Spot the Differential
13 January 2023 1804 comments
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Double Gameweek 20 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

FPL Double Gameweek 20 differentials: Eriksen, Gakpo + Mahrez 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: MCI + cry | ars | CRY | lee | LEI

Christian Eriksen (£6.3m) has shown his value for Man Utd this season, playing an important role in their revival under Erik ten Hag.

Despite playing a deeper role, the playmaker has still been able to impact games offensively. In his last six matches, Eriksen has provided a goal and four assists.

Averaging 6.2 points per match in that time, he’s posted team-leading totals for crosses and passes received in the opposition half, whilst sitting fifth among all FPL midfielders for xA, only behind Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m), Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m), Martin Odegaard (£6.7m) and Solly March (£5.0m).

His ability from dead-ball situations is key to his FPL appeal, with the imminent signing of Wout Weghorst – a proper target man – further boosting his potential.

Man Utd head into Double Gameweek 20 full of confidence, having lost just one of their last 10 league matches, with three consecutive wins to nil following the restart. Now, they meet Man City at Old Trafford, before visiting a Crystal Palace side that have conceded seven goals in their last two home outings.

Eriksen is one of ten Hag’s most important players and now settled into a central midfield role where he can dictate play and have a real influence on games, could be an effective mid-price differential.

CODY GAKPO

FA Cup Scout Notes: Gakpo's debut, Chelsea injury latest
  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bha | CHE | wol | EVE | new

Cody Gakpo (£8.0m) signed for Liverpool just after Christmas from PSV and made his debut in the FA Cup last weekend.

The 23-year-old started the 2-2 draw with Wolves at Anfield and featured for 84 minutes, lining up on the left of Jurgen Klopp’s front three. He did, however, sometimes interchange positions with centre-forward Darwin Nunez (£8.9m), which was apparent during the Uruguayan’s first-half equaliser.

During the match, Gakpo had a hand in Mohamed Salah’s (£12.8m) goal and also showed signs of forming an effective partnership with Andrew Robertson (£6.9m). While Luis Diaz (£7.8m) is more of an out-and-out winger, Gakpo likes to drift inside, allowing the Scottish full-back to hold the width on the left, where he is generally at his best. Gakpo’s signing, as a result, could potentially benefit both players going forward.

Statistically, it wasn’t a great night for Gakpo as he attempted just one shot, but there were encouraging signs.

Now, the Dutchman will have another chance to open his account for his new club on Saturday when the Reds visit in-form Brighton. Albion have won two of their three matches since the restart, but Roberto De Zerbi’s attacking approach can leave gaps for opposition attackers to exploit, which should suit Liverpool, who can be deadly in transition.

Gakpo – the reigning Dutch Footballer of the Year – is an exciting signing and at just £8.0m in FPL, an intriguing differential.

RIYAD MAHREZ

FPL Gameweek 20: Taking a hit could be worth the risk
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £7.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: mun + TOT | WOL | tot | AVL | ars

A move for Riyad Mahrez (£7.5m) ahead of Double Gameweek 20 carries risk, given how often he has been benched in the past by Pep Guardiola.

However, the Algerian winger has hit top form following the restart, returning either a goal or assist in each of his three league outings, a period that has seen him average 7.0 points per start.

In addition, he claimed a brace of goals to help City secure a dominant 4-0 FA Cup third-round win over Chelsea and was also on target in last month’s 3-2 EFL Cup win over Liverpool.

“The quality of Riyad is everything. He loves to play football, he helped us to play the game. It was really good. It was a fantastic free-kick. He played an outstanding game. He never lost his love. He loves to play football. The way he is training now and playing was exactly the same in Abu Dhabi. Riyad in important games is fantastic. The last game he didn’t start at Stamford Bridge and the impact he had was incredible. When they play in this way, and maybe complain [about not playing every game] I say ‘yes, you’re right’. Before, he cannot complain because he wasn’t playing at the level he is now. It’s not just about quality, it’s more in football, you have to do more. [But] now since we came back for World Cup, he is playing really, really well.” – Pep Guardiola on Riyad Mahrez after last weekend’s 4-0 FA Cup win over Chelsea

It’s a double-header for Man City in Gameweek 20, as they travel to Man Utd before hosting Spurs on Thursday.

After being rested against Southampton in the EFL Cup in midweek, you’d expect Mahrez to start at least one of those games, perhaps both, with his potential clear when handed minutes. Indeed, he produced six double-digit hauls in just 15 league starts last season.

Owned by just 3.1% of managers, Mahrez has the potential to propel his owners up the ranks.



  1. Hanz0
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Would you swap Cancelo to Akanji (most likely to play both) for a -4 if the extra money would allow me to bring in Odegaard for Andreas next week? (Ars v Mun)

    Or Save FT, pray Cancelo starts v Spurs, and then go without Odegaard (Mun H) in 21?

    Will Akanji even still be 1st choice for the 2nd DGW in GW23?

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I'd swap yeah.

    2. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Why wouldn't Cancelo start vs United?

      1. Hanz0
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        I think more likely to start Spurs as Cancelo played full 90 v Soton on Wednesday

        1. banskt
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 23 days ago

          I see, but who knows what Pep will do? My suggestion is not to waste transfer trying to second guess Pep's strategy.

          1. Hanz0
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 23 days ago

            Agree, although do think Cancelo playing twice in 3 days is unlikely given his form. Seems he reduced minutes of the other defenders more likely to start. And I am trying to factor in potential Odegaard points v United also

  2. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Which is better option for you ??
    A- Haaland C
    B- Haaland TC
    C- Rashford C
    D- Rashford TC

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      C

    2. acidicleo
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      A

    3. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      C but imagine if you pull D off.

      1. Catastrophe
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        No time for that, he's got his team to sort out first!

    4. Bubbles1985
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      A

    5. Gubby-Allen
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      B
      D
      C
      A

    6. RashFraud
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      D personally

  3. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Best diferential this dgw:
    Bruno tc!!!!

    1. Digital-Real
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      balls of steel

    2. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Not in the goals much anymore

    3. RashFraud
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Nah this ain’t it

  4. Yoyoyoman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    A) Mahrez -4
    B) Bruno -4
    C) Hold Foden

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      A or B, probs A.

  5. Prinzhorn
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    I didn't want Kane.

    Now i just bought Kane and Perisic.

    RIP.

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Imagine Kane 2G, Perisic 2A. Spurs 2-0.

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        "Imagine" being the key word here!

        1. FPL Brains
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 23 days ago

          Ha yeah, without our imagination what have we got left?

      2. Prinzhorn
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        would be happy with 1 return from each in 2 games already!

  6. Bubbles1985
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Start Mitro or Botman?

    Also have Trippier starting!

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Botman, might as well go in.

    2. acidicleo
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      botman

  7. aapoman
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    So tempted by this wildcard team.... would leave 0.6itb.

    Ederson
    Shaw Trippier Botman
    KDB Rashford Martinelli Odergaard Rodrigo
    Haaland Kane

    Ward; White, Ferguson, Bueno

    1. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      It's either wildcard or a -8 and that would still leave me with Andreas as a starter, Patterson on the bench and Salah (not doubling in 21 it seems)

    2. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Looks great tbh.

      1. FPL Brains
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Mainly because you've basically got my team lol.

        1. aapoman
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 23 days ago

          You got that without WC? Damn I'm jealous

    3. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Decent

      Think you’ll regret Ederson the moment City defence comes into form - have multiple experiences here and he’s now more expensive than any defender.

      May as well start Eriksen this week for an Arsenal mid.

  8. MGD
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Kepa
    Shaw*, Cancelo*, Trippier, White
    KDB*, Rashford*, Salah, Martinelli
    Haaland*, Mitrovic

    Ward, Andreas, Greenwood, Patterson

    0,8 ITB, 1 FT.

    I’m looking at
    A) making no transfers or
    B) Kepa -> DDG.
    C) Other

    1. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I would have gone Salah to Kane for a hit.

      1. MGD
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Like Salah to Odergard and Mitro to Kane?

        1. banskt
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 23 days ago

          Or, Salah to Mitoma, Greenwood to Kane. Bench Mitrovic.

    2. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      A

  9. Lucky Z
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Cancelo + Saka => AWB + KDB worth -4?

    Have Dalot, will bench him and leave eventually the one who will be in XI

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Yeah

  10. Shmwebb
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Which two of Mitoma LIV (H), Odegard TOT (A), and Almiron FUL (H) to start this week? So torn as I think Mitoma will cause Liverpool problems

    1. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Odegaard

    2. Gubby-Allen
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Really tough, probably Odergaard.

      I am starting Mitoma over Salah who is 1st sub.

      1. Gubby-Allen
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Odergaard as sub.

    3. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Tough. Similar issue for me. Almiron, Odegaard, Mitoma for me in that order.

    4. Shmwebb
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I'm leaning Odegard too, cheers

  11. Drexl Spivey
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Which of the pundits are TC'ing?

  12. The-Red-1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Going to be quite a few price changes tonight by the looks

  13. Gubby-Allen
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    I have TCd Haaland.

    My only other consideration is not do I wait, it is do I go Rashford.

    I am not sure that there is a better week later in the season for either of them or anyone else.

  14. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    help plz...
    WC this..

    Arriza - Ward
    White - Cancelo - Williams - Trips - Bueno
    Martinelli - Summerville - Salah - Andreas - Almiron
    Mitro - Haaland - Kane

    to this...????????

    Ederson* - Ward
    White - Botman* - Shaw* - Trips - Bueno
    Martinelli - Rodrigo* - KDB* - Ode* - Rash*
    Haaland - Kane - 4.2

    New players marked *

    1. Gubby-Allen
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I would waste a WC on that with so many DGWs coming.

      Sign Rashford with a - 4 if required.

    2. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I like it. Really considering WC as well. My WC team would be excactly the same as yours LOL

  15. AdamJ91
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Roll the transfer or is there something obvious I'm missing?

    1FT; 3.6ITB.

    DDG
    Trippier, Digne, Botman
    KDB, Rashford, Martinelli, Almiron
    Haaland, Kane, Martial

    Ward, Castagne, Andreas, Bueno.

    1. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Digne minutes at risk? I would start Cast

    2. Gubby-Allen
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Maybe a Man City defender for a bench defender and sub Botman.

  16. XX SMICER XX
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Anything worth a hit? Thanks

    Kepa
    Trippier Shaw Cancelo
    Martinelli Almiron KDB Rashford Barnes
    Kane Haaland (c)

    Ward Dalot Greenwood Patterson

    1. RashFraud
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Gtg

  17. RashFraud
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Play bueno amartey or white as third def?

    1. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Amartey and hope for clean sheet

    2. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Scrap that, Bueno

  18. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Sold Kulu as part of a - 4 to get Kane/Schar/Rodrigo in.

    Will only go one way won't it.

  19. Junks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Cancelo to..

    A. Shaw
    B. Perisic

    1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      A

    2. undersarmy
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      A

    3. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Keep

  20. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Starting to sway away from Haaland and towards Rashford for captain … am I alone and mad?

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Nah there are a good few doing it, I decided on it last week and haven't swayed

      1. RashFraud
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        TC rashford here! Let’s goooo

    2. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Rashford 3.5 goalscorer odds and Haaland 1.67 in the derby as an initial indicator. Seems very risky going against Haaland

    3. Under my Cucurella
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Not mad. It's that Palace fixture vs the Spurs fixture that is tempting. Still on Haaland atm but also teetering

  21. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Play Ward or Ramsdale?

  22. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Thoughts on son instead of Kane? Just worried he's gonna get booked in the NLD

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Son has offered little all season. Kane could outscore him in one game vs Sons too the way Sons form has been

  23. Pylynen
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Gtg? 0ft 2.5 itb

    Kepa
    Cancelo Trippier Tarkowski
    Salah Saka Martinelli Rashford
    Haaland(TC) Toney Mitrovic

    Ward Gabriel Andreas Williams

    Thanks!

  24. tabby98
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    What to do here guys?

    Kepa, Ward
    White, Trippier, Cucurella, Patterson*, Neco*
    KDB, Martinelli, Rashford, Almiron, Andreas
    Haaland, Kane, Darwin

    £0.7m ITB
    2FT

    Thinking Cucu + Darwin —> Toney/Mitro + Cancelo?

  25. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Best Dalot replacement for -4? Same price.

  26. undersarmy
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Overall rank 96K
    GTG?
    Kepa
    Shaw/Trippier/Castagne
    KDB/Rashford/Almiron/Casemiro
    Kane(vc)/Mitro/Haaland (c)
    Ward/Martinelli/Gabriel/Patterson

  27. Our Tiny Windows
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    My mad plan is to Captain Darwin and Vice Haaland.

  28. The White Pele
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Mitoma or Rodrigo?

  29. Riggs
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Kepa Ward
    Trippier Shaw Cucu Perraud Patterson
    KDB Rashford Martinelli Almiron Andreas P.
    Haaland Kane Mitro

    2.8 ITB, already did KDB IN > Salah OUT
    A) Play Cucu
    B) Play Perraud
    C) Swap Cucu for CIty def for -4

  30. Make United Great Again
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    I saw somewhere that United could have another double soon after this one. Any truth to this?