Spot the Differential
12 August 2021 917 comments
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The Gameweek 1 deadline of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

As always, we’ve selected three players with an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing, who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular Fantasy assets out there.

FPL pre-season: Trossard hits hat-trick from wing-back role 1

SADIO MANE

  • FPL ownership: 4.5%
  • Price: £12.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: nor | BUR | CHE | lee | CRY 

Sadio Mane (£12.0m) was not at his best during the 2020/21 season but finished strongly and still managed double figures for both goals (11) and assists (11).

As a result, he ended the campaign as the fourth-highest scoring midfielder with 176 FPL points but he has largely been overlooked in pre-season due to the popularity of team-mate Mohamed Salah (£12.5m), whose ownership currently sits at 51.1%.

In his own words, Mané labelled last season as the worst of his career, as fatigue and a lack of confidence meant that he often missed that explosiveness in the final third which makes him such a threat. However, a four-week break over the summer seems to have worked wonders, as he has looked remarkably sharp in Liverpool’s recent friendlies and finished as the Reds’ top scorer during pre-season, combining three goals and an assist in five appearances.

The return to form of Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.5m) could be key, too. The right-back’s quick switches of play via those long diagonal passes to Mané are hugely important in Liverpool’s ability to stretch their opponents, and when performing at his top level, he’s often able to find his teammate at the far post ready to tap home a cross.

Liverpool’s favourable early schedule also looks promising for their attacking prospects, with matches against Norwich City, Burnley and Crystal Palace in the opening five Gameweeks.

It’s fair to say we saw a dip in Mané’s usual standards last year, but following an impressive pre-season, he could be a nice differential for those willing to move away from the midfield template.

ISMAILA SARR

  • FPL ownership: 3.5%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: AVL | bha | tot | WOL | nor

Ismaila Sarr (£6.0m) impressed in the Championship last season, finishing the campaign with a total of 13 goals and five assists.

It’s also worth noting that his output increased significantly after Xisco Muñoz took charge, when he returned the 23-year-old to his natural position on the right wing either in a 4-4-2 or 4-3-3. 

In 16 league matches under former boss Vladimir Ivić, Sarr scored just three goals and made two assists. However, in his 23 appearances under Muñoz, he registered ten goals and three assists, which suggests that he’ll be Watford’s main attacking weapon again in 2021/22.

Muñoz aims to get his wingers on the ball as often as possible, and as a result, the wide areas are where most of the Hornets’ attacking threat stems from. His partnership with Kiko Femenía (£4.5m) down that side also caught the eye and was a key component to last season’s success. 

Another interesting thing to note is that in games when Troy Deeney (£5.5m) wasn’t on the pitch, the two players who won penalties – João Pedro (£5.5m) being one, Sarr the other – ended up taking them. Crucially, the Senegalese winger was fouled on five of the 10 occasions that led to a penalty last season.

Watford start with an appealing run and sit top of our Season Ticker for ease of fixture in Gameweeks 1-7. This weekend’s opener against Aston Villa could be a good one for Sarr, too. Dean Smith’s side have been trialling a new look 4-4-2 system in pre-season which has at times left them a little too open and susceptible to counter-attacks. Given that the Senegalese winger’s acceleration is so difficult for any defender to deal with, he may be able to exploit space in behind, then.

Sarr has established himself as a key player for Watford in recent seasons and with an ownership of just 3.5%, could be a useful differential for the opening rounds.

RYAN BERTRAND

  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: WOL | whu | nor | MCI | bha

Ryan Bertrand (£5.0m) looks set to start the new campaign as Leicester City’s first-choice left-back, having impressed at his new club in pre-season.

During last weekend’s 1-0 Community Shield win over Manchester City, the 32-year-old impressed defensively and also got forward well to support team-mate Harvey Barnes (£7.0m). He even registered a pair of assists in the recent 3-2 friendly win over La Liga outfit Villarreal.

Crucially, his ability from set-pieces appears to have been recognised by manager Brendan Rodgers, as he has been immediately handed a share of dead-ball duties. In fact, one of those assists we mentioned above arrived via a free-kick.

Defensively, the Foxes only have one recognised centre-back who is fit and available right now: Çaglar Söyüncü (£5.0m). That may cause alarm, but it’s worth noting that versatile squad man Daniel Amartey (£4.0m) stepped in against Man City and demonstrated that he is more than capable of filling in, at least until a new centre-back arrives, with Southampton defender Jannik Vestergaard (£5.0m) reportedly on his way. That suggests that the absences of Jonny Evans (£5.5m) and Wesley Fofana (£4.5m) might not affect them quite as much as first feared.

Leicester start 2021/22 with a reasonably favourable set of fixtures and play Wolverhampton Wanderers, Norwich City, Brighton and Hove Albion and Burnley before the end of September. Encouragingly for Bertrand and Barnes, there could be plenty of space to attack down the flanks against Bruno Lage’s Wolves this weekend, with his full-backs often asked to advance high up the pitch.

Bertrand is an underrated player, and with his ability to contribute points at both ends of the pitch, is a tempting investment given Leicester’s early schedule.

917 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Dele
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Are the new FFS tools available yet, basically is it worth paying the membership this season

    1. Valencia's Left Foot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Either way, it works out about £2 a month - well worth it even just for the tables and comparison tools.

    2. Jaws
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I don't get it. What you pay for membership is no more than the price of an average meal and you can enjoy it the whole season.

      1. Rogue Todd
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        I'd rather have the meal 🙂

      2. Tomerick
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Not very filling though.

      3. Dele
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        I want to use those snazzy graph comparison tools like FF Hub…

  2. ronpateluk
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts?

    Sanchez (4m keeper)
    TAA Shaw Tsimikas (Amartey Ayling)
    Bruno (C) Salah Gundo Greenwood Raphinha
    Ings Toney (Mateta)

  3. Bobby Digital
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    I can see myself getting stuck with Amartey and Tsimi because of something else always coming up. Not the end of the world though as long as you have three premium defenders.

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah. But it’s the same every season. It’s aight.

  4. Kane Train
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Which one?

    A) Shaw
    B) Digne
    C) Both

    1. You've got red on you.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. phace
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Both

  5. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Any news on Buendia?

    1. Indpush
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Search "Buendia news now"

  6. You've got red on you.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    a) Son and Raphinha

    b) Mahrez and Barnes

    Sanchez
    TAA - Shaw - White - Tsimikas
    Salah - Fernandes - xxxxxxx - xxxxxxxx
    Ings - Antonio

    Subs: Steele - Ayling - Brownhill - Obafemi

    1. Fer Fuch's Ake
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A best long term

      1. You've got red on you.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Can make the move to B in GW3

        1. Salah’s Sonnet
          • 15 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Be too late then though for Mahrez potentially

    2. Pabster
      • 17 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      That's a really tough one. But I agree that over the long-term, A is better.

    3. Zladan
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I had been in B for a long time. I was basically locked in on it.

      I’m now at the stage where I’m considering Ings & Torres over Mahrez & Obafemi.

  7. Meme2011
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Which option best long term?

    A) DCL & Willock
    B) Toney & Barnes + £0.5m

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B

  8. FantasyHero
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Chances of the below players starting:
    1. Havertz
    2. Pulisic

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Havertz will be knackered. I'd stay away from Chelsea.

    2. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      95%
      50%

    3. Joey Tribbiani
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      After yesterday Pulisic looks maybe a bit more likely

  9. olidooley
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Gtg??

    Sanchez Steele
    TAA Shaw Coufal White Veltman
    Salah Mané Mahrez Raphinha Sarr
    Antonio Toney Scarlett

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Needs some Bruno

      1. olidooley
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Mané instead man

        1. Bobby Digital
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Risky

          1. olidooley
            • 14 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            That’s the bet though….others look ok?

            1. Bobby Digital
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Yup, rest looks fine.

          2. Salah’s Sonnet
            • 15 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Very

  10. alexdelarge
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Any Wolves fans know anything about the potential gametime for cheapie Hoever? Nice 4.0 option

  11. Pabster
    • 17 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    A) Salah and Greenwood

    or

    B) Bruno and Jota

    I don't think it's going to come down to this, just throwing it out there.

    1. Sid07
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A

      1. Pabster
        • 17 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers, that's what I suspected.

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A

    4. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A

    5. phace
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A-bsolutely

  12. Sid07
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    1) ings + Greenwood (have bruno)
    2) Toney + mahrez

    1. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      1

    2. phace
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      1

  13. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Fabrizio:

    "EXCL. Manchester City are not giving up on Harry Kane deal. Man City board preparing a new bid for €150m - if Spurs stance will change #MCFC Tottenham have not received any new proposal for Kane yet, and want to keep him - Man City strategy is to be ready... and wait #THFC"

    1. Lallana_
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Can't see Spurs selling until a replacement is bought...they are probably trying to get a few players in first.

    2. Bartowski
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Smart thinking to try to wait until August is over before having to start paying his wages as well.

  14. Lallana_
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    In a tough dilemma.

    Who to get as my third Liverpool player? Trent or Tsimikas?

    1. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Lol

    2. phace
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      wat

      1. Lallana_
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        money vs value clearly lol

  15. Miguel Sanchez
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    One week punt:

    A) Alonso (CPA)
    B) Digne (SOT)
    C) Cresswell (new)

  16. phace
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    RMT por favor homies - any changes anyone would make?

    Martinez - Foster
    Digne - TAA - Tierney - Tzatziki - Amartey
    Salah - Fernandes - Barnes - Raphinha - Brownhill
    Ings - Antonio - Toney

    Much love

  17. Sprunty
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Australian clueless lad here, did about 15mins of looking through this forum and come up with this anyone I'm missing or recommended changes?

    Sanchez - Foster
    TAA - Shaw - Ayling - White - Tsimaks
    Fernandes - Son - Jota - Gundogan - Raphina
    Ings - Antonio - Toney

    Many thanks in advance mates

    1. olidooley
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      No Salah….start again

    2. mcginnntonic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Need salah

    3. Pabster
      • 17 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I really like this team. Great depth. I'd probably go Salah over Bruno and Greenwood over Jota, but I think it's a really good framework.

    4. Johnjo
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Unless you're playing BB, you can only play a max of 7 attacking players each week which means you will need to bench at least a 6.5M player. Which is a bit of a waste of funds IMO.

  18. Chalobah's Witness
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Final draft, 1.5 ITB. Still thinking about downgrading Bruno to a mid-priced midfielder to get in Lukaku much easier. Any thoughts on that?

    ----------------- Martinez - (Sanchez) -----------------
    --- TAA - Shaw - Scouse Holebas - (Coufal) - (White) ---
    --- Bruno - Greenwood - Jota - Barnes - Benrahma ---
    ----------------- Ings - Antonio - (Toney) -----------------

    1. phace
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Lol scouse Holebas. Looks good - maybe hold the 1.5 to switch up after GW1.

      Lukaku's gonna be a guaranteed floppo

  19. chrislt4
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Digne or Cresswell????

    1. mcginnntonic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Coufal + 0.5m

      1. olidooley
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        This

    2. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Not keen on either better value elsewhere eg coufal at 5

    3. chrislt4
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I think the extra .5 for Creswell is worth it with him on set pieces

  20. FantasyHero
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Any 5M mods worth it? Or just go with 4.5M mid?

    1. mcginnntonic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      4.5m over 5s, 5.5 ESR

    2. Zladan
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      4.5 and bank the 0.5. There’s not a 5m you’d want to field anyway so save the money for later upgrade elsewhere.

    3. Zladan
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      In fact there isn’t even a 5.5 worth considering over a 4.5.

    4. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      4.5 probably best, Tella could do well but may be from bench now Armstrong joined.

    5. Dannyb
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Gilmour or Brownhill and bank .5

    6. DycheDycheBaby
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Tella could be a good punt as he really impressed in pre-season.

  21. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Best way to spend 15m in midfield (for a probable 352)? Fairly standard draft

    A. Barnes and Gundogan (0.5 itb)
    B. Barnes and Greenwood (0.5 itb)
    C. Mahrez and Harrison (0 itb)
    D. One of the 7/7.5 mids and Wilson (go 343)
    E. Son and a 5m defender (go 442)

    Sanchez 4m
    Shaw TAA Tsimikas (White Ayling)
    Salah Benrahma Bruno
    Ings Antonio (4.5)

    1. mcginnntonic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Toss a coin, A or E

  22. Scout15
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    I started to seriously think about using BB…
    What are general thoughts about that?
    In that case I would have to downgrade Bruno.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Hot topic, surely you could have Bruno in a BB.

      1. Scout15
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers, haven’t noticed.
        Probably could find a way to have Bruno, but it seems to me that full BB potential this week could be achieved only without him…

    2. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      There’ll be way better weeks for all we know

      1. Scout15
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        To be honest, one of the reasons considering it is that I’ve become little bit tired of waiting those weeks last couple of seasons 😀

    3. Joey Tribbiani
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Literally the only minus in BB is no Bruno

      1. Scout15
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Looking it now it would be only bigger sacrifice, agree…

  23. Baines on Toast...
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Armstrong not ready to start means Tella likely up front. BB continues to wink at me.

  24. Grimo2
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Am I mad going without Bruno? I think he's a big price to ask with pens potentially reducing this season.

    Sanchez
    TAA - Coufal - Shaw
    Salah - Mahrez - Havertz - Greenwood - Barnes
    Ings - Antonio

    Begovic - White - Ayling - Obafemi

    Had enough of tinkering now, can't the season just start already...

    1. phace
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Easily changed if the pens don't seem to flow but being without him is a massive risk early doors tbh. Made this mistake in past seasons and never managed to catch up 🙁

    2. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Not mad, obviously a risk and you have a rather risky midfield there.

    3. Dr. Rog
      • 17 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      if going with out bruno i would recommend Son

  25. cassanata
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Coufal or Digne?

    1. phace
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Digne

    2. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Coufal

    3. chrislt4
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I'm stuck between Cresswell & Digne.

      Currently on Cresswell but Everton fixtures are brilliant

  26. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    A) Tsimikas + Gundo
    B) Amartey + Jota (starting Coufal)

    Sanchez Steele
    TAA Shaw Coufal Omo XX
    Salah Bruno Barnes XX Gilmour
    Ings Antonio Toney

    1. DIMITRIS
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A

  27. Sgt Frank Drebin
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    There are so many punty midfielders in the 6m-7.5m range. Mount, Gundo, Barnes, Pepe, Alli, Raphinha, Trossard, Torres, Benrahma, Sarr and maybe I could find someone else. Could be that some of them will emerge as a really great value pretty soon.

    1. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Ok, Raphinha is the template, but still.

    2. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      +Greenwood, Jota

    3. Gomolon
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah it's ridiculous, I'm trying not to worry too much about which specific ones I have and more just making sure I have a slot or two in that price range so I can move to whichever one hits form easily

      1. Sgt Frank Drebin
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Same. I'm pretty sure on Jota and Raphinha, so actually thinking about having 3 midfielders in that price range.

  28. DIMITRIS
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Who's the best option to start with out of these:
    A) Barnes
    B) Gundo
    C) Raphinha
    D) Jota

    1. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      It’s a very tough call. Raph is the only 100% nailed. All could do well so just pick who you think will do best. I’m on Barnes from those.

      1. DIMITRIS
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        I'm currently on Barnes but I'm eying on Gundo or Jota. If I do that, it will leave me with Greenwood and Jota in the same side which I don't like that much. Gundo is a little bit more tempting in my case. Raphinha 100% nailed and a great player overall.
        Cheers mate!

    2. Dr. Rog
      • 17 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I think they are all worth 7.5 based on current information.

      If Jota becomes nailed on he is worth 9.5.

      1. DIMITRIS
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Is it smart to go with both Jota and Greenwood from the GW1 ?

  29. Club-De-Belon
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Hi. Any Leicester fans around?
    Who is more likely to start first few GWs:
    Castagne / Pereira / Bertrand?
    I saw Rodgers confirming Castagne's full fitness and that he might play, but I am not sure of his tactics and whether he would include him.

  30. Milk, 1 Šuker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Gahhhh! Just as I thought I had my team 90% there, Joe Willock goes and agrees personal terms with Newcastle.

    1. Baines on Toast...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      He is superb value. And on the record for consecutive goals still.

      1. Milk, 1 Šuker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Absolutely. Was in my first ever draft in the hope that he makes this move.

    2. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      In time to start though?

      1. Milk, 1 Šuker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Maybe not but I hope so!