Spot the Differential
13 January 2023 1804 comments
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Double Gameweek 20 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

FPL Double Gameweek 20 differentials: Eriksen, Gakpo + Mahrez 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: MCI + cry | ars | CRY | lee | LEI

Christian Eriksen (£6.3m) has shown his value for Man Utd this season, playing an important role in their revival under Erik ten Hag.

Despite playing a deeper role, the playmaker has still been able to impact games offensively. In his last six matches, Eriksen has provided a goal and four assists.

Averaging 6.2 points per match in that time, he’s posted team-leading totals for crosses and passes received in the opposition half, whilst sitting fifth among all FPL midfielders for xA, only behind Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m), Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m), Martin Odegaard (£6.7m) and Solly March (£5.0m).

His ability from dead-ball situations is key to his FPL appeal, with the imminent signing of Wout Weghorst – a proper target man – further boosting his potential.

Man Utd head into Double Gameweek 20 full of confidence, having lost just one of their last 10 league matches, with three consecutive wins to nil following the restart. Now, they meet Man City at Old Trafford, before visiting a Crystal Palace side that have conceded seven goals in their last two home outings.

Eriksen is one of ten Hag’s most important players and now settled into a central midfield role where he can dictate play and have a real influence on games, could be an effective mid-price differential.

CODY GAKPO

FA Cup Scout Notes: Gakpo's debut, Chelsea injury latest
  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bha | CHE | wol | EVE | new

Cody Gakpo (£8.0m) signed for Liverpool just after Christmas from PSV and made his debut in the FA Cup last weekend.

The 23-year-old started the 2-2 draw with Wolves at Anfield and featured for 84 minutes, lining up on the left of Jurgen Klopp’s front three. He did, however, sometimes interchange positions with centre-forward Darwin Nunez (£8.9m), which was apparent during the Uruguayan’s first-half equaliser.

During the match, Gakpo had a hand in Mohamed Salah’s (£12.8m) goal and also showed signs of forming an effective partnership with Andrew Robertson (£6.9m). While Luis Diaz (£7.8m) is more of an out-and-out winger, Gakpo likes to drift inside, allowing the Scottish full-back to hold the width on the left, where he is generally at his best. Gakpo’s signing, as a result, could potentially benefit both players going forward.

Statistically, it wasn’t a great night for Gakpo as he attempted just one shot, but there were encouraging signs.

Now, the Dutchman will have another chance to open his account for his new club on Saturday when the Reds visit in-form Brighton. Albion have won two of their three matches since the restart, but Roberto De Zerbi’s attacking approach can leave gaps for opposition attackers to exploit, which should suit Liverpool, who can be deadly in transition.

Gakpo – the reigning Dutch Footballer of the Year – is an exciting signing and at just £8.0m in FPL, an intriguing differential.

RIYAD MAHREZ

FPL Gameweek 20: Taking a hit could be worth the risk
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £7.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: mun + TOT | WOL | tot | AVL | ars

A move for Riyad Mahrez (£7.5m) ahead of Double Gameweek 20 carries risk, given how often he has been benched in the past by Pep Guardiola.

However, the Algerian winger has hit top form following the restart, returning either a goal or assist in each of his three league outings, a period that has seen him average 7.0 points per start.

In addition, he claimed a brace of goals to help City secure a dominant 4-0 FA Cup third-round win over Chelsea and was also on target in last month’s 3-2 EFL Cup win over Liverpool.

“The quality of Riyad is everything. He loves to play football, he helped us to play the game. It was really good. It was a fantastic free-kick. He played an outstanding game. He never lost his love. He loves to play football. The way he is training now and playing was exactly the same in Abu Dhabi. Riyad in important games is fantastic. The last game he didn’t start at Stamford Bridge and the impact he had was incredible. When they play in this way, and maybe complain [about not playing every game] I say ‘yes, you’re right’. Before, he cannot complain because he wasn’t playing at the level he is now. It’s not just about quality, it’s more in football, you have to do more. [But] now since we came back for World Cup, he is playing really, really well.” – Pep Guardiola on Riyad Mahrez after last weekend’s 4-0 FA Cup win over Chelsea

It’s a double-header for Man City in Gameweek 20, as they travel to Man Utd before hosting Spurs on Thursday.

After being rested against Southampton in the EFL Cup in midweek, you’d expect Mahrez to start at least one of those games, perhaps both, with his potential clear when handed minutes. Indeed, he produced six double-digit hauls in just 15 league starts last season.

Owned by just 3.1% of managers, Mahrez has the potential to propel his owners up the ranks.



  1. Eastman
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Triple captain Harland?
    Y or N

    1. wilkinson
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      N

    2. bialk
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      No

    3. RUUD!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      yes

    4. Catastrophe
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      No. stay strong!

    5. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      N

    6. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Y

    7. F4L
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      yeah, guaranteed 160+ mins, won't be a better time imo

    8. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Why not? Should be guaranteed 2games, tot poor defensively, conceding lot of goals, further down line Haaland will have played more, cup games to be played, only played 3 games since w/cup, which he didn’t play in

    9. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      I am

      1. Eastman
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Think I’m going for it. Thanks all

  2. Jones Kusi
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Best defender to replace Cancelo?
    Max 5.7 and I already own Trippier, Bueno, Shaw, White

    1. RUUD!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Same boat as you matey, undecided at the moment, thinking Schar

    2. CelticBhoy1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Its hard to call which City defenders will start, let alone both GWs.
      As you already have a Utd defender I would say Perisic.

    3. Nanook
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Schar

  3. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Hello!
    Which sounds best?

    1) Play Andreas
    2) Play White
    3) Dariwn to Toney -4

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      3

    2. RUUD!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      2

    3. F4L
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      3

  4. bialk
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    1FT. What to do?
    A / Salah -> KDB or
    B/ Cucurela -> Shaw

    1. RUUD!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      B

  5. Caesar Salahd
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Any news on Kulusevski?

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Fit

      1. Caesar Salahd
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Cheers thanks

    2. Athletico Underachieving
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      “The news for sure the situation is going to improve, especially for Deki. He had training session in the last few days with us. He's going to be ready to play.”

      1. Caesar Salahd
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Thx for the update

  6. Lionel Fellaini
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Didn’t have the money for Toney I hope Mbeumo does me proud

  7. Qaiss
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Kulu or Mahrez? And why? Really is a coin toss for me atm

    1. Eastman
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      I'd go Mahrez.

    2. RUUD!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Mahrez

    3. F4L
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      city have 2 doubles coming so Mahrez

      1. Qaiss
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Kulu should start every game, will Mahrez? If Mahrez did, he’s the better pick but it’s tough.

    4. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Thanks all

  8. Catastrophe
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    A) Ederson, Schar & Mitrovic (Ward).
    B) Ederson, Doherty & Mitrovic (Kepa)
    C) Ederson, Botman & Mitrovic (Kepa)
    D) Ederson, Gabriel & Toney (Kepa)
    E) Kepa, Schar & Toney (Ward)
    F) Ederson, Schar & Toney (Ward) (-4)

    Cheers

  9. RUUD!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Should I do Cancelo to Ake, Akanji or Schar?

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Schar

  10. Gazzpfc
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Put stones in for a hit and he’s out

    Risk Stones playing one game or play Gabriel?

    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Ugh, I'd play Stones, shouldn't come on vs Spurs if he wasn't to start.

  11. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Anyone considering... Bruno? 😮

    1. sirmorbach
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      I did consider it. Didn't do the transfer, but doesn't sound ludicrous at all to me.

  12. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    A) Doherty + Cancelo
    B) Botman + Cancelo
    C) Shaw + Castagne
    D) Martinez + Cancelo

    1. sirmorbach
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      D for me.

  13. Red Star Toro
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Any chance we know more about Darwin ahead of the deadline? Cheers

    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Unless training pics come out, now.

  14. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Im gutted to be getting rid of Darwin, really thought he would do well against Brighton with my Salah double up.

    Reluctantly bringing in Kane now but I’m not expecting much. Spurs just arent clicking at the moment.

    1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      They'll get a penalty v Arsenal.

      Happens more often than not

      1. Nanook
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        No kidding. Kane’s PK record vs Arsenal is nuts

    2. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Same really did not want to make the Kane move.

  15. RamboRN
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Kepa
    Trippier shaw cancelo
    Kdb martineli rashford almiron
    Haaland kane martial

    Ward white andreas Patterson

    Gtg?

    1. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Martial 50-50 but would hold as owner.

      1. RamboRN
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Felt the dgw was enough to keep him for now so swapped mitro to kane instead of martial to kane

  16. Pylynen
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Toney or Wilson?

    1. Lionel Fellaini
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Wilson

    2. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Toney

    3. Nanook
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Toney

  17. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    totally forgot about gakpo

    1. Mirror Man
        3 years, 25 days ago

        He's dead to me after his large bottling incident.

        1. Ron_Swanson
          • 15 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          you're thinking of Harry Kane

    2. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Anyone know what is happening with Toney and any possible suspension for gambling?

      1. thegaffer82
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        I’m betting they throw the book at him

    3. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Afternoon all, 2 FT and 0.5 ITB.

      A - Salah & Greenwood > Kane + Mitoma
      B - Salah & Mitro > Kane & Saka
      C - Other suggestion?

      Kepa
      Gabriel - Trippier - Shaw
      Salah - KDB - Martinelli - Rash - Almiron
      Haaland - Mitro

      Ward - Walker - Greenwood - Patterson

      1. 1966
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Debruyne?

    4. thegaffer82
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Ake or Akanji?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Akanji

      2. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Akanji purely on the basis Stones could miss both games

    5. snow pea in repose
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Saka flagged

      1. GENERATION X
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        FLP gods have given me a Mahrez excuse for better or worse...

        1. GENERATION X
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          *FPL even

      2. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Arteta said "he will be OK"

        1. GENERATION X
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          He says a lot of things like most managers

    6. F4L
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      will there be any DGWs in 21?

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Hopefully although the fact they havent been announced means they are now unlikely.

      2. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Still have up to the deadline of this GW to announce it. Looking unlikely though

      3. F4L
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        cheers both

      4. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Think it’s to late that announce now, they could just f already done a provisional one like tot v city

        1. GENERATION X
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          They may announce it at 6.31pm...they have previous on it....

    7. How I met your Mata
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      2FTs have 3 City and 3 United do I keep/sell Cancelo?

    8. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Roll the dice on Cancelo or start White?

      1. sirmorbach
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        I'd start Cancelo.

      2. MADCHESTER UTD
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Cancelo. White will probably concede

      3. F4L
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Cancelo

    9. sirmorbach
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Please:

      Ramsdale / Ward
      Trippier, Stones, Shaw / Castagne, Patterson
      Salah, Saka, Rashford, Martinelli, Almirón
      Haaland, Kane / Greenwood

      a. Patterson to Lewis
      b. Castagne to Botman
      c. Save ft
      d. Something else?

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Save FT

        1. sirmorbach
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          Many thanks!

    10. Drogba Legend
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Kepa
      Cancelo Shaw Trippier
      Rashford KDB Martinelli Almiron
      Darwin Haaland Martial

      Ward Andreas Bueno White

      2ft .9 itb

      A) Darwin + Cancelo > Kane and 5.3 defender?
      B) Something else?

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        A - Schar.

    11. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Was going to -4 Shaw in, but looking at my team long term I'm not sure.

      I have White, Botman, Trippier
      GW20 - spurs, FUL, FUL
      GW21 - MUN, cpl, cpl
      GW22 - eve, WHU, WHU
      GW23 - BRE, bou, bou
      GW24 - avl, LIV, LIV (can play Bueno vs BOU, Patterson vs LEE)
      GW25 - lei, BHA, BHA
      GW26 - BOU, mci, mci (can play Patterson v nfo or more likely use a FT to start planning for BG28, DG29 etc.)
      GW27 - ful, WOL, WOL
      GW28 onwards - blank gameweeks and double gameweek planning comes into play

      So really the only weeks I would want Shaw are this week, GW24 (United home to Leicester) and GW26 (United away to Liverpool)

      Might just keep Patterson, the £1.1m and 4pts.

      Is he as essential as he is being made out when Arsenal and Newcastle have such great cheap options and have the best defences in the league?

      1. Hits from the Bong
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Supposed to be another double coming up too

      2. F4L
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        united are fighting on too many fronts, would be surprised if they kept their form up

      3. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        not essential but useful to have in a dgw. I think his goal (which is a rare occurence) has increased interest, not sure we will be seeing much of that v city. Palace is decent but can we really see city not scoring? so it's more than likely one game.

        I think if you really want him long term go for him but seems like your squad doesn't make him a priority

    12. Hits from the Bong
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Play Almiron or Mitro?

      1. Eastman
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Almiron

    13. Meechoo115
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      are we timed out of doubles for GW21 now? (before i hit sell on Darwin!)

      1. Rainer
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        No but fixtures guys are saying it's unlikely!

    14. Gudjohnsen
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Is Martial fit for tomorrow?

      1. Hits from the Bong
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        He trained, they are waiting to see how he responds

      2. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        He trained this morning. Make what you will with that info