Spot the Differential
13 January 2023 1804 comments
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Double Gameweek 20 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

FPL Double Gameweek 20 differentials: Eriksen, Gakpo + Mahrez 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: MCI + cry | ars | CRY | lee | LEI

Christian Eriksen (£6.3m) has shown his value for Man Utd this season, playing an important role in their revival under Erik ten Hag.

Despite playing a deeper role, the playmaker has still been able to impact games offensively. In his last six matches, Eriksen has provided a goal and four assists.

Averaging 6.2 points per match in that time, he’s posted team-leading totals for crosses and passes received in the opposition half, whilst sitting fifth among all FPL midfielders for xA, only behind Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m), Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m), Martin Odegaard (£6.7m) and Solly March (£5.0m).

His ability from dead-ball situations is key to his FPL appeal, with the imminent signing of Wout Weghorst – a proper target man – further boosting his potential.

Man Utd head into Double Gameweek 20 full of confidence, having lost just one of their last 10 league matches, with three consecutive wins to nil following the restart. Now, they meet Man City at Old Trafford, before visiting a Crystal Palace side that have conceded seven goals in their last two home outings.

Eriksen is one of ten Hag’s most important players and now settled into a central midfield role where he can dictate play and have a real influence on games, could be an effective mid-price differential.

CODY GAKPO

FA Cup Scout Notes: Gakpo's debut, Chelsea injury latest
  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bha | CHE | wol | EVE | new

Cody Gakpo (£8.0m) signed for Liverpool just after Christmas from PSV and made his debut in the FA Cup last weekend.

The 23-year-old started the 2-2 draw with Wolves at Anfield and featured for 84 minutes, lining up on the left of Jurgen Klopp’s front three. He did, however, sometimes interchange positions with centre-forward Darwin Nunez (£8.9m), which was apparent during the Uruguayan’s first-half equaliser.

During the match, Gakpo had a hand in Mohamed Salah’s (£12.8m) goal and also showed signs of forming an effective partnership with Andrew Robertson (£6.9m). While Luis Diaz (£7.8m) is more of an out-and-out winger, Gakpo likes to drift inside, allowing the Scottish full-back to hold the width on the left, where he is generally at his best. Gakpo’s signing, as a result, could potentially benefit both players going forward.

Statistically, it wasn’t a great night for Gakpo as he attempted just one shot, but there were encouraging signs.

Now, the Dutchman will have another chance to open his account for his new club on Saturday when the Reds visit in-form Brighton. Albion have won two of their three matches since the restart, but Roberto De Zerbi’s attacking approach can leave gaps for opposition attackers to exploit, which should suit Liverpool, who can be deadly in transition.

Gakpo – the reigning Dutch Footballer of the Year – is an exciting signing and at just £8.0m in FPL, an intriguing differential.

RIYAD MAHREZ

FPL Gameweek 20: Taking a hit could be worth the risk
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £7.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: mun + TOT | WOL | tot | AVL | ars

A move for Riyad Mahrez (£7.5m) ahead of Double Gameweek 20 carries risk, given how often he has been benched in the past by Pep Guardiola.

However, the Algerian winger has hit top form following the restart, returning either a goal or assist in each of his three league outings, a period that has seen him average 7.0 points per start.

In addition, he claimed a brace of goals to help City secure a dominant 4-0 FA Cup third-round win over Chelsea and was also on target in last month’s 3-2 EFL Cup win over Liverpool.

“The quality of Riyad is everything. He loves to play football, he helped us to play the game. It was really good. It was a fantastic free-kick. He played an outstanding game. He never lost his love. He loves to play football. The way he is training now and playing was exactly the same in Abu Dhabi. Riyad in important games is fantastic. The last game he didn’t start at Stamford Bridge and the impact he had was incredible. When they play in this way, and maybe complain [about not playing every game] I say ‘yes, you’re right’. Before, he cannot complain because he wasn’t playing at the level he is now. It’s not just about quality, it’s more in football, you have to do more. [But] now since we came back for World Cup, he is playing really, really well.” – Pep Guardiola on Riyad Mahrez after last weekend’s 4-0 FA Cup win over Chelsea

It’s a double-header for Man City in Gameweek 20, as they travel to Man Utd before hosting Spurs on Thursday.

After being rested against Southampton in the EFL Cup in midweek, you’d expect Mahrez to start at least one of those games, perhaps both, with his potential clear when handed minutes. Indeed, he produced six double-digit hauls in just 15 league starts last season.

Owned by just 3.1% of managers, Mahrez has the potential to propel his owners up the ranks.



  1. The Mighty Whites
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Bring Toney in for -4 or play Nunez (White/Andreas)?

    1. Fpl_Ludwig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      Get Toney

  2. mdm
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Martial or Toney?

    1. The Mighty Whites
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      T

    2. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      Going for Toney myself

    3. Captain Ace
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      imo definitely Toney

    4. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      Isn’t Tomey on 50% atm?

  3. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Kepa
    Shaw, Cancelo, Trippier
    Salah, Martinelli, Rashford, Almiron
    Haaland(c), Darwin, Mitrovic

    Ward, Andreas, White, Patterson.

    1.8 ITB 1FT.

    A Salah to KDB
    B Salah and Darwin to KDB and Toney ( no Liverpool!) -4
    C Salah, Darwin and Cancelo to KDB, Kane and Akanji -8

  4. Vasshin
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Is cucu to Perisic a good idea?

    I don’t want to jinx shaw by putting it in my team or save the FT and play bueno or white instead

  5. Apollo Sanchez
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    A. Darwin & Foden > Ferguson & KDB (using the funds elsewhere later)
    B. Darwin, Foden & Laporte > Mbeumo, KDB, Akanji (-4)

  6. lilmessipran
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Best option here-

    A Cancelo to any defender -4 ( except Tripps and Shaw)
    B Play Cancelo
    C Play White bench Cancelo

    1. The Mighty Whites
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      B

    2. Captain Ace
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      B

  7. NotsoSpursy
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Best striker here for this gw?

    A) martial
    B) Wilson
    C) Toney

    1. Captain Ace
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      Might be a little biased
      But I'll pick Toney

  8. romperstomper
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    bottomed. I can't believe I'm writing these words but:

    shaw, botman, trips, cancelo

    salah, rashford, odegard, almiron

    kane, haaland

    do I drop *any* of the above in favour of Bueno who has a decent chance of a cleansheet?

    1. Bubbles1985
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      No.

      I can definitely see Wolves conceding. Don't they have a big injury list?

    2. MBK 42
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      No

  9. TheBiffas
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    A) Darwin > Toney (-4), play Bueno over Cucu
    B) Cucu + Darwin > Botman + Kane (-8), play Botman over Bueno?

    1. Apollo Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      B

      What was your other transfer?

      1. TheBiffas
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 22 days ago

        Just those 2. Got no fts

  10. Bubbles1985
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Current squad:

    Kepa
    Cancelo Tripp Shaw
    Salah Martinelli Almiron Rashford(vc)
    Haaland(c) Martial Mitro

    Ward Botman Andreas Bueno

    3.9m itb and - 4

    Can I live with Kane this week..?
    Any advice appreciated, cheers

  11. Il Capitano
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    2FT 0.8m ITB

    Kepa
    Trippier Shaw Walker
    KDB Rashford Martinelli Almiron
    Haaland Kane Darwin

    Ward - Andreas White Bueno

    Darwin > Toney and roll the second FT? Ditch Walker next GW?

  12. afs2239
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    The better option?

    A)Chalobah to Doherty
    B) start Mitrovic
    C)Start Ben White

    1. afs2239
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      A) with -4

    2. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      B probably. Relying on assists for A I guess

    3. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      B

  13. JoeSoap
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Cancelo/Nunez/James>Shaw/Kane/Botman (-4) Y/N

    Any better transfer suggestions welcome. 2 FTs & 0.6

    D Gea
    Trippier, Cancelo, White
    KDB, Martinelli, Rash, Almiron
    Haaland, Nunez, Mitro
    Ward, Andreas, Bueno, James

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      Assume you can't do it without the James to Botman bit? Probably pays off longer term

      1. JoeSoap
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 22 days ago

        Was 0.1 short. Had the chance to bring in Shaw previous week and didn't, unfortunately. Long-term moves

  14. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Play White or Mitro?

    1. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      Serious? Mitro by a million miles

    2. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      M

    3. alsybach
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      Is that a real question or are you pulling our plonkers!?

    4. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      If in doubt, play the forward. Especially the one scoring goals...

  15. Kuqi Monster
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Kulu expected to start?

    Thinking Darwin/Salah to Kane/Kulu for free.

  16. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Wow I am actually considering wildcard into the double up of Mitoma and Mac Allister.

    Now THAT is ahead of the curve

    1. alsybach
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      Mitsoma is awesome!!!!!

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      Bold. Tempted by one this week in for Andreas and benching Mitro

  17. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    A) Play Castagne
    B) James -> Doherty -4
    C) James -> Botman -4

  18. Skout
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    A) Mount to Mahrez
    B) R. James to Perisic/Doherty
    C) Both for -4

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      A

  19. Eightball
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Akanji, Ake or Lewis for Cancelo?

    Akanje/Ake leaves me with 0.1m, lewis leaves me with 1.2m ITB which would potentially help with other moves down the line. Do we think Lewis gets 2 starts during this double? I have Shaw, Trippier, Gabriel that I can play most weeks. I feel like getting money out of defense long term might be good.

  20. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Bench one please?

    1. Martinelli
    2. Odegaard

  21. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    WC this..

    Arriza - Ward
    White - Cancelo - Williams - Trips - Bueno
    Martinelli - Summerville - Salah - Andreas - Almiron
    Mitro - Haaland - Kane

    to this...

    Ederson - Ward
    White - Botman - Shaw - Trips - Bueno
    Martinelli - Rodrigo - KDB - Ode - Rash
    Haaland - Kane - 4.2

    ??

  22. leop911
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Any sightings of Darwin in training?

    1. tiger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      He probably missed...

  23. leocarter27
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Need to buy one of these players to find De Bruyne!

    A) Akanji
    B) Martial*

    Thanks!

  24. ShaunGoater123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    is it insanity to WC this? I've done a -4, and * is who I would change

    Kepa*
    Trippier / Stones* / Martinez*
    Salah* / Martinelli / Rashford / Kulusevski*
    Kane / Haaland / Mitrovic*

    Ward / Andreas / Botman / Bueno

    I'd likely revert to this:
    DDG
    Trippier / Shaw / Doherty
    KDB / Gakpo / Martinelli / Rashford
    Kane / Toney / Haaland

    Ward / Botman / Bueno / Andreas

    0.8 left ITB

    1. alsybach
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      Insane

  25. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Who starts

    A - Walker
    B - Gabriel

  26. Junks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Cancelo to... Shaw or Perisic for -4

    Yay or nay??

    1. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      Tough, maybe hold

    2. MBK 42
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      I went Perisic, good chance of attacking returns

  27. Corona is not good 4 U
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Is this good to go?

    Ward (Kepa)
    Shaw, Walker, Trippier, Botman (White)
    De Bruyne, Rashford, Almiron, Martinelli (Andreas)
    Haaland, Kane (Mitrovic)

    Is Walker a risk?

    Thank you!

  28. Johan Queef
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Taking a very rare -8 to fund Kane/KDB.

    Cancelo to...

    A) Ake/Akanji
    B) Doherty
    C) Schar/Botman

    Thanks!

    1. DaftPunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      C

    2. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      Stick at -4 and keep Cancelo. -8 is too rich

      1. Johan Queef
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 22 days ago

        The only way to do that would be to move Salah to Mahrez instead of KDB. Need to move Darwin for Kane.

        1. GC123
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 22 days ago

          Ay I see. Pull the trigger then. KDB is worth the -4 over Mahrez. Go for Akanji

          1. Johan Queef
            • 11 Years
            3 years, 22 days ago

            Thanks for the words of support haha. GL!

  29. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Best move here?

    A) Patterson -> AWB (bench Gabriel)
    B) Save FT
    C) Something else

    EDERSON
    SHAW, Trippier, Gabriel
    KDB, RASHFORD, Mount, Martinelli
    HAALAND, KANE, Mitrovic

    Kepa, Andreas, Bueno, Patterson
    Bank 0.3m, 1FT

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      Not A - AWB would be a transfer waiting to happen once Dalot back. Roll ok IMO

  30. Planet Head
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 22 days ago

    Pick Mitro (new a) or Bueno (WHU H) this week?

    1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 22 days ago

      M