Spot the Differential

Differential Sarr can sustain electric form ahead of Blank Gameweek 31 fixture

The Spot the Differentials article is on a roll with five of our last six selections providing instant returns, including four double-digit hauls.

Last time out, our tips Michail Antonio (£6.9m) and Diogo Jota (£6.3m) registered 11 and 12 points respectively and delivered for those managers willing to think outside of the box.

This time, we focus on three midfield picks, all of whom have ownership of 5% or less, who we like the look of for Gameweek 29.

Ismaïla Sarr

  • FPL Ownership: 1.9%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: cry | LEI | bur | SOU | che

Ismaïla Sarr (£6.3m) is back on the FPL radar after Watford’s 3-0 win over Liverpool, yet surprisingly sits in just 1.9% of squads.

Making his first start since recovering from a hamstring injury last weekend, the Senegal winger played a part in each of Watford’s three goals, but realistically could have had more, drawing a save from Alisson (£6.2m) and curling a shot wide late on.

It’s now eight attacking returns in nine appearances for Sarr under Nigel Pearson, which has earnt him an impressive 57 FPL points under the new head coach.

Over that same period, amongst midfielders, only Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) and Dele Alli (£8.3m) have been afforded more big chances, despite Sarr playing just 675 minutes.

His partnership with Kiko Femenía (4.2m) could also add another dimension to Watford’s attacking play, with the Spaniard offering more quality in the final third than previous right-back options Adrian Mariappa (£4.2m) and Craig Dawson (4.8m).

The 22-year-old will hope to continue his form when Watford take on Crystal Palace on Saturday, whilst it’s also worth noting the Hornets have a guaranteed Gameweek 31 fixture against Burnley to follow.

If Sarr can remain fit for the rest of the season, then Watford have a real chance of Premier League survival, whilst FPL managers have the opportunity to purchase a potentially explosive, kindly priced differential.

Miguel Almirón

  • FPL Ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: sou | SHU | – | bou | WHU

For the majority of the season, Miguel Almirón (£5.8m) has struggled on the right side of a 5-4-1 set-up.

However, Steve Bruce’s decision to switch to a 4-2-3-1 in Gameweek 28 has seen Almirón take up a central role, as a no 10 – a position he thrived in for Atalanta United in MLS.

In his new role, the Paraguay international impressed against Burnley last weekend. He was Newcastle’s most advanced player, taking three shots in the box and creating four chances, whilst he had more final third touches than any of his teammates.

Despite failing to score, the system change had a positive impact on the Magpies’ attack, who looked more of a threat, mustering 21 attempts on goal. With better finishing, they could have pulled off a decent win against the Clarets.

But it was on Tuesday night the attack finally clicked, as they ran out 3-2 winners over West Bromwich Albion in the FA Cup, with Almirón showing excellent composure to score two goals.

Following that haul, Almirón is now the Magpies’ top scorer this season with six goals, which have all been scored since 21st December.

Newcastle remain in a relatively comfortable league position and are only two points behind their opponents on Saturday, Southampton. Only three teams have given up more than the Saints’ six big chances over the last two Gameweeks, whilst they have often struggled against direct teams this season. With Dwight Gayle (£5.0m) looking to run the channels, it should give Almirón plenty of space through the middle, and an opportunity to build on his previous good form.

Phil Foden

  • FPL Ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £5.1m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: mun + ARS| BUR | – | LIV | sou

At Wembley on Sunday, Phil Foden (£5.1m) delivered a man of the match performance as Manchester City beat Aston Villa in the Carabao Cup final.

Playing as a winger coming in off the right, Foden was at the centre of everything, assisting Sergio Agüero’s (£11.9m) opener whilst almost scoring himself. He had a pass completion rate of 92%, had five shots, and now has two goals and seven assists in his last 10 starts.

Those performances suggest Foden is ready to start more often, and with David Silva (£7.3m) departing in the summer, it would certainly make sense.

The interesting news for FPL managers, is following City’s FA Cup fifth round win at Hillsborough on Wednesday night, Pep Guardiola suggested Foden will play in this weekend’s Manchester derby. That doesn’t necessarily mean he’ll start, but with Kevin De Bruyne (£10.7m) a doubt for the game with a shoulder problem, and Silva having played the full 90 minutes midweek, his chances look quite high.

As for City, it’s been an impressive period following wins against Leicester City, Real Madrid and Aston Villa, and with two matches this Gameweek it looks sensible to invest in at least one of their attacking assets.

Foden is still learning, although he has already shown he is ready to shine when called upon, and could be an effective budget differential for Gameweek 29.

2,179 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Chances of Robbo getting benched tomorrow?

    1. kamdaraji
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      wait for lineups

    2. Whats the Mata?
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Should get early news

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      You could ship early if news comes he is benched. Doherty or Alonso look great swaps

    4. Pep Roulette
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers! FPL Rockstar to the rescue hopefully!

    5. Qaiss
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If Alisson is out then I don’t think he will want to bench Robbo as well to be honest

    6. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I think there is a chance so will make sure I'm free at 11:15 tomorrow to check what FPL Rockstar has for us

      1. jennmenn
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        ^

    7. Regin
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      why should he benched?

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Rest

  2. timmmuh
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Henderson
    Van Dijk-TAA(c)-Saiss
    Fernandes-Salah(v)-DeBruyne-Saka
    Jiminez-DCL-Vardy
    Pope-Stephens-Soyuncu-Hayden

    Vardy/Soyuncu to Taranga (for gw 31) and Auba (C)? Would be a -8 hit (only taken -8 year to date) but would captain Auba ... Yay or Nay
    Trying to break into the top 100K ... Cheers

    1. timmmuh
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Would leave me with 0.1 ITB ... so not many options for a 4.1 or 4.2 Defender

    2. suddenorgan
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Probably not worth a -8... also probably don't captain TAA with Alison out

      1. timmmuh
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Just saw the Allison news ... fair point, thanks

  3. BNMC
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    If Alisson is out, I might go for Aurier over Gomez on my WC

  4. Whats the Mata?
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone else going with 0 dgw players?

    I still believe sgw players will outscore the likes of City lads who could get just 1 game and meh Arsenal assets.

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Already have Kev. Might get Auba. Agree no one else is worth it

    2. Pieterke30
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Only KDB because I still had him. I was abt to captain but having second thoughts since yesterday.

      For me, he was a sure starter in both games, fully rested (maybe not even in squad) vs Burnley bc of Real game.

      But if there is any truth to his ‘injury’, I now can see benched vs Utd - start vs Arsenal - bench vs Burnley.

    3. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Me unless early team news shows mane benched

    4. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Just KDB

    5. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Me

  5. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Guys, Which move would you do? Keep getting these 50:50’s wrong. Thanks 🙂

    A. Lunds >> Doherty
    B. Vardy >> Aubameyang

    McCarthy
    Aurier / Trent / Soy
    Bruno F / Salah / KDB* / H. Barnes
    Jiménez / Vardy / Ings
    (McGov, Traoré*, Lunds, Rico)

    1. Whats the Mata?
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A for sure!

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Even if I captain Auba? I see your comment above so thought you would pick A 🙂

        1. Whats the Mata?
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Haha. Vardy against Villa though. Aubameyang has overperformed in the last few weeks according to stats. 😉

      2. fish&chips
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Depends what your plan is got 31. If you're trying to build a team for it, A. If you plan to free hit, I'd go B

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Not sure on this either! Too much to think about

    2. ElliotJHP
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I have similar dilemma pal and I am swaying to A with an eye on GW31

    3. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Id probably say A - especially if you are not FH in 31.

    4. Pieterke30
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

    5. Pieterke30
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Who do you captain if you dont get Auba?

      Salah?
      Or KDB despite injury doubts?

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Salah probably

      2. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Salah

    6. majeci
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If not FH 31, I would go A

      Maybe Vardy will bounce back? I gave up on him already, tbh

  6. farmerfat
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Thanks for nothing Pep !

  7. Sgt Frank Drebin
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    When do you plan to WC?

  8. osceola31909
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    With KDB more likely to play, the only way for me to upgrade to Auba would be to sell Mane (I also own Salah). Worth doing with Liverpool at home to Bournemouth? And Mane a player in GW 31?

    1. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Could work, especially if mane is rested, but wait and see if there is any early team news for pool game.

    2. Dr. Agabuse
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Check out earpy team news. Only see if Mane doesnt start

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No chance! Mané is a brilliant pick this week. I would captain him

    4. Pieterke30
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Im in a similar position and hoping/waiting for early team news.

      Not FH in 31 so reluctant to sell Mané, even for Auba DGW

    5. majeci
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Nope--I would not. Liv play GW 31 so hold both.

  9. jason_ni
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Save the FT?

    McCarthy
    TAA - VVD - Saiss
    Salah - KDB - Maddison - Bruno
    Auba - Jimi - Ings
    Taylor - Dendo - Williams

    Am planning on doing Maddison to Sarr before 31, but surely I should wait on that, given Maddison home to villa and sarr away to palace?

    1. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Seeing this Alisson news - last thing I needed as double pool defence owner!

  10. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start 1

    A-B.Williams ( will play)
    B-Lascelles
    C-Cahill.

    1. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Tough ebtween a and b, but prob:
      C
      B
      A

      1. Champions League Varane
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks!

  11. The Mighty Whites
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts? 0.0 ITB, 1 FT-

    Guaita, Button

    TAA, Stevens, Boly, Fernandez, Taylor

    Salah, Mane, KDB, Barnes, Nakamba

    Vardy, Jimenez, Ings

  12. FOO FIGHTER
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    With the Allison news, KDB only training tomorrow etc

    I think I am going agressive and play my FH for GW29.

    It is either going to end up smelling like stinky fish pie or a juicy dripping straberry delight.

    1. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      You gotta do what you gotta do

    2. Fudgy
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      And I'm here not making a transfer and capping kdb lol

      1. Cahill
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        youre a bellcheese though 🙂

      2. FOO FIGHTER
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I won't be getting KDB in anyway 😀

    3. Qaiss
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Liverpool could very easily keep a clean sheet. De Bruyne will probably play in both games (it’s just Pep being Pep). But GL with it anyway

  13. CheesyZoot
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Lundstram > Doherty for a -4, yay or nay?

    1. Cahill
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      ye

    2. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Depends who you will play Doherty ahead of.

      1. CheesyZoot
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Lundstram, kelly, Rico are the options

        1. jason_ni
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          100% then, Kelly wont play, Rico unlikely and if he does prb 2 pointer.
          Lundy to Doherty, should get you 6, break even, and anything extra from doherty is a bonus.

          1. CheesyZoot
            • 4 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Done ty

            1. jason_ni
              • 8 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Good move, plus Doh plays in 31 as well, so one less pos to worry about.

              I have trip wolves, but dendo is one, really want to try to get doh before 31, but not likely with Dendo taking up a transfer.

  14. Jones Kusi
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Im 1st place in my ML and 2nd place has Auba and i don’t.
    Im not gonna use FH 31 so i’ll waste 1 ft, make my team worse overall and i’ll have to take -4.
    What would you do?

    1. majeci
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Who would you tfr to get Auba?

      1. Jones Kusi
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Maddison, Ings > Sarr, Auba -4

  15. The Ejiptian King
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Less chance of Robbo being rested with Alisson out?

    1. Qaiss
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes, I can’t see Klopp wanting to start Adrian and Milner at left back in the PL when the title isn’t over yet

      1. jason_ni
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        If there were to lose tomorrow, I think they could start feeling some pressure.

        I know the gap is still massive, but another defeat, at home to B'Mouth, they will start doubting them selves, and pressure increases.

        So yeah, I'd say it will be full strength were possible.

        1. Qaiss
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Yeah this, they need the assurance. CL is on Wednesday for them too

  16. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    If Robbo doesn't start tomorrow depending on early team news

    Robbo, Perez & KDB to Doherty, Mahrez & Pepe(C) for -8?

    Have Aguero as well!

    1. Qaiss
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Do not take out KDB

    2. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Big gamble, could pay off, esp if Robbo is benched.

      Personally think that KDB will be fit for at least 1 of the games, not sure if that changes your opinions.

      1. Qaiss
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I think he will play both. It reeks of Pep telling people not sure and then they smack United by 2 or 3 on Sunday with KDB involved and further forward

        1. jason_ni
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          sunday will be Uniteds day! 3-2 kdb can get a couple of goals, but Bruno gets the brace and assist 🙂

    3. Sterling Archer
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      very risky, I would leave Robbo and KDB

  17. SPFC
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any chance of H.Barnes not starting after being a bench in the FA Cup?

    1. Cahill
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      how did he morph into a bench? 🙂

      1. The Overthinker
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Ikr

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      There is a chance, depending on the formation Rodgers goes with.

  18. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    My back line is:

    TAA / VVD / Pereira / Stevens

    With Adrian out...Do you reckon VVD or to either Alsono or Doherty is worth a -4?

    1. Cahill
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      obv not

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Clearly not obvious as the other two have been outscoring VVD in recent appearances, by more than 4 points.

    2. Fire Chief Moe
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Adrian and Allison out?

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Haha my bad Allison*

    3. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      VVD > Doherty

    4. Bavarian
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Liverpool will keep CS even if I will replace Alisson

    5. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldnt, you are losing a 31 player, unless you are fh in 31, but even then, VVD is still better option this week, taking into account the -4.

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Likely, just a little annoyed by VVD. I am 99% Free-Hitting in GW31 so no effect there.

      2. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers!

  19. Strchld
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which one guys? Have been thinking this last two days. Vardy could also match Aubas points.

    A) Do Vardy to Auba(C) (can just get 6 players without hit out GW31)

    B) Kelly or Lundstram to Doherty (7 players out GW31 for free)

    1. majeci
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  20. The Overthinker
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Not so confident now as double pool def

  21. Bubz
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Sounds likely that kdb will start then

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Hopefully.

      Cap Auba to be safe though.

    2. jia you
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      70 v United and 90 v Arsenal

      1. Bubz
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        He does have Madrid game looming too though

        1. jia you
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          rested v Burnley

  22. jamiet
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts ?

    Pope

    Söyüncü, Lundstram, TAA

    Salah(C), KDB, Maddison, James Ward-Prowse

    Ings, Vardy, Firmino

    (Button, Lascelles, Hayden, Rico)

    I have 0.4 ITB

    Is Firmino & JWP > Aub & Saka worth it for a -4

  23. jb1985
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who to captain?

    A) KDB
    B) Salah
    C) Vardy
    D) Pepe

    Currently on Salah still, my gut says he will score more or equal KDB my head is unsure because of DGW.

    1. CheesyZoot
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Vardy > auba cap?

  24. It’s gonna Ben Mee
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) GTG
    B) KdB+Ings > Pepe+Auba for -8 and FH 31

    Pope
    TAA Saiss Egan
    Bruno Mane Mo Kdb(c)
    Jota Ings DCL

    Bench: Gazza Stephens Fernandez Hayden
    0 FT, 3.6m ITB

    1. majeci
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'm in a similar boat, going to prob stick with KDB and hope Auba doesn't make me regret it.

  25. Whats the Mata?
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A different flavor for the week:

    Captain Salah or Mane if both start?

    1. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Mane

    2. jia you
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Ban!
      For being so boring and trying to ruin DGW fever

    3. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Salah cos hes better at home

  26. Park the bus
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Sarr in for Traore
    or
    Keep Traore and get Boly in for Aurier

    1. majeci
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sarr for Traore, or save and get Doherty next week

  27. Atlas
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hi all,

    Looking to get Auba in but would mean dropping Mane, Mane + Ings > Auba + (9m midfielder)
    Another option is DCL + Mane > Auba + Alli (leaving me with 0.0 in bank)

    Also looking at maybe using BB since all bench players should play + good fixtures.
    Any thoughts?

    Current squad:
    McCarthy
    TAA- Reece James - Soyuncu - Saiss
    KDB - Salah - Mane - Barnes - Cantwell
    Jiminez - DCL
    (Pope - Ings, Lascelles, Cantwell)
    Cheers!

    1. Atlas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe even Mane -> Sterling (C) for a punt? Chasing a 60 pt. lead in my ML...

  28. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Best 4.2 defender who plays GW31?

    1. Gringo Kid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Kiko

      1. kamdaraji
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Kiko wasn't first choice when Janmaat played. Do you think he has nailed his spot now or would Janmaat replace him when fit? I might get Masina instead as he's started the last seven games

    2. MrZ
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Lascelles

    3. Champions League Varane
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Kiko?

    4. JBG
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Kiko.

    5. Pep Roulette
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Kiko it is! Cheers fam!

    6. Jullepuu
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Kiko is your best bet followed by Tanganga and Ngakia

  29. fplking14
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any news on Traore?

  30. Fudgy
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    0.1 off aguero :'(

    1. Cahill
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      karma