Spot the Differential
8 April 2022 1043 comments
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Gameweek 32 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Watford, Crystal Palace and Newcastle United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ISMAILA SARR

Is £4.0m FPL goalkeeper Foster the new Watford number one?
  • FPL ownership: 2.7%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: LEE | BRE | mci | BUR | cry + EVE

Ismaila Sarr (£5.7m) has arguably been Watford’s best player since joining the club from French side Rennes back in 2019.

And despite enduring a stop-start campaign, mainly due to injuries and AFCON, his return to fitness could be key to the Hornets’ survival hopes.

The influential winger scored five goals in 12 Premier League appearances before a knee injury in November, and up until that point, ranked joint-third amongst all midfielders for shots in the box, with his tally of 21 only bettered by Liverpool duo Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) and Sadio Mane (£11.7m).

Now, he is back up to speed, having been in action for Senegal during the international break, scoring a penalty in the shoot-out win over Egypt to help secure his country’s place in Qatar, while he also featured for 90 minutes at Anfield in Gameweek 31.

The Senegalese will now look to build on those displays against a Leeds United side that haven’t kept a clean sheet since Gameweek 14. There is a kind run of home fixtures to follow, too, which includes Brentford, Burnley, Everton in Double Gameweek 36 and Leicester City.

Sarr looks the safest route into the Watford attack as five players battle for three spots, and with a kind schedule to close the season, is an exciting midfield differential.

WILFRIED ZAHA

Who are the best Crystal Palace players to own in FPL ahead of Gameweek 12?
  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.8m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: lei | new | LEE | sou | WAT

Wilfried Zaha (£6.8m) has played every minute of Premier League action since his return from AFCON and has been a standout performer in Patrick Vieira’s new-look Crystal Palace side.

The Ivory Coast international missed a month earlier this year due to his involvement with the Elephants, but since his return in Gameweek 24, has racked up five goals in eight Premier League matches. In that time, he is averaging 5.9 points per match, and leads the way among team-mates for goal attempts, shots in the box, efforts on target, big chances, penalty box touches and created chances.

That suggests if the Eagles do continue performing at their current level, Zaha will continue to be involved in the goals.

For Palace, after their impressive showing against Arsenal in Gameweek 31, their fixtures now ease, with an appealing match against Leicester up next, who may have one eye on Thursday’s finely poised Europa Conference League second-leg against PSV Eindhoven. That’s followed by Newcastle United, Leeds, Southampton and Watford, while there is also a Double Gameweek on the horizon, too.

Now, against easier opposition, you’d expect Palace to step up, and with Zaha also on spot-kick duties, he could be a shrewd differential pick against the more popular Conor Gallagher (£6.1m).

MATT TARGETT

Barnes offering differential potential between now and end of FPL season 2
  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: WOL | LEI + CRY | nor | LIV | mci

Matt Targett (£4.7m) has been in fine form for Newcastle United after he joined on loan from Aston Villa in January.

The 26-year-old has produced 13 created chances, 14 successful crosses and 145 final-third touches in eight Premier League appearances since making his Magpies debut, totals which are only beaten by Ryan Fraser (£5.3m) among team-mates.

He also shares corner-taking duties with the winger, and fares well in most of the key defensive metrics, including tackles, interceptions and clearances.

As a result, he has played a key role in a defence that has shown real improvements under Eddie Howe.

Newcastle’s heavy defeat at Tottenham Hotspur last time out was hopefully just a blip, with their rearguard looking solid up until Gameweek 31: they had conceded just eight goals in the previous 11 outings.

Now, they are back on home soil after a long string of games on the road, with successive St James’ Park clashes against Wolves, plus Leicester and Palace in Double Gameweek 33. Notably, they have won their last three Premier League home matches, while Manchester City are the only team to take all three points from Tyneside since Howe took charge.

A product of the Southampton academy, Targett is priced at just £4.7m, and could be a solid defensive option to capitalise on this appealing run of matches.

  1. Totti
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Best nailed defender to get from leicester?

    A) castagne
    B) justin
    C) amartey
    D) other suggestion

    1. frenchfries
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I really liked Justin last season before the injury. But might take A while to get there.
      Castagne is the most nailed i guess so he is the best nailed one

      1. Totti
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Why r u sure that he is most nailed?
        Do u mind to clarify

    2. frenchfries
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Only that he played most matches when he was fit, and then he had surgery and was out until 2 gws ago. So unless there are issues with his injury i think his spot is nailed with Pereira out. Same goes for Justin, but he has been out for almost A year, so think he is the first to get rotatet out of them. But not many alternatives at the back for Leicester so both might play alot

      1. Totti
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks mate
        Really appreciated

  2. Ask Yourself
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Hmmmm Foden or Maddison?

    1. Honker Muddlefoot
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Do you have any other City assets? Tempted by Maddison with good fixtures and three doubles, but would want some City representation for their run in. If you have/have paths to other City assets, Maddison for me, but it’s close.

  3. frenchfries
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Best cheap defender for BB in 36?

    1. Christina.
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      tough call that
      Prob Leic, but are anyone nailed on ?
      I can see single gw players outscoring doubles. For example Cpal def's

      1. frenchfries
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Yeah only worry is Leicester injury prone players. Could go Amartey to use cash elsewhere.
        Maybe CP is the way to go as they have double in 37

    2. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Matip, Chalobah, Justin, Tomiyasu.

      1. frenchfries
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        How nailed is Chalobah to play tho?

  4. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Ramsdale (Dubravka)
    TAA AR Doherty White (Kilman)
    Salah Son Saka Raphinha Eriksen
    Kane (Weghorst Broja)

    1FT, 0.7 in the bank.

    Would you change anything or anyone? I was interested in buying Maddison before he played 90 minutes against PSV.
    I probably wouldn't use free hit next gameweek in scenario when I save transfer now. I could field decent team after a hit I guess.

    1. frenchfries
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Would use FT if you are gone FH in 33, maybe Kilman out?

  5. King H
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Afternoon all, Anything you guys would change here?

    Ramsdale
    Robertson Doherty Amartey
    Maddison Kulusevski Salah Kdb Saka
    Kane Mateta

    4.0 Kilman Davis Kelly

    Cheers and good luck troops!

  6. adstomko
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Swap Calvert-Lewin for Cucho or no?

    1. sulldaddy
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Sure. Frees up funds for future and DCL appears off of PK duty...oh and Everton stink

  7. pug_chops
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Play 2:
    1) Robertson
    2) TAA
    3) Cucho

    1. Mr Bird
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      1 and 2

    2. Honker Muddlefoot
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Trent and Robbo

  8. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Still deciding if I want to WC today. Can see the team I pull in WC34 being similar...

    Guaita
    TAA Robertson James Doherty
    Salah Son Maddison
    Kane Mateta Cucho

    Foster Laporte Ramsey Gordon

    The above is 0.1m off Schmeichel in the nets, but with 0.1m ITB.
    I still have FH for GW33 to manage Bruno, Schmeichel etc next week - and that helps massively.

    Partly tempted for Elanga over Ramsey to 'cover' any United points this week, but don't think it's worth the booked transfers. At least Ramsey has GW36 (+37) covered. Would be nice to squeeze Bowen in there. Still an option over Maddison given FH33.

    Or stick and roll with this (it's the ARS fixture that is potentially good..)

    Ramsdale
    TAA Robertson Silva White
    Salah Son Kulusevski
    Kane Dennis (Mateta - buying for Broja)

    DDG Gordon Ramsey Livramento

    1. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I would stick with your current team and just buy Mateta if you really want to.

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Might as well hold fire on the WC then. Who knows what can happen with injuries in that time.

  9. Not again Shirley
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    RMT

    Raya (Fister)
    Targett | Cancelo | Doherty (Rudi, Reece)
    Sancho | Saka | Martinelli | Raph | Salah
    Kane (C) | Cucho (Dennis)

    Would have liked to play Dennis against Leeds but no room at the inn! Am I mad to play in place of Salah (main ML rival does not have Salah so not massive risk seeing as Salah has City away).

    Not playing Reece as not convinced he will start.

    Cheese

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Fister? 😀

      I'd probably play Reece James ahead of Targett. Always ominous when the differential article has your player - but can't see how you can bench a player like Reece for Matty (even if you don't think he starts... I think he may).

  10. -GK22-
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Kane cpt?

    1. pressdpm
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      No brainer I think

    2. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      yep

    3. Honker Muddlefoot
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      That’s my plan.

  11. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Can't wait to activate FH come 7pm

  12. pressdpm
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Start Schar or Rudiger?

    1. Genovoze
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Rudiger

  13. TVPlugSockets
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Start Harvey Barnes or Kulisevski?

    1. Genovoze
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Barnes

  14. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Dubravka or Schmeich?

    1. Genovoze
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Schm

  15. WibblesTeam
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    - Sent on the wrong post

    Need a little help here

    A) Start Jonny, Raph, Toney
    B) Buy Havertz, bench 1 of above
    C) Buy Mateta, bench 1 of above

    If B or C, bench which of the above trio?

  16. putana
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    anyone else tempted to captain raphinha?

    1. sulldaddy
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Wouldnt

  17. Genovoze
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Start:
    A. Sa (new)
    B. Foster (LEE)

    Get for 1GW only:
    1)White
    2)Tavares

    1. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A1

  18. JoeSoap
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Which 2 score the least this week in your opinion?

    A. Doherty (villa)
    B. TAA (city)
    C. Cancelo (POOL)
    D. Wegworst (norwich)
    E. Rudiger (south)
    F. Toney (W HAM)

    1. Boss Hogg
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      a. 6
      b. 2
      c. 9
      d. 6
      e. 2
      f. 6

      So b and e for me.
      But I wouldn't bench TAA because of ownership. Maybe bench Toney instead?

    2. AppleDunk
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      D and maybe B or F

    3. Genovoze
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      E and D

    4. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Thanks

  19. AppleDunk
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Choose one to start?

    A) Coady
    B) Amartey
    C) Ramsey

    1. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      tough maybe C

  20. Honker Muddlefoot
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Ramsdale
    TAA Robbo Reece Doherty
    Salah Saka H. Barnes Martinelli Kulu
    Kane

    Bench any to start Mateta at Leicester or GTG?

    1. melvinmbabazi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      GTG

      1. Honker Muddlefoot
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers, mate,

  21. melvinmbabazi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Play werghost or martinelli?

    1. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Martinelli

    2. Honker Muddlefoot
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Martinelli, for me. Both with good fixtures, but I trust Arsenal’s attack more than Burnley’s.

  22. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Captain Son or Bruno?

    1. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Probably Son

    2. sulldaddy
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Bruno

  23. Definitely not sleeping
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Repost from another thread:

    Without knowing how much itb or how many FT, what would you do? Trying to win my mini. Keep, transfer or bench ideas?

    Sa
    TAA - Rudiger - Kilman
    Salah - Raph - Kulu - Saka c
    Kane - Weg - Mateta

    Foster - Cancelo - Ramsey - Amarty

  24. Gazza2000
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Was all set to roll the FT but now I'm thinking of taking a hit to get James in...

    A) Roll
    B) Coutinho+Tierney to Martinelli+James for -4

    Ramsdale
    TAA Doherty Cancelo
    Salah Coutinho Raphinha Saka Kulusevski
    Kane Weghorst

    Foster Digne Broja* Tierney*

  25. 03farmboy
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Best game week to use free hit and wild card?

  26. LLoris
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Tierney out for
    A) Which LEI defender
    B) Tarkowski
    C) Cedric or White

  27. gellinmagellan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Pope Dubravka
    Dier Cash TAA James Schar
    Saka Raph Kulu Salah Ramsey
    Kane Laca Broja

    1 FT 0.5 ITB. Going to be FH next week so will lose the FT. Can't think of any moves except

    A) Dier > Doherty
    B) Broja > Mateta

    Anything else?

  28. Claudio555
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Start Gordon (MUN) or VVD (mci)?

  29. Ohh1454
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Is it very risky to get rid of salah ?

    1. Kodap
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Of course it is, but you already know that!

    2. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      It’s definitely risky, but with just 8 games left and the likes of KDB having better fixtures, it’s a calculated risk.

      It’s not unthinkable KDB outscores him til the end of the season. And if you’re chasing, it’s possibly a gamble worth taking.

    3. sulldaddy
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Of course. But fortune favors the brave.

      Who would you bring in?

  30. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone able to tell me if this is G2G?

    Ramsdale
    Taa - Cancelo - James - Doherty
    Salah (v) - Son (c) - Saka - Raph - Kulu
    Cucho

    DDG - Robbo - Weghourst - Broja