When should Fantasy managers trust the stats or go with their gut?

Former FPL winner Simon March takes us through the pros and cons of going with your gut
| Player | Team | Price | Progress | Tonight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago | BRE | 7.3m | 103.2% | Very Likely |
| Darlow | LEE | 3.9m | 95.5% | Maybe |
| Aaronson | LEE | 5.4m | 93.8% | Unlikely |
| Mitchell | CRY | 5.0m | 91.7% | Unlikely |
| Struijk | LEE | 4.3m | 91.5% | Unlikely |
| Igor Jesus | NFO | 5.8m | 84.5% | Unlikely |
| Justin | LEE | 3.9m | 83.2% | Unlikely |
| Mavropanos | WHU | 4.4m | 77.5% | Unlikely |
| Leno | FUL | 4.9m | 73.9% | Unlikely |
| AĂ¯t-Nouri | MCI | 5.7m | 73.8% | Unlikely |
| Beto | EVE | 5.0m | 73.2% | Unlikely |
| Tavernier | BOU | 5.4m | 73.7% | Unlikely |
| Wan-Bissaka | WHU | 4.1m | 73.5% | Unlikely |
| Alderete | SUN | 4.1m | 72.3% | Unlikely |
| Okafor | LEE | 5.5m | 71.6% | Unlikely |
| Semenyo | MCI | 8.2m | 74.4% | Unlikely |
| Verbruggen | BHA | 4.5m | 71.3% | Unlikely |
| Gomez | BHA | 4.9m | 71.2% | Unlikely |
| Frimpong | LIV | 5.7m | 67.5% | Unlikely |
| GroĂŸ | BHA | 5.5m | 64.6% | Unlikely |
| Truffert | BOU | 4.7m | 61.8% | Unlikely |
| Mukiele | SUN | 4.5m | 59.4% | Unlikely |
| Bijol | LEE | 3.9m | 61.6% | Unlikely |
| Gakpo | LIV | 7.3m | 61.1% | Unlikely |
| Ngumoha | LIV | 4.3m | 59.5% | Unlikely |
| Richards | CRY | 4.4m | 59.5% | Unlikely |
| Shaw | MUN | 4.5m | 56.3% | Unlikely |
| Sarr | CRY | 6.3m | 55.7% | Unlikely |
| Watkins | AVL | 8.6m | 49.1% | Unlikely |
| Minteh | BHA | 5.5m | 52.1% | Unlikely |
| Aina | NFO | 4.7m | 51.6% | Unlikely |
| Ndiaye | EVE | 6.2m | 47.7% | Unlikely |
| Kelleher | BRE | 4.8m | 47.5% | Unlikely |
| Cunha | MUN | 8.0m | 44.6% | Unlikely |
| Damsgaard | BRE | 5.6m | 47.0% | Unlikely |
| Bassey | FUL | 4.4m | 45.4% | Unlikely |
| F.Kadıoğlu | BHA | 4.4m | 43.9% | Unlikely |
| Casemiro | MUN | 5.7m | 41.8% | Unlikely |
| M.Fernandes | WHU | 5.5m | 42.7% | Unlikely |
| Ă˜degaard | ARS | 7.8m | 42.4% | Unlikely |
| Player | Team | Price | Progress | Tonight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Timber | ARS | 6.2m | 100.9% | Very Likely |
| Merino | ARS | 5.4m | 100.3% | Very Likely |
| McAidoo | MCI | 4.5m | 99.3% | Maybe |
| Mac Allister | LIV | 6.3m | 96.7% | Maybe |
| Piroe | LEE | 4.9m | 97.0% | Maybe |
| Tchaouna | BUR | 4.8m | 96.5% | Maybe |
| Emenalo | CHE | 4.5m | 96.2% | Maybe |
| Longstaff | LEE | 4.8m | 95.6% | Maybe |
| Mayenda | SUN | 5.2m | 94.5% | Unlikely |
| Dalot | MUN | 4.6m | 94.6% | Unlikely |
| Slonina | CHE | 3.9m | 91.5% | Unlikely |
| Cullen | BUR | 4.9m | 91.2% | Unlikely |
| Grealish | EVE | 6.3m | 91.0% | Unlikely |
| Salmon | ARS | 4.0m | 90.4% | Unlikely |
| Johnson | CRY | 6.5m | 89.7% | Unlikely |
| Reijnders | MCI | 5.0m | 89.5% | Unlikely |
| Garner | EVE | 5.3m | 89.2% | Unlikely |
| Trafford | MCI | 4.5m | 86.7% | Unlikely |
| Gyökeres | ARS | 8.8m | 85.4% | Unlikely |
| Van den Berg | BRE | 4.6m | 84.1% | Unlikely |
| Szoboszlai | LIV | 7.1m | 83.6% | Unlikely |
| Saliba | ARS | 6.1m | 82.7% | Unlikely |
| John | NFO | 4.0m | 81.2% | Unlikely |
| Andrey Santos | CHE | 4.5m | 79.5% | Unlikely |
| Mee | MUN | 3.9m | 78.7% | Unlikely |
| Schade | BRE | 7.0m | 74.8% | Unlikely |
| Cairns | LEE | 3.9m | 75.4% | Unlikely |
| Ebere | EVE | 4.4m | 74.8% | Unlikely |
| Steele | BHA | 4.2m | 74.8% | Unlikely |
| Dorgu | MUN | 4.1m | 73.3% | Unlikely |
| Angel | WOL | 4.7m | 69.8% | Unlikely |
| Mané | WOL | 4.3m | 71.6% | Unlikely |
| Mainoo | MUN | 4.7m | 71.4% | Unlikely |
| Estève | BUR | 3.9m | 70.9% | Unlikely |
| Martinez | AVL | 5.1m | 71.8% | Unlikely |
| Kilman | WHU | 4.1m | 68.1% | Unlikely |
| Webster | BHA | 4.4m | 68.8% | Unlikely |
| Byfield | TOT | 4.0m | 68.1% | Unlikely |
| Mbeumo | MUN | 8.5m | 64.9% | Unlikely |
| Amissah | FUL | 3.8m | 67.5% | Unlikely |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | MCI | C | |
| No Change | BHA | B, Vs | |
| No Change | ARS | B | |
| No Change | LEE | B, Vs, £ | |
| No Change | BOU | B | |
| No Change | CRY | C |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | MCI | A | |
| No Change | ARS | A | |
| No Change | BHA | B, Vs | |
| No Change | BOU | B, £ | |
| No Change | LEE | B, Vs, £ | |
| No Change | CRY | A, Inj | |
| No Change | LIV | C | |
| No Change | NEW | C | |
| No Change | AVL | C |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | MUN | A | |
| No Change | MCI | B | |
| No Change | CHE | B | |
| No Change | BOU | C, £ | |
| No Change | CRY | A | |
| No Change | NEW | A | |
| No Change | ARS | C | |
| No Change | AVL | C | |
| No Change | NFO | B, £ | |
| No Change | LIV | A | |
| No Change | FUL | B | |
| No Change | BHA | C, Vs, £ |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | MCI | C | |
| No Change | CHE | A | |
| No Change | BHA | B, Vs | |
| No Change | LEE | C, Vs | |
| No Change | WHU | A | |
| No Change | BRE | A |

Former FPL winner Simon March takes us through the pros and cons of going with your gut

All the Big Numbers ahead of Gameweek 20

Our Big Numbers piece returns for the new season

Analysing the most creative Fantasy defenders using our new Members Area stat filter

A selection of stand-out FPL stats from our Members Area