The ScoutCast – Episode 184 – Foresight

Good analysis, except for the 'ol mutual fund caveat that "past performance is not necessarily a predictor of future performance."

nice post

I think it's very much worth mentioning regarding Mahrez that Ranieri has clearly stated he will sub him off late in games. Also, his numbers have been pretty average over the last 4-6GWs. For example, 1g and 1a from 1 shot and 1 chance created against City.

I feel Mahrez is still a decent option and certainly more explosive, but Vardy is safer and is still well capable of a double figure haul as the spearhead of that attack

Nice post. It's my first ever time owning Garden Gnome though, so it would be rude not to captain him.

Another counter point to this otherwise superb analysis is that Mahrez has 4 double-digit games of 10 and 11 points and Vardy has three games in which we got 9 points. While every point counts, these differences are not vast, and are an important nuance to the dichotomy of double-digit vs. single-digt scores. I don't know then if the conclusion that Mahrez is "far far more explosive than Vardy" is a tad exaggerated.

I will just drop this here for the members 😉
http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/public-stats-tables/view/13702/

Mahrez is clearly more explosive but Vardy is safer.

Mahrez has blanked 10 times this season
Vardy has blanked 6 times

If we don't include GWs 18-21 when Leicester scored only 1 goal then we have Mahrez on 6 blanks and Vardy on 2.

I disagree with the finality of this, Vardy is to my eyes the one still in his peak form.

Vardy's penalty addition means he is now more explosive than he was before - if he'd taken all those pens Mahrez did, he would certainly have been close to matching, if not above, that double figure total 😉

I think one of the assumptions that I've seen being made is that Mahrez is a better bet because Norwich will somehow contain Vardy and limit his chances. Mahrez, the theory goes will get more space to run into the box more.

But looking at the goals Norwich have conceded since GWK 14 they are conceding from all over the shop. If anything strikers are more likely to profit.

Since GWK 14:

13 goals have been scored by strikers against Norwich
10 goals have been scored by mids against Norwich
2 goals have been scored by defenders.

Looks to me like Vardy and Mahrez could profit. For me pens edges the deal but both look to be a good fit.

The thing here is "Points Potential". Vardy has greater points potential for 4 reasons;
- he is the spearhead of the attack (therefore closer to the goal)
- has penalties
- will (more than likely) play 90mins
- has blanked less times.

It is a good shout to go Mahrez C as I agree, he is more explosive so when he scores he is likely to score big, and add to that the fact he scores more for a goal and a CS as a midfielder, he is an attractive option. I just feel that Vardy is safer and less likely to blank.

I may go Payet though! he is class.

Norwich push a lot on the flanks, left and right.
=>
Vardy C

Ohhhhh aywa ba2a el hot topics a castelloo

Mahrez was my captain all 2weeks long, you seen it by yourself, but since reading the other opinions here I'm starting to consider vardy, plus I love to have a different captain than you 😛
And yes I just bought him yesterday, after he rose

For the sake of the argument, I believe mahrez is more explosive , that's why I captained mahrez many times but probably never captained vardy but vardy is more likely not to blank and in a better form right now