Spot the Differential
13 January 2023 1804 comments
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Double Gameweek 20 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

FPL Double Gameweek 20 differentials: Eriksen, Gakpo + Mahrez 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: MCI + cry | ars | CRY | lee | LEI

Christian Eriksen (£6.3m) has shown his value for Man Utd this season, playing an important role in their revival under Erik ten Hag.

Despite playing a deeper role, the playmaker has still been able to impact games offensively. In his last six matches, Eriksen has provided a goal and four assists.

Averaging 6.2 points per match in that time, he’s posted team-leading totals for crosses and passes received in the opposition half, whilst sitting fifth among all FPL midfielders for xA, only behind Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m), Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m), Martin Odegaard (£6.7m) and Solly March (£5.0m).

His ability from dead-ball situations is key to his FPL appeal, with the imminent signing of Wout Weghorst – a proper target man – further boosting his potential.

Man Utd head into Double Gameweek 20 full of confidence, having lost just one of their last 10 league matches, with three consecutive wins to nil following the restart. Now, they meet Man City at Old Trafford, before visiting a Crystal Palace side that have conceded seven goals in their last two home outings.

Eriksen is one of ten Hag’s most important players and now settled into a central midfield role where he can dictate play and have a real influence on games, could be an effective mid-price differential.

CODY GAKPO

FA Cup Scout Notes: Gakpo's debut, Chelsea injury latest
  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bha | CHE | wol | EVE | new

Cody Gakpo (£8.0m) signed for Liverpool just after Christmas from PSV and made his debut in the FA Cup last weekend.

The 23-year-old started the 2-2 draw with Wolves at Anfield and featured for 84 minutes, lining up on the left of Jurgen Klopp’s front three. He did, however, sometimes interchange positions with centre-forward Darwin Nunez (£8.9m), which was apparent during the Uruguayan’s first-half equaliser.

During the match, Gakpo had a hand in Mohamed Salah’s (£12.8m) goal and also showed signs of forming an effective partnership with Andrew Robertson (£6.9m). While Luis Diaz (£7.8m) is more of an out-and-out winger, Gakpo likes to drift inside, allowing the Scottish full-back to hold the width on the left, where he is generally at his best. Gakpo’s signing, as a result, could potentially benefit both players going forward.

Statistically, it wasn’t a great night for Gakpo as he attempted just one shot, but there were encouraging signs.

Now, the Dutchman will have another chance to open his account for his new club on Saturday when the Reds visit in-form Brighton. Albion have won two of their three matches since the restart, but Roberto De Zerbi’s attacking approach can leave gaps for opposition attackers to exploit, which should suit Liverpool, who can be deadly in transition.

Gakpo – the reigning Dutch Footballer of the Year – is an exciting signing and at just £8.0m in FPL, an intriguing differential.

RIYAD MAHREZ

FPL Gameweek 20: Taking a hit could be worth the risk
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £7.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: mun + TOT | WOL | tot | AVL | ars

A move for Riyad Mahrez (£7.5m) ahead of Double Gameweek 20 carries risk, given how often he has been benched in the past by Pep Guardiola.

However, the Algerian winger has hit top form following the restart, returning either a goal or assist in each of his three league outings, a period that has seen him average 7.0 points per start.

In addition, he claimed a brace of goals to help City secure a dominant 4-0 FA Cup third-round win over Chelsea and was also on target in last month’s 3-2 EFL Cup win over Liverpool.

“The quality of Riyad is everything. He loves to play football, he helped us to play the game. It was really good. It was a fantastic free-kick. He played an outstanding game. He never lost his love. He loves to play football. The way he is training now and playing was exactly the same in Abu Dhabi. Riyad in important games is fantastic. The last game he didn’t start at Stamford Bridge and the impact he had was incredible. When they play in this way, and maybe complain [about not playing every game] I say ‘yes, you’re right’. Before, he cannot complain because he wasn’t playing at the level he is now. It’s not just about quality, it’s more in football, you have to do more. [But] now since we came back for World Cup, he is playing really, really well.” – Pep Guardiola on Riyad Mahrez after last weekend’s 4-0 FA Cup win over Chelsea

It’s a double-header for Man City in Gameweek 20, as they travel to Man Utd before hosting Spurs on Thursday.

After being rested against Southampton in the EFL Cup in midweek, you’d expect Mahrez to start at least one of those games, perhaps both, with his potential clear when handed minutes. Indeed, he produced six double-digit hauls in just 15 league starts last season.

Owned by just 3.1% of managers, Mahrez has the potential to propel his owners up the ranks.



  1. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Too much options with Toney, Kane, Schar,.. Would love to keep my 2ft's.

    Any advice?

    Currently thinking about

    James and Mitro to Schar and Toney so no kane..

    2FT's/0.7 ITB

    Ward, Kepa
    Gabriel, Trippier, Bueno, Shaw, James*
    Martinelli, Salah, KdB, Almiron, Rashford
    Mitro, Haaland, Greenwood

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      James to Lewis
      Mitro to Kane
      Downgrade Salah to Kulu? 🙂

      Tough

  2. KUNingas
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    I was an idiot and transferred Dalot in. Apparently not fit for the first game, would you still play him?

    1. Forgetmeknot
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yep, assume he gets palace which is a decent fixture

  3. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Mitro > Toney -4 worth it?

    1. TheBiffas
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      No

    2. brixtonBob
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      no

  4. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Kepa
    Shaw, Cancelo, Trippier
    Salah, Martinelli, Rashford, Almiron
    Haaland(c), Darwin, Mitrovic

    Ward, Andreas, White, Patterson.

    1.8 ITB 1FT

    A Salah to KDB
    B Salah and Darwin to KDB and Toney ( no Liverpool!) -4
    C Salah, Darwin and Cancelo to KDB, Kane and Akanji -8

    1. Ange Ball
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

  5. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    All good to go?

    DDG
    Trip Shaw Lewis Botman
    KDB Ode Rashford Rodrigo
    Haaland Kane

    Ward Saka White Fergie

    1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Worried about Saka minutes.

      And I’m now I’m thinking of going with Toney in a 343. Oops.

      (wc)

    2. TheBiffas
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Wildcard needed!!

      1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        This is my wildcard…

        Bodes well.

  6. Forgetmeknot
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Patterson to Doherty for free shouldn’t backfire should it?

  7. Jack Burton
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Hi all is Martinelli to Anthony worth it on a free already have Rashford and Shaw

    1. Forgetmeknot
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I wouldn’t. keep arsenal for their double

      1. Jack Burton
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers mate might roll the transfer DGW fever, good luck

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Not for me

      1. Jack Burton
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Ok thanks ill roll the transfer may all your arrows be green

        1. The Mentaculus
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Cheers GL

  8. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Anything worth a -4 ?

    Kepa
    Cancelo, Trippier, Perisic, Shaw
    Kdb, Kulu, Rashford
    Haaland, Toney, Martial

    Ward, Mount, Bruno, Andreas 0ft .2itb

  9. Kryptonite666
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    How is

    Cancelo + Darwin + Almiron to Kane + Mahrez + Botman for -8 ?

    1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I would keep Almiron

  10. YouReds
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Welcome to my team Toney, first time owner!

  11. youzef
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A) play cucurella
    B) play Mitrovic
    C) get Toney in for Mitrovic for a hit (-4) and bench cucu

    Team
    Pope
    Trippier Mee Shaw Cucurella
    Rashford Martinelli KDB Almiron
    Haaland Kane
    Bench Ward Mitro Andreas Bueno

  12. Ange Ball
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Been thinking what move to do all week now need to make the transfer. Which move please.
    A) Salah >KDB boring template

    B) Salah Martial> Grealish Kane -4

    C) Salah Martial Beuno > Grealish Kane Perisic - 8 bench Martz

    D) Salah > Son

    E) Salah Martz> KDB Kulu -4

    F) Cancelo Mitro > Lewis Kane

    G) Mount Salah > Son Mahrez

    Thanks.

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      F

      1. Ange Ball
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Thank

  13. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Was set to save but not sure now with Darwin potential out. £0.1m ITB.

    A) Save
    B) Patterson to Lewis (Bench Botman)
    C) Darwin to Wilson/Toney
    D) Darwin & Andreas to Mbuemo and Mahrez (-4)

    Kepa
    Shaw*, Trippier, Botman
    KDB*, Rashford*, Odegaard, Martinelli
    Haaland*, Kane*, Darwin

    Ward, Gabriel, Andreas, Patterson

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Im thinking Darwin to Toney for my squad

      1. Big Ronnie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Yeah that's the one i'm leaning towards. Cheers

  14. N00B
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    If both would start, who would you play:
    A) Digne (home vs Leeds)
    B) Mitrovic (away vs Newcastle)

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. Mirror Man
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Mitrovic

    3. Paddy Gooner
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      TC Haaland
      a GW20 or
      b GW23 ????
      I was gonna do b but FPL review freeplanner suggests otherwise

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        B

    4. The Yorkshire Pirlo
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Similar to many I think, G2G?

      Kepa
      Trippier, Ake, Shaw
      KDB, Saka, Martinelli, Rashford
      Haaland, Kane, Martial

      Ward, Andreas, Bueno, Patterson

    5. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      bigger priority:

      kAne
      kdB

      1. Freshy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Kdb

      2. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        KDB, Kane on 4 YC's???

      3. DannyDrinkVodka
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        KDB, but Kane also ok if you can get Mahrez

      4. Krafty Werks
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        KDB

    6. MGD
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Kepa
      Shaw*, Cancelo*, Trippier, White
      KDB*, Rashford*, Salah, Martinelli
      Haaland*, Mitrovic

      Ward, Andreas, Greenwood, Patterson

      0,8 ITB, 1 FT.

      Keep or sell Cancelo? 😐

      1. Paddy Gooner
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Keep

    7. TheBiffas
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Lewis owners, how many mins are you expecting?

      1. CrouchDown
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        155

    8. Thomas Shelby from Birmingh…
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Antony or Mahrez just for this GW?

      1. The Mentaculus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Mahrez

      2. Royal5
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Nah

    9. CelticBhoy1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      If you had to pick one City defender for the DGW who would it be?

      1. Royal5
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Akanji maybe

      2. Mufc202020
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Lewis

    10. FPLMACKEM
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Has Darwin trained? Anyone know if he's been spotted in any training pictures?

      1. Our Tiny Windows
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        This

        1. BobbyDoesNotLook
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          This

      2. Pukki Party
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Says he hasn't trained on team news page

    11. Mufc202020
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Start 1

      A) Mitro
      B) Cancelo

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        A

    12. BusbySwede
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Would you do anything with this team?

      Kepa
      Trippier, Shaw, Doherty
      Martinelli, Odegaard, Rashford, Almiron
      Haaland, Kane, Wilson

      Ward, Kulusevski, Cancelo, Gabriel

      Change bench order?
      Take a hit and sell Cancelo, if so for who?

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Play Kulu

      2. BremerHB
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Kulu over Almiron

    13. TallestJohn
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Chelsea just got shredded by Willian and Bobby De Cordova-Reid and you're telling me Eze and Olise can't even make the Scout Picks bench with a DGW? The game's gone.

      Admittedly I probably would've gone with Mitoma if it looked likely Brighton would have a DGW soon, but anyone else taking a punt on a Palace mid?

      1. Pipermaru
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I have Olise but it's a WC team, I don't know if I would use my regular transfer to bring any of Palace mids, highly unpredictable team.

        1. TallestJohn
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          I'm going Olise too, had some success with Eze earlier in the season but feel like these games could suit Olise slightly more. Easy enough to move to Mitoma or back to Andreas going forward.

          Probably not using my second free transfer as I'd only bench Nketiah this week anyway and doing the hokey-cokey from Cancelo and Foden to other City players doesn't appeal.

          1. Pipermaru
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            I picked him only because he's the cheapest, he's just a placeholder for Odegaard from DGW23.

    14. I Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Andreas or White first sub?

      Play Kepa or Ward?

    15. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Is there a certain timeslot after which we should know that there are not going to be any dgw news still today?

      Hopefully not long though, want to so the moves 😀

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Could be announced just after deadline like the past.

      2. Mirror Man
          3 years, 2 months ago

          I'm going to leave it until about 30 minutes before the deadline which means there will be an announcement roughly 27 minutes before the deadline.

          1. BobbyDoesNotLook
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            I have the same plan and expected outcome.

      3. DavvaMC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        What would be the better moves?

        A. James > Schar
        B. Mount > Mahrez
        C. Andreas > Mitoma or Almiron

        Thanks

        1. Jimjam
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          A and B for now, but I am looking at C with Mitoma at some point in the next few weeks

          1. DavvaMC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Thanks, both those moves would be for a -4.

      4. Jimjam
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        So... Are Cancelo and Foden going to play or what?!

        1. The Mentaculus
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          What

        2. Lionel Fellaini
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Definitely now everyone is selling them

      5. Over Midwicket
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Anyone selling Saka? Rodrigo / Ødegaard? Mitro to Toney and play him?