Spot the Differential
13 January 2023 1804 comments
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Double Gameweek 20 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

FPL Double Gameweek 20 differentials: Eriksen, Gakpo + Mahrez 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: MCI + cry | ars | CRY | lee | LEI

Christian Eriksen (£6.3m) has shown his value for Man Utd this season, playing an important role in their revival under Erik ten Hag.

Despite playing a deeper role, the playmaker has still been able to impact games offensively. In his last six matches, Eriksen has provided a goal and four assists.

Averaging 6.2 points per match in that time, he’s posted team-leading totals for crosses and passes received in the opposition half, whilst sitting fifth among all FPL midfielders for xA, only behind Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m), Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m), Martin Odegaard (£6.7m) and Solly March (£5.0m).

His ability from dead-ball situations is key to his FPL appeal, with the imminent signing of Wout Weghorst – a proper target man – further boosting his potential.

Man Utd head into Double Gameweek 20 full of confidence, having lost just one of their last 10 league matches, with three consecutive wins to nil following the restart. Now, they meet Man City at Old Trafford, before visiting a Crystal Palace side that have conceded seven goals in their last two home outings.

Eriksen is one of ten Hag’s most important players and now settled into a central midfield role where he can dictate play and have a real influence on games, could be an effective mid-price differential.

CODY GAKPO

FA Cup Scout Notes: Gakpo's debut, Chelsea injury latest
  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bha | CHE | wol | EVE | new

Cody Gakpo (£8.0m) signed for Liverpool just after Christmas from PSV and made his debut in the FA Cup last weekend.

The 23-year-old started the 2-2 draw with Wolves at Anfield and featured for 84 minutes, lining up on the left of Jurgen Klopp’s front three. He did, however, sometimes interchange positions with centre-forward Darwin Nunez (£8.9m), which was apparent during the Uruguayan’s first-half equaliser.

During the match, Gakpo had a hand in Mohamed Salah’s (£12.8m) goal and also showed signs of forming an effective partnership with Andrew Robertson (£6.9m). While Luis Diaz (£7.8m) is more of an out-and-out winger, Gakpo likes to drift inside, allowing the Scottish full-back to hold the width on the left, where he is generally at his best. Gakpo’s signing, as a result, could potentially benefit both players going forward.

Statistically, it wasn’t a great night for Gakpo as he attempted just one shot, but there were encouraging signs.

Now, the Dutchman will have another chance to open his account for his new club on Saturday when the Reds visit in-form Brighton. Albion have won two of their three matches since the restart, but Roberto De Zerbi’s attacking approach can leave gaps for opposition attackers to exploit, which should suit Liverpool, who can be deadly in transition.

Gakpo – the reigning Dutch Footballer of the Year – is an exciting signing and at just £8.0m in FPL, an intriguing differential.

RIYAD MAHREZ

FPL Gameweek 20: Taking a hit could be worth the risk
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £7.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: mun + TOT | WOL | tot | AVL | ars

A move for Riyad Mahrez (£7.5m) ahead of Double Gameweek 20 carries risk, given how often he has been benched in the past by Pep Guardiola.

However, the Algerian winger has hit top form following the restart, returning either a goal or assist in each of his three league outings, a period that has seen him average 7.0 points per start.

In addition, he claimed a brace of goals to help City secure a dominant 4-0 FA Cup third-round win over Chelsea and was also on target in last month’s 3-2 EFL Cup win over Liverpool.

“The quality of Riyad is everything. He loves to play football, he helped us to play the game. It was really good. It was a fantastic free-kick. He played an outstanding game. He never lost his love. He loves to play football. The way he is training now and playing was exactly the same in Abu Dhabi. Riyad in important games is fantastic. The last game he didn’t start at Stamford Bridge and the impact he had was incredible. When they play in this way, and maybe complain [about not playing every game] I say ‘yes, you’re right’. Before, he cannot complain because he wasn’t playing at the level he is now. It’s not just about quality, it’s more in football, you have to do more. [But] now since we came back for World Cup, he is playing really, really well.” – Pep Guardiola on Riyad Mahrez after last weekend’s 4-0 FA Cup win over Chelsea

It’s a double-header for Man City in Gameweek 20, as they travel to Man Utd before hosting Spurs on Thursday.

After being rested against Southampton in the EFL Cup in midweek, you’d expect Mahrez to start at least one of those games, perhaps both, with his potential clear when handed minutes. Indeed, he produced six double-digit hauls in just 15 league starts last season.

Owned by just 3.1% of managers, Mahrez has the potential to propel his owners up the ranks.



  1. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Play which GK?

    a. Kepa

    b. Ward

    Cheers

    1. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      1

  2. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    In %, how likely do you think these are of starting both DGW fixtures?

    A) Perisic
    B) Doherty

    1. F4L
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      90
      60

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      90%
      60% - might go more defensive in game v city so doherty might be taken out perhaps

      1. boombaba
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        and who's more defensive that they have on that side? Emerson... 😀

        1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 15 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          possibly emerson is seen as more defensive although he has been very poor. Just think he wouldn't want doherty shooting down the flank away at city

    3. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      a. 75%
      b. 60%

    4. Pegboy
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      75
      75

      Doherty is clearly first choice now and we seem to be actively trying to ship Emerson.

  3. Sterling Malory
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    1FT 0.5m itb -> any moves needed?

    Kepa
    Trippier Shaw Cancelo
    Salah Rashford Martinelli Almiron
    Kane Haaland Mitro
    Ward Andreas Bueno Patterson

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      save

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Salah -> KDB is what I would do

    3. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      same team, bar patterson, as mine. lol

      I think I might roll my FT and play Cancelo.

      Thoughts?

      1. Sterling Malory
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Leaning towards that.

        Salah > KDB
        Or
        Mitro > Toney

        Both tempting.

    4. TheFridge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I have the same roster -- exactly -- and was contemplating:
      Cancelo + Almiron = Schar + Mahrez

      Were it not for the DGW, I'd be out on Cancelo for sure, but I'm waffling on Almiron.

      For what it's worth, that move allows you to get from Andreas to Mitoma next week. Switching Schar to Botman would give you money in the bank to get to an 8M+ MF in future weeks.

  4. gooberman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Looking at teams posted on Twitter. So many look almost identical. What a bore fest FPL has become, really.

    1. MADCHESTER UTD
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yep they need to increase the cost of the likes of Rashford martinelli etc next season. I think the only non top team player I got in xi pretty much since season started is Toney/Mitrovic

      1. Pat Bonner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        The pricing was generous this season but still think there's plenty of options that aren't highly owned

        1. MADCHESTER UTD
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Too generous. To attract the casual player who wants all the stars in. I much prefer it when prices are harsh

    2. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      My worst season was when I spend too long on twitter....better to avoid the "experts" on there

    3. F4L
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      premium defenders in the gutter has ruined this season, coupled with 4.5-5 mil defensive options providing a solid 4-5ppg over a prolonged period

    4. DaftPunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Circumstances haven't helped:
      - many attackers injured
      - the £8.0m cohort of midfielders from the beginning of the season have been mostly disappointing, so it's mostly been a case of premium and cheap midfielders being most productive
      - premium defenders very disappointing, either due to form (Trent, Cancelo) or injuries (James, Chilwell)

      1. gooberman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Yes agree. I'm basically pinning my hopes on Kulusevski this week as everyone has all my other players. Yawn.

    5. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Because most content creators who are the most influential are scared to be different as their target audience are dumbos who need to be spoon fed basic information. Not that has stopped the likes of Az, Mark and "General" (lol) having shite ranks.

  5. How I met your Mata
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Toney in for Nketiah?

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      No keep him, Arsenal have a DGW soon and amazing fixtures from 22 onwards

    2. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I'm bringing in Toney but have my eye on Nketiah for 23

  6. Sadge
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    would you go foden to kulu/mahrez for -4 ?

    1. Disco Stu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Mahrez maybe but not Kulu

  7. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Afternoon all, 2 FT and 0.5 ITB.

    A - Salah & Greenwood > Kane + Mitoma
    B - Salah & Mitrovic > Kane & Saka
    C - Other suggestion?

    Kepa
    Gabriel - Trippier - Shaw
    Salah - KDB - Martinelli - Rash - Almiron
    Haaland - Mitro

    Ward - Walker - Greenwood - Patterson

  8. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Are we selling Darwin for Toney if we have Kane?

    1. Fitzy.
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Are you?

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Considering, have to make A decision

    2. Disco Stu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I sold him for Kane

    3. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Looks a good move. I don't have Kane though so not as easy a decision

  9. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    A odegard
    B mitoma

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      to play or transfer in?

    2. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      to transfer in

    4. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A by a distance

  10. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    First to 3 please..Who to get in?

    A. Ake/Akanji
    B. Botman
    C. Other (have Shaw

    1. Disco Stu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I like B

    2. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B longer term?

    3. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Schär

    4. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Schar

    5. How I met your Mata
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

    6. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B

    7. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B, if you don't have Pope and Tripps.

  11. Bobby Digital
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Salah to KDB for free?

    1. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah

    2. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Y

  12. Make FPL Casual Again
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on this whole

    Eder
    Shaw. Tripper. Shcar
    KDB. Rashford. Odegaard. Martinelli. Almiron
    Haaland. Kane

    Ward. Doherty. Ferguson. Bueno

    2.2m in bank allows flexibility any position. Probably too much ?
    No Martial. Too many doubts, poor form
    Kept almiron for fixtures by going 5 in mid

    1. Make FPL Casual Again
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      *Thoughts on WC

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Why would you have Doherty if you bench him in a double?
      Team looks good overall though.

      1. Make FPL Casual Again
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        It's complicated. Had White, but was benching him, and wanted to free up 3rd arse spot for nketia..

        So, Doherty seemed best option as a rotation option, but don't see any Cs for TOT, and don't see a goal against 2 best defences

      2. Make FPL Casual Again
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Who would you start Doherty over ?

  13. Royal5
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Darwin owners what are you doing?

    1. Disco Stu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Sold him for Kane

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      benching

    3. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Starting

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Are you really? Im reluctant to sell to Kane but Darwin doesnt look great for this weekend. Kane has the double plus Fulham in 21.

        1. The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          I already have Kane. If Darwin doesn’t show, I have Botman first sub, so all good.

    4. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Reluctantly selling for Kane.

    5. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Getting rid - Toney and Wilson's fixtures are too good and save money

  14. Steve McCroskey
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Right I can't decide for myself, need your help.

    Kepa

    Trippier / Shaw / Castagne

    Rashford / KDB / Almiron / Martinelli

    Haaland / Kane / Mitro

    A. Kepa > Ederson
    B. Mitro > Toney
    C. Something else

  15. FPL Brains
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    That's it, I'm done. Transfers are locked in, found a spot between safe and exciting, so I'm happy. Fell just outside Top 10k OR so with any luck, I can get it down to 4 digits again.

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      GL to you Brains

      1. FPL Brains
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers buddy, thanks for the opinions this week - I find them valuable!

    2. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      All the best for the GW

    3. Cojones of Destiny
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      great feeling that gl ! what were the moves if i may ask?

    4. Disco Stu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I'm at the highest OR I've ever been (14.5K), and I'm just hoping to find a way to crack into the Top 10K myself

  16. Jimmer887766
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Did Darwin train today?

  17. Rex Lapis
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Mitro to Toney worth a hit?

  18. Disco Stu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Mitro to Toney for a hit?

    1. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      No

    2. MADCHESTER UTD
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      No

    3. ameisin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I've done it and playing him over Cancelo. You only live once.

    4. KUNingas
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Tempting but guess wont be worth a hit

  19. TheTinman
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Last decision...

    Do I transfer Mount out for Rodrigo/Mitoma/Mac Allister or just let him play vs CPL and wait for more info.

    2FT very useful at this time of the season

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Let him go

    2. Disco Stu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      The Rodrigo move is very solid

      1. TheTinman
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Overlooked

    3. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Not crazy about the replacements so I'd give him another week

  20. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Play one please this week:

    A. Evan Ferguson (LIV)
    B. Bueno (WHU)

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. Tshelby
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

  21. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Totally stuck..

    A, B or C?

    2FT's/0.7ITB

    A) James to Schar
    B) James to Akanji
    C) salah and greenwood to Kane and mitoma

    Ward, Kepa
    Gabriel, Trippier, Bueno, Shaw, James*
    Martinelli, Salah, KdB, Almiron, Rashford
    Mitro, Haaland, Greenwood

  22. Atwood
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Is 6 DGWers enough? I have 2FT's to get some but thinking of just doing Mitrovic > Toney and rolling another.

    Kepa
    Walker - Shaw - Trippier
    De Bruyne - Almiron - Rashford - Martinelli
    Mitrovic - Kane - Haaland

    Ward - Andreas - Bueno - Dunk

    1. Maddamotha
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Same here.

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Probably i would only bring in Kulu for Almeron funds permitting

  23. Gazza2000
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Doherty or Botman for Cancelo?

    Rest of the defenders are:
    White, Trippier, Shaw and Bueno

  24. Maddamotha
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Mitro >

    A) Toney
    B) Wilson

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Atwood
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Of those two I think Toney. Nailed on starter, and in general I don't like how often Wilson gets subbed fairly early.

    3. Maddamotha
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers

  25. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Pick one to bench plz
    A- Mitro
    B- Almiron
    C- Ødegaard

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Mirror Man
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Odegaard

      • The Mentaculus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        A

      • OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers

    3. Fpl_Ludwig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      G2G?

      Ederson
      Trippier / Pinnock / Doherty / Shaw
      Rashford (C) / Mahrez / Bruno / Son
      Kane / Haaland

      Bench: Ward / Burn / Ferguson / Dasilva

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Ferguson first on bench imo

    4. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      the moment of truth has come. really considering this -12:

      salah sterling foden darwin

      To

      KDB, bruno, mitoma, kane

      should i do that, or take just -8 and not swap foden to bruno

    5. Freddiemac123
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Mitrovic or Toney?

      1. MADCHESTER UTD
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        MITROVIC against his old club. I would’ve gone Toney if fully fit

        1. Pipermaru
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Toney is fit and in starting 11.

    6. Ribus
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A) Cucu -> Martinez (-4)
      B) play Cucu
      C) play Bueno

    7. Kane Train
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Thoughts on Kepa > Ederson?

      1. Mirror Man
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Ederson is a waste of money

        • MADCHESTER UTD
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Pope pick n stick