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29 February 2016 3426 comments
Paul Paul
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We round off the day with our usual pre-Gameweek members article, as we cast an eye over the captaincy conundrum ahead of the midweek round of fixtures. As always, we analyse the Opta data for the main contenders and assess the team statistics and Rate My Team’s reckoning, before rounding off with our opinion on the current poll standings in light of the data analysis, including our view on differential captains.

The Captain Poll

Manchester City’s penalty shoot-out win over Liverpool at Wembley has perhaps had an effect on your armband decisions this week. With Sergio Aguero playing 120 minutes on Sunday ahead of an Anfield re-match with the Reds, the Argentine is – for once – amongst the chasing pack behind Jamie Vardy.

With West Brom set to pay visit on Tuesday evening, the Foxes frontman tops our Captain Poll for the second successive Gameweek due to his outstanding home consistency – Vardy has scored or assisted in 11 of 13 appearances in front of his own supporters.

At the time of writing, Romelu Lukaku and Mesut Ozil tie for second spot with 14% each. After enjoying the weekend off, the Belgian now faces a trip to Villa – he bagged a brace in a 4-0 win over the Midlands outfit earlier this season and should be fully refreshed to take advantage of Remi Garde’s strugglers.

Meanwhile, Ozil delivered a goal and assist at Old Trafford and now looks for a third double-figure haul in four at home to a Swansea side with one clean sheet on their travels.

As for Aguero, he faces a Liverpool defence with just one clean sheet in the last seven Gameweeks. The Argentine has already netted against Jurgen Klopp’s side in the league and with the Reds sweating over the availability of a number of central defenders, he could be in line for returns at Anfield in a match that City surely have to win to remain in the title race.

There’s a handful of differentials lurking further down our poll for those willing to take a punt. Diego Costa is selected by just 7% for Chelsea’s trip to out-of-sorts Norwich, though there remains question marks over his minutes after Guus Hiddink admitted he could be rested for one of the next two matches with the Champions League clash against PSG in mind.

Marko Arnautovic will be looking to replicate his weekend 15-point return at home to a Newcastle outfit that have lost five road trips on the bounce. Riyad Mahrez, Alexis Sanchez and Ross Barkley offer viable alternatives to their aforementioned team-mates, whilst United’s man of the moment, Marcus Rashford, seeks a third successive brace at Old Trafford as Watford pay visit on Wednesday night.

Next up, we now delve into the data over the last four matches to shed further light on the situation and assess the validity of the current crop of poll results.

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3,426 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Flying Assassins
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Vardy or Ozil for me

  2. Jay_
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Sanchez for me

  3. Stephen - Robot Daniels
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Gradel 3x(c)

  4. Nomar
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Lukaku is my first choice captain.

    1. Bolivian Seaman
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      He's the best pick so far

  5. I Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Ozil (c)

  6. FCSB
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Who is the biggest riser in FPL history??

    1. Optimus.
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Michu,Kane,Mahrez

  7. Darth
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Igahlo to Lukaku for a 2 week punt?

    Have two frees and can easily get 11 fo

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Sure

      1. Darth
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks

  8. Yank Revolution
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Bottomed on last article

    How does

    Butland to Hart (have Kun, so I can add a City Mid or possible double up w Hart/D)
    Dawson to VVD (have Targett too)

    sound for free if nothing else too pressing?

    1. Darth
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Sounds ok, how are you set for gw30?

      1. Yank Revolution
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Looking good w 3 Lei, 2 Soton (if I bring in VVD), 3 Spurs, 2 City (if I bring in Hart) -- have Williams (Swans) and 2 Ars also.

    2. Flying Assassins
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Probably doing the same move with Butland, surely do after the NEW game though?

      1. Yank Revolution
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        I think Newcastle can and will score...

        1. Flying Assassins
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          Fair enough, sound moves if nothing urgent needs doing

          1. Yank Revolution
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 5 months ago

            Thanks!

  9. Jazz!
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Arnie or Ozil for me now.

  10. Epic Fail
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Wow. I would never have considered captaining Shane Long. This is gonna catch the casuals out big time.

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Austin*

  11. Baggies defenders hate midfielders
    Bolivian Seaman
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    West Brom Defence

    Every game is different and we can make stats mean anything, but I thought I’d have a look at how West Brom concede. It is well known that West Brom hate pace, but it’s especially down the wings. Watching them is like watching 8 rugby players in a box trying to clear and block so I’m making an assumption that strikers don’t do well against them and midfielders do better.

    Conceded: 34 goals
    strikers: 10
    midfielders: 19
    defenders: 5

    So strikers have scored 29% of all goals against West Brom whereas midfielders account for 56% of goals.

    It’s looks bad for strikers when we look at how many games strikers have blanked in. West Brom have kept 9 cleansheets and strikers have scored in only 7 games out of their 27 games.

    When West Brom have conceded (18 games):
    Strikers have scored in 7 games and blanked 11 times.
    Midfielders have scored in 12 games and blanked 6 times.

    The amount of games where position players have scored over 1 goal:
    Strikers: 2
    Midfielders: 5

    In conclusion, strikers have blanked in 20 out of 27 games against West Brom and scored over 1 goal only twice during the season. Whereas when West Brom concede, midfielders contributed 56% of all goals and have blanked in 15 games out of 27 and have scored over 1 goal five times.

    1. Beavis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      How does this compare to other teams? Most attacking players are midfielders these days with most teams only playing 1 striker.

      1. Bolivian Seaman
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        scroll through goalscorers on fpl

    2. Yes Don
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      mahrez?

      1. Bolivian Seaman
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        stats suggest that way

    3. Richd
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Good write up mate.

      I think i'm on Ozil or Sanchez with the armband. Most likely Ozil for his 9 points.

      1. Bolivian Seaman
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        arsenal will create a lot of chances I think

    4. SPFC
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Mahrez not like straight games. Unlikely to play 90 minutes. Lukaku (c) Vardy (v)

    5. Elvy
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Interesting post Seaman, thanks. I wonder if Vardy plays more like a midfielder (winger) than your typical striker. His game appears to be based on extreme bursts of pace often from a wide-ish position.

      1. Bolivian Seaman
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        True

    6. Pav A Nice Day
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      This doesnt mean anything until we see what the striker and midfield goal % is for other teams. Remember there are usually 5 midfielders and 1 striker on the field for most teams that play 4-3-3. So you'd probably expect a team to concede more to midfielders than strikers.

    7. Mark-O
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      How do you explain Wickham's two goals?

    8. MrZ
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Nice insight seaman. Thought the same way too when bought players...

  12. Rinseboy
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Who to play from Azpi, smith or Toby!???

    1. The Generalator
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Azpi

    2. Sterling Chap
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Azpi - It's Norwich!

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      https://vine.co/v/igKtVJ39n9g

      Look how exhausted he looks... 😀

        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        😀

  13. Annie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    The defensive stats table in reference to Vardy and Ozil captaincy options is pointless when you consider Leicester and Southampton are first and fourth in the table respectively.

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Big chances conceded are a better factor imo

  14. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Sanchez's RMT position seems suspect seeing as though he hasn't scored in the league since October. Do the values have a heavy weighting from last season?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I've wondered how long it takes for it to be adjusted when a player just isn't performing.

        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Hazard was still croppin up in December

  15. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Sanchez to Ozil gotta be done right?

    1. HurriKane
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      give it one more week. direct swap with silva/siggy if he blanks again

      1. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah considering this.
        Just getting creamed in my ML cos of not owning Özil.

  16. Gaffa914
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Barkley my captain atm

    1. Flying Assassins
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Have Barkley myself, don't think I can bring myself to captain him though

      1. Gaffa914
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Had a lot of rest against worst team in europe

        1. Flying Assassins
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          True, Barkley is so hit and miss though

    2. irfanrazak
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      same here.hoping to catch up ML leader at +49 pts

  17. HurriKane
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Not a bad team. Future is bright.

    Januzaj Wilson Rashford
    Mensah Lingard Pereira
    CBJ Blackett Mcnair Varela
    Johnstone

    1. Epic Fail
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      You can't win anything with kids.

    2. Gaffa914
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Never gonna be there team ever

      1. HurriKane
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        of course captain. atleast we are giving youngsters a chance unlike the city's and chelsea's

    3. marquinhos
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Fergie could prob win stuff with that team lol

    4. Polaris - The Mortal Coil
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Gribbin over Wilson. Rashford up top 🙂

      Blackett & McNair? Lol. Fairly obvious Blackett won't make it at United. I didn't think any fans even rated him...

      You've left out possibly the best talent at the club in Axel Tuanzebe (CB).

      RoShaun Williams (CB) is also one of the best youth talents at the club.

    5. The Mighty One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      How about Martial up top? Not an academy product but only 19yo!

  18. FFPro
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Was on Vardy but after the weekend games it has to be Ozil now

    1. Epic Fail
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Doesn't have to be.

      1. Yes Don
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        HAS to be

        1. Epic Fail
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          My mistake.

  19. Yes Don
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    when are we expecting some DGW action?

    1. Bøwstring The Carp
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      GW34 most likely, and perhaps again in either GW35 and/or GW37

      1. Yes Don
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        exciting times!
        which of the three brucie bonus chips are best suited to maximise DGW points?
        Triple captain & Bench boost?

        1. Bøwstring The Carp
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          Opinion is split but I'll be using my WC on GW33 if the DGW is on GW34

          Going to have 12/13 DGW players and use Bench Boost, with 2/3 single week players which will probably be Leicester/ Tottenham players

          Then for the 2nd DGW I'll use my triple (C) since it will likely involve Aguero

  20. Bøwstring The Carp
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Right I've decided.

    Arnautovic (C) again. Armband isn't budging unless he gets injured before tomorrow's deadline.

    1. Yes Don
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Bold. But not outrageous.

    2. Sterling Chap
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I so want to do this but Vardy's high ownership is worrying.

    3. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Good choice imo

  21. The Generalator
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Lingard or Ali ?

    1. Bøwstring The Carp
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Lingard, imo

    2. Epic Fail
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Alli

    3. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Lingard this GW

    4. Sterling Chap
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Alli is more dangerous. But he's flagged at the mo.

    5. HurriKane
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      have both. has to be alli no ? westham were shaky at the back against sunderland this gw

  22. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Team for the GW

    Butland (Ruddy)
    Bellerin, Ivan, Bertrand (Toby, Dann)
    Mahrez, Ozil, Payet, Alli (Ayew)
    Kun, Kane (Ighalo)

    Do I do??

    A Ayew to Arnie
    B Dann to Daniels
    C Dann to Huth
    D Ighalo to Rashford
    E A, B/C and D for -4pts

    1. bennyp
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Ayew -> Lingard?

      1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Lingard not playing GW30

        1. bennyp
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          Maybe Siggy then. Arnie is a good shout but after Newcastle im not so sure on stoke

          1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 5 months ago

            Can't afford Siggy atm...got to downgrade a few players

    2. n-doggg
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      C

    3. HurriKane
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      A

  23. bennyp
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Hey all can I get some advice here please.

    Forster - (Hen)
    Toby - Fuchs - Wolls - (Moreno - Cresswell)
    Ozil(c) - Mahrez - Lingard - Payet - (Firmino)
    Vardy - Kane - Kun

    1 FT & 2.3 ITB.
    No idea what transfers to do...or just hold?

  24. Sterling Chap
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Cheeky punt on Payet to...

    A) Barkley

    B) Willian

    Rest of team:
    Butland*
    Monreal* Fuchs* VVD*
    Arnie* Payet Mahrez* Ozil*
    Kane* Vardy(c)* Aguero(vc)*
    Subs: McCarthy Alli* Alderweireld* Francis*
    1FT / £0.9 ITB / * = GW30 players

    1. HurriKane
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      A

      1. Sterling Chap
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers

    2. Kun Tozser
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      b or yaya

      1. Sterling Chap
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Yaya is an interesting shout

    3. goran
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      b

      1. Sterling Chap
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks

  25. JoJoRed
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    How many points do we think Harry will get v Hammers?
    I want to sell Ighalo!
    Who to get?

    1. HurriKane
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Austin for next 3. thank me later

      1. JoJoRed
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Will Charlie get many minutes?
        Has Long hamstring concerns?

  26. Greenbackbøøg…
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Sanchez 2nd on RMT, I think the algorithm needs tweaking

    1. fickle
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      hes had plenty of chances to be fair, he just has his boots on the wrong way around

  27. Messiah Hazard
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    tomorrow or on the weekend to have a better chance of being fit for PSG???

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Tomorow. Norwich are mess

  28. FPL Daniel
    • 17 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    It's Costa don't need to read the article at all but the curse is unbreakable this year of course he's gonna be rested 🙁