We roll out the second instalment of our new weekly article for Members this evening, offering an in-depth statistical analysis of the main captaincy contenders for the Gameweek ahead. With Liverpool, City and Arsenal squaring up to some resilient defences, we delve into the data in order to assess our armband possibilities.
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still working on my dead league (no transfers allowed after this coming lock) squad..here's where I'm at..headaches!
Boruc (Marshall)
Rosenior, Distin, Ivanovic (Clyne, Burner)
Hazard, Lallana, Walcott, Brady (Ravel)
Rooney (c), Lukaku, Suarez
thoughts on where to go? I need to get some City players in..ideally I would get Silva, but he's still out for nearly a month longer..I could free up some room in the defense to do Lukaku -> Aguero
I have 0.2 available atm..unlimited transfers obviously..cheers folksOpen Controls-
Gotta give the armband to Suarez for the remained of the season, no?
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allowed to make subs off the bench and captaincy changes just no transfers
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Ah, gotcha.
Thought this was a set it & forget it kinda deal.
Well, why not grab Vorm as he rotates perfectly with Marshall & is a bit cheaper than Boruc. Not to mention that you'll avoid having to doubling up on SOU coverage.
Sure that extra bit of cash could help somewhere...Open Controls-
frees up 0.1, nice..plus Southampton's fixtures are a bit shitty for the next 2 months..
still seeing if I can free up 3.6 to Lukaku -> Aguero..might drop Ivanovic and Brady or Lallana..
this league is a headache lol..Open Controls-
I don't have him but, how bout Ramsey for Walcott to save you a cpl mil.
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considered that but I have a feeling that Ramsey will taper off and that Walcott will be ultra explosive for Arsenal with that midfield behind him (especially with Ozil)
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I completely agree. As I said I don't own him...
So it just comes down to who'll score you more points:
Lukaku & Wallcott or Aguero & Ramsey?
I'm leaning towards the former myself.Open Controls
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Get in Ageuro or SIlva (even if he's injured)
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you think it's worth it to have 9.3m sitting on the bench for 3 weeks? might as well get Yaya in if I'm hellbent on City, no?
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It's a tough one but no transfers for the rest of the season right? I'd still fancy Silva to be in the top mids.
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But yeah for security you'd probably be better off going Yaya. Personally. I'd go Aguero.
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yep, would be a far simpler decision if he hadn't gotten injured..it's just a question of whether I think I can make up the points elsewhere for the next 3-5 matches to compensate for his absence/return to match fitness..at the moment I'm considering Walcott -> Ramsey just to bring Aguero, but even then I still have to come up with an extra 1.9 somewhere..
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It seems getting Aguero in will decimate your team elsewhere unless you ditch Rooney. Quite a conundrum.
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Atlético Madrid are making concerted attempts to sign Kevin de Bruyne.
The player hasn't made a decision yet, and nor have Chelsea, but there's a growing sense from both parties that the current situation is no longer tenable.Open Controls -
@Christina - I'm tempted to whack a tenner on this to get just over £900!
Hull v Palace - both teams to score - no
West Brom v Villa - both teams to score - yes
Everton v Liverpool - both teams to score - yes
Chelsea, Man City, United & Sunderland all to win.Open Controls-
Cool.
i was actually thinking both Cpal/hull to score.Open Controls -
Sunderland is a bad pick, but they've got good odds to win!
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Yeah, Sun/Wham/South all amazing odds
I always like throwing in a draw somewhere in the mix. It does wonders to an accumulator. I called 4 draws a couple of weeks ago. 40/1
I turned $1 into $40.
*shut up TM and BerbillyOpen Controls-
I hardly ever back a draw. So hard to pick and so hard to want a draw when watching a match.
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It's easy! I got 4 correct.
lolOpen Controls-
Teach me!
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Draws:
WBA/Villa - (the last 3 PL fixt between them have been draws)
Hull/Cpal - 7 of last 10 have been draws
Livp/Eve - the last 2 have been drawsOpen Controls
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Wasn't gonna say anything, but since you asked so nicely...
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Sunderland?? The double chance is just under evens.. go for that instead of the win
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The wins @4.2 though. Worth a punt. Ill do one with and one without.
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Everton DNB @ evens and Norwich Double chance @ 23/20 look good too
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Let's assume you're 80% sure each of these picks are winners.
So this parlay will payoff around 13% of the time; if you pick winners at an 80% clip that is...
.8 * .8 * .8 * .8 * .8 * .8 * .8 * .8 * .8 = 13%Open Controls-
I like where your going with this. But could you explain it further please?
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Hmm, let me try...
Even if you pick winners at an 80% rate, combining them in a parlay reduces your chances drastically.
So combining nine of your 80% shots to all come in, reduces your chances of winning to 13%.
What I'm driving at is parlays are a sucker bet...
Even the best handicappers in the world pick only winners 55-60% of the time.
So let's say for arguments sake you're the world's best handicapper & do pick winners 6 out of 10 times...
This means that the parlay you're proposing will pay off only 1% of the time & the bookie is only laying you 90:1 on your money.Open Controls-
Makes sense. Bookies tend to factor a 10% take into every bet.
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doubles and triples are the way to go IMO..... you have to bet bigger though
It's nice to have a punt bet thoughOpen Controls-
Oh, of course...
Telling your mates you nailed a 9 team parlay & have got $900 to spend on them at the pub is sublime!Open Controls
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all set for GW 12 ?
should i play clyne or b.turner ?
ozil at home good choice for captain ?
boruc
dawson, b.turner, rosenior
yaya, hazard, ramsery, ozil (c)
rooney, aguero, suarez (vc)
sub: lewis, morrison, clyne, chambersOpen Controls-
Burner. You have two ARS mids which will probably score you points.
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Ah.. Mirallas got the early kickoff i see 🙂 .. And Gerry played 180 mins over the break(to mirallas's 120). Gonna be a start i think especially as it is a derby.. cue a yellow and a 59 minute subbing 🙁
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So, you beat Spain 1-0..only to find out Spain was "smart" enough to use a 7th sub, thereby breaking the FIFA rules...resulting in the result being wiped from the history books....with no effect on rankings.
Noice.
Africa.
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That's bizarre. Was that the keeper sub? I read somewhere that SA had agreed that sub was ok.
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Hmm, having read a further report, it seems SA did not agree at all. Even so, a friendly. Couldn't FIFA be a bit more lenient?
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http://mg.co.za/article/2013-11-20-bafana-could-lose-fifa-ranking-points-after-spain-win
Even more confusing is how the hell are we (SA) 61st in the world. We should be 661 in the world.
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Is there an Arsenal presser today? Please say yes.
Also you prefer Olsson from West Brom or Williams from Swansea?Open Controls-
Yes.. (Though i dunno to be honest)
Olsson.. No Europa and good fixtures after MCIOpen Controls-
tbh..
Santon Olsson Williams Evans Pieters Rat all look meh to me.. i'd rather go cheap with Olsson(Nor)/Burner/Chester which is what i'll be doin next week.. December equates fixture congestion and goals from what i remember(though i have not checked statistics tbh) and would rather go cheapOpen Controls-
Hull is a good option. Already have burner. But Williams and olsson. Both decent teams with decent fixtures.
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Anyone here played Assassin's Creed 4? Worth buyin it full price or wait for a price drop? (HATED AC3 but liked AC 2)
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Wondering the same. And yes I dont like Connor as an Assassin in AC3 but love the gameplay. I'll wait for the price drop.
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I hated the stealth and fighting mechanics.. the whole game was flawed tbh.. i could not get past the first 4 hours without wantin to break my controller
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I dislike stealth but didnt hate it. I like the fighting tbh. Though there still have those glitches where the game suddenly got stuck or you can walk through a wall. Those are not resolved yet.
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i love stealth games.. Splinter cell/metro/dishonored/thief were among my favorite games of all time. The stealth in AC3 was so archaic..aaargh.. hated it.. think i'll skip AC 4 for now and wait for it to come free on PSN in a year 🙂
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Captain pick
1.rooney
2.aguero
3.OscarOpen Controls -
Torn between Remy and Benteke for Lukaku. Thoughts?
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Remy's the man on form.
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Depends on Agbon and Weimann's fitness. If they are fit, go Tekkers.
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Remy isn't quite "heavy" enough for me. Wait for Benteks to hit some form. Keep Lukaku.
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Hmm.. keeping is worth considering I see. Thanks.
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Suarez and Aguero owners - who are you captaining this week? I was all set on Aguero but now I'm starting to have my doubts...
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Spurs defence - conceded 1 in the last 4.
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Now look who they were against.
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Fair enough but, regardless, they've still been incredibly tight this season (bar west ham).
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Man City are 100% and averaging 4 goals per game at home.
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100% what?
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Spurs conceded 3 at home vs WHAM.
All depends if Friedel plays.Open Controls
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If you put it on Suaz, you'll still have doubts (long flight home/what state will he be in/Ag at home. etc, etc).
Stick with your beer gut.Open Controls-
My gut is telling me they're both poor picks this week. I suppose Aguero is a tad safer and potentially more upside is there - I'll stick with him then. Cheers.
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*RVP owner watching this from the sidelines*
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Not bad at the top is it? XD
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Shush. I don't want that curse son!
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Ha, I definitely envy you this week. He'd 100% be my armband pick this week if owned him.
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Ok ok! I'll keep it on Aguero, then!
Cheers, folks. 🙂Open Controls
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RMT
Mignolet. Boruc
Distin. Coloccini. Clyne. Wilson. Reither
Hazard. Yaya. Lallana. Morrison. Ramsey
Suarez. Lukaku. Aguero
0.4 m in the bank
Any suggestions for transfers?
Captain? Suarez?Open Controls-
1 FT I presume?
Morrison is Ravel or James?Open Controls-
Yup. 1 FT. That would be Ravel
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Save your transfer and do 2 next week
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Thanks!
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Not on that.
You have to play Clyne vs Arsenal.
So you could swap Wilson out for someone like Williams.
Depends if you have grander plans for next week with 2FTOpen Controls-
Not sure of that I meant.
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Absinthe, thanks for replying. Don't have grander plans as of now. But I am closely monitoring Lukaku's performance. If I plan to get Benteke in then I will need to make 2 changes in order to have the funds. Lukaku to Remy is an easy transfer. But as of now my concern is my defense. Reither is banned. Wilson hardly plays 90 mins.
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I'm the only one having a "bad" feeling about Ars/South.
My predicted upset for the weekend.
DrawOpen Controls-
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Jip
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1-1
2-1
1-2
0-2Open Controls -
1-0
1-1
1-1
1-3Open Controls -
1-1
2-1
2-2
0-2Open Controls -
2-0
2-1
1-1
0-1
These make me feel sad. I hope they aren't this boring in real life hahaOpen Controls
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Evening all.
Things you shouldn't share, but just can't help yourself.
I just finished a very successful first date with girl. As the deed came towards a completion all I could bloody think about was Stephane Sessegnon & whether he was going to deliver on Monday night. Lo & behold he was right there front & centre at the moment of maximum pleasure.
He had better get a f*****g hat-trick for me now.Open Controls-
Breathe
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So you just had a threesome with a girl and Sessegnon?
Eeeuuughhh!Open Controls-
Footballers eh. They just can't help themselves.
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😆
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At least it wasn't Loic Remy, that would have been uncomfortable - allegedly.
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You should not have Sess on your first date.
Bad form.Open Controls -
Sex on a first date?
Eager.Open Controls-
Her or me?
I'm not getting any younger, opportunities inside the box need to be taken. That's what my member's data told me.Open Controls
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Sex on the first date and hallucinations..i'm betting your gravatar was involved
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I've long since given up that evil stuff. But when it was banned in the UK and you could go to Prague to have some, one did indulge a little too much.
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Another hulk worthy post if ever I saw one
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I have a different perspective on the idea of picking a captain from the early kickoff game.
For me this game starts around midnight NZ time and would probably be worth staying up for if my captain is playing. Not a bad reason to pick Suarez then and sleep through all the other games?Open Controls -
Would you rather transfer in Sess first or Feo?
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Sess gives you orgasms apparently, so him.
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wally
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*willy
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Sess this week, Feo next.
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I've been having the same dilemma, and chosen Sess - as you probably know by now,
Guaranteed starter, weaker opposition, and basically playing as a forward.Open Controls -
Sess.
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RMT /10
http://oi43.tinypic.com/24y1b9j.jpg
Any improvements to be made or sit tight?Open Controls-
I'd want to get rid of Boruc.
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Hes staying for the long term. Soton are great defensivly.
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Wow you have the team I have been pondering whether to put together over the next two weeks.
What's your rank currently?Open Controls-
500k 🙁
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But that can change in a week. its only 40 points between me and inside the stop 90k
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Was that front 3 a recent creation or have you had it for some time?
I've got Boruc & intend to ride it out. Southampton have shown they can cope with these tough games, so I'm not going to spend a transfer on a GK right now.
You didn't say if there was any cash in the bank.Open Controls-
Ive had RVP since the begging and i Got suarez when he was only 10.9 the first week he was available. Got aguero at around 11.2 which was still great value.
Im keeping boruc, even if he doesnt get a cleanie hell get save points.
Boruc>Mignolet and is far cheaper.Open Controls-
Getting them early has allowed me to build up a solid midfield and defence as i did not have to spend too much
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I've been on a heavy front 3 myself for a while now. Greens all the way.
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Yeah, i got them early as i could. Saving that value before aguero and Suarez shot up has helped me shape a decent midfield and defence too :). Especially a team with RVP.
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ive only got 0.1 in the bank. Stretch my budget to its absolute limit.
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Sit tight I would say.
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I'm going to throw this to the crowd. Vote away.
Mignolet
GJ Terry Dawson Clyne Burner
Michu Ravel Ramsey Brady Barkley
RVP Suarez Aguero
1FT 0.2M
a) Michu + Ramsey -> Theo + Sess
b) Michu + Barkley -> Theo + Amalfitano
c) Michu + Dawson -> Theo + Olsson(Wbrom)/Williams
d) Michu + Dawson -> Sess + Olsson
basically i need a plan for Theo and Sess but its tough to have one.Open Controls-
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Dawson out
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Read your conversation with ENR previous page. Tott fixtures don't look great.
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agree
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Wow you are really tempting fate with 3 budget midfielders. You should first concentrate on getting rid of Brady and barkley
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B or C
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Impossible to consider Ridgewell instead of Olsson?
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Thanks all.
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B.
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No doubt Reid will be sold at the end of the season 🙄
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/24922010Open Controls-
Oh that's right, he already has been. He's now on loan!
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Didn't think you were a Yeovil fan 😉
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I still see him as an Argyle player apparently 🙂
Along with Gosling and Puncheon 🙂Open Controls-
You two and Tina. Upstairs.
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Michu to Sess.
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Predos:
Christina/Lateriser
Christina/GazOpen Controls-
Pedos*
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Sussh Pedro.
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3-1 Youth no match for wily old fox
2-2 Clash of the mavericks. Can only end in a draw.Open Controls-
😉
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Cmon i'm not youth particularly now if you are talking about FFS experience Jaf.
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I did Vertonghen and Whittaker for Mertasacker and Sessengon for a -4 point hit. Wise?
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This season it actually pays to take hits.
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Can you please tell Mark.
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Morning dz
Terry or Merte in this week?
Atm thinking Terry, so I can have one ars spot left for Walcott - just in case I want to test my madnesslevel and go for Ozil, Walcott, Ramsey for couple of weeks,Open Controls-
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+1
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Wilson to:
A merte
B terry
C mcauley
Try not to think about money and otherr factors.
ThxOpen Controls -
This Brady injury is doing my head in!
if he's injured I bring in Sess
if he's fit I bring in Terry for walker
I may also do lukaku to remy/benteke/giroud
Banging head for nearly 2 weeks!!Open Controls -
Help me fix my midfield:
Mirallas - Brady - Januzaj - RavMo - HBA
HBA -> Sess a wise move? Then Walcott in next week.
I'm in need of a differentials as well. Thanks.Open Controls-
Yeah, sounds good.
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Hello. 🙂
Barkley to Brady? Or be happy with his inevitable single point this week and keep the transfer?Open Controls -
If you were on wc who would you have alongside aguero and Suarez? Bearing in mind what could be done with the extra cash. Basically I'm trying to decide between Rooney, Remy and benteke.....
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