Spot the Differential
10 December 2021 1458 comments
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Gameweek 16 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Everton, West Ham United and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ABDOULAYE DOUCOURE

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: cry | che | LEI | bur | NEW

Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.4m) has impressed under Rafael Benitez this season, bagging two goals and four assists in just 11 starts. As a result, the 28-year-old is averaging 4.6 points per match, which is more than team-mate Demarai Gray (£5.5m) and only fractionally below Jarrod Bowen’s (£6.5m) 4.7 total.

Having missed a run of four matches from Gameweek 9 onwards with a broken metatarsal, he has since returned to Everton’s engine room alongside Allan (£4.5m). During that period, he has registered six shots in the box, a figure only Diogo Jota (£8.0m), Mohamed Salah (£13.1m), Hakim Ziyech (£7.3m) and Gabriel Martinelli (£5.2m) can better amongst all midfielders.

The Toffees have been plagued with injury problems all season, with some of their most influential players – including Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) – all spending time on the sidelines at various points. However, the crisis does now seem to be easing, which coincided with an important 2-1 win over Arsenal on Monday night, when Doucoure was a little unfortunate not to produce an assist, with Richarlison’s (£7.4m) goal from his pass narrowly ruled out for offside by VAR.

Now, they take on a Crystal Palace side who have had real issues defending set-pieces in 2021/22, which could be good news for Doucoure, one of Everton’s key aerial threats, while between Gameweeks 18-26, they sit top of our Season Ticker for ease of fixture.

Doucoure was predominantly used in a deeper midfield role last season, but has thrived after being handed more attacking responsibility by his new manager, and could be an effective differential in the coming weeks.

VLADIMIR COUFAL

Is it time to sell Antonio and Benrahma in FPL? 5
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: bur | ars | NOR | SOU | wat

Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) has been a solid performer for West Ham United since joining from Slavia Prague in 2020, and is now back in the starting XI after losing his spot through injury and the fine form of Ben Johnson (£4.0m).

The right-back has now started back-to-back Premier League matches, which has seen the Hammers beat Chelsea and draw with Brighton and Hove Albion. During that time, amongst all team-mates, only Jarrod Bowen and Michail Antonio (£7.9m) have attempted more shots in the box, while his three successful crosses is a team-leading total. That’s important, too, given that this weekend’s opponents Burnley have allowed 184 crosses from their left flank this season, at least 18 more than any other side.

This season alone, David Moyes’ team have managed league victories over Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur, while they are also through to the last-16 of the UEFA Europa League after topping their group. Now, they have the opportunity to kick-on, with one of the kindest fixture schedules on offer, with games against Burnley, Norwich City, Southampton and Watford before the end of the year. In fact, they will face only one side currently nestled in the top six right up until March.

Having dropped £0.3m from his initial starting price, Coufal now offers a cheap route into West Ham’s defence, and could be a solid set-and-forget option given their appealing fixtures.

HARRY MAGUIRE

  • FPL ownership: 4.9%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: nor | bre | BHA | new | BUR

Harry Maguire (£5.4m) has endured a difficult start to the season at Manchester United, but the appointment of Ralf Rangnick could prove a turning point.

In his first game in charge, the German tactician opted for a 4-2-2-2 formation, with Scott McTominay (£5.4m) and Fred (£4.9m) effectively screening the back four. As a result, United conceded just eight shots and 0.75 expected goals (xG), while they also kept their first Old Trafford clean sheet since all the way back in April, ending a run of 15 games without one there.

As for Maguire, he remained assured and composed throughout, with his distribution from the back particularly impressive. In fact, the England international played 15 successful passes into the final third on Sunday, more than any other player on the pitch, which could be key moving forward, with a new, more direct approach being implemented.

The schedule should also allow Maguire to thrive. On paper, the fixtures for Rangnick’s first couple of months are about as good as it gets, especially in December, with no matches against the current top six to worry about. Looking further ahead, it’s notable just how appealing that run is, right through until March, with just one game against West Ham United the only red blob on our Season Ticker.

With uncertainty around who will be United’s long-term first-choice full-backs, Maguire could be a solid under the radar pick, with an ability to contribute points at both ends of the pitch.

  1. Jones Kusi
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts on this WC?

    0.1 ITB
    De gea Foster
    Taa Cancelo James Dalot Livra
    Salah Bowen Bernardo Gallagher Brownhill
    Antonio CR7 King

    1. I Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Very nice.

    2. Futureform
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      What's the reason for King over Dennis?

      Overall looks great.

    3. Allison Wonderland
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Spot on

    4. xHaTr
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Wouldnt want Gallagher I dont think

      1. Jones Kusi
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        That's what im thinking but can't see who I should have instead.

  2. I Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Sanchez*
    TAA, Cancelo, James, Alonso
    Salah, Jota, Son*
    Antonio, Toney*, Dennis

    Steele*; Raphinha, Livramento, Gilmour.

    2 FT 2.4 ITB

    A) Son + Toney -> Bowen + Ronaldo (play without a keeper)
    B) Son + Toney + Steele -> Bowen + Ronaldo + Bachmann (-4)
    C) Son + Toney + Sanchez -> Bowen + Lukaku + De Gea (-4)

    Can't afford DDG if I go Ronaldo.

    1. I Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Or I could get Gallagher or Saka instead of Bowen which would allow Ronaldo and DDG then get Bowen for Raphinha next week.

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Sounds better. There is hardly hurry to get Bowen and your team is Better long term.

  3. john25
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Any news for Toney? Is he out for GW17 as well?

    Cheers

    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Frank wouldn't confirm that during his presser on Wednesday. Might be available.

    2. Warby84
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      He’s red flagged

    3. TopBinFc
        4 years, 2 months ago

        I think he will play GW17

    4. Coys96
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Thoughts on this FH?

      DDG
      TAA James Alonso Dalot
      Barnes Salah Bowen
      CR7 Lukaku King

      3.9 - Dewsbury Hall - Goode - Gilmour

      1. Monster Muppets
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        why on earth would you freehit now?
        Anyways, since you are, i'd never, ever bring in Lukaku

    5. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Anything on Foden?

      1. RealSocialDads
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Pretty inconclusive from Pep tbh. He's gonna be assessed in training today, but he says Foden is 'getting better'

      2. BeWater
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Have a look at the previous page of this article.

    6. just a man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Some feedback on the Scout podcast adverts I've been getting recently:

      • They interrupt at weird times, often mid-sentence, making them incredibly disruptive and it's hard to pick up the conversation after they end.
      • The sound levels fluctuate massively, so if I've bumped up the volume to hear the chat better, I then get a sudden blast of advert sound without warning. And then I have to turn back up again after they finish.
      • The ads have been 100% irrelevant to me personally, almost seemingly random.
      • I'd love an option to extend Scout membership to remove them
      • I like most of the Scout podcasts range, and you will obviously have the data to know if people are voting with their feet or not, but after a few listens now they are entering territory for me to stop listening.

      For a benchmark to shoot for: Relay.FM is a UK podcast company who do monetisation in an exemplary way: integrated, relevant and targeted ads with a considerate, non-intrusive style – as well as a paid option to opt-out as a member.

      1. thomashl
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        They should at least create a separate feed for paying members.

        I don’t want to listen to an American ad for Indeed when I’m sponsoring a venture

        1. thomashl
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 2 months ago

          (A version with no ads obv)

      2. Andy_Social
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Appreciate the post. Reminds me why I never listen to them!

    7. Mufc202020
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Bench 1 - 1st Sub - 2nd Sub

      A) King
      B) ESR
      C) Gallagher

      Thanks go go

      1. STONEROSES
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        C

    8. STONEROSES
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Who would you sell first :

      A. Gallagher

      B. Raphinha

      thanks

      1. EmreCan Hustle
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        B

      2. Taegugk Warrior
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        B

    9. Cok3y5murf
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Sell Reguilon or Cornet first? Is Spurs' next GW likely postponed too?

      1. EmreCan Hustle
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        If you have an idea of which defender you want then Reguilon.
        Cornet is easier to replace IMO.

    10. @persecuted_by_mods
        4 years, 2 months ago

        No mention of Jesus at all it seems?

        1. Arteta
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 2 months ago

          https://www.mancity.com/news/mens/manchester-city-v-wolves-pep-guardiola-reveals-injury-update-63774738

          There were no reported fresh injury concerns at the manager’s Friday press conference.

          1. @persecuted_by_mods
              4 years, 2 months ago

              Cheers, hoping it wasn't just missed in the chasm of not being a new injury but nobody cared enough to ask about him

        2. EmreCan Hustle
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 2 months ago

          Which is better?

          A. Ronaldo + Doucoure
          B. Antonio + Rashford + 1m

          Thanks.

          1. waltzingmatildas
            • 15 Years
            4 years, 2 months ago

            Hmm tempted by B

            1. EmreCan Hustle
              • 13 Years
              4 years, 2 months ago

              Same.

          2. Pops15
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 2 months ago

            I went B but it was late night and by accident. Confirmed the transfers by mistake so now I must lay in the bed I have made. Cmon Rashford!!

            1. EmreCan Hustle
              • 13 Years
              4 years, 2 months ago

              Let's hope its a happy accident.

        3. TopBinFc
            4 years, 2 months ago

            No hit yet this year, now I'm looking at -8 at least;

            Son -> Bernardo
            Duffy -> Cancelo
            Toney -> King

            Yay or Nah, either that or have 9 players

            1. waltzingmatildas
              • 15 Years
              4 years, 2 months ago

              Decent moves

            2. EmreCan Hustle
              • 13 Years
              4 years, 2 months ago

              Yay

              1. TopBinFc
                  4 years, 2 months ago

                  or what about using my FH?

                  1. EmreCan Hustle
                    • 13 Years
                    4 years, 2 months ago

                    I considered it. But with Covid cases rising, I wouldn't be surprised if we have worse weeks ahead. As long as I can get 10 players out, I'm ok.

                    1. TopBinFc
                        4 years, 2 months ago

                        Good point, cheers

                    2. Baps Hunter
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 8 Years
                      4 years, 2 months ago

                      The problem won't disappear with it. If you have an extra one for next week also, then go for it!

                      1. TopBinFc
                          4 years, 2 months ago

                          Fair point, cheers, just hate the hits

                  2. Baps Hunter
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 8 Years
                    4 years, 2 months ago

                    Yay

                • FredUpAlready
                  • 11 Years
                  4 years, 2 months ago

                  Bottomed last page.
                  On WC

                  a) James and Gray/Benteke
                  b) 4.9m Defender and Antonio

                  Team is

                  De Gea Foster
                  TAA Cancelo James Dalot White
                  Salah Jota Bilva Bowen Gray
                  Ronaldo King Locadia

                • Allison Wonderland
                  • 4 Years
                  4 years, 2 months ago

                  1FT, 0.3ITB

                  Ramsdale
                  TAA Cancelo James Alonso
                  Salah(c) Foden* Jota** ESR*
                  Antonio Dennis
                  Foster*** Jesus* Cornet** Reguilon***

                  A. Reguilon -> Dalot
                  B. Reguilon, Cornet -> Dalot, Bowen (-4)
                  C. Cornet, Jesus -> Bilva, King (-4)
                  D. Reguilon, Cornet, Jesus -> Dalot, Bilva, King (-8)

                • Catastrophe
                  • 15 Years
                  4 years, 2 months ago

                  Would never consider FH in a non-BGW usually but on a -12 with likely only 9-10 starters. Thinking it may be a surprisingly good week to climb rank versus Teams taking hits/not fielding 11?

                  Votes/Advice greatly appreciated! The Teams aren't too different but I don't lose 12 points and will have 11...

                  A) No FH (-12)

                  Ramsdale
                  TAA, Cancelo, James
                  Salah, Bernardo, Mount, Jota*, ESR*
                  Ronaldo, Dennis
                  (no bench)

                  B) FH

                  Ederson
                  TAA, Cancelo, James, Rudiger
                  Salah, Bernardo, Mount, Bowen
                  Ronaldo, Origi

                  (3.9, Dennis, Dalot, Fred)

                  Cheers!

                  1. TopBinFc
                      4 years, 2 months ago

                      I'm in the same boat, thinking a free hit but not sure. It depends if your players will be back for next GW or not I guess

                      1. Catastrophe
                        • 15 Years
                        4 years, 2 months ago

                        Yeah, I'd be lumbered with Kane, Reguilon, Raphinha, Gallagher.

                        1. Baps Hunter
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 8 Years
                          4 years, 2 months ago

                          You would be worth your name after that. Team in tatters, FH gone and -12 to take.

                          1. Catastrophe
                            • 15 Years
                            4 years, 2 months ago

                            😀 bit dramatic

                            Assuming/hoping ESR & Jota would be fit, I wouldn't need to take a hit (and certainly not a -12 hit). Gallagher would probably stay, and Raphinha on the bench. Probably Kane out for Ronaldo.

                  2. waltzingmatildas
                    • 15 Years
                    4 years, 2 months ago

                    What do you reckon to:
                    Kane, jota, normann to Antonio, Mané, bowen? (-4)

                    1. EmreCan Hustle
                      • 13 Years
                      4 years, 2 months ago

                      Not bad. Interested in Bruno over Mane?

                      1. waltzingmatildas
                        • 15 Years
                        4 years, 2 months ago

                        I want to see a bit more of utd before I invest....

                  3. davies
                    • 11 Years
                    4 years, 2 months ago

                    Is there any real benefit to having a second playing keeper?

                    1. @persecuted_by_mods
                        4 years, 2 months ago

                        Apart from the obvious you mean?

                      • Andy_Social
                        • 13 Years
                        4 years, 2 months ago

                        With covid and injuries aplenty? Er, none?

                    2. v3n0m
                      • 4 Years
                      4 years, 2 months ago

                      Ramsdale (Foster)
                      TAA James Cancelo Alonso (Livra)
                      Salah Jota Foden (Saka, D. Luiz)
                      Vardy Antonio Dennis

                      2 FT, 0.8m itb.

                      A) Vardy + Alonso -> Ronaldo + Dalot
                      B) Vardy + Saka -> Ronaldo + Fred
                      C) Saka -> Bowen
                      D) Other?

                    3. Milk, 1 Šuker
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 13 Years
                      4 years, 2 months ago

                      Where's Moyesy? Any press comments from him?

                        1. Milk, 1 Šuker
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 13 Years
                          4 years, 2 months ago

                          Cheers!

                    4. Ha.
                      • 10 Years
                      4 years, 2 months ago

                      Raph > Bilva (-4)?

                    5. Atimis
                      • 9 Years
                      4 years, 2 months ago

                      Toney Son to King Bowen and GTG?

                      Bit afraid of no United and Vardy could be not starting.

                      Rambo
                      TAA/Cancelo/James/Alonso
                      Salah(c)/Son*/Gallagher/Mbeumo
                      Vardy/Toney*

                      Foster/Raph/4.4/Duffy

                    6. Sal8
                      • 4 Years
                      4 years, 2 months ago

                      Jota replacement for -4?
                      Already have salah bilva

                      1. Rashford
                      2. Mount
                      3. Play livra off bench and no hit
                      4. Others

                      1. Baps Hunter
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 8 Years
                        4 years, 2 months ago

                        4 upgrade Livra for -4

                    7. Mufc202020
                      • 6 Years
                      4 years, 2 months ago

                      Post fail

                      Start 1 - 1st Sub - 2nd Sub

                      A) King
                      B) ESR
                      C) Gallagher

                      Thanks go go

                    8. Visionaries
                      • 9 Years
                      4 years, 2 months ago

                      Kind of need to make another change, would put me on a -12!!

                      That's FH territory right?
                      Wanted to save it ideally

                      1. @persecuted_by_mods
                          4 years, 2 months ago

                          If you're sure they all come back in within the space of 4-5 days for the Midweek games? Hit might just be better in a week lots will need hits

                        • Milk, 1 Šuker
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 13 Years
                          4 years, 2 months ago

                          Only thing is like Andy LTFPL said you'll revert back to the same situation you have before you press it. Weigh it up carefully mate. Sometimes you're better off with hits. -12 seems a bit excessive imo

                        • Ha.
                          • 10 Years
                          4 years, 2 months ago

                          -12 is like 15% of a good score

                        • TyroneGAA
                          • 8 Years
                          4 years, 2 months ago

                          Playing FH was on -12 aswell and decided against it

                      2. Taegugk Warrior
                        • 7 Years
                        4 years, 2 months ago

                        Antonio worth -4 hit..?

                        1. BERGKOP
                          • 14 Years
                          4 years, 2 months ago

                          No

                      3. arkom
                        • 9 Years
                        4 years, 2 months ago

                        Bench Jota if late cameo, and play Wilson?

                      4. RealSocialDads
                        • 9 Years
                        4 years, 2 months ago

                        A. Rely on Livramento as back up for Foden
                        B. Hwang -> King for free

                        1. Weak Become Heros
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 7 Years
                          4 years, 2 months ago

                          B

                        2. xHaTr
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 8 Years
                          4 years, 2 months ago

                          Definitely B

                      5. Bury94
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 8 Years
                        4 years, 2 months ago

                        A) Start Jota
                        B) Bench Jota and play Raphina
                        C) Sell Jota

                        1. Weak Become Heros
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 7 Years
                          4 years, 2 months ago

                          B. Absolutely not C.

                        2. Sal8
                          • 4 Years
                          4 years, 2 months ago

                          B

                      6. yanky
                        • 16 Years
                        4 years, 2 months ago

                        thoughts on my WC team please?

                        DDG (3.9)
                        TAA Cancelo James Dalot (Coufal)
                        Salah Gundo Bowen (Gray Brownhill)
                        Ronaldo Antonio King

                        1. Weak Become Heros
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 7 Years
                          4 years, 2 months ago

                          Decent

                          1. yanky
                            • 16 Years
                            4 years, 2 months ago

                            thanks ill take “decent” in these times! LOL

                      7. Weak Become Heros
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 7 Years
                        4 years, 2 months ago

                        Start Alonso or Jota given the Jota news? Could he come on as a cameo?

                        1. Mufc202020
                          • 6 Years
                          4 years, 2 months ago

                          A

                        2. TopBinFc
                            4 years, 2 months ago

                            Start Jota, either he starts or doesnt feature I feel, why would Klopp risk him from bench?