Spot the Differential
16 September 2021 756 comments
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Gameweek 5 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Wolverhampton Wanderers, Newcastle United and Norwich City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

RAUL JIMENEZ

  • FPL ownership: 4.4%
  • Price: £7.4m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: BRE | sou | NEW | avl | lee

Raúl Jiménez (£7.4m) has blanked in each of his four opening fixtures and looked a little rusty at times, but could do well given Wolverhampton Wanderers’ forthcoming schedule.

In fact, Wolves don’t play another traditional ‘big six’ team until Gameweek 15.

While the Mexican’s returns have been disappointing so far, it’s worth noting that he is the only Premier League forward to register double figures for both shots and chances created. His 13 goal attempts in the first four Gameweeks are second only to the 18 of Michail Antonio (£7.9m) amongst all forwards, while his 12 chances created is only bettered by Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.5m) and Jack Grealish (£8.0m) across all positions.

Wastefulness is clearly costing Wolves in the final third, then, which is backed up by the team’s underlying numbers. While they rank 18th v other Premier League sides for goals, with two, only Liverpool and Manchester City have accumulated more goal attempts and shots in the box than the Molineux outfit so far.

After a tough opening run, which saw them lose 1-0 to Leicester City (a), Tottenham Hotspur (h) and Manchester United (h), they now have an opportunity to build on their 2-0 win against Watford in Gameweek 4.

More clinical finishing is required for Jiménez, but the fixtures should give him the opportunity to open his account for the season very soon. 

JOE WILLOCK

  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: LEE | wat | wol | TOT | cry

Joe Willock (£6.0m) enjoyed an impressive loan spell at Newcastle United last season, scoring eight goals in just 14 league games, as he emerged as the Magpies’ standout performer.

That goalscoring run saw him become the youngest ever player to score in seven successive Premier League matches, and as a result, a deal worth around £20m was agreed with Arsenal last month.

However, it’s fair to say Willock brought far more than just goals. His ability to drive forward and lead counter-attacks also impressed, which could be crucial in Gameweek 5. 

Marcelo Bielsa’s Leeds United have shipped 11 goals so far this season, rank 19th for shots in the box conceded and have also given up 26 chances from the centre of the pitch, at least six more than any other side. It’s also worth noting that the Whites can sometimes struggle against direct runners, and will be without the suspended Pascal Struijk (£4.4m), Robin Koch (£4.4m), and perhaps Diego Llorente (£4.5m), too.

In his three Premier League starts in 2021/22, Willock has looked a little short of full match fitness. He was also taken off with a knock in the latter stages of the 4-1 defeat at Manchester United in Gameweek 4. However, Steve Bruce revealed earlier today that he is ‘okay’, which suggests that he can kick on as he becomes sharper.

Now, Willock will be hoping to score his first goal of the season against Leeds tomorrow night and given both teams’ shaky defences, we could be in for an open game.

MAX AARONS

  • FPL ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: WAT | eve | bur | BHA | che

Norwich City have lost their opening four top-flight games, conceding 11 goals in the process, which is hardly the basis for recommending a defensive differential.

However, the schedule has of course played a part, with matches again Liverpool (h), Manchester City (a), Leicester City (h) and Arsenal (a) to open the season. Now, with the fixtures easing right through until the beginning of December, using Max Aarons (£4.5m) as part of a rotation pairing could pay off.

The England U21 international has created more chances than any other Canaries player this season, has had four goal attempts of his own and also ranks second for final-third touches. Defensively, the numbers suggest he could do well for bonus, too, having made 10 successful tackles, seven interceptions, five blocks and 20 ball recoveries. 

Norwich’s clean sheet prospects are of course debatable, but the additions of centre-half Ozan Kabak (£4.5m) and defensive midfielder Mathias Normann (£4.5m) could add a little more solidity to their set-up, and with Watford up next, who are without a single goal or big chance to their name in the last three Gameweeks, a shut-out isn’t completely out of the question. It’s also worth noting that only three teams in the division have conceded more crosses from their left-flank than the Hornets this season.

Priced at just £4.5m, Aarons could be a nice value option at the back, who can step into your starting XI when the fixtures fall kindly.

756 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Fpl_Ludwig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Thoughts on this team? Was thinking about antonio and Benrahma to Jota and Saint max or just Antonio to Bamford

    Sanchez
    Duffy - TAA - Shaw - Ayling - Marcal
    Benrahma - Traore - Salah
    Lukaku - Ronaldo

    Bench: Steele - Gilmour - Antonio - Mendy

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Ant to Bam

    2. Carefree Crew
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Bamford. Not convinced on ASM / Newcastle.
      I'm benching Antonio for 1 week.

  2. OverTinker
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Don't know but I have taken him into my team

  3. 3 A
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Mid: Salah, Torres, Raph, Gallager, Allan

    Another big in forward bracket.

    Quite good?

  4. Stormbringer22
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Is Greenwood still an option to bring in if I am Wildcarding in 8?

    1. Holmes
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Yes

      1. Stormbringer22
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 22 days ago

        Cheers

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Yep

    3. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      yes

  5. Mayo for Sam
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Best low budget forward

    A Pukki
    B Dennis

    1. Rio Angora Mohair
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Dennis as he costs less, he looks like he will score and/or assist when they play well.

    2. Dogs Of War
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Pukki

    3. Müller Light
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      B, I would not get any Norwich players unless they're bench fodder - they are a bad team.

  6. FlashGilbert
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Best mid @ 6m or below to fund Wilson > Bam. Thinking either:
    a) Gallagher;
    b) Gray;
    c) Doucoure;
    d) Anyone else?

    Leaning towards c) due to value and has passed the eye test - getting into good positions etc.

    1. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      one of the everton boys short term, gallagher long term

    2. caldracula
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Gallagher

  7. salahlikeswings
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Wildcard help please,

    A) Greenwood + Ayling
    B) Torres + Matip
    C) Raphinha + Alonso

    Thanks

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      C

    2. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      B Torres & Tierney

  8. Jdpz
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    What to do? Play WC? 1ft and 1.5m in the bank.

    Sanchez 4.0
    TAA Reguilon Cash Ayling Tierney
    Salah Bruno Jota Raphinha Benrahma
    Antonio Toney 4.5

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      WC

    2. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Yep, WC time

    3. Gunners in Haaland
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      WC

    4. caldracula
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Just Upgrade Toney to Bam and bench Cash. Don't see the big deal here?

  9. falafel
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    What do you guys think? I’m on wildcard!

    Sanchez (Steele)
    Semedo, TAA, James, Shaw (Livramento)
    Salah, Traore, Raphinha, Gray (Sissoko)
    Lukaku, CR7 (Scarlett)

    1. Threat Level Midnight
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Looks good and template

    2. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Templatecard. Good.

    3. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Looks good. I've opted for no Lukaku at this stage and the squad is much more balanced with the plan for Lukaku GW8

  10. Threat Level Midnight
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Gtg? Antonio>Bam done and dusted

    Sanchez
    TAA-Shaw-Semedo
    Salah (C)-Torres-Jota-Sarr
    CR7-Jimmy-Bamford

    Gunn-Williams-Gilmore-Livra

    Plan is CR7/Shaw>Kaku/Reece in GW7.

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Looks good

  11. Aeu96197
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Is it too risky to have Williams and Livramento on WC if I need to play one each week?

    It seems at first like a shocking idea but they actually rotate really well with the fixtures.

    Other option is to have White and Williams.

    The 0.3 difference isn't really being used elsewhere if I save it, just for a little flexibility in the future if I need it.

    1. Rio Angora Mohair
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      I think it is essential to have a few 100K in the bank, if something goes wrong, it will be so useful!!

    2. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Fine to have them, not sure I’d want to be playing one of them each week though

      Ideally have 3 decent defenders and those 2 as subs or to play incase one of your other players has a knock or is suspended like Antonio this week

    3. Aeu96197
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Cheers for the replies guys

    4. Carefree Crew
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Will Norwich keep clean sheets? Not sure I'd want to play Williams every other week personally.

  12. mranonymous
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Which 4.0 GK is closest to replacing the current starting keeper. Angus Gunn possibly? Though I don't see Krul getting benched personally...

    1. Dion D's Solo Shower
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Foster probably closest, once he's fit.

      Think Foster, Steer or Gunn as 4.0 pick are the top of the bunch.

  13. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    On wc, will u take tierney traore or semedo sarr?

    1. Cheeto__Bandito
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      tierney sarr

      1. Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 22 days ago

        So no wolves player at all?

  14. ran
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Sanchez
    White Shaw Digne Cresswell
    Salah Bruno Bissouma Benrahma Traore
    Ronaldo

    (Foster Antonio Tsimikas Obafemi)

    1FT; 0.6ITB

    Should I wc? It would be nice to get some suggestions here. Thanks!

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Antonio to Bam and done

  15. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Good to go?

    Sanchez
    TAA / Christensen / Coady
    Salah (c) / Jota / Torres / Traore
    Ronaldo / Bamford / Jimenez

    Steele / White / Livra / Allan

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Yep

    2. Il Capitano
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Yes

  16. Dogs Of War
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Which one?

    A. Torres + ESR
    B. Raphina + Traore

    1. Letsgo!
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      B.
      A. I think both might not start ?

    2. Il Capitano
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      B

    3. jimmyharte
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      B defo lol

  17. Limbo
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    DCL defo out next 2-3 weeks:

    https://twitter.com/everton/status/1438475096033841159?s=21

  18. Gunners in Haaland
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Which option for this week?

    A) Sissoko - NOR (A)
    B) Williams - WAT (H)

    Cheers

    1. Müller Light
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Sissoko, Norwich are rubbish.

    2. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      A

    3. OneArseneWenger32
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      benching antonio i assume..maybe A has more upside?

    4. Gunners in Haaland
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Thanks all!
      On A personally and benching Antonio this week

    5. Carefree Crew
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Don't rate Norwich defence, but how likely is a Sissoko attacking return? Watford aren't scoring loads of goals. I'd be tempted to play the DF.

  19. falafel
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    A: White and Gallagher for rotation
    B: Shaw and Sissoko

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      A

    2. Müller Light
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      A, Shaw's fixtures take a turn for the worse now.

  20. highsguy
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Best set of moves for a -4? Planning to WC GW7/8

    A) Bruno, Ings, Antonio -> Torres, Bamford, Ronaldo
    B) Tsim, Bruno, Ings -> Marcal, Jota, Ronaldo
    C) Tsim, Bruno, Ings -> R James, Jota, Lukaku
    D) Tsim, Bruno, Scarlett -> R James, Jota, Bamford

    Current team for GW5:
    Sanchez (4.0)
    TAA Shaw Ayling Veltman (Tsim)
    Raph Benrahma Salah Bruno Greenwood
    Ings (Antonio Scarlett)

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      A

  21. Il Capitano
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    1FT 0.4m ITB

    Sanchez
    TAA Shaw White Ayling
    Salah Jota Raph Sarr
    Ings Ronaldo

    Steele - Gilmour Livramento Antonio*

    Ings > Bamford? Triple Leeds feels a touch risky, but it is Newcastle.

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Yes. Bamford in

    2. mcginnntonic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      ings to Jimi if your not convinced on leeds

  22. BrockLanders
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Any reason why Richarlson is being overlooked? Probably nailed on pens with DCL out and still decent fixtures..

    1. OneArseneWenger32
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      yea pundits seem to have forgetten him..but he's def worth it

      1. BrockLanders
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 22 days ago

        Proper under the radar

    2. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Probably because he was shockingly bad vs Burney whilst his team mates were on fire.

    3. Pompel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Godd differential for sure. But still thinking Bamford better given the fixtures

      1. BrockLanders
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 22 days ago

        Have him too

    4. Threat Level Midnight
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Because hes an impotent child

  23. Bubz
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Whats Bielsa saying then?

    1. fclackless [Brazil Nuts]
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Corre bastardos

  24. jimmyharte
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    If you already have Bamford who is best for next 2 Gws?

    A) Sarr
    B) Raphinha
    C) Gray

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      Gray or Docoure

    2. OneArseneWenger32
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      in theory sarr

  25. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    A Antonio to Bamford and play ahead of Coufal
    B Coufal to Semedo

    Sanchez
    TAA Coufal* Ayling Shaw
    Salah Greenwood Jota Raphinha Benrahma
    Ronaldo

    Foster Livramento Scarlett Antonio *

    1. Carefree Crew
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      I like Coufal to Semedo. Antonio leeds & BRENT next 2 looks attractive. With 3 West Ham, it maybe a good time to start moving away from the triple up. (I'm in the same boat & considering that move for a minus 4.)

  26. jack88
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Bamford looking perfectly fine at training

  27. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    It’s easy to get influenced by your past decisions isn’t it

    I got dcl on wildcard last week so now a part of me wants to swerve bamford just because ‘what if it happens again’

    But it’s not logical really and he looks to be the best shout

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      If he's out for 2-3 weeks I'd get rid

  28. Bobby Digital
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Bamford fit?

  29. OPTA FPL
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Raphina Or Greenwood on WC?
    Got CR7 and bamford too

    1. falafel
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 22 days ago

      What do you do with the extra money from going with Raph?

  30. Dion D's Solo Shower
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 22 days ago

    Who is most likely to start as Leicesters RB's?

    A) Pereira

    B) Castagne