Great Expectations

FPL 2022/23 ones to watch: Can Bruno Guimaraes build on a solid start?

Kicking off our pre-season ‘Great Expectations’ series is an assessment of Newcastle United midfielder Bruno Guimaraes.

In these articles, we look at players who have shown glimpses of promise and are potentially on the cusp of a breakout Fantasy Premier League (FPL) campaign.

Most of the stats and graphics used in this piece are taken from our Premium Members Area here.

2021/22 FPL REVIEW

As the first big signing of the Magpies’ new ownership, there was already an expectation on the 24-year-old to justify his £40m price tag. Yet it didn’t take long for him to do so.

Five cameo appearances began life on Tyneside, with his arrival happening to coincide with Joe Willock finally hitting some goal-scoring form.

Guimaraes’ full debut at Southampton was memorable for his casual back-heeled volley to win the game.

Newcastle's Bruno Guimaraes scores back-heeled stunner vs Southampton

The addition of both Eddie Howe and five winter signings caused a dramatic shift in Newcastle’s form. No Premier League team had ever escaped relegation having not won in their first 14 attempts.

However, not only did they survive, it was a comfortable mid-table finish on 49 points. Since January 1, only Liverpool, Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur have better records.

Five Bruno Guimaraes goals from 11 starts helped with this, with the Brazilian bagging a brace against Leicester City in Gameweek 33 before notching strikes that defeated both Norwich City and Arsenal.

2021/22Newcastle United175
2019Athletico Paranaense252
2018Athletico Paranaense321
2017Athletico Paranaense40

Above: Bruno Guimaraes’ career playing statistics

The truth is that this run of goals is a purple patch for his career so far – only six had arrived in 117 league games for Lyon and Athletico Paranaense.

When comparing his heat maps of recent seasons, there seems to be no great change from ‘box-to-box midfielder’.

Heat maps of (left to right) Newcastle 2021/22, Lyon 2021/22 and Lyon 2020/21, according to SofaScore

His all-round qualities have already been displayed in the Premier League, alongside the goals. Since his first start in Gameweek 28, Guimaraes ranks as Newcastle’s best outfield player for shots (20), expected goal involvement (3.79), tackles (60) and recoveries (74).

However, in a wider context, his attacking statistics aren’t particularly impressive when compared to other FPL midfielders. In the same period, these goal attempts rank in 25th place, also coming 63rd for penalty area touches (19).

Above: Over the course of the season, Bruno Guimaraes was ranked only 43rd among midfielders for minutes per expected goal involvement (xGI).


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FPLMarc88 Newcastle fan that spends far too much time thinking about FPL.”

185 Comments Post a Comment
  1. KanyeWest
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 25 days ago

    Bruno Guimaraes can build on a solid start.

    1. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 25 days ago

      I think it will depend on any new signings.

    2. AndyLet'sNotTalkSocial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 25 days ago

      Toon have a decent set of fixtures from GW6, time to assess him.