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2 September 2026 208 comments
Tom Hadley Tom Hadley
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Tom Hadley – a one-time world number one in FPL – is one of our regular contributors who has returned for 2026/27.

He’ll again be providing data-driven articles regularly this season, chiefly around defensive contribution points (DefCon).



We’re just two weeks into the new season, so samples are small, but it’s worth a quick look into the data to see if there are any lessons to learn.

Here, I’ll be drawing on the data in Fantasy Football Scout’s all-new ‘DefCon’ page, which is just one small part of the excellent FPL Toolkit you can find here.

DEFCON LEADERS: THE DEFENDERS

DefCon stars

Above: The four defenders who have hit DefCons in both Gameweeks so far

HULL CITY

DefCon stars

Newly promoted sides often start the season with a bit of momentum, but I don’t think anyone would have predicted Hull to be quite as solid as they have been.

From an FPL perspective, it’s almost too good to be true. A defence full of £4.0m assets, keeping two clean sheets in two, and John Egan (£4.0m) hitting 17 DefCon actions per 90 minutes.

Now, it’s unlikely that this incredible value is sustainable, but even if the clean sheets start to fall by the wayside, which they will, DefCons seem likely to keep happening. The way that Hull play almost invites the opposition to test their extremely physical back three, and they seem more than happy just to clear it and make themselves difficult to break down. 

Whilst Egan is the standout, all three centre-backs have both DefCon merit and attacking potential. Nobel Mendy (£4.0m) was just one contribution away from also having a 100% hit rate, and he would have almost definitely achieved it if it wasn’t for an early sub in Gameweek 2. 

I expect Hull to drop off but we saw with Sunderland last season that sometimes these big physical teams just continue to tick along in the league, along with their assets in FPL. Remember that the Black Cats came up from the play-offs with low expectations in 2024/25, as Hull did last year, and the Tigers are mimicking the Mackems with some heavy spending in their first transfer market as a Premier League club. All the iffy xGC data from 2025/26 can be taken with a pinch of salt now that the squad has been overhauled.

Even if you don’t intend to play them that often, it’s brilliant to have that consistent 3-4 point floor on the bench as perfect back-up. 

LEWIS HALL

The next name of interest is Lewis Hall (£5.1m). He isn’t your typical DefCon pick; that’s not the primary reason you buy him. He’s been taking set pieces, gets into great attacking positions, and has excellent baseline bonus. 

But when you factor all the reasons you would buy him, and then add the chance of DefCons in there, too, it’s just about as good as you could ask for for £5.1m. The cherry on the cake is the excellent run of fixtures to come:

The DefCon hits aren’t even too much of a surprise, either. Hall was one of the best full-backs for defensive contributions last season:

DefCon stars

Above: The leading full-backs for DefCon points last season, with Hall banking them in 25% of his starts

KRISTOFFER AJER

208 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. g40steve
    • 8 Years
    19 days, 12 hours ago

    Hall 😎

    1. Utopsis
      • 6 Years
      19 days, 9 hours ago

      I want him but gonna go De Cuyper first - hope I don't regret it!

  2. SomeoneKnows
    • 10 Years
    19 days, 12 hours ago

    Which transfer is better?

    A) Tzolis > M.Sangare
    B) Rodon > De Cuyper

    Verbruggen
    Calafiori, Maguire, Hume
    Tzolis, Bruno, Cherki, Szoboszlai
    J.Pedro, Haaland, DCL

    (Kinsky, Gomez, Rodon*, Davis)

    1. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      A

    2. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      19 days, 10 hours ago

      A.

    3. Nomadic Spurs
      • 4 Years
      19 days, 8 hours ago

      Midfielder or defender? Probably go with the one you want to start. Looking at your current line-up, the answer points towards A.

  3. Klopp it
    • 9 Years
    19 days, 12 hours ago

    Hi everyone,
    How's this free hit team looking?
    GTG

    Kelleher
    Hall, Cuyper, collins
    Foden, MGW, Cherki, saka
    Wissa, haaland, isak

    Bench forster, gomez, Davis, ajayi

    1. Donny_Rover
      • 11 Years
      19 days, 10 hours ago

      Personally I like to triple up on a defence for FH for max upside. I’d probably try and find room for a 2nd Liverpool attacker as well, and thought Villa looked brighter against Arsenal so Jackson could be a shout, but otherwise looks good!

      1. Klopp it
        • 9 Years
        19 days, 10 hours ago

        What triple up is good tho? Brentford?

  4. ididnt
    • 15 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    Tzolis to:

    A: Elanga
    B: Gross
    C: Sangarre (have Schade)

    1. BR510
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      B since you own Schade

    2. el polako
      • 9 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      B or C.

      Need to see first how Elanga is looking against teams in low block.
      Both Liverpool and Spurs played to his strengths.

    3. Ausman
      • 3 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      A. In decent form and has some nice fixes coming up.

    4. Full Ham Fc
      19 days, 10 hours ago

      I have schade and bought in gross this week

  5. SM001
    • 10 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    Great a defcon article! ZZZZZzzzzzz.....

    1. chocolove
      • 15 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      Lol

  6. BR510
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    1. Bruno, De Cuyper, Yalcouye
    2. Saka, Gvardiol, Grob

    NO BB

  7. el polako
    • 9 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    So how much of a hold is Mbuemo?
    Which United team is going to turn up at Everton?
    The one from the 1st game and 1st half of Ipswich game or the one from last 30 minutes of last game?

    I’m tempted to sell him for MGW but didn’t pull the trigger yet.

    1. Boring FC
      • 5 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      Surely a hold for me. 2.3xG in two games.

      1. el polako
        • 9 Years
        19 days, 11 hours ago

        Only 0.5 against Hull and one against Ipswich inflated by the chance which was more difficult to miss than score and he still managed to mess it up.

        1. Boring FC
          • 5 Years
          19 days, 11 hours ago

          True. But he scored at least! Well, he looked like being good value before 1st GW imo, that's why we have him, no need to change now, Everton away is not that bad, they have 4.12xGC in two games!

          1. el polako
            • 9 Years
            19 days, 11 hours ago

            That’s the decision I have to make.
            Everton underlaying data suggests goals but United and Mbuemo especially seem unpredictable.

            MGW is a talisman for his team and Forest run of games looks decent.

            I’ll probably flip a coin in the end 🙂

            1. Boring FC
              • 5 Years
              19 days, 11 hours ago

              I'm keeping for now, best of luck!

              1. el polako
                • 9 Years
                19 days, 11 hours ago

                Thanks for your input.
                I’m talking myself into MGW, need some counter arguments.

                Good luck.

                1. Full Ham Fc
                  19 days, 10 hours ago

                  Keep for this week

        2. Calafiornication
          • 7 Years
          19 days, 10 hours ago

          Thas Mbeumo in a nutshell .

    2. Nomadic Spurs
      • 4 Years
      19 days, 8 hours ago

      Holding no Bruno, so hopefully the one from the first game.

  8. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    Better WC option

    X 4.0
    Califiori Konsa Ajer X X
    Palmer Szob Sangare Cherki X
    Wissa Haaland Pedro

    a) Raya, Hall, Gvardiol, Groß
    b) Verbruggen, Dedic, Egan, Saka

    1. Winnerr
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      A

    2. Full Ham Fc
      19 days, 10 hours ago

      A

    3. Donny_Rover
      • 11 Years
      19 days, 10 hours ago

      A and not even close (although definitely some confirmation bias given how close it is to my team!)

  9. Winnerr
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    On Free Hit:

    Saka and Thiago

    Schade and Isak

    1. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      A

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      a

  10. The Knights Template
    • 12 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    Cherki minutes predictions this week? 54?

    1. el polako
      • 9 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      45
      This time Maresca won’t listen to his begging.

    2. Pompel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      Can't afford Jerki anyway, so hoping for Foden 70 mins+ and brace of assists

    3. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      59

  11. el polako
    • 9 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    So Enzo to City.
    It will be interesting to see how he’s welcomed by the fans.

  12. F4L
    • 11 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    didnt realise truffert had such good defcon numbers last season, kinda went under the radar with hill/senesi around

  13. F4L
    • 11 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    sure its been discussed, but did barry just become a 90 minute man on pens with beto/ndiaye leaving and balogun deal falling through?

  14. Dynamic Duos
    • 13 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    Hi all. Play Pedro or Calafiori here? Any other changes needed? 0fts 1.5m itb

    Kinsky
    Calafiori Gvardiol De Cuyper Hall
    Palmer Szoboszlai Cherki Sangare
    Haaland(TC) Wissa

    Matthews Pedro Konsa Tzolis

    1. fantasyfog
      • 11 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      Play both, even if (when) chelsea score, calafiori could still get points at the other end

    2. Full Ham Fc
      19 days, 10 hours ago

      Calafiori for me

  15. fantasyfog
    • 11 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    How many price rises likely before deadline?? My WC team has 0.2 itb, will that be safe?

    1. fantasyfog
      • 11 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      Actually just found some data on live.fpl

  16. The Philosopher
    • 6 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    Which City player to replace Mbeumo for a 2 week punt before WC5?

    A: Cherki
    B: Foden

    *already have Haaland and Semenyo

    1. fantasyfog
      • 11 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      Having seen Foden so haven't given him the eyetest, both seem in decent form, Cherki has the higher ceiling imo

      1. fantasyfog
        • 11 Years
        19 days, 11 hours ago

        *haven't seen Foden

  17. Dokdok666
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    Please please please return to using UPPERCASE for HOME FIXTURES and lower case for away fixtures.
    It is much more intuitive than typing all fixtures in uppercase and then marking them with a (H) for home or (A) for away.
    Please

    1. Nomadic Spurs
      • 4 Years
      19 days, 8 hours ago

      Or type all fixtures normally and add (H) or (a). Much easier to read.

      1. Dokdok666
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        19 days, 6 hours ago

        no

  18. zdrojo187
    • 11 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    As a Gvardiol/Semenyo/Haaland owner, what should i do with Ndiaye now...?
    Keep it for Coventry or sell to any under 6.5?

  19. Hosea Matthews
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    Great piece. I think I will go 4 atb on WC in the break tbh.

    1. SM001
      • 10 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      Fascinating.

  20. GoonerSteve
    • 16 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    Lots of people getting Konsa but is he even likely to start against Chelsea? If Mosquera is fit I suapect he will start.

    1. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      Lots of people probably have someone on the bench to cover, or play ahead of, Konsa, as he's only 4.4m.

      1. GoonerSteve
        • 16 Years
        19 days, 10 hours ago

        I think he gets minutes but i doubt he starts unless Mosquera is injured.

  21. RedJive79
    • 7 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    With question marks over Ndiaye and Tzolis for this week, what the best moves for me here? Have 2 free transfers.

    Verbruggen
    Shaw / Gabriel / Calafiori
    Semenyo / Mbeumo / Ndiaye / Tzolis
    Isak / Joao Pedro / Haaland(TC)

    Dub / Davis / Thomas / Slater

    Could do those 2 to Sangare and Gross and then reassess or WC next week?

    1. Full Ham Fc
      19 days, 10 hours ago

      I put gross in for tzolis this week , just too uncertain about minutes

  22. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    Is O'Reilly a minutes risk for their upcoming plum home fixtures with all of City's midfield acquisitions? Or does he move left back with Gvardiol moving into the centre?

    1. Full Ham Fc
      19 days, 10 hours ago

      Ok for this week but moved back after with so many new signings in mid

  23. Kroenius
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    What to do with this team?
    Verbruggen (Raya)
    Jacquet/Muñoz and then Robertson/Van Ewijk/Reinildo
    Szoboszlai/Stach/M.Sangaré/Bruno (Tzolis)
    Haaland/J.Pedro (Rutter)
    0.5 ITB 2 FT
    Which move is better (still have all chips as well)
    A. Robertson -> Dedic
    B. Reinildo -> Dedic
    C. Reinildo -> Maatsen/Cash
    D Robertson -> Maatsen/Cash
    If you think something else, comment below please

  24. Deulofail
    • 10 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    Hello fellow nerds. Still wavering on my decision not to FH. What do you think?

    Kinsky (nfo)
    Gabriel, Calafiori (CHE) | O'Reilly (COV)
    Bruno [c], Mbue (eve) | Semen [v] (COV) | Szob (ips) | Schade (SUN)
    Pedro (ars) | Thiago (SUN)

    Palmer | White, Konsa (CHE) | Egeli (LIV)

    2FTs. 0.0 ITB

    FH adds 🙂
    + 2 Man City, effectively, since I'd captain Haaland.
    + 2 Liverpool against Ipswich
    + 1 Brentford

    FH takes away 🙁
    - 2 Arsenal home defenders
    - Fernandes after a hattrick
    - 1 FT while the FT reserves are low
    - In-form Pedro, though against Arsenal
    - Kinsky. Actually 🙂

    1. GoonerSteve
      • 16 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      I'm regretting my decision to wildcard this week.

      What would your free hit team be?

      1. Deulofail
        • 10 Years
        19 days, 10 hours ago

        I don't knowwwwwwww. Too much choice! Aghhhhhhhhh

        Verbruggen (LEE)
        Virgil (ips) | DeCuyper (LEE) | Ajer (SUN)
        Bruno (eve) | Gakpo (ips) | Cherki, Foden (COV) | Gomez (TOT)
        Haaland (COV) | Isak (ips)

        Verbruggen (LEE)
        Gabriel (CHE) | DeCuyper (LEE) | Ajer (SUN)
        Wirtz, Szob (ips) | Cherki, Foden (COV) | G-White (TOT)
        Haaland (COV) | Isak (ips)

        Verbruggen (LEE)
        Gabriel (CHE) | DeCuyper (LEE) | Ajer (SUN)
        Wirtz, Szob (ips) | Cherki, Foden (COV)
        Haaland(COV) | Isak (ips) | Thiago (SUN)

        Kelleher (SUN)
        Virgil (ips) | DeCuyper (LEE) | Ajer (SUN)
        Wirtz | Cherki, Foden (COV) | G-White (TOT)
        Haaland (COV) | Isak (ips) | Thiago (SUN)

        Hornicek (BOU)
        Virgil (ips) | DeCuyper (LEE) | Collins (SUN)
        Wirtz (ips) | Cherki, Foden (COV) | Schade (SUN)
        Haaland (COV) | Isak (ips) | Thiago (SUN)

        Kelleher (SUN)
        DeCuyper (LEE) | Kayode, Ajer (SUN)
        Gakpo (ips) | Cherki, Foden (COV) | Bruno (eve)
        Haaland (COV) | Isak (ips) | Wissa (BOU)

        Verbruggen (LEE)
        DeCuyper (LEE) | Collins, Ajer (SUN)
        Bruno (eve) | Gakpo (ips) | Cherki, Foden (COV) | Schade (SUN)
        Haaland (COV) | Isak (ips)

        Hornicek (BOU)
        DeCuyper (LEE) | Kayode, Ajer (SUN)
        Bruno (eve) | Wirtz (ips) | Cherki, Foden (COV) | Schade (SUN)
        Haaland (COV) | Isak (ips)

        Hornicek (BOU)
        DeCuyper (LEE) | Collins, Ajer (SUN)
        Wirtz, Gakpo (ips) | Cherki, Foden (COV)
        Haaland (COV) | Isak (ips) | Thiago (SUN) | ~ 2.0 ITB

        Kelleher (SUN)
        DeCuyper (LEE) | Collins, Ajer (SUN)
        Wirtz, Gakpo (ips) | Cherki, Foden (COV) | G-White (TOT)
        Haaland (COV) | Isak (ips) | ~2.0m ITB

  25. GREEN IS GOOD
    • 10 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    My team name was removed for being offensive

    Back Fives Matter

    How is that offensive?

    1. SM001
      • 10 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      Thats disgusting! I've never been so offended in my life!

    2. GoonerSteve
      • 16 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      It's not. How ridiculous.

    3. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      19 days, 11 hours ago

      Wow, and my name, Trump's Pedro Files, stayed up for half of last season before I changed it voluntarily. Someone may have flagged yours

    4. The Philosopher
      • 6 Years
      19 days, 8 hours ago

      That's because playing a back 5 in FPL is pretty sinful.

  26. GoonerSteve
    • 16 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    Is Hall worth the extra cash over Dedic? Article seems to suggest yes.

    1. Full Ham Fc
      19 days, 10 hours ago

      If you are keeping long term yes , dedic may have issue when others are back from injury

    2. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      19 days, 10 hours ago

      I have gone with Hall just because I'm not sure what happens with Livramento longer term

  27. lumaunited
    • 8 Years
    19 days, 11 hours ago

    Which starting goalkeeper will lose his place first?

    1. el polako
      • 9 Years
      19 days, 10 hours ago

      Kinsky.
      No presence.

  28. Lanley Staurel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    19 days, 10 hours ago

    I wonder what % of active players are wildcarding this GW? I know its a viable option as is GW6 but for me FH GW9 and Wildcard GW10 is ideal. Just use transfer between now and then to manage the transitions. I don't like wildcarding during an international break as you can never be sure whether that player who went to Brazil or Eastern Europe is going to be fresh enough to play. Its fraught with uncertainty. Is anyone leaving the wildcard as late at GW10?

    1. Calafiornication
      • 7 Years
      19 days, 10 hours ago

      Probably gw 18 to bb gw 19

      1. Lanley Staurel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        19 days, 10 hours ago

        Not even looked that far ahead. Ah OK so great for Chelsea and Arsenal plus Spurs and Liverpool.

  29. bootsmanus
    • 8 Years
    19 days, 10 hours ago

    On a Free Hit. Which combo is better?

    A) Calafiori + Igor Jesus
    B) NOR + McBurnie
    C) Garcia + NWilliams

  30. GoonerSteve
    • 16 Years
    19 days, 10 hours ago

    Leaning towards a De Cuyper and Verbruggen double up on wildcard. Id potentially swap De Cuyper to Konsa once he starts getring regular minutes. Is it a mistake?

    1. Club-De-Belon
      • 5 Years
      19 days, 10 hours ago

      just to say, if I were wildcarding, I would not get in a player just to book an early transfer out
      I would prefer a set player and then option to use FT aggresively, not to fix mistake