
    Soucek Raph Salah Son Bruno
    Vardy Bamford Antonio

    B) No bb. Lowton, Adams to Dias, Brewster (-4)
    Johnstone
    Coufal Dias Robo Justin
    Soucek Son Bruno Salah
    Vardy Bamford
    (McCarthy, Raph, Dallas, Brewster)

    1. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Get the BB out the way imo then you can optimise your starting 11 going forward.

      1. Tsparkes10
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers, this is tempting me

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I have to get my bb out of the way. Have dcl and 2 Boston and 3 Leeds but all this planning jeez

    3. Kuzser
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I’d use BB. So then you focus on the strongest 11.

      I’m also using BB, but not sure which combo to prefer as a part of BB?
      Currently have Brewster, Saka, Sterling, Dier
      1) Antonio - Mane - ASR - Dier for -8
      2) Brewster- Salah - Souchek -Dier for -8
      3) Brewster - Salah - ASR/Rice - Cancelo/Chilwell for -8
      4) Antonio - Sterling - Saka - Shaw/4.8def for -4

      1. Tsparkes10
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Between 2 and 4 for me

  8. SolomonKalou
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    FH gtg?

    Fabianski
    Stones James Dias
    Bruno KDB(c) Salah Barnes Bowen
    Vardy Watkins

  9. No Professionals
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Johnstone
    Dias Stones Coufal Dallas
    Salah Mane Fernandes Soucek
    Kane Bamford

    Steer Mitchell DCL Alzate
    0.1m 1FT

    Bench boost not an option, would need to spend 4 points just to get 3 playing subs and mitchell will probably score 0.

    DCL and Mane to Antonio and KDB (bench Dallas) looks a decent move for -4?

  10. JollyGoodYellows
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    A) Neco + DCL > Coufal + Antonio (-4)
    B) Anguissa + DCL > Soucek + Antonio (-4)

    1. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      B

  11. JIC
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Would you BB this week if your bench was McCarthy, James, Lookman and Bamford?

    1. Tsparkes10
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Yh

    2. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      No

  12. Sultan-Gemy2121
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    I switched chilwel to stones but suddenly i started to regret it, what to do with this team, all chips avaliable except FH

    Loris
    Coufal...Dias...Stones...Justin
    Son... Salah... KDB(C)... Fernandes
    Antonio... Bamford

    Forster.. Raphina... Holdong... Adams

    Thanka in advance

  13. Karan_G14
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    NEW ARTICLE

  14. Steve Stiffler
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Dier and Chillwell > Dias and Cancelo (-4) or just:

    Dier > Dias (Play Chillwell)

  15. Right In The Stanchion
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Is it safe to say that Chelsea have bought terribly this summer and Frank will be sacked soon??

    Werner - £60m can't score flop
    Havertz - £75M can't score or assist flop
    Ziyech - £50m can't score or assist flop
    Mendy - £30m - headless chicken flop
    Chilwell - £65m - decent signing

    1. Right In The Stanchion
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I must add Chilwell although decent cost wayyyyy too much.

      1. Bennerman
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        At the risk of biting on the obvious bait, think this is nonsense.

        Less than halfway into a league campaign, for one thing, can't judge yet. And they all look really good players to me anyway, albeit not fully firing individually and gelling collectively.

        United fan, with no love for Chelsea.

    2. Ligdon
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Aye.....

    3. ivantys
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      lol it's only their first season

    4. The Bad Seed
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      No.

      Must be new.

  16. DangerFC
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Current team?

    Mc carthy fabianski,
    Dier, bailly, stones, dias, KWP
    Bruno, grealish, KDB, son, saka
    Kane, antonio, bamford

    A. BB
    B. FH
    Thoughts much appreciated!

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      BB

    2. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      BB defo. Will be plenty of DGWs to come that you cn use TC on, you are well set for BB here which usually needs a WC

      1. DangerFC
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah I was 90% set on BB just need confirmation. I took a -4 to get fabianski and antonio in aswell. I didn't use any chips on the blank and got 50 (-4) which is exactly what I anticipated from the blank so I didn't lose much ground on the leaders whilst saving my chips. Most FHs got in around the same.

  17. The Big Fella
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    I haven't used my FH and am looking at using my TC this week on perhaps KDB, Salah or Bruno. How many other DGWs are we expecting as things stand? My thinking is use the TC this week and then I can FH with the other DGWs (or blanks if there are any)

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I am doing the same. TC this GW. On KDB right now.

      1. DangerFC
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        KDB TC is definetly the choice. It's a terrifying thought he could land about 30 x3points with two home games!!

      2. The Big Fella
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah if Villa are still suffering from COVID or missing players plus Palace are Palace (but played well yesterday) and maybe Aguero is back it could be gold.

  18. ididnt
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    thoughts on this FH team?

    Johnstone (Forster)

    Coufal, TAA, Stones, Justin (Mitchell)

    Salah, KdB (c), Pogba, Coufal, (Gundogan)

    Kane, Bamford, Antonio

  19. Pringle
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Would you use BB with McCarthy, Adams, Dallas and Bamford on the bench?

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Yes

    2. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Yes - reckon 4 playing is great and you may not get an opportunity as good.

    3. Jimbuck2FPL
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      The fixtures are too good not to I reckon, even with Leeds on a SGW

  20. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    I think this is it. Good to go? 0.4 ITB for Holding to Dallas next GW or a Mitchell/ Davis upgrade. TC KDB.

    Martinez
    Stones James Coufal
    Salah KDB(TC) Bruno Son Soucek
    Vardy Bamford

    Steere Holding Mitchell Davis

  21. Jimbuck2FPL
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Is Watkins to Antonio for a -4 worth it? Worried about Covid affecting Watkins/Villa and have been excited about the Anotnio double for a while....

    1. The Hunt
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I'm doing that move but for free. I'd be tempted to take a hit though as I've been desperate to get shot of Watkins for absolutely ages.

      1. Jimbuck2FPL
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Oh nice! My free is Wood to Vardy, but think that this for the -4 only really pays off is Antonio gets 2 returns more than Watkins.... I kind of hope we find out Watkins has is out of the games today so I can just do it!

  22. FPL_BUCCANEER
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    DDG
    Dias Cancelo Coufal Lowton
    KDB Bruno Son Rashford Soucek
    Watkins

    Martinez Bamford Dallas Brewster

    Would you do Brewster, Dallas -> Chilwell/RJames and Antonio (-4) and BB?

    Leaves me with 13 DGW, Bamford and Son.

  23. The Bad Seed
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    any news on Fabianski?

  24. ididnt
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Pogba seems like a good punt to me this GW. Thoughts?

    1. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      on FH yea sure

    2. The Hunt
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Been there, done it, got burned.

  25. popey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Martinez
    Robbo, TAA, Cancelo, Coufal
    Salah, Son, Bruno, Grealish, Soucek
    Watkins
    (Forster, James, Bamford, Brewster)

    2.0 ITB and 1ft. Whats the priorites;

    a) KdB in and captain hm would need a hit as 0.1 short of Son>KdB
    b) ignore KdB and upgrade Brew/Forst and BB

  26. Bishopool
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    YES?

    Kane and Son -> Salah and Antonio (-4pts)

    Basically
    2 away games -> 4 home games

    1. ididnt
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      certainly not

  27. _Ninja_
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    DCL/Taylor -> Antonio/Dias -4 and BB this?

    Martinez Johnstone
    Stones James Coufal Dallas Taylor
    Salah Bruno Son Grealish Soucek
    DCL Kane Bamford

  28. Watk‘Ings
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    A) Soucek or B) Rashford for DGW.

    -I don't need the cash as whoever I choose is being replaced with DeBrunye next week.
    -Rashford is a striker in essence and he's playing for a team who will want to keep that top premiership spot.
    -Soucek is in form, but Burnley have been tight at the back and haven't conceded much. West Brom will park the bus but still most likely concede a few.

    Leaning towards Rashford but it feels Soucek with BUR/WBA is too good...

    Man Utd fans - thoughts on Rashford?

  29. unclesbasement
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    I dont know whether im being a fool but Im tempted to triple captain KDB. It looked like he had alot of big chances in the Brighton game and remained a threat for the full 90. Theres alot of doubt around him performing with people even taking him out of their team. It would be HUGE if he gets big points this dgw. His xg/xa has been the highest out of every player (2.1 xg and 0.98 xa). Also city are always dangerous at home. I think with how tight this season is pep will definitely start him for both games. What do you guys think?.

    1. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Looks a great option. Has been getting a lot of chances, just poor finishing letting him down

  30. Silecro
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Hi Guys. Feeling like this team is borderline BB, have any ideas how to make better use of it?

    Martinez
    Dias, Coufal, Dallas*
    Salah, Bruno, Son*, Soucek, Grealish
    Bamford*, Vardy

    Button*, Adams*, Bednarek*, Taylor

    *- single gameweekers
    1.1 itb

    Maybe

    A) Button, Adams > Johnstone, Antonio?
    Or
    B) Button, Taylor > Johnstone, Stones
    C) Feel free to suggest something else, have 1.1 itb

    1. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      B for me, City defensive double looks great for next few weeks

      1. Silecro
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        that would make bench of ..Johnstone, Dallas, Bamford, Adams. Acceptable for BB?