Spot the Differential
13 January 2023 1804 comments
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Double Gameweek 20 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

FPL Double Gameweek 20 differentials: Eriksen, Gakpo + Mahrez 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: MCI + cry | ars | CRY | lee | LEI

Christian Eriksen (£6.3m) has shown his value for Man Utd this season, playing an important role in their revival under Erik ten Hag.

Despite playing a deeper role, the playmaker has still been able to impact games offensively. In his last six matches, Eriksen has provided a goal and four assists.

Averaging 6.2 points per match in that time, he’s posted team-leading totals for crosses and passes received in the opposition half, whilst sitting fifth among all FPL midfielders for xA, only behind Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m), Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m), Martin Odegaard (£6.7m) and Solly March (£5.0m).

His ability from dead-ball situations is key to his FPL appeal, with the imminent signing of Wout Weghorst – a proper target man – further boosting his potential.

Man Utd head into Double Gameweek 20 full of confidence, having lost just one of their last 10 league matches, with three consecutive wins to nil following the restart. Now, they meet Man City at Old Trafford, before visiting a Crystal Palace side that have conceded seven goals in their last two home outings.

Eriksen is one of ten Hag’s most important players and now settled into a central midfield role where he can dictate play and have a real influence on games, could be an effective mid-price differential.

CODY GAKPO

FA Cup Scout Notes: Gakpo's debut, Chelsea injury latest
  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bha | CHE | wol | EVE | new

Cody Gakpo (£8.0m) signed for Liverpool just after Christmas from PSV and made his debut in the FA Cup last weekend.

The 23-year-old started the 2-2 draw with Wolves at Anfield and featured for 84 minutes, lining up on the left of Jurgen Klopp’s front three. He did, however, sometimes interchange positions with centre-forward Darwin Nunez (£8.9m), which was apparent during the Uruguayan’s first-half equaliser.

During the match, Gakpo had a hand in Mohamed Salah’s (£12.8m) goal and also showed signs of forming an effective partnership with Andrew Robertson (£6.9m). While Luis Diaz (£7.8m) is more of an out-and-out winger, Gakpo likes to drift inside, allowing the Scottish full-back to hold the width on the left, where he is generally at his best. Gakpo’s signing, as a result, could potentially benefit both players going forward.

Statistically, it wasn’t a great night for Gakpo as he attempted just one shot, but there were encouraging signs.

Now, the Dutchman will have another chance to open his account for his new club on Saturday when the Reds visit in-form Brighton. Albion have won two of their three matches since the restart, but Roberto De Zerbi’s attacking approach can leave gaps for opposition attackers to exploit, which should suit Liverpool, who can be deadly in transition.

Gakpo – the reigning Dutch Footballer of the Year – is an exciting signing and at just £8.0m in FPL, an intriguing differential.

RIYAD MAHREZ

FPL Gameweek 20: Taking a hit could be worth the risk
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £7.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: mun + TOT | WOL | tot | AVL | ars

A move for Riyad Mahrez (£7.5m) ahead of Double Gameweek 20 carries risk, given how often he has been benched in the past by Pep Guardiola.

However, the Algerian winger has hit top form following the restart, returning either a goal or assist in each of his three league outings, a period that has seen him average 7.0 points per start.

In addition, he claimed a brace of goals to help City secure a dominant 4-0 FA Cup third-round win over Chelsea and was also on target in last month’s 3-2 EFL Cup win over Liverpool.

“The quality of Riyad is everything. He loves to play football, he helped us to play the game. It was really good. It was a fantastic free-kick. He played an outstanding game. He never lost his love. He loves to play football. The way he is training now and playing was exactly the same in Abu Dhabi. Riyad in important games is fantastic. The last game he didn’t start at Stamford Bridge and the impact he had was incredible. When they play in this way, and maybe complain [about not playing every game] I say ‘yes, you’re right’. Before, he cannot complain because he wasn’t playing at the level he is now. It’s not just about quality, it’s more in football, you have to do more. [But] now since we came back for World Cup, he is playing really, really well.” – Pep Guardiola on Riyad Mahrez after last weekend’s 4-0 FA Cup win over Chelsea

It’s a double-header for Man City in Gameweek 20, as they travel to Man Utd before hosting Spurs on Thursday.

After being rested against Southampton in the EFL Cup in midweek, you’d expect Mahrez to start at least one of those games, perhaps both, with his potential clear when handed minutes. Indeed, he produced six double-digit hauls in just 15 league starts last season.

Owned by just 3.1% of managers, Mahrez has the potential to propel his owners up the ranks.



  1. tryf88
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Start Kepa or Ward?

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Pick Keeper based on fixture. Has to be Kepa.

    2. Better off with a pin and a…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Can't see it making any difference (and I own both!). I'm starting Kepa for the home fixture.

    3. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Definitely Ward

      1. SirWenger
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Haul Ward for sure

    4. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Kepa

  2. Skout
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A) TC Haaland this week
    B) TC Haaland DGW23

    1. tbos83
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      This week

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      This week, I've activated mine.

      1. Riverside Red
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Why?

    3. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

  3. pnitishmk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A) James to Botman
    B) Martial to Toney

    Kepa
    Shaw, Trippier, Digne
    KDB, Rashford, Almiron, Martinelli
    Haaland, Martial, Kane
    (Ward, James, Bueno, Andreas)

    1. Boom XhakaLacaSaka
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      b

  4. Crunchie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A. Mitro/Darwin to Kane and Ferguson -4
    B. Cucu to Perisic
    C. Darwin to Toney

    Team ATM
    Ederson(Ward)
    Shaw, Trippier, Culu or White (patterson)
    KDB, Rash, Kulu, Martinelli (andreas)
    Kane, Haaland (Ferguson)

    TIA

    1. TheBiffas
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

  5. George James
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Who would you rather have moving forward

    A) Mitrovic + Kulusevski

    B) Kane + Mitoma -4

    1. Veni Vidi Vialli
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A tbh

    2. Riverside Red
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Not ure why Mtoma is so popular...lemmings?

  6. Boom XhakaLacaSaka
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Kepa
    Cancelo Shaw Trippier
    Rashford Salah Martinelli Almiron
    Darwin Haaland Adams

    Ward Andreas Tete Patterson

    2ft 1.8 itb

    g2g on this -8??
    Cancelo/Salah/Darwin/Adams > Akanji/KDB/Kane/Toney

    Kepa
    Akanji Shaw Trippier
    Rashford KDB Martinelli Almiron
    Toney Haaland(c) Kane
    Ward Andreas Tete Patterson

  7. yanky
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    already done my 2 FT
    James > Shaw
    Cancelo > Ake

    which additional transfer(s) seem best:

    a) Darwin > Kane -4 (start Mount Salah)
    b) Darwin Mount > Kane Mahrez -8
    c) Darwin Salah > Kane KDB -8
    d) Darwin Mount > Martial KDB -8 (have 3mium- salah kdb haaland)

  8. TheBiffas
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A) Darwin > Toney (-4), play Bueno over Cucu
    B) Cucu + Darwin > Botman + Kane (-8), play Botman over Bueno

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I think you will go A, but i might have gone B

      But Botman has a blank probably in 25 but thats a long way away

  9. Ribus
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Cucu -> Martinez -4 ?

  10. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    On behalf of that hero Crunch.

    A. Mitro/Darwin to Kane and Ferguson -4
    B. Cucu to Perisic
    C. Darwin to Toney

    Team ATM
    Ederson(Ward)
    Shaw, Trippier, Culu or White (patterson)
    KDB, Rash, Kulu, Martinelli (andreas)
    Kane, Haaland (Ferguson)

    1. TheBiffas
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C (third time answering :lol:)

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        😆

    2. Millie7
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      c

    3. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I did C so it’s probably wrong

    4. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks Rupert. I have put a bet on now 🙂

  11. iL PiStOlErO
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Have 2ft but not sure how is the best to use them, who would you change here?

    Ward Iversen
    Cancelo** Shaw** Tripp White Bueno
    Salah Rash** Bukayo Almiron Andreas
    Kane** Braut** Green

    2ft, 0.5itb

    1. tbos83
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Cancelo Green > Doherty, Mbuemo

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Nice shouts

    2. Boom XhakaLacaSaka
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Iversen + Salah > DDG + KDB

    3. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      You could downgrade Cancelo and then use funds to upgrade Greenwood or even bring in DDG or Ederson.

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Agreed, thinking something in this way. Cheers.

  12. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Play Metro or hit for Toney?

    1. TheBiffas
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Metro

    2. DARE TO BISCAN
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Let the train take the strain

    3. Catastrophe
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I've bitten the bullet and gone for Toney. Having double Newcastle defence swayed me. Not the way the game should be played, but a little more exciting 🙂

    4. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Play Mitro, may you getting lost on the Metro is not fun

    5. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Whoops, well at least they both 'trained' 😉

  13. Plumbers Pan
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    How long would Kane be out for if he gets his yellow ?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      a game, like everyone else.

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      1 PL match

    3. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      1 match

    4. CoracAld2831
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Just the Man City one, I think.

    5. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      1 game

    6. DaftPunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      1 match

  14. CoracAld2831
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Kepa
    Trippier-Shaw-Walker
    Rashford(v)-Almiron-Salah-Odegaard
    Kane-Wilson-Haaland(c)

    Ward-Andreas-White-Patterson

    GTG?

  15. Hits Central
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Play Andrea / Bueno or White ias first sub for Nunez? Thinking to leave Nunez in just in case

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Bueno

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      yeah, cheers

  16. Chipmunk
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Start
    A.Kepa
    B. Ward

    1. Veni Vidi Vialli
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Tough one. Think Kepa.

  17. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Did Darwin and Cancelo out for Kane and AWB last night. Feels so good!

  18. DannyDrinkVodka
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone out there brave enough to just start Cancelo and hope for the best?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'd say that's more cowardess.

      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Agree, so that’s what I’m doing 🙂

        1. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          ha

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      plenty

  19. duncan_dm
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Nketiah or Mitrovic?

  20. Jasօn
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Choose:

    1) De Gea, Perisic and Mitoma

    or

    2) Raya, Pinnock and Eriksen

    1. Jasօn
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I would bench mitoma and play martinelli, martinelli would be benched for eriksen on option 2.

  21. lordkippe
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Any of the below worth a hit ?

    Kepa

    Shaw - Trippier - Gabriel

    Salah - Mount - Rashford - Martinelli

    Haaland - Kane - Martial

    Ward - Bueno - Andreas - Pattersson

    A : Salah > KDB
    B : Salah > Son
    C : Mount > Mahrez
    D : Other suggestions?

    1. TheBiffas
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

    2. Wobbles
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C possibly. Mount and Chelsea in general are pants. Don't see them improving any time soon

    3. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

  22. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Start

    A) Darwin*
    B) Martinelli

    1. TheBiffas
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        You think Darwin is a cameo risk?

        1. TheBiffas
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Yea

          1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            I don't think he is, but thanks.

    2. Men in green tights
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B all day out of them 2

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Would you say that even if Darwin was GTG?

    3. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Martinelli could easily get a haul

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        For sure but so could Darwin!

    4. TallestJohn
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'm doing A

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Leaning that way

  23. barton fc
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    mitro to kane worth a hit?

    (would still have the money for kdb to salah if pool do double next week?)

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      yep

    2. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Nope
      Could be same result as Mitro last week

      1. barton fc
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        that's my thinking, and would limited my ability to attack future doubles (should they drop in)

        I do fancy him this week tho

    3. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

  24. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Darwin to Toney for free?

    1. TheBiffas
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Absolutely

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Y

    3. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      100%

    4. Men in green tights
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I initially went for martial but Toney is a good shout

  25. Gandalf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A. Kepa > Ederson
    B. Mitrovic > Toney
    C. Roll free transfer

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

      1. La Roja
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        oobs

    2. Wobbles
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Roll

  26. Jones Kusi
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Best option?
    A. Start Bueno
    B. James > Akanji -4 and start him

    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A imo
      More chance of a CS in one game than two for Akanji

    2. DaftPunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

      Not worth bringing in any Man City defender for a hit, even for this DGW.

  27. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Ward nfo
    Mitrovic new
    Bueno WHM
    Perraud eve

    Bench boost?
    I have Saka who is a doubt in my 11

    1. Men in green tights
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Wouldn't bench boost, just put mitro first sub

  28. trinzoo
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A) Perisic
    B) Doherty

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I own B so I say B

  29. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Was set to save but not sure now with Darwin potential out. £0.1m ITB.

    A) Save
    B) Darwin to Toney
    C) Patterson to Lewis (Bench Botman)

    Kepa
    Shaw*, Trippier, Botman
    KDB*, Rashford*, Odegaard, Martinelli
    Haaland*, Kane*, Darwin

    Ward, Gabriel, Andreas, Patterson

    1. Boom XhakaLacaSaka
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      b

      1. Big Ronnie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers