Scout Notes
8 May 2023 503 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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We end our analysis of the Gameweek 35 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) action in our Scout Notes series.

Here, we focus on three Monday matches – Fulham v Leicester City, Brighton and Hove Albion v Everton and Nottingham Forest v Southampton.

Any numbers you see in this article are taken from our Premium Members Area, where you can access Opta player and team data from every single Premier League fixture.




This bank holiday bonanza brought a whopping 21 goals in three matches, with big consequences for the battle to stay up.

Everton and Nottingham Forest secured important victories but Leicester’s position is even more worrying and the Southampton relegation is almost mathematically official.

MARCH BENCHED THEN INJURED

For the 60% of top 100k managers that own Brighton’s Solly March (£5.3m), his starting spot wasn’t supposed to be in jeopardy. All league matches had been started until Thursday night’s win over Manchester United and, surprisingly, he was again left on the bench for Everton.

Pre-match, Roberto De Zerbi simply said March was “not in his best moment” but there was an even worse moment later on. Already 3-0 down, March was one of four substitutions made by De Zerbi at half-time.

Before long, the winger was the epicentre of Brighton’s comeback attempt, creating two chances, totalling five penalty area touches and producing one shot on target. Yet he hurt his hamstring whilst chasing back for Everton’s fourth goal and had to be replaced immediately.

The timing of this is unlucky for owners, as the Seagulls are about to have successive double gameweeks. Perhaps March’s new rotation threat would’ve already seen sales take place but the bad-looking injury will escalate these.

MITOMA AND MAC ALLISTER COMBINE

Selling him for Alexis Mac Allister (£5.5m) may be dismissed as a sideways move but similarly-priced alternative replacements seem limited. Here, the Argentine hit the crossbar and soon combined with template choice Kaoru Mitoma (£5.6m) to score a consolation goal, just days after his stoppage-time penalty defeated Man United.

Since Gameweek 23, no Premier League player has taken more shots than Mac Allister (50) and, even though moving backwards into central midfield was expected to limit his threat, the World Cup winner is only bettered by Erling Haaland (£12.4m) since Gameweek 31.

ABOVE: Most goal attempts since Gameweek 31

Owning a penalty taker that takes so many shots is highly appealing, especially one with five fixtures during the final three gameweeks.

DOES STEELE KEEP HIS PLACE?

It’s a bad night for those with both March and cheap goalkeeper Jason Steele (£4.0m). Brighton’s defensive assets lost their clean sheet after just 34 seconds, with Steele later beaten twice at his near post as well as being the victim of an own goal.

As a team, Everton’s expected goals (xG) total was just 2.24 but Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.3m) and Dwight McNeil (£5.1m) both netted twice to pull off a huge south coast shock. In fact, McNeil’s pair of assists means it’s a brilliant 21-point haul – the winger’s best-ever in FPL.

So does this embarrassment mean Steele goes back to Brighton’s bench for Double Gameweek 36? If so, Robert Sanchez (£4.5m) awaits.

MORE RETURNS FOR MADDISON

Meanwhile, the lunchtime match brought a 5-3 goal-fest between Fulham and Leicester. There was previous popularity for James Maddison (£7.9m) ahead of a generous-looking Double Gameweek 29 that preceded Bournemouth at home. He duly blanked in all three and missed the Wolverhampton Wanderers match due to illness.

Yet FPL managers may want to put faith in Leicester’s talisman when he faces the untrustworthy defences of Liverpool and Newcastle United.

Attacking returns have arrived for him in three consecutive matches, with both a goal and an assist at Craven Cottage. Furthermore, Maddison should be back on penalty duties – having missed from the spot last Monday, Jamie Vardy (£9.1m) failed this time before the 26-year-old had some redemption 15 minutes later.

ABOVE: Maddison leads several ‘goal threat’ metrics during the 5-3 defeat

Leicester’s furthest forward player on the average position map, he led the way for shots, chances created, penalty area touches and expected goal involvement (xGI) in this match. No bonus points though, just like two-goal team-mate Harvey Barnes (£6.6m), who remains without any throughout the whole campaign despite netting 12 times.

SCINTILLATING GIBBS-WHITE

Finally, on a day of double-digit totals for McNeil, Doucoure, Barnes, Willian (£5.5m), Tom Cairney (£4.7m) and James Ward-Prowse (£6.1m), three such individuals belong to Nottingham Forest.

A quickfire Taiwo Awoniyi (£5.6m) double put the hosts 2-0 up, with Danilo (£4.5m) setting up the second and then bagging one for himself after a delicious backheel from Morgan Gibbs-White (£5.5m).

Additionally, the former Wolves midfielder bagged a first-half spot-kick and could’ve added another assist late on had Felipe (£4.5m) not been ruled offside. A wasted acrobatic celebration from the Brazilian centre-back.

He is quietly having a brilliant FPL season and is now on 15 goal contributions. His last four matches have brought three goals and three assists, with Chelsea, Arsenal and Crystal Palace to come. He’s an extremely interesting differential option, especially for March sellers.


GAMEWEEK 35 LINE-UPS

Fulham XI: Leno; Tete, Adarabioyo, Diop (Duffy 77′), Robinson; Palhinha, Reed (Lukic 77′); Wilson (Kebano 82′), Cairney (De Cordova-Reid 82′), Willian (Solomon 82′); Vinicius

Leicester City XI: Iversen; Castagne, Faes, Soyuncu, Kristiansen (Thomas 76′); Tielemans (Ndidi 60′), Soumare (Dewsbury-Hall 76′), Praet (Tete 46′); Maddison, Vardy (Daka 76′), Barnes

Brighton and Hove Albion XI: Steele; Gross, Dunk, Webster (Colwill 46′), Estupinan; Caicedo, Mac Allister; Buonanotte (March 46′ (Gilmour 77′)), Undav (Enciso 46′), Mitoma; Welbeck (Ferguson 46′)

Everton XI: Pickford; Patterson, Tarkowski, Mina, Mykolenko; Iwobi, Doucoure, Gana (Onana 87′), Garner, McNeil; Calvert-Lewin (Maupay 87′)

Nottingham Forest XI: Navas; Aurier (Worrall 64′), Felipe, Niakhate, Lodi (Toffolo 82′); Danilo, Mangala, Yates (Kouyate 70′); Gibbs-White; Johnson (Boly 82′), Awoniyi (Surridge 82′)

Southampton XI: McCarthy; Maitland-Niles, Bella-Kotchap (Lyanco 38′), Bednarek, Walker-Peters; S Armstrong (Edozie 76′), Ward-Prowse, Lavia, Alcaraz (A Armstrong 76′); Walcott (Sulemana 61′), Adams (Onuachu 76′)



FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

503 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Okay then what about
    Chilwell & Watkins>
    TAA & Wilson or Isak
    For -4
    Yaaaay
    Nope

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Yes like these moves -wait for any early team news pre Newcastle game and if Wilson starts v Leeds then would get him

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers

  2. Sheffield Wednesday
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Bottomed.

    DdG
    Trippier² Estupiñán² Botman²
    Mitoma² Salah Rashford Martinelli
    Haaland Kane Watkins
    -Kepa Guéhi Stones March²*
    1FT £1M

    A) Watkins > Wilson²
    B) March* > MacAllister²
    C) March* > Joelinton² or a differential pick £6.2M
    D) March* Watkins > MacAllister² Wilson² -4

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      D

      1. Sheffield Wednesday
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Then it's just a question of who to bench, Martinelli (BHA) or Kane (avl)

        1. OptimusBlack
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Okay sorry then A

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      D

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        * and bench Martinelli

    3. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      i would do A Isak/Wilson depending on leaks. I am probably resisting March to Mac this week as I see Salah, Rashford and Martilinelli, Kane and Haaland getting more points than Mac away to Arsenal and Newcastle

    4. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Thanks for the feedback.

  3. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Which option this week?

    A. Mac Allister (ars new)
    B. TAA (lei)

    Thanks

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      TAA

  4. Pylynen
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Play one?

    A) Steele
    B) Kepa

    Captain?

    1) Mitoma
    2) Wilson

    1. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      A2

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      A2

  5. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    I'm not sure I really want Mac Allister. His recent points have been complete jam - but know if he notches again that's ranks screwed.

    Plus Brighton were crap until March came on.

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Yes this is my gut feel too. I may hold March and do Mac next week and play TAA, Estu and Botman, Trippier. That doesnt sound great either but 2FT in GW37 does

    2. snow pea in repose
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      If you don't have one, maybe an ARS mid

  6. Royal5
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    This March injury is kind of annoying as a non owner. Was really hoping owners would stick with him.

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      MAy still do for one more GW

      1. Royal5
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Blessing in disguise perhaps.

        1. Royal5
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          I'm stuck with Estup and Steel so not exactly that much better.

          1. Crunchie
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 9 months ago

            OH Brighton double defense, not good mate

            1. Royal5
              • 14 Years
              2 years, 9 months ago

              Considering benching Steel

  7. Crunchie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    OK

    DDG
    TAA, Botman Estupinian, Botman (Henry)
    Salah, Bruno, Rashford, Mitoma (March)
    Haaland, Isak (Edouard)

    1FT 0.2m ITB

    A. Roll (see what happens to Brighton GW36)
    B. March to Eze, Bench Estupinian)
    C. B+Edouard to Ferguson -4

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      D just do March to Mac as I will probably do this GW37 anyway (with Salah to KDB depending on how Arsenal do.

      1. Bushwhacker
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Double Botman is actually … ? March to Willock seems a better bet.

  8. MidTableFantasy
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Toney or Jesus to Wilson?

    Raya
    Trippier Botman TAA
    Rashford Mitoma Salah Martinelli
    Toney Haaland Jesus

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Toney , as he only has one ok fixture left

  9. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Play solanke
    Or do march to someone else, with that range doesnt seems like anyone i can buy

    1. GREEN JUMPERS
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      March to someone else for me. Solanke playing away.

    2. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      March to Mc

  10. tokara
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    gw 38 might just get INTERESTING for FH-ers

    1. The Philosopher
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Why do you say so?

  11. Sterling Malory
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Is this DGW madness?

    Tripps, Jota, Watkins > TAA, Isak, Wilson (-4)

    Steele
    TAA Shaw Botman
    Salah Mitoma Rashford Martinelli
    Isak Wilson Haaland
    Kepa Estupinan Grealish Akanji

    1. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Selling Tripps for a hit this gameweek is the craziest thing I’ve heard all bank holiday.

      And I’ve heard some things

      1. Sterling Malory
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Fair enough, I've gone with TAA, McNeil & Isak.

        Trippier stays.

  12. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Last Man Standing GW35 (27 teams)

    Safety score = 38
    Top score = Rob Martin with 56

    15 teams eliminated, 12 teams through to the LMS semi final
    Top 4 and equal make the GW37 final
    Congrats to the final 12!

    https://www.livefpl.net/LMS

    1. Swagat
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Just survived and into final 12!

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Fantastic!

        Good luck!

        1. La Roja
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          I’m still in the league, right TM?

          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            2 years, 9 months ago

            https://torresmagic.webs.com/lmsupdate.htm

            Need to be on the table above.
            Can't eliminate teams from the league anymore due to LMS Cup.

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Lowest ranked at 176K
      Highest ranked at 771st.

    3. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      At least 2 of the final 12 are also in the final 8 in the LMS Cup.

    4. Mince n Tatties
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Ooft TM - I was rock bottom right the way through the round - MacAllister to the rescue once again - somehow the journey continues - bring in the last 12!

  13. Norco
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Chasing big time. Worth a few punts?

    Jota + March + Burn > Wilson + Joelinton + TAA (-4)

    Yay or Nay?

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      yep

  14. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Watkins Toney march > Wilson isak macallister -4? Any other suggestions? 2 fts. 0 itb

    kepa
    trippier shaw dunk
    salah rashford march mitoma
    haaland toney watkins

    ederson grealish zinchenko mee

  15. GREEN JUMPERS
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Mac Allister or Gross?

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      macs on pens

  16. Ragabolly
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    No price changes tonight

    1. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Cheers, mate

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Cheers Ragabolly!

    3. NotReadyForPrimeTime
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Cheers, Ragabolly. No price action, but the pitch was insanely busy earlier in the day.

  17. Mozumbus
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Cheers ragabolly

  18. trafalgarlaw
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Easy roll FT ? 0ITB

    Steele
    TAA Trippier Estupinan
    KDB Salah Rashford Mitoma Martinelli
    Haaland Isak

    Iversen Dalot Toti Greenwood

    1. Deer-in-headlights
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Looks good.

  19. Manumana
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Play
    A. Robertson
    B. Shaw

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Although I am a REDS fan I would play Shaw at home.

      1. Manumana
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks

      2. Bushwhacker
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Not contributing much from centre back though. Upside is limited.

  20. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Would you do any of these moves below?

    a. March > MacAllister for free

    b. Watkins > Isak/Wilson for free

    c. March & Watkins > MacAllister & Isak for - 4? ( waiting for pressers before making these moves)

    d. Bench March play Martinelli and have 2 FT's DGW37

    Feedback welcomed 🙂

    1. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I’d definitely do A at the very least. He gives you 4 fixtures in 2 gameweeks, on penalties and a genuine decent (ish) attacking threat.

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        its either this or Watkins to Isak and play martinelli bench March?

        1. Lingard’s Shin Guards
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          i prefer this move, watkins to isak

  21. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Who had Steele?

    1. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Me. And March

    2. Rosey Palmer
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Steele, March, Dias and Dalot here....kill me now.

    3. Dollyems15
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Had him and estu, still got 55 points and closed down the gap in my mini league so not all bad

  22. fish&chips
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Jota owners... what are you doing? Plan was to move him to Isak / Wilson but given how woeful Leicester's defence is, I'm really not sure now

    1. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Alternative would be mahrez, greenwood -> Wilson / Isak & midfield fodder (-4)

      1. Rosey Palmer
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Not sure if I would lose Mahrez...but could be benched. Was going Jota > Isak....but I have March to deal with now

    2. Deer-in-headlights
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      True, but Pool's away form isn't great.

    3. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Thinking of playing him now

    4. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Getting rid for Isak

  23. Kane Toads
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    that moment when Dunk scores -1 and gets subbed into your team...

    🙂

    1. Bushwhacker
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I had Bueno last week. On a FH.

  24. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    A) Bench March and play Grealish

    Or

    B) March -> Mac (-4)?

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      play grealish, roll FT

  25. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    How do you lose 5-1 with 80% possession and 23 shots?

    1. Bushwhacker
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Practice

    2. The Philosopher
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Everton hit them on the break time and again with precision while staying compact at the back. Masterclass relegation survival performance.

  26. The Philosopher
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Should've started Burn instead of Dunk ffs

  27. Cruyff's Eleven
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Given BOU v CRY is a dead rubber, would you bench Shaw (v WOL) over Solanke?

    1. The Philosopher
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I'd start Shaw of those two

      1. Cruyff's Eleven
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Don't think Bournemouth could score 6?

        1. The Philosopher
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          No

  28. Jengkreng
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Dunno what to do with march?i think he will not play for the next gwk...steele also maybe in danger...look like out of position last night...maybe de zerbi start sanchez again

    1. SpaceCoyote97
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I would be shocked if Sanchez doesn't start again after that absolute howler from Steele.

  29. SpaceCoyote97
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Allison (DDG)
    TAA-Trippier-Dunk (Shaw-Zouma)
    Mitoma-Macallister-Rashford-Salah (Grealish)
    Haaland-Wilson-Isak

    0FT, just swapped March for MacA.

    Any other changes needed? I think I can keep Zouma benched.

    1. Nanook
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I’d start DDG at home to Wolves over Allison on the road to the Foxes. Nice team, think you’ll have a good GW. Next week, Salah to KDB and you should bang again. GL

  30. sminkypinky
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    I’m .1 short of March to Mc. 2ft and need of advice.

    Ederson (Kepa)
    Trippier Schar TAA (Estu Shaw)
    Salah Rasford Bruno Mitoma March*
    Haaland Isak (Greenwood)