FPL

FPL price predictions 2022/23: What Fantasy managers think

We recently invited you to guess the new prices of a number of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) players ahead of 2022/23 – and now we can reveal some of the ‘groupthink’ results.

We listed 20 players who are either expected to rise in starting price (eg Reece James, Jarrod Bowen), fall in price (Bruno Fernandes) or are new/returning entrants to the Premier League (Aleksandar Mitrovic, Erling Haaland).

Over 1,000 of you took part, with Premium Memberships on offer to the three entrants whose guesses most closely resemble the actual starting prices when FPL relaunches.

Fantasy Football Scout regulars TopMarx and circusmonkey worked together on this competition, with the former returning here to discuss what the FPL community has voted for en masse.


Average price predictions

Who are the best FPL captain options for Double Gameweek 36?
  • £13.0m – Mohamed Salah
  • £12.0m – Erling Haaland
  • £11.5m – Son Heung-min
  • £10.0m – Bruno Fernandes
  • £9.0m – Luis Diaz
  • £8.0m – Bukayo Saka
  • £8.0m – James Maddison
  • £8.0m – Trent Alexander-Arnold
  • £8.0m – Dejan Kulusevski
  • £8.0m – Jarrod Bowen
  • £7.5m – Dominic Calvert-Lewin
  • £7.5m – Joao Cancelo
  • £7.5m – Callum Wilson
  • £7.0m – Eddie Nketiah
  • £6.5m – Conor Gallagher
  • £6.5m – Reece James
  • £6.5m – Aleksandar Mitrovic
  • £6.5m – Bruno Guimaraes
  • £6.0m – Jacob Ramsey
  • £6.0m – Ben Chilwell

Mohamed Salah would begin 2022/23 at his joint-highest ever starting price (£13.0m) if the Fantasy Football Scout users have called it right. The Egyptian’s tally of 265 points in the season just gone was his best since 2017/18 but a £9.0m listing for teammate Luis Diaz may present a selection headache for some FPL bosses.

Erling Haaland’s £12.0m projected price is slap bang in the middle of where Romelu Lukaku and Cristiano Ronaldo entered the game at in 2021/22, while we’re probably in best-case scenario territory with Son Heung-min (£11.5m) given that he only fell seven points short of Salah.

Bruno Fernandes would drop £2.0m if the average above materialises, while Dejan Kulusevski would increase by the same margin.

Eddie Nketiah, Bukayo Saka, Jarrod Bowen, Jacob Ramsey and Joao Cancelo would all be subject to £1.5m starting price rises, meanwhile.

If, by some miracle, the average prices are the actual starting prices, then we’d have two winners: Bertonian and Simonvs both match the average with 16 of their guesses.

Mode price and percentage (most frequently selected price)

The Complete Guide to FPL Pre-Season 2022/23 1
  • 59.7% – (£6.5m) – Aleksandar Mitrovic
  • 56.0% – (£8.0m) – Trent Alexander-Arnold
  • 53.9% – (£13.0m) – Mohamed Salah
  • 53.0% – (£6.5m) – Reece James
  • 49.9% – (£6.0m) – Ben Chilwell
  • 45.6% – (£7.5m) – Dominic Calvert-Lewin
  • 43.1% – (£7.5m) – Callum Wilson
  • 40.8% – (£7.5m) – Joao Cancelo
  • 40.5% – (£5.5m) – Jacob Ramsey
  • 39.5% – (£8.0m) – James Maddison
  • 39.2% – (£6.5m) – Conor Gallagher
  • 37.8% – (£9.0m) – Luis Diaz
  • 36.6% – (£12.0m) – Erling Haaland
  • 36.5% – (£8.0m) – Bukayo Saka
  • 35.7% – (£10.5m) – Bruno Fernandes
  • 35.6% – (£11.5m) – Son Heung-min
  • 34.8% – (£8.0m) – Jarrod Bowen
  • 34.7% – (£6.5m) – Bruno Guimaraes
  • 33.9% – (£6.5m) – Eddie Nketiah
  • 30.8% – (£8.0m) – Dejan Kulusevski

The mode differs from the average for only three players: Bruno Fernandes (average £10.0m, mode £10.5m), Jacob Ramsey (£6.0m, £5.5m) and Eddie Nketiah (£7.0m, £6.5m).

A number of other players were very close, however, including Joao Cancelo: 40.8% think he’ll be £7.5m but 40.6% (two people fewer) reckon he’ll cost £7.0m.

FPL price predictions 2022/23: What Fantasy managers think 12

The winners of the above competition will be announced after FPL relaunches for 2022/23.

If you want to peruse over some more projected prices, we can point you in the direction of Fantasy Football Scout user Camzy’s self-penned spreadsheet.

And let us know your own thoughts on price predictions for the upcoming campaign, including for some of the names we haven’t covered in this article.


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TopMarx Fan of Fantasy Football and Monty Python. "Archimedes out to Socrates, Socrates back to Archimedes, Archimedes out to Heraclitus, he beats Hegel. Heraclitus a little flick, here he comes on the far post, Socrates is there, Socrates heads it in! Socrates has scored! The Greeks are going mad, the Greeks are going mad! Socrates scores, got a beautiful cross from Archimedes. The Germans are disputing it. Hegel is arguing that the reality is merely an a priori adjunct of non-naturalistic ethics, Kant via the categorical imperative is holding that ontologically it exists only in the imagination, and Marx is claiming it was offside.” Follow him on Twitter

273 Comments Post a Comment
  1. diesel001
    • 5 Years
    15 days, 9 hours ago

    Subbing Ryan off for penalties has worked for Australia. Going to the World Cup!

  2. RogDog_jimmy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    15 days, 9 hours ago

    yoooooooooooooo.

    1. NateDog
      • 1 Year
      15 days, 7 hours ago

      Congrats mate!

      1. RogDog_jimmy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        15 days, 6 hours ago

        thank you!

  3. Al Green Arrows
    • 5 Years
    15 days, 9 hours ago

    I am moving from Brazil to Australia (Sydney) next month with a skilled professional visa 🙂 So I am happy Australia will play in the WC! I can't wait to be there! But FPL-wise I think it will be a challenge to keep up with games...

    1. schlupptheweek
      • 7 Years
      15 days, 8 hours ago

      Nice! I think there's an increasing number of FPL players who are just happy with just relying on data and some highlights irrespective of timezone, because many don't want to watch whole games after losing interest during the pandemic. Think you'll be fine, the main problem will be late team news. Hopefully no weather, new virus or affenpocken postponements.

    2. RogDog_jimmy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      15 days, 8 hours ago

      I moved from Melbourne to the US just over 10 years ago.
      The ability to PL games here has been so good compared to middle-of-the-night back home.

      Good luck to you! My brothers are still pulling it off with varying success.

    3. Al Green Arrows
      • 5 Years
      15 days, 8 hours ago

      cheers! I guess I will have trouble sleeping... or just get used to set and forget my team...

    4. Onz
      • 5 Years
      15 days, 7 hours ago

      The time difference between Sydney and NZ is not huge. I miss most of the early team news pre deadline but that is not a big issue. Depending on the hours you work you can still see a lot of the games in full. Good luck with the move, I must admit that I think Melbourne is a nicer place to work and live than Sydney but that is just my choice.

    5. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      15 days, 6 hours ago

      Enjoy Sydney! Lived out there for a while myself; worked right by Circular Quay.

      Take a few exploratory walks around the CBD (find the food spotsnfor lunch!) & Northern shores. Some really lovely areas - then you can look a bit further afar.

      Don't worry about FPL timings TOO much. About 4-5 seasons back I managed a 10k rank whilst out there.

      Usually you'll just set it before going to bed if a 12:30 - 15:00ish deadline. Was alight for me as I sleep late - but may be different for you! The random 19:00s (GMT) are slightly tricker to navigate 😛

    6. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      14 days, 22 hours ago

      I lived there for best part of 10 years before moving back to UK, last few years were in Maroubra which is a great spot. I did struggle with FPL a bit tbh, I was forever missing price rises and such. I've started to take it a lot more seriously now. It's more than dooable though if you are dedicated, just look at some of the ORs of people frequenting these boards with unfavourable time zones.

      Good luck!

    7. Al Green Arrows
      • 5 Years
      14 days, 12 hours ago

      cheers mates!

  4. pundit of punts
    • 9 Years
    15 days, 7 hours ago

    Could be a good team to start with -

    Raya - 4m
    Chilwell - Mitchell - White - Ait Nouri - 4m
    Salah - Son - Bowen - Gray - 4.5
    EBH - Bamford - Mitrovic

    Should work out well 😀

    1. jay01
      • 7 Years
      15 days, 6 hours ago

      Im sorry but i really am not a fan!

      1. pundit of punts
        • 9 Years
        15 days, 6 hours ago

        Reasons?

        1. jay01
          • 7 Years
          15 days, 6 hours ago

          How much do you think each player will be btw?

          Im not a fan of Gray, feel Ait Nouri is a rotation risk with Marcal lurking. Not sold on arsenal defence now they have europa

          1. jay01
            • 7 Years
            15 days, 6 hours ago

            Hear me out.. i think you have more money than you think, i dont agree with some of the price predictions.. meaning you can strengthen in the defence a bit more if i am right

            1. jay01
              • 7 Years
              15 days, 6 hours ago

              But i guess you will find out soon

    2. RogDog_jimmy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      15 days, 6 hours ago

      conceptually I'd rather Bamford was a 4.5 and you had a couple more 6.5 defenders.
      or something like that.

      i also find the whole "make a team with no prices or fixtures" thing a little pointless from a practical point of view - but if it's fun for you go for it!

  5. Fpl_Ludwig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    14 days, 23 hours ago

    I’m Swedish and probably going to england to watch some prem games this season
    But can’t decide wheter to go to Manchester/Liverpool or London?

    Any thoughts?

    1. mynameisq
      • 8 Years
      14 days, 23 hours ago

      3 cities with lots to do in them, what are your preferences?

    2. Gazwaz80
      • 2 Years
      14 days, 23 hours ago

      Depends on how much you value your wallet 🙂

      1. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ
        • 7 Years
        14 days, 22 hours ago

        In terms of total cost, or in terms of the likelihood of it getting nicked?

        1. el polako
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          14 days, 22 hours ago

          Both should be pretty high in Liverpool.

        2. Gazwaz80
          • 2 Years
          14 days, 19 hours ago

          50/50 🙂

    3. el polako
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      14 days, 23 hours ago

      Depends what you want from it ?
      Personally I'd go Crystal Palace or Newcastle at home, maybe against one of the big team to not only enjoy atmosphere buy also see great players.

    4. RedRo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      14 days, 22 hours ago

      I wouldn’t bother with Manchester. I’ve been to Old Trafford 4 times and the atmosphere was non existent. Brentford I’d recommend. Pub on each corner too (not 100% sure if this is still the case).

    5. Giggs Boson
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      14 days, 22 hours ago

      Don't forget to visit some of the rural areas, we have some nice country pubs, seaside walks, and lush green countryside.

      London has more touristy sights to see, but the football is better in Manchester and Liverpool atm. They're not far away from eachother you could visit both quite easily. That way you could get a look at Ronaldo, Haaland and Jordan Henderson all in one trip.

      1. TN
        • 1 Year
        14 days, 22 hours ago

        Jordan Henderson haha

    6. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      14 days, 21 hours ago

      I left the UK a couple years ago but used to live in Manchester & London. Manchester has little to recommend it in general imo, I didnt like it much. Liverpool is pretty nice to wander around for a day or two. Anfield is great but difficult/expensive to get tickets. If you've never been to London its well worth it. If you get lucky with timing, seeing Liverpool away Palace/Brentford would be a great idea as mentioned above

  6. Inazuma X1
    • 4 Years
    14 days, 23 hours ago

    Haaland (C) GW1

    1. Little Red Lacazette
      • 5 Years
      14 days, 22 hours ago

      Gw1 2020/21 - Salah 20 pts
      Gw1 2021/22 - Salah 17 pts

      Fixtures will determine...

    2. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ
      • 7 Years
      14 days, 22 hours ago

      Do you have a patreon?

  7. Giggs Boson
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    14 days, 22 hours ago

    Do you think there's a chance Darwin takes pens?

    Penalty records:

    Darwin: 11/11 - 100%
    Egyptian King: 27/32 - 77%
    Average player: 76%

    1. mynameisq
      • 8 Years
      14 days, 22 hours ago

      Don't think so, he doesn't have the stature to come in and do that. But could see him being second choice

      1. TN
        • 1 Year
        14 days, 21 hours ago

        Not sure he would do but if he does and he comes in around the 9.5m mark it would make me question whether to go for Nunez over Diaz.

        *I'm thinking of going without Salah

    2. NateDog
      • 1 Year
      14 days, 21 hours ago

      The only way I could see him taking them is if Salah leaves

    3. RedRo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      14 days, 21 hours ago

      I don’t think so. Those stats suggest he’s due some misses 😉

    4. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ
      • 7 Years
      14 days, 19 hours ago

      Slim to none, and slim's on a diet.

  8. Drumandbaines123
    • 1 Year
    14 days, 22 hours ago

    And so the hypothetical tinkering begins...

    Raya (4.5) / (4.0)

    Robertson (7.5) Cancelo (7.0) Chilwell (6.0) Trippier (5.5) Cash (5.5)

    Son (11.5) Diaz (9.0) Bowen (8.0) Bruno G (6.0) / (4.5)

    Haaland (12.0) / (4.5) (4.5)

    Total - 100m if prices correct. Thoughts?

    1. TN
      • 1 Year
      14 days, 22 hours ago

      Similar to what I've been thinking tbh.

      I was thinking of Robbo, Cancelo and James at the back with either Digne/Cash/Trippier/Reguilon as my third defender (someone around the 5.5m mark) with maybe a crystal palace cheap defender maybe Mitchell if he is still 4.5 (maybe even Tsimikas or a similarly cheap player to be 3rd on bench).

      I'm also wanting to go without Salah, depending on fixtures, so Diaz will be my Liverpool midfielder alongside Son. Bruno G is tempting but other than Son and Diaz I haven't thought too much about my midfield.

      I'm hoping for Haaland up top with maybe mitrovic (or someone else around the 6.5m mark) and then a 4.5.

    2. Holmes
      • 8 Years
      14 days, 22 hours ago

      Cancelo should be same as Robertson. Trippier 5.

      Bowen 8.5 at least, Bruno 6.5

  9. Nomar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    14 days, 22 hours ago

    So, if you play your WC at the start of the World Cup break does it just last for one week or the whole month that the world Cup is in for?

    1. Silecro
      • 4 Years
      14 days, 21 hours ago

      it lasts until the new gameweek begins, I guess. Which is after world cup of course

    2. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ
      • 7 Years
      14 days, 19 hours ago

      I suspect they will give everyone unlimited FTs during the World Cup break, so could be a moot point.

  10. TN
    • 1 Year
    14 days, 22 hours ago

    Rank from best to worst...the premium forward options this season:

    1) Haaland
    2) Kane
    3) Nunez

    ...the best premium midfield options:
    1) Son
    2) KDB
    3) Salah
    4) Bruno F

    ...the best premium defender options:
    1) Robertson (cheaper than Trent)
    1) Trent (especially if he is less than 8.5)
    3) Cancelo
    4) James
    5) Chilwell
    6) VVD

    please add any I've missed

    1. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      14 days, 21 hours ago

      213
      3124
      2(assume this is Trent)13546

      1. TN
        • 1 Year
        14 days, 21 hours ago

        Kane over Haaland?!

        Mind you if your going for Salah over Son you still need a spurs attacker so Kane makes sense.

        I'd like to know why you opted against the Haaland and Son combo though?

        1. Eh, just one more thing ...
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          14 days, 21 hours ago

          Yes … I don’t think Kane has his crybaby start to the season this time, so expect a more consistent start … he plays every game, on pens, established in league and Spurs will strengthen. As great as Haaland is, he may need to bed in.

          Salah starts the season well … we’ll it’s just Salah so no reason needed really. It comes down to me preferring to start with the known entities at the start of the season.

          Just wait though, I’ll end up starting with the other two.

          1. Eh, just one more thing ...
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            14 days, 21 hours ago

            A lot will depend on the fixtures for me.

    2. LangerznMash
      • 5 Years
      13 days, 16 hours ago

      123
      2314
      213465

  11. ryacoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    13 days, 17 hours ago

    Where would you say the cut-off is between mid-price and premium? 8.5/9.0?

    1. KujaliaFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      13 days, 17 hours ago

      8.333333....

    2. KujaliaFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      13 days, 17 hours ago

      Some say the cutoff is 8 + 2π