Spot the Differential
13 January 2023 1804 comments
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Double Gameweek 20 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

FPL Double Gameweek 20 differentials: Eriksen, Gakpo + Mahrez 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: MCI + cry | ars | CRY | lee | LEI

Christian Eriksen (£6.3m) has shown his value for Man Utd this season, playing an important role in their revival under Erik ten Hag.

Despite playing a deeper role, the playmaker has still been able to impact games offensively. In his last six matches, Eriksen has provided a goal and four assists.

Averaging 6.2 points per match in that time, he’s posted team-leading totals for crosses and passes received in the opposition half, whilst sitting fifth among all FPL midfielders for xA, only behind Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m), Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m), Martin Odegaard (£6.7m) and Solly March (£5.0m).

His ability from dead-ball situations is key to his FPL appeal, with the imminent signing of Wout Weghorst – a proper target man – further boosting his potential.

Man Utd head into Double Gameweek 20 full of confidence, having lost just one of their last 10 league matches, with three consecutive wins to nil following the restart. Now, they meet Man City at Old Trafford, before visiting a Crystal Palace side that have conceded seven goals in their last two home outings.

Eriksen is one of ten Hag’s most important players and now settled into a central midfield role where he can dictate play and have a real influence on games, could be an effective mid-price differential.

CODY GAKPO

FA Cup Scout Notes: Gakpo's debut, Chelsea injury latest
  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bha | CHE | wol | EVE | new

Cody Gakpo (£8.0m) signed for Liverpool just after Christmas from PSV and made his debut in the FA Cup last weekend.

The 23-year-old started the 2-2 draw with Wolves at Anfield and featured for 84 minutes, lining up on the left of Jurgen Klopp’s front three. He did, however, sometimes interchange positions with centre-forward Darwin Nunez (£8.9m), which was apparent during the Uruguayan’s first-half equaliser.

During the match, Gakpo had a hand in Mohamed Salah’s (£12.8m) goal and also showed signs of forming an effective partnership with Andrew Robertson (£6.9m). While Luis Diaz (£7.8m) is more of an out-and-out winger, Gakpo likes to drift inside, allowing the Scottish full-back to hold the width on the left, where he is generally at his best. Gakpo’s signing, as a result, could potentially benefit both players going forward.

Statistically, it wasn’t a great night for Gakpo as he attempted just one shot, but there were encouraging signs.

Now, the Dutchman will have another chance to open his account for his new club on Saturday when the Reds visit in-form Brighton. Albion have won two of their three matches since the restart, but Roberto De Zerbi’s attacking approach can leave gaps for opposition attackers to exploit, which should suit Liverpool, who can be deadly in transition.

Gakpo – the reigning Dutch Footballer of the Year – is an exciting signing and at just £8.0m in FPL, an intriguing differential.

RIYAD MAHREZ

FPL Gameweek 20: Taking a hit could be worth the risk
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £7.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: mun + TOT | WOL | tot | AVL | ars

A move for Riyad Mahrez (£7.5m) ahead of Double Gameweek 20 carries risk, given how often he has been benched in the past by Pep Guardiola.

However, the Algerian winger has hit top form following the restart, returning either a goal or assist in each of his three league outings, a period that has seen him average 7.0 points per start.

In addition, he claimed a brace of goals to help City secure a dominant 4-0 FA Cup third-round win over Chelsea and was also on target in last month’s 3-2 EFL Cup win over Liverpool.

“The quality of Riyad is everything. He loves to play football, he helped us to play the game. It was really good. It was a fantastic free-kick. He played an outstanding game. He never lost his love. He loves to play football. The way he is training now and playing was exactly the same in Abu Dhabi. Riyad in important games is fantastic. The last game he didn’t start at Stamford Bridge and the impact he had was incredible. When they play in this way, and maybe complain [about not playing every game] I say ‘yes, you’re right’. Before, he cannot complain because he wasn’t playing at the level he is now. It’s not just about quality, it’s more in football, you have to do more. [But] now since we came back for World Cup, he is playing really, really well.” – Pep Guardiola on Riyad Mahrez after last weekend’s 4-0 FA Cup win over Chelsea

It’s a double-header for Man City in Gameweek 20, as they travel to Man Utd before hosting Spurs on Thursday.

After being rested against Southampton in the EFL Cup in midweek, you’d expect Mahrez to start at least one of those games, perhaps both, with his potential clear when handed minutes. Indeed, he produced six double-digit hauls in just 15 league starts last season.

Owned by just 3.1% of managers, Mahrez has the potential to propel his owners up the ranks.



  1. Eightball
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A) Cancelo + Periera -----> Lewis + Mahrez -4 (0.9m ITB)
    B) Cancelo + Darwin ------> Akanji + Kane -4 (0.1m ITB)
    C) Cancelo ------> Akanji
    D) Keep Cancelo and roll the transfer

    1. Gubby-Allen
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B or D

    2. Under my Cucurella
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I am considering a similar set of choices and might just end up with D

  2. Jammy Dodger
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    KDB > Salah for -4? Or would you suggest moving on Cancelo?

    Team is as follows:

    Ward
    Trippier AWB Cancelo
    Martinelli Salah Almiron Rashford
    Isak Haaland Kane

    Kepa - Andreas White Bueno

    Thanks chaps, good luck!

  3. GE
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Play one:
    1) White (Spurs away)
    2) Bueno (West Ham home)
    3) Mings (Leeds home)

    1. GE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Or BB?
      (Ward, Bueno, Mings, Andreas)

    2. Gubby-Allen
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Mings, no to BB.

  4. Podorsky
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Gotta be at least c on Haaland, his Mojo must be back against United

  5. Keventry City
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Salah to KDB for a -4?

    1. Jammy Dodger
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Same boat my friend, I'm 50/50! Though I need to probably ditch Cancelo first

      1. My heart goes Salalalalah
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        No. You want to take out KdB for Salah mate...

  6. Tinmen
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    What would you do guys in all honesty?

    A) -8 Cancelo Salah and Darwin to Shaw KDB and Kane

    B) -4 Cancelo and Darwin to
    Burn and Kane

    Kepa
    Cancelo Trippier Zinchenko
    Salah Foden Martinelli rashford
    Halaand Mitro Darwin

    1. artvandelay316
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B but get Botman.

    2. Gubby-Allen
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I would have said B with Ake or Lewis.

  7. artvandelay316
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Hi all. Still trying to guage if it's a good move or not...

    Darwin to Toney for a second hit?
    Or just have Andreas as first bench replacement and hope for the best?

    1. Pomodoro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'm against hits, so would say no

  8. Pomodoro
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Kepa
    Tripper, Botman, Shaw
    Rashford, KDB, Odegaard, Alison
    Mitro, Haaland, Kane

    Ward, Gabriel, Pereira, Bueno

    2.2 ITB, 1FT

    1) Roll
    2) Kepa > Ederson or De Gea
    3) Bueno > Akanji
    4) Pereira > Erikson
    5) Mitro > Toney

  9. N00B
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Foden to Mahrez (-4)?
    A) yes
    B) no

    1. artvandelay316
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      No. Too risky with Pep Roulette.

    2. Cojones of Destiny
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      nope

  10. upforgrabs
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Mount to Mahrez for -4?

    1. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I might be doing this for a hit good idea?

    2. FISSH
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      i did it.

  11. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Transfer in one:

    Botman
    Akanji
    Ake

    Thanks

    1. Pomodoro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Botman

  12. Plumbers Pan
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Salah to Kane this week keep KDB

    Then Kane out Salah back in week after ?

    1. Pomodoro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      That looks good to me

  13. osceola31909
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Worth -4 to bring in Mahrez for Andreas and bench Mitro? I have Haaland, KDB, Kane, Rashford, and Shaw and stuck at 1.5 million rank.

    1. Pomodoro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Not for -4. That core of your team is enough

  14. Corona is not good 4 U
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Best replacement for Patterson (have White, Trippier, Botman and Walker)?

    Thank you!

    1. LEEDSLEEDSLEEDS
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Lewis if a spare city spot, beuno if low on funds, Perisic the flair play

  15. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Andy says nunez in Liverpool squad

    1. artvandelay316
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Do you have any link please?

    2. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Seriously

    3. Valar(Keith)
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Literally did Nunez to Toney 1 minute ago lol

    4. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Bemba, got a link.

    5. artvandelay316
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Please send link.

  16. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Evening!

    Kepa
    Cancelo Trippier Shaw
    KDB Rashford Martinelli Almiron
    Haaland (C) Kane Mitrovic
    Ward // Andreas Bueno White

    A) Right GK?
    B) Right bench order?
    C) Cancelo to whon for -4, or stick?

    1. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Y
      Bueno first
      Stick

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Thank you. Felt similar with Bueno to be fair. White last sounds dangerous 😛

        1. JoeSoap
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Kane normally scores against Arsenal so you would probably want assists

          1. Hazz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Og course. Ideally, to do nothing however.

    2. LEEDSLEEDSLEEDS
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yes, yes, stick and have a beer

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        At the pub as we speak! Cheers!

    3. Gorky
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Exactly same team as me other than Saliba for White.

      Yes. Yes. Stick

      Cancelo and Ward dropping tonight. Was tempted in doing a transfer after deadline today to beat the drop since I want to get rid of Cancelo anyway. Possibly for Martinez/Botman/wait til James is back in a few weeks.

  17. OffsidePenalty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Worth taking -4 to replace cancelo? If so.. who? I already used my ft.

    1. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Probably wouldn't.

    2. LEEDSLEEDSLEEDS
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Not for minus 4, should play 1

      1. OffsidePenalty
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Imo I think Cancelo is safer/more experience than Lewis during big games. I see so many kicking him out of their teams. His form will come back.

    3. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      no

  18. JoeSoap
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Buy

    A. Botman (have Trippier)
    B. Mee

    Have Mitro (NEWC) if that makes any difference.

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

      1. JoeSoap
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Would you start Mitro v 2 NEW defenders? Or start Bueno instead?

  19. Zoostation
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    G2G? 0 FT & 3.5 ITB.

    Ederson (Ward)

    Trippier Shaw Bueno (Tete, Patterson)

    KDB Rashford Martinelli Almiron (Andreas)

    Haaland (C) Kane Mitrovic

  20. Rollercoaster
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Darwin to:
    A Toney
    B Martial
    ???

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Look above might be in squad?

  21. LEEDSLEEDSLEEDS
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Cancel and martial to Lewis and Kane for free?

    1. JabbaWookiee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

    2. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      No, not Lewis

      1. LEEDSLEEDSLEEDS
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Only way I can afford it 🙁

  22. banskt
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    1FT, 1.5m

    Kepa / Ward
    Trippier, Cancelo², Shaw² / White, Patterson*
    KDB², Rashford², Martinelli, Almiron / Andreas
    Haaland²(c), Kane², Mitrovic

    1. Save FT
    2. Andreas ➝ Mitoma
    3. Andreas ➝ Casemiro²
    4. Andreas ➝ Hojberg²
    5. Cancelo², Andreas ➝ Doherty², Mahrez² (-4)

    2,3,4,5 would require me to bench Mitrovic. I don't want to waster a transfer on the Man City defense roulette.

    1. Under my Cucurella
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Probably 1 or 2

  23. ZimZalabim
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    So is there no chance now for a Liverpool double before 23 ?

  24. Gudjohnsen
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Mahrez or Ederson for third city spot?

    Haaland and KDB locked

  25. PL Ball
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Would you get rid of Cancelo with an FT?

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

  26. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    WC this..

    Arriza - Ward
    White - Cancelo - Williams - Trips - Bueno
    Martinelli - Summerville - Salah - Andreas - Almiron
    Mitro - Haaland - Kane

    to this...???????

    Ederson* - Ward
    White - Botman* - Shaw* - Trips - Bueno
    Martinelli - Rodrigo* - KDB* - Ode* - Rash*
    Haaland - Kane - 4.2

    New players marked *

  27. Dannyb
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone else on Rashford (C)?

    1. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Plenty

    2. Heavy Cream
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yep but my pants are full

    3. RashFraud
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      TC here

      1. Dannyb
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        You ballsy thing you, I'm so tempted

        1. RashFraud
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Go big or go home

    4. H.E. Pennypacker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I am!

  28. Under my Cucurella
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Which option is best? Leaning towards C or D with Kane being one yellow in a Derby away from a ban and news looking like Darwin and Kulu could start. Question is what happens with Cancelo, do I stick and hope he starts or switch to Akanji?

    A: Darwin Cancelo > Kane Akanji (-4)
    B: Darwin Kulu > Kane Mitoma/Almiron (-4)
    C: Cancelo > Akanji
    D: Save FT

    Kepa Ward
    Cancelo Trippier Shaw Bueno Patterson
    KDB Rashford Martinelli Andreas Kulu
    Haaland Mitro Darwin

    1FT 1.2ITB

    1. Muller Reus Corner
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A but maybe with Ake?

  29. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Keep Walker or sell?

    I think I would sell in normal circumstances but can’t see anyone else to bring in..
    Tripper - Beuno - Shaw - James - Walker is my back line. 2 FTs plenty in the bank.

  30. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Cancelo to
    A Ake
    B Botman

    1. Muller Reus Corner
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A