Spot the Differential
16 September 2022 550 comments
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Gameweek 8 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Everton, Bournemouth and West Ham United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of five per cent or less at the time of writing.

ANTHONY GORDON

The best FPL midfielders for a Double Gameweek 37 Free Hit 8
  • FPL ownership: 3.6%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW8-12 fixtures: WHU | sou | MUN | tot | new

Anthony Gordon (£5.5m) has enjoyed a promising start to the new season, scoring twice in his last three Premier League appearances.

The winger is only 21, but both of those goals gained Everton a point, highlighting exactly why Frank Lampard was so keen to keep him at Goodison Park in the summer.

His underlying stats, meanwhile, suggest there is more to come.

Indeed, Gordon ranks third in his position for goal attempts (18), joint-fifth for shots in the box (13) and top for efforts on target (13), as he looks to improve his goalscoring record, something he said he was aiming for in pre-season.

Now, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) set to return to the fold following injury, plus the addition of Neal Maupay (£6.1m), we should see Gordon take up a wider role, which could potentially see him create more opportunities for his teammates.

Across the opening six matches, he has created just six chances which carried an expected assists (xA) value of 0.34. However, he posted team-leading totals in both metrics during the second half of 2021/22, so we should see improvement.

Everton are still looking for their first Premier League win of the season, but have drawn their last four matches, and now face a West Ham United side that will be in Europa Conference League action on Thursday. The Hammers also rank bottom for chances conceded from their left flank and 18th from the right, so there is potential for the Toffees’ wingers to thrive.

Gordon is clearly a crucial player for Everton and could offer real value for Fantasy managers on the lookout for a cheap midfielder.

DOMINIC SOLANKE

FPL price predictions 2022/23: What Fantasy managers think 9
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW8-12 fixtures: new | BRE | LEI | ful | SOU

Dominic Solanke (£5.7m) scored and grabbed an assist in the 3-2 win over Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 6, in just his third Premier League start of the season.

After finding themselves two-nil down at half-time, Bournemouth re-emerged after the break with a three-at-the-back system, with Ryan Fredericks (£4.4m) replacing Jordan Zemura (£4.4m) and Adam Smith (£4.4m) tucking inside to become a third centre-half. That allowed the Cherries’ wing-backs to stay wide and push high up the pitch, which proved to be the catalyst for the forward’s improved second-half showing.

“He’s a dream. As a centre-forward, I think sometimes his work can go unnoticed because it’s difficult to score goals at this level. But I’m so pleased he got his goal because you ask him to press, he presses, you ask him to do stuff in possession. He does it, he literally does everything he can. Probably the hardest working centre-forward I’ve ever seen. I’m delighted that he gets to put a goal on the end of it, because he deserves it.” – Gary O’Neil on Dominic Solanke after the 3-2 win over Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 6

Now, Solanke is about to embark on a really kind run of fixtures. In fact, between Gameweeks 8-16, which is when we pause for the winter World Cup, Bournemouth sit top of our Season Ticker for fixture difficulty. He could, therefore, be a cheap ‘set-and-forget’ forward, which could perhaps allow upgrades in other areas.

Solanke does have pedigree, too, albeit at a lower level. For example, in 2021/22, he netted a very impressive 29 Championship goals as Bournemouth finished runners-up and won promotion. That suggests he can continue ticking over, and perhaps offer value as a cheap forward offering regular starts.

TOMAS SOUCEK

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW8-12 fixtures: eve | WOL | FUL | sou | liv

Tomas Soucek (£5.4m) has been an integral part of West Ham United’s midfield since joining – initially on loan – from Slavia Prague.

In his first full season at the club, the 27-year-old netted 10 Premier League goals and was a constant threat in the opposition box, especially from set-pieces.

His performances have dropped slightly since then, as he managed just five goals in the top-flight last term. However, he has already scored in both the Premier League and Europa Conference League in 2022/23 and could potentially add to his tally in Gameweek 8.

That’s because Sunday’s opponents, Everton, rank bottom for headed goal attempts conceded this season, with 24. As a result, David Moyes will surely target that area of weakness, given Soucek’s aerial ability. Indeed, the Czech international has already racked up five headed attempts in 2022/23 – no FPL midfielder has managed more.

After that, West Ham face an appealing run right through until the World Cup break, a period which sees them face Wolverhampton Wanderers, Fulham, Southampton, Bournemouth, Crystal Palace and Leicester City.

Soucek experienced a dip in form last season but is showing signs that he can return to his top level. That suggests he can be an effective differential in Gameweek 8 against an Everton side that will be without the influential Jordan Pickford (£4.5m).



550 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Gazza2000
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Best one week punt

    A) Gordon
    B) B.Silva
    C) Almiron
    D) Bailey
    E) Odegaard

    1. MattyW
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I think Bailey

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Odegaard for sure

    3. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      JWP or can you stretch to Maddison?

      1. Gazza2000
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Have 7.5 for this spot left

    4. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I am thinking C.

  2. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Any midfielder worth -4 for great fun this week guys please? WC next week!

    1. Flynny
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Bowen? Paqueta? Gordon

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        -4? Not really sure, got all the money in the world Salah + 0.6 ITB

    2. Cruyff's Eleven
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Kulu

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Got him from GW1, ta!

    3. ResultatFar
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      KDB surely

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Surely? Really boring isn't it, but probably the right one

    4. slipthemonkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Maybe Son? He's got to deliver at some point.

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        I am tempted Kulu + Rich double up btw 😛

    5. Riders of Yohan
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      KDB for sure

  3. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Gw8 anytime scorer odds...

    Haaland: 60%
    Kane: 52%
    Mitrovic: 42%
    Isak: 41%
    Jesus: 40%
    Son: 40%
    Richarlison: 36%
    Watkins: 33%
    Ings: 32%
    Toney: 32%
    KDB: 30%
    Mahrez: 30%
    Martinelli: 30%
    Kulusevski: 30%
    Saka: 27%
    Foden: 27%
    Maupay: 27%
    Vardy: 27%
    Johnson: 25%
    Coutinho: 24%
    Bailey: 23%

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Oh Richarlison!

  4. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Best option for one week only?

    A...trippier v bou (got pope)

    B...perisic v Leicester

    Thanks

    1. MattyW
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      All circumstance counts then A

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks

  5. MattyW
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Thoughts on this WC?

    Pope (Ward)
    Cancelo, Trippier, Neco (James) (Emerson)
    KDB, Martinelli, Paqueta, Bailey (Maddison)
    Haaland, Toney, Mitro

    1. ResultatFar
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Looks solid! I’d play Maddi if I had him though

    2. b91jh
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Would prefer Patterson rather than Emerson.

  6. EL_FENOMENO
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Archer to:
    a) Mitro
    b) Isak

    1. ResultatFar
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Mitro for sure

    2. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      The stats favour mitrovic. Easy switch to jump on Isak

    3. Riders of Yohan
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A easy. Stats, fixtures, proven

  7. ResultatFar
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Am I mad to consider Leno as my gk on a WC?

    1. runupstream
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Not a bad shout, but Pope surely the better option ATM

      1. ResultatFar
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Yes, just feels so dull to go have 5.0+ spend in goal

  8. runupstream
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    WHO TO PLAY?

    1 Emerson EVE (A)
    2 Tete NFO (A)
    3 Neco FUL (H)

    1. MattyW
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      3 easy

    2. ResultatFar
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      You are going to have this benching headache every week. Either go with your gut or look at CS odds

    3. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Neco. Home fixture.

  9. Drogba Legend
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    2FT, .5 ITB. Advice appreciated, can field 11 this week for free. Probably WC next week.

    Ward
    Cancelo - Neco - White
    Foden - Martinelli - Andreas - Salah*
    Haaland - Jesus - Archer

    Sanchez* - TAA* - James * - Gross*

    A) Salah and Archer > Kane and 6.4 mid (st max if he’s available I’m thinking or Almiron?)

    B) TAA and Archer > Mitro and Tripp

    C ) 2 or 3 of Salah, TAA and Archer out for whoever. Could do Mitro, Son and Tripp out for those three above for a hit which honestly looks pretty good

    1. Riders of Yohan
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A for me, biggest upside and unsure if son starts

  10. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Got Kulusevski and for one week only punt, is it mad to double up with Richarlison? Not keen on Son atm ...

    1. Ash_Samtani
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      don’t think it’s mad, particularly against that leicester defence! only thing i’d say to consider is that it’s difficult to predict minutes this week. son off at 70 midweek, kulu rested and richarlison on good form. i’m not sure which two start!

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Imagine Kulu and Rich start! 😛

        1. Ash_Samtani
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          yeah, that would be looking very tasty

  11. Ash_Samtani
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    anyone considering almiron if st max is out for this gw? currently have isak and son but keen to switch for kane and another newcastle attacker just for safety of minutes.

  12. Kryptonite666
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    I’m considering Kane + Foden instead of Isak + KDB on a WC.

    Kane (c). Thoughts?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      It's time to be alive, you've got Haaland anyway so the damage maybe limited if things go wrong

    2. You've got red on you.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah, Kane Captain. Can't get burned again surely!

  13. Hog Roast Junkie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Last 2 spots on wc

    A) KDB and Bailey
    B) Maddison and Bowen

    All will have to play this week

  14. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Best mid for 8.2m?

    1. FC Hakkebøf
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Foden imo

    2. ResultatFar
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Saka

  15. FC Hakkebøf
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Why is Zaha so popular?

    Fixtures:

    Blank, Chelsea (A), Leeds (H), Leicester (A) and Wolves (H)

    Only good fixture is Leeds and to a lesser extent Leicester. Am I missing something?

    1. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I read this other way. One bad fixture - Chelsea. Pros of having him - price, focal point of CP offence, decent underlying stats, much more help from other CP players like Ebe or Oliseh.

      1. Andy_Social
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Agree, he should be one of the best mids as the World Cup approaches. I considered getting andf benching him now, but Palace have been underwhelming so far (albeit with tough fixtures). He could well smash the Chelsea defence, but I'd like to see how he performs in that game before provisionally getting him in for Martinelli GW10.

      2. slipthemonkey
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Pens too

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Leicester is a better fixture than you seem to be allowing, and it continues good from there with Everton, Southampton, Forest etc

  16. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Who to play tonight Andreas or Neco?

    1. ResultatFar
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      If in doubt, always the attacking option

      1. You've got red on you.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        So Neco

  17. b91jh
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Few decisions to made on WC...

    1) Isak vs Toney
    2) Andreas vs Bailey
    3) JWP vs Paqueta (both would be short term picks only)
    4) Bowen vs Maddison

    1. ResultatFar
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Toney, Andreas, JWP, coin flip

    2. You've got red on you.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      IAJM

  18. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    A.) Foden/Paqueta

    Or

    B.) Gundo/Sinisterra

    1. FC Hakkebøf
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Dont like either tbh

  19. FC Hakkebøf
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Better combo?

    A) Kane, KDB, Gordon
    B) Kane, Sterling, Bernado
    C) Kane, Foden, Maddison
    D) Isak, KDB, Sterling

    1. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      D

  20. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Feels like the start of the season again. Pick 2 out of these on wc.

    A. Saka
    B. Kulu
    C. Maddison
    D. Bowen
    E. Foden

    1. You've got red on you.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      BE

    2. FC Hakkebøf
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      C and E

  21. You've got red on you.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Morning all.

    I am looking for a 4.5m mid that plays but isn't highly owned so I don't lose value if they get mass sold.

    Kouyaté?

    1. FC Hakkebøf
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Would just go cheap and pick Patterson, Neco or Emerson

      1. You've got red on you.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        I'm looking for a mid

    2. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Reed from Fulham

  22. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Good morning.Bowen or Foden?

  23. Baines on Toast...
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Used one FT on Sanchez > Pope. One FT remaining; WC already played. Anything else worth a go? I'm thinking the upside of two FTs over the break is worth anything gained by other moves; the one temptation is perhaps a Gross replacement; I can afford up to 7.8 but only Gordon is really tempting, and I wonder if I'll have a clearer idea who to move for next week.

    Pope (Ward)
    Trippier - Cancelo - Perisic - Neco (Trent)
    Martinella - Andreas - Da Silva (Salah, Gross)
    Toney - Haaland (c) - Jesus

    1. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Assuming that yo do not want swap Salah to KDB, maybe Gross to one of WHU's boys - Soucek or Paqueta? Da Silva is probably one pointer here

  24. jonnybhoy
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Morning guys used my free transfers up and can play 10. Anything worth a hit to play 11? 0.4ITB

    Ederson
    Saliba Cancelo Trippier Schar
    SALAH Martinelli Andreas
    Haaland (C) Jesus Mitrovic

    Ward Cucurella Diaz Groß

    A) Salah to Son -4pts
    B) Groß to Bailey -4pts
    C) Wildcard
    D) GTG

  25. Pylynen
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Gtg? 0ft 3.5itb

    Pope
    Schär Trippier Cancelo Neco
    KDB Martinelli Andreas
    Haaland Jesus Mitrovic

    Ward Harrison Gross James

  26. You've got red on you.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    1. Who's son should I pick?

    a) Emerson or b) Patterson

    2. And is this a sign that I should be picking Son over De Bruyne?

  27. FOO FIGHTER
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Viable mid 6.5 and under from GW8 to 12 based on fixtures instead of Martinelli with the aim to having him from GW13. Will own Gordon.

    1. ASM (flagged)
    2. JWP
    3. Buendía
    4. Lingard
    5. Gibbs-White
    6. Benrahma
    7. Hwang

    Or just stick with Marti?

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Think I’d rather Marti over any of them, but JWP is the most nailed, although you need to own him for long spells to get the value out of him. Been burned a few times owning him at the wrong times.

  28. Karan_G14
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Pope
    Cancelo James Trippier __ __
    KDB Zaha Martinelli Andreas __
    Haaland Mitro Toney

    Best option out of these on wildcard?

    A) TAA, Emerson, Bailey
    B) Zouma, Neco/Patterson, Maddison

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A

  29. Concrete
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Thoughts on this?

    Pope Ward
    Cancelo Trippier James Neco Emerson
    KdB Saka Martinelli Gordon Andreas
    Haaland Isak Mitro

    3.6itb for Trent and Salah - lesser extent Sterling/Chelsea

    Reluctant to plan FTs but have Saka to Diaz to Zaha over 2 GW

    Monitoring Paqueta and 6mils

  30. tristanabc
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Any changes to this WC team or gtg (0.0 ITB)?

    Pope
    Cancelo Trippier Neco
    Bowen Maddison Silva Andreas
    Haaland Mitro Kane(c)

    Ward Emerson Zaha James

    1. George James
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      similar to mine but i have Martinelli and Foden over Bowen and Bilva,

      Nice team

      1. tristanabc
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Thank you - you too

    2. ArseneAllTheWay
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      gtg