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28 August 2014 1253 comments
Mark Mark
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As Branislav Ivanovic blazes a trail near the top of the defender rankings, it seems timely to put the position under further analysis by assessing the attacking potential of the Serb’s rivals. In this latest article for our members, we analyse the early-season data in an attempt to examine the cast of defenders offering the potential of returns at both ends of the pitch.

With Leighton Baines an ever present in such analysis, and new top flight arrivals Aaron Cresswell and Kieran Trippier receiving plenty of hype in pre-season, the attacking full-back shows great promise as a potential differential target.

This is compounded by this season’s changes to the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) bonus point system (BPS) calculation that has reduced the penalty handed out to players who raid forward to take on opponents. While it’s too early to confirm the impact of this change, it’s worth noting that four of the top five BPS scorers in defence are full-backs – right now, the dominant centre-back is not having it all his own way.

The starting point for our analysis was a custom stats table which captured a series of key indicators identified as important factors when assessing the attacking potential of a defender. We’ve chosen to sort our table by “Touches in the Final Third” in order to capture those defenders who have joined the attack most often. We’ve also included data that captures their effectiveness in terms of crossing and chances created, whilst also assessing Clearances, Blocks and Interceptions (CBI) as a means of further examining the bonus point potential of the listed candidates.

Our custom table has been made public and can be accessed here. The table will go on collecting data each week, offering a constant updated snapshot of our analysis. For now, however, let’s examine the data after the opening two Gameweeks.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

1,253 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Kerz
    12 years, 2 months ago

    My rival transferred Aguero in for Costa... he has made 1 transfer, had exactly enough money to do it ITB that is no longer there... I'm sure of it.

    Would be epic if Aguero is benched and Costa bags a brace! 😀

    1. JJO
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Costa wont play so its imposibile

      1. Yome
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Source?

      2. World XI
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Looks like he will now

    2. HUMZAH96
      12 years, 2 months ago

      ^ this

      Don't listen to trolls, Costa is fit and the injury was very minor 🙂

    3. Smarty Pants
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I think Aguero will play the full 90 minutes but won't score. Totally agree on the Costa brace though.

  2. World XI
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Total FPL not updating prices? Been the same all day!

    1. World XI
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Lads?

    2. YankeeDoodleDandy
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Usually takes Total FPL a couple of GWs to get the algorithm right anyways... Can't be 100% trusted yet.

  3. 50shades of o'shea
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts on this wc team (changed it 5 times today). Planning to do Jovetic to Balo after game against stoke.

    Krul (Gilks)

    Vert Clyne Janmaat (Hutton Wisdom)

    Lamela Tadic Sterling Cabella (Marney)

    Jovetic (c) Aguero Rooney

    Repost soz

    1. YankeeDoodleDandy
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Midfield is lightweight. Way too many 2pts coming your way, imo.

  4. Ludo
    12 years, 2 months ago

    This is probably nothing, but here's a potential word of warning over Chelsea's fixtures:

    All six of their defeats in the league last season came on the weekend before a Champions League match. These were away to Everton, Newcastle, Stoke, Villa and Palace, and at home to Sunderland. Overall, in their 12 matches immediately before a CL game, they played 12, won 5, drew 1 and lost 6. The other 26 matches resulted in 20 wins and 6 draws.

    This season, they'll play Swansea, Villa, Palace, QPR, West Brom and Newcastle on the weekends before their group stage matches, which sounds like a run of games you'd expect them to win almost all of. However, if their trend of resting players and saving themselves for playing in Europe in midweek continues, they might struggle to pick up as many points as they ordinarily would.

    The problem lies in the difficulty of Chelsea's fixtures aside from these games. From now until the end of November, every fixture is either against a top side, or the match before a Champions League game. They travel to Everton, Man City, Man United and Liverpool, as well as facing Arsenal at home, so if they continue to struggle before Champions League matches, they may find it hard to make up the points elsewhere.

    Of course, Chelsea were excellent at playing the bigger sides last season, and so this run isn't necessarily daunting for their fantasy prospects. Another factor to consider is their excellent record at home. Last season, they dropped points before CL group matches when travelling to Everton, Tottenham, Newcastle and Stoke. This year, however, the first five of their six group matches come after a match at Stamford Bridge, which may well mean that, even if their performance drops, their fantasy options should still be able to deliver the goods. Nonetheless, if Chelsea rest a couple of players and put in a sub-par performance against Swansea in a couple of weeks, it might be worth taking note!

    1. Caine & Co.
      12 years, 2 months ago

      stats in good use

    2. Podge
      12 years, 2 months ago

      This is scouting.

    3. alastair
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Good analysis but Chelsea are stronger this year and Mourinho will have learnt from last year - esp as Matic is there to stiffen them up

      1. Ludo
        12 years, 2 months ago

        That's another point, their added strength in depth with Matic, Fabregas, Costa and Luis could make a big difference.

    4. LMNO
      12 years, 2 months ago

      great post - thanks

    5. Sharkytect
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Interesting. I don't think Chelsea's fixtures look great anyway, with City's soon to improve and Liverpool's looking fantastic after playing spurs, maybe it's time to look away from the bridge.

    6. FPL Daniel
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Yeah but our CL group is so weak. We will walk all over it. I think there is nothing to worry about

      1. Ludo
        12 years, 2 months ago

        You had Schalke last year as well, not sure there's much in it between Sporting Lisbon and Maribor (this year) than Basel and Steaua Bucharest (last).

    7. Ghost Ship
      12 years, 2 months ago

      great stuff

    8. YankeeDoodleDandy
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Good analysis, but their CL Group is incredibly soft.

  5. GeorgeHedley
    12 years, 2 months ago

    does anyone know when the podcast is out?

    1. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Usually about 9pm

    2. A.T
      12 years, 2 months ago

      9pm ish

  6. Salah’s Sonnet
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Hey guys, can anyone give me a a good enough reason to warrant no captaining RvP this GW?

    Cheers.

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      12 years, 2 months ago

      not captaining*

      1. HUMZAH96
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Oh yeah, just look at United's form, no point risking it

        1. Salah’s Sonnet
          12 years, 2 months ago

          i know.....but.....there's always a but lol, i have nothing else, maybe captain Aguero then.

    2. HUMZAH96
      12 years, 2 months ago

      No

    3. GeorgeHedley
      12 years, 2 months ago

      hes never scored vs burnley

    4. LMNO
      12 years, 2 months ago

      huge differential if he scores big - ALWAYS has that potential

      1. Salah’s Sonnet
        12 years, 2 months ago

        i know yeah! arggghhh i wish i had enough assertaincy to cap him.

        1. LMNO
          12 years, 2 months ago

          I am (probably 😕 )

          1. Salah’s Sonnet
            12 years, 2 months ago

            cool, i may cap him come Friday.

    5. Bubz
      12 years, 2 months ago

      If you own RvP you can't not captain him against Burnley. Defeats the purpose of owning him otherwise

      1. Salah’s Sonnet
        12 years, 2 months ago

        this is very true, only thing swaying me is that i have aguero as well who could run riot against Stoke.

        1. Bubz
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Oh god. In that case I don't know 😆

          1. Salah’s Sonnet
            12 years, 2 months ago

            haha! makes two of us 🙂

    6. Podge
      12 years, 2 months ago

      1 shot last match, off target. Nuff said.

      1. Salah’s Sonnet
        12 years, 2 months ago

        was his first game back, silly to judge from 1 game.

  7. trustmeimpurple
    12 years, 2 months ago

    is it worth transferring out Costa for Balo or Bony for Jovetic?

    1. GeorgeHedley
      12 years, 2 months ago

      balo yolo

    2. Sharkytect
      12 years, 2 months ago

      No! Costa is fit again! Save him whilst the masses get rid.

  8. Les Bleus
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Have been out all week. What's the deal with Costa and Dzeko please?

    1. Defcons are for Kinnear
      12 years, 2 months ago

      And Aguero too?

    2. HUMZAH96
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Costa only had a minor injury like I said yesterday and Aguero might start over Dzeko as he trained today 🙂

  9. aehii
    12 years, 2 months ago

    -8 rooney costa for adebayor aguero is a bad idea right?

    1. GeorgeHedley
      12 years, 2 months ago

      just costa to ade

      1. aehii
        12 years, 2 months ago

        My main concern is aguero rising. He killed me last season. Costa and rooney have such high ownership.

        1. YankeeDoodleDandy
          12 years, 2 months ago

          High ownership won't kill you this early on in the season -- not getting points will.

    2. Sharkytect
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Costa is fine, it's alright people! We're safe with Costa! (please stop transferring him out)

  10. LewanGOALski
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Will Krul rise today? And will DDG drop?

    What do you guys think..?

    1. Kerz
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Krul - no

      DDG - touch and go, most likely not

  11. Villan
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone else tempted to get rid of Costa soon anyway?

    Looking at Chelsea's fixtures compared to say L'pool's make me want to possibly switch him next GW for Sturridge or Aguero.

    Thoughts?

    1. drughi
      12 years, 2 months ago

      think I will for a forward in the 8.5 bracket, gives my team more balance and i could get ivanovic or coleman

  12. YankeeDoodleDandy
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Does anyone know why Dier isn't in the Scout's Watchlist? Surely he is amongst the best 13 defenders out there for fantasy....

    1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Because any day now Walker will walk back into the starting XI putting Dier on the bench.

    2. World XI
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Good point. Needs to make a name for himself i guess. If he keeps up the goals he will

    3. Sharkytect
      12 years, 2 months ago

      If he scores this week he will stay on their watchlist all season.

  13. Defcons are for Kinnear
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Just seen the CL draw. Is it me or are there some really poo teams in there. Can't remember seeing so many rubbish teams in CL.

    1. OShaughnessy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Time will tell...

      Just b/c you don't *know* the name doesn't mean they're a bad side, right?

      If headlines made team's Utd. would be winning the Grand Championship Superduper Cup of the Multi-verse this year.

  14. Bøss ⭐
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Team Value check - 101.1m 😀

    1. Kerz
      12 years, 2 months ago

      £100.3m (£0.6m ITB)

    2. Dušan Citizen
      12 years, 2 months ago

      99.8 and 1.0 ITB

    3. halnone
      12 years, 2 months ago

      101.2

    4. Sharkytect
      12 years, 2 months ago

      What!? Crazy value! Interestingly; have you taken hits, and what is your score?
      My team value is 100.8 with 124 points and a -4 hit this gameweek...

      1. Bøss ⭐
        12 years, 2 months ago

        I've taken one hit (to bring in Naismith who then rose 0.2!) but my overall score is 123 points. Siggy, Clyne, Ramsey, Fabregas, Hutton have all risen in value and no one has dropped 🙂

        1. Sharkytect
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Nice one!
          So the tricky bit is what to do with players like Hutton, who has a hideous fixture list but has only risen by 0.1, meaning you don't get any profit if you sell now. I have the same issue with Costa. Oooh.

          1. Bøss ⭐
            12 years, 2 months ago

            yeah, I probably won't bother subbing him out though since he's a bench player usually anyway

  15. Ayling Buyers Club
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Any decent defence rotations from the less expensive teams?

    1. Dain Bramage
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Newcastle Sunderland

  16. Ser Football 42
    12 years, 2 months ago

    WHO WOULD BE YOUR tOP 11 TEAM IF MONEY WASNT AN ISSUE?

    1. Caine & Co.
      12 years, 2 months ago

      aguero

    2. GeorgeHedley
      12 years, 2 months ago

      courtois
      ivanovic coleman baines
      sanchez hazard di maria ramsey
      sturridge RVP aguero

  17. Mílanista
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone else getting "We experienced problems saving your comment. We apologise for the inconvience and suggest you try again soon." but the comment is actually being posted?

    1. HUMZAH96
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Not me...

    2. Defcons are for Kinnear
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Yes. Just happened to me

    3. LOCO ABREU
      12 years, 2 months ago

      yep

  18. OShaughnessy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    12 years, 2 months ago

    How good is Eva! She got Didier back in a week from a broken ankle & Costa back in a day from a ripped hamstring. pic.twitter.com/107kdXvrqx
    Scott ‏@MadMontana 17m

  19. applebonkers
    • Has Moderation Rights
    12 years, 2 months ago

    invented a formation for van gaal. it's called the travolta. it's a simple twist on the 352 with one wing back being more attacking than the norm and the other being a bit more defensive than the norm to balance it out.
    http://i.imgur.com/gWnisTh.png

    1. Bubz
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Is Cleverly the dick?

      1. Defcons are for Kinnear
        12 years, 2 months ago

        😆

      2. applebonkers
        • Has Moderation Rights
        12 years, 2 months ago

        it's the 70s, fellaini's fro

    2. gravless
      12 years, 2 months ago

      you're mental

      🙂

    3. A.T
      12 years, 2 months ago

      😆 😆 😆

    4. Bob.
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Haha love it

  20. The Hindu Monkey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Repost as could really do with some help thanks

    THEHINDUMONKEY Guys I need help regarding the price drops. I'm looking at that total fpl site and FOUR of my players are on minus 98 plus percent!! Does that mean that they WILL all drop at 2.30 or have we not got clarity what the main site is using yet?FlagHide (1)8 mins ago#REPLY

  21. BDMC5
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Suprised to see di maria price rising without a game played. Is it going to start vs Burnley ? I would have thought an appearance from the bench at best ?

    1. Sharkytect
      12 years, 2 months ago

      It can't rise. Player's prices never do in their first gameweek in the league.

      1. BDMC5
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers mate

  22. Dušan Citizen
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Aguero wont rise tonight,right?

    1. SW6
      12 years, 2 months ago

      TFPL says he will

      1. gravless
        12 years, 2 months ago

        The Sun of price rise predictors

      2. Fi_fpl addict
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Some of the price rises were showing yesterday , very unpredictable right now . Can't see any logic to the price rises or drops in some cases.

  23. Defcons are for Kinnear
    12 years, 2 months ago

    I sure there's someone out there who had done the following this week

    Dzeko to Giroud
    Giroud to Costa
    Costa to Aguero

  24. Mile Plankton - Myth and Ch…
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Play Hendo or Jones?

  25. Billy Baroo
    12 years, 2 months ago

    So, a question for you all. I have Costa on my team. Thinking of keeping atm, but not starting. Was also thinking of saving my FT and having two for after the int'l break...

    But I also have Alex Bruce. Will he be in the reckoning any more even if he stays now that Dawson is there? Should I just transfer him out to another 4.0 now and not risk him going down to 3.9m? I already have Dummett though and not sure what other 4m def is worthwhile...

    Thanks for your thoughts in advance!

    1. LOCO ABREU
      12 years, 2 months ago

      start costa,leave bruce for now

  26. LOCO ABREU
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Team look's better now with Austin and Costa good news

    1. Les Bleus
      12 years, 2 months ago

      How do you know about Costa?

      1. Djerbil
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Chelsea TV

    2. JK - Cønt ⭐
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Austin good news?

      Bugger

      1. LOCO ABREU
        12 years, 2 months ago

        should be fit

        1. JK - Cønt ⭐
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          12 years, 2 months ago

          oh well, he has dropped twice and I had a spare FT, has allowed me to play both Caulker and Clyne

          Great stuff on Costa though

          1. LOCO ABREU
            12 years, 2 months ago

            just droped 0.1 till now. No idea how to upgrade him next week however

            1. JK - Cønt ⭐
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              12 years, 2 months ago

              don't we're a shambles, he'll score

              I brought Naismith in so I can play 4-4-2 this week then Naismith has nice fixtures

              I'll likely do Mata to Sterling post internationals all being well, and have another FT to use if needed.

              1. LOCO ABREU
                12 years, 2 months ago

                Mata home to QPR

                1. JK - Cønt ⭐
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  12 years, 2 months ago

                  will still have Rooney

                  Pool have nice fixtures as well and i can't afford Rooney/Costa to Studge

  27. Djerbil
    12 years, 2 months ago

    seriously though when was the last time u saw a Chelsea player actually getting injured??

    All they do is roll on the ground and feign a knock here and there just to get touched by that Hot Physio of theirs

    1. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Everyone needs a bit of pampering from a good woman.

  28. The Light Knight
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Dehli Piero now a viable team name?

    1. 50shades of o'shea
      12 years, 2 months ago

      😀

  29. tw
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Bego to krul worth a FT or should I save it so I have two next week?

    1. Chris_White
      12 years, 2 months ago

      save

    2. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Save

    3. LewanGOALski
      12 years, 2 months ago

      save I guess

  30. Les Bleus
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Would you do Terry, Dzeko and Costa out for a 5.0 defender (who?) Ade and Aguero?

    1. Les Bleus
      12 years, 2 months ago

      For a -4 btw

    2. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 2 months ago

      No

    3. Kerz
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Nah. All three you're taking out should start.