Spot the Differential

FPL Gameweek 5 differentials: Nunes can exploit Bournemouth

Gameweek 5 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Wolverhampton Wanderers, Brighton and Hove Albion and Leicester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of five per cent or less at the time of writing.

MATHEUS NUNES

FPL transfers: The latest new Premier League signings assessed 44
  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: bou | SOU | liv | MCI | whu

Matheus Nunes (£5.0m), Wolverhampton Wanderers’ new club-record £38m signing, has performed well for the club in his first two starts.

The box-to-box midfielder was thrown straight into the starting XI for Wolves’ visit to Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 3, before his Premier League home debut against Newcastle United on Sunday.

In that time, Nunes has racked up six goal attempts, four shots in the box and one ‘big chance’, and is clearly suited to the advanced midfielder role in Bruno Lage’s 4-3-3 set-up. From that position, it’s expected he’ll get the license to attack and join the front three when the opportunity arrives, given that Joao Moutinho (£4.9m) and Ruben Neves (£5.5m) are more likely to sit in.

Wolves were denied their first Premier League win of the season in Gameweek 4, as a late Allan Saint-Maximin (£6.5m) volley cancelled out Neves’ opener. However, Raul Jimenez (£6.9m) made his first Premier League start of the season, and elements of their attacking play caught the eye at Molineux. Indeed, Nunes had a great chance with a free header from the Mexicans cross in the first half, while his pass for Pedro Neto (£5.3m) almost produced an assist.

That suggests attacking returns are on the horizon, ahead of an appealing two-match run against Bournemouth and Southampton.

Nunes has hit the ground running at Wolves and is perhaps being overlooked as a budget midfielder.

PERVIS ESTUPINAN

FPL transfers: The latest new Premier League signings assessed 41
  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: ful | LEI | bou | CRY | liv

Pervis Estupinan (£4.5m) caught the eye with a lively home debut in Gameweek 4, as Brighton and Hove Albion maintained their unbeaten start to the season.

The energetic full-back/wing-back whipped several dangerous crosses into the box and regularly got forward in Graham Potter’s 3-4-1-2 formation, ending the match with a game-high three created chances and one attempt on goal.

It’s also worth noting that among all players on the pitch, only Moises Caicedo (£5.0m) registered more final-third touches than Estupinan. He didn’t neglect his defensive duties, either, with 10 ball recoveries and two interceptions.

The match saw Brighton keep their third clean sheet in four matches, and with a great run of fixtures, now is a good time to invest in the Seagulls. Indeed, they sit top of our Season Ticker from Gameweeks 5 to 8, a period which sees them face Fulham, Leicester City, Bournemouth and Crystal Palace. They are in fine form, too, having gone nine consecutive top-flight matches without a defeat, extending back to the 2021/22 season.

Estupinan will help cover the void left by the departure of Marc Cucurella (£5.1m) to Chelsea, and while not quite as nailed as team-mate Lewis Dunk (£4.5m), could potentially develop into a first-choice player. If Saturday’s performance is anything to go by, that isn’t far away.

HARVEY BARNES

Barnes offering differential potential between now and end of FPL season 1
  • FPL ownership: 1.0%
  • Price: £6.9m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: MUN | bha | AVL | tot | NFO

Harvey Barnes (£6.9m) netted for Leicester City in their 2-1 away loss to Chelsea in Gameweek 4, his first goal of the season in just his second start.

The winger was the Foxes’ main attacking threat as he combined well with Jamie Vardy (£9.4m), ending the match with four goal attempts, three of which were on target. That means he’s racked up a respectable five shots in the box in the last two Gameweeks, a tally that ranks joint-seventh among all midfielders.

“Harvey Barnes was outstanding for us, we knocked on the door a lot. There was a lot of good for us but we’re disappointed with the result.” – Brendan Rodgers on Harvey Barnes after their loss at Chelsea

On Saturday’s evidence, further goals and assists will follow for Barnes, who could become an effective differential pick. Indeed, three of Leicester’s next five opponents – Manchester United, Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest – have hardly been convincing defensively so far this season.

Meanwhile, no club has allowed more ‘big chances’ than Brendan Rodgers’ side across the opening four rounds, which suggests they’ll need their attacking players to step up and score if they can’t rely on their defence for clean sheets.

Barnes is a real difference maker in the final third, and after producing six goals and 12 assists in 2021/22, carries significant potential in FPL.

Haaland Foden

553 Comments Post a Comment
  1. PompeyUpNorth!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    2 FT’s 0.5 ITB Am about to press the button on this; Neto to Gross exact cash and roll the other transfer. I’ll play Gross and first sub Andreas
    OR does anyone have any other better options please?

    Sanchez (Ward)

    Cancelo Trent Robbo Perisic James

    Salah Marti Andreas (Neto Bailey)

    Haaland Jesus (Archer)

    Cheers!

    1. DWC1982
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 7 months ago

      Neto to Gross is a good transfer in my opinion. Gross seems to be nailed for now and is getting in goalscoring positions. Neto is a great dribbler but more of a solo player (he can assist too but you know what I mean, he is a maverick type), so his chances of scoring seem to rely more on individuality for Wolves than the great system Brighton have got going. Look at Gross's goals vs Manchester United - both came as a result of fantastic moves rather than anything individually amazing anyone done. They were great team goals. I prefer great systems in terms of potential for FPL point as compared to amazing individual brilliance, and Brighton have a better coached team than Wolves imo.

      Of course it is FPL so after saying this watch Neto score a hat trick and Gross get sent off this gameweek.

      1. PompeyUpNorth!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        Ha ha yes probably right, but thanks for the detailed reply. It’s appreciated and my mind is made up now cheers!

        1. DWC1982
          • 1 Year
          1 year, 7 months ago

          No problem man, best of luck this gameweek and the rest of the season. I am sure you will do well.

          1. PompeyUpNorth!
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            1 year, 7 months ago

            Thank you and same to you

            1. DWC1982
              • 1 Year
              1 year, 7 months ago

              Cheers, take it easy. I just joined here tonight so maybe talk again another time, Peace mate.

              1. PompeyUpNorth!
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                1 year, 7 months ago

                Yes cool, I’ll keep an eye out for any questions when on here cheers!

  2. El Tel
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Which is best until GW9 WC

    A. Gabriel
    B. Dunk

    1. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      Tough one. If I had to chose then it’s Gabriel

      1. El Tel
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        Yep. Currently have Gabriel and 2FT, but the 0.5 opens up my potential move next week. Hmm.

        1. PompeyUpNorth!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          1 year, 7 months ago

          In that case go Dunk as there’s more to it

  3. CleverDick12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Dilemma… only weakness in team is JWP, any suggested replacements for similar money?

    1. DWC1982
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 7 months ago

      I wouldn't call him a weakness, maybe a little overpriced but he does get some decent returns. Still, probably better options in that price range.

      I think he could get a return against Chelsea, but then I thought the same vs Man United. he is a good all round midfielder but of course with him it's all about his set piece ability in terms of goals and assists.

  4. Bob.
    • 14 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Team for this gw.

    Sanchez
    TAA James Dias Robertson
    Pereira Salah Martinelli Foden
    Haaland Jesus

    Ward Bailey Williams Archer

    I have two ft but think I should just do Bailey to some 5.0 mid. Not gonna do anything crazy I think and hope that foden starts and does the business. And hope that Diaz doesn't punish me again. Any other suggestions? Cheers

  5. Claudio555
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    A. Robbo+Neto > Dunk+Diaz

    or

    B. Robbo+Archer > Dunk+Toney

  6. KanuLenoMeeMoCash
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Any Arsenal ITKs here?
    Have Zinc and 0.4mil
    Want him for Villa but could switch to Perisic now if it looks very unlikely he plays Villa. Perisic rising tonight so any info would be very welcome, thanks

    1. DWC1982
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 7 months ago

      I think he is worth holding if you have a viable bench/back up option. Issue of course is if he is a sub and comes on for a one pointer, more likely this season with 5 subs.

      Persic is a great option though a rotation risk. Tricky fixtures coming up but find him quite fixture proof in that he can score or assist against anyone. But that is just my opinion, might be wrong.

      1. KanuLenoMeeMoCash
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        Thanks good point! Price changes often give me this now or never feeling and it doesn't alway work out.
        I have Pereira v Brighton, might chance keeping and have 2 FT next week

        1. DWC1982
          • 1 Year
          1 year, 7 months ago

          No problem man. I know what you are saying about price fluctuations.

          Pereira could be worth it, at home etc. I think Brighton are good defensively though so who knows. With Mitrovic up front there is a chance he could get an assist or two. It is probably not worth messing about too much just so you don't have to play Pereria, he has to get a game in people's squads sometimes and this is a decent week.

  7. HazemSerag
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Sanches.
    James Arnold perisic
    Gundogan diaz gros Rodrigo
    Haland Jesus toney.
    Sub. Saliba odegard dunk.
    Wild card active.. advice !!!

  8. The Legend Squad
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Thoughts on this perspective on how to play the game?

    I see content creators complaining a lot about how strong the template is because of the pricing.

    Way I see it - it allows us to be more aggressive! Firstly, we’ll probably have 2 transfers every week, because of how little the rest of the team changes. Secondly, 8/11 players are probably the same so risk of massive rank falls are limited.

    So let’s have some fun with it. Use transfers to target specific fixtures or form, even if you use a transfer to reverse it the next week. Take one week calculated selections to make up points around the edges.

    Salah to KDB this week. Target NFO match.

    KDB back to Salah. Target the weak Everton defence.

    In the meantime, still got the other transfer to make changes where needed.

    Peresic out to dodge rotation. Toney to Mitrovic to target Bournemouth.

    I think this is pretty exciting.

  9. Froes
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    is it worth to replace martinelli for gross ?

  10. Froes
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    what do u guys think about replacing :
    - bailey for neto
    and
    - zinchenko for estupinan

    Bailey values just keeps on going down , and i think zinchenko will not start this gameweek , neto plays bournemouth