Scout Betting
9 April 2016 2341 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With Wildcard tinkering rolling on until deadline, it’s time to sidetrack to assess whether Paddy Power’s latest odds can shape any last minute strategies.

Before we scan the odds for Anytime Goalscorers and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to register an account with Paddy, you can claim one of several enhanced odds offers over the weekend.

This week’s European acca offers odds of 20/1 on wins for PS G (at Guingamp), Man City (vs West Brom), Barcelona (at Real Sociedad) and Juventus (at AC Milan).

Switching to Sunday’s live matches, new customers can get a beefed-up 6/1 on Leicester to maintain their relentless title charge with a win at Sunderland.

Later that day, you can choose to back Leicester’s rivals Spurs with Paddy offering 6/1 odds for a home win over Manchester United at White Hart Lane.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 33

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.61
Bony MCI 2.00
Kane TOT 2.00
Pelle SOU 2.10
Austin SOU 2.10
Sturridge LIV 2.10
Iheanacho MCI 2.20
De Bruyne MCI 2.20
Giroud ARS 2.29
Sanchez ARS 2.29
Origi LIV 2.29
Firmino LIV 2.29
Lukaku EVE 2.37
Vardy LEI 2.40
Pato CHE 2.40
Toure MCY 2.50
Welbeck ARS 2.50
Long SOU 2.50
Mane SOU 2.50

Despite the fact he failed to score in four of his last six starts, Sergio Aguero (1.61) has been handed the shortest odds by some margin. Although Man City are a more dominant attacking force with Kevin De Bruyne back on the teamsheet, Aguero may just be thwarted by a West Brom defence that conceded just three goals in their previous four road ties. In response to the Sky Blues’ 4-0 win over Bournemouth last weekend, Wilfried Bony (2.00), Kelechi Iheanacho (2.20) and De Bruyne (2.20) also feature in the top echelons of Paddy’s assessment, with the bookmaker clearly backing goals for Manuel Pellegrini’s men.

Considering that he’s the league’s form frontman – having bagged six goals in four outings – it’s perhaps surprising that Harry Kane is pitched as long as 2.00 ahead of Manchester United’s visit to the Lane. Although Spurs chalked up 12 goals across their last five home encounters, the league’s top scorer is their only representative in our table.

Prior to an enticing home clash against Newcastle United, Graziano Pelle and Charlie Austin (both 2.10) place in the top five. The former has notched three goals in as many starts and will relish the prospect of facing a Magpies rearguard that’s conceded 10 goals in their last four road trips.

Daniel Sturridge is also pitched at 2.10 before Liverpool’s contest against Stoke City at Anfield. Having been rested for the Merseysiders’ Europa League meeting with Borussia Dortmund, the England striker looks well place to net for the third start in four. The Potters have just one clean sheet to their name in 10 outings, ensuring that Divock Origi and Roberto Firmino (both 2.29) also feature in the ranks.

In the wake of Arsenal’s resounding victories over Everton and Watford, Olivier Giroud and Alexis Sanchez (both 2.29) are priced keenly for a trip to West Ham United. The latter has recovered from a mid-season slump – notching two goals and three assists in four appearances – and currently ranks fifth for Fantasy Premier League “transfers in” prior to the Gameweek deadline.

While Romelu Lukaku has dominated this week’s Captain Poll ahead of his double Gameweek, Paddy have pitched him mid-table, handing him odds of 2.37 to notch anytime at Watford prior to his midweek visit to Palace.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 33

Team Odds
Manchester City 1.83
Southampton 2.10
Liverpool 2.10
Tottenham 2.37
Crystal Palace 2.50
Chelsea 2.50
Bournemouth 2.50
Leicester City 2.60
Everton 2.75
Arsenal 2.87

Man City (1.83) have conceded just once in their last four outings and are matched up against a Baggies unit that’s drawn successive blanks, prompting Paddy to grant them the shortest clean-sheet odds.

Southampton (2.10) currently place second as they prepare to host a Magpies attack that failed to score in three of their previous five away match-ups. Liverpool have now have identical odds to the Saints having come in from 2.20, although Jugen Klopp’s side will do well to silence a Stoke outfit that’s notched in every match since the beginning of February.

In the capital, Tottenham (2.37) will fancy their chances of repelling a Man United attack that’s carded three goals in four fixtures; Spurs have conceded just once in their last three league outings.

Crystal Palace and Chelsea both come in at the 2.50 mark before mid-afternoon encounters on Saturday. The Eagles haven’t recorded a shut-out in 12 outings but will face a Norwich City side that has posted blanks in four of their last five away trips. Meanwhile, the Blues pay visit to Swansea City, who have netted in all but one of their previous 13 fixtures.

Despite their two recent heavy defeats, Bournemouth are valued at 2.50 as they travel to face an Aston Villa side that is looking to avoid a fifth consecutive blank. Despite claiming four clean sheets in a row, league leaders Leicester (2.60) are handed relatively long odds for their trip to face relegation threatened Sunderland.

2,341 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. twoplustwo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 6 months ago

    All set gents. Was tempted to do Barkley for a hit prior to last week's game. Obviously hoping Firmino starts although clearly a cameo risk. Swap for Mahrez?

    Henn (DGW)
    Dier Daniels Bellerin
    Firmino Sanchez Siggy Bolasie (DWG)
    Kane Luka (C, DWG)) Kun

    Forster Mahrez, Wolly, Williams

    1. Respect My Authoritah
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Start Mahrez 100%

    2. FPL Daniel
      10 years, 6 months ago

      No WC? I think stick

    3. ARKANOIIDE
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Nice team, but Henn? 😛 I was considering Mahrez (C)..... you bench him. Get rid of Sig! Good luck bud 🙂

      1. twoplustwo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Even Villa got chances vs. Chelsea...

    4. twoplustwo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Cheers guys

      No WC!

      I've had Henn for ages so might as well use him off the bench 🙂

  2. Tinmen
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Any Liverpool fans about

    Who is the safer pick, Sakho or Lovren?

    1. DVassell
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Much of a muchness

      1. FPL Daniel
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Not a Liv fan but Lovren IMO

      2. ARKANOIIDE
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Muchachos?

    2. Respect My Authoritah
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Lovren imo ( not a Liverpool fan)

      Slightly better goal threat from him too

    3. Gaffa914
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Lovren

    4. kijsberg
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Equally safe. Only rotation option is Skrtel, but he's awful, can't see him getting to play.

  3. Bielsa's Bucket
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Robles Darlow
    Bellerin Gabriel Sakho Simpson ?
    Sanchez KDB Lanzini Coutinho ?
    Kun Lukaku Martial

    A) Smalling + Lennon + 1.3 ITB
    B) Darmian + Payet

  4. FPL Daniel
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Here it is. Here is the difficult one for us mortals without WC, while we wait for the preamble..

    Both Azpi and Morgan delivered last week so I don't know who to play, who to bench??

    Lei are due to concede no..? Or Chelsea are awful in defending atm and just bench Azpi..?m

    Pls thoughts

    1. DVassell
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Go for Morgan just came off the back of a goal and cs- should be feeling with confidence going into this fixture

      1. FPL Daniel
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Hmm... He is starting atm but the bookies think Sun will score. Hmmm...

    2. Eskimooo
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Rest of defence ? They are both decent candidates this week so maybe look to play both .

  5. Steirish
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Play azpi or Toby?

    1. Buck The Trent
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Azpi

    2. Siggy Azalea
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Azpi

    3. siweltrebor87
      10 years, 6 months ago

      azpi as you have him

      I'm playing Toby but more of a punt.

    4. BROOKLYN GOONER
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Azpi in a heartbeat. Spurs have to go for it, could leave them exposed enough that even Utd could score.

  6. Buck The Trent
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Ufpl captain?

    A Lukaku
    B Kun
    C KDB

    1. Gaffa914
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Dont know how it works but if lukaku has dgw in that then him if not then aguero

  7. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 6 months ago

    1 Payet Bolaise or 2 KdB Lanzini

    1. FPL Daniel
      10 years, 6 months ago

      2

    2. Respect My Authoritah
      10 years, 6 months ago

      1

    3. Siggy Azalea
      10 years, 6 months ago

      2

    4. kijsberg
      10 years, 6 months ago

      2

  8. JimmyCoop
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Thoughts on this WC bunch please guys?

    Robles Mignolet
    Simpson Bellerin Gabriel Sakho Darmian
    Sanchez Firmino KDB Lanzini Lennon
    Aguero Lukaku Martia

  9. Siggy Azalea
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Morning guys,

    Would you play Simpson in defence (Sunderland, away) OR
    a) Siggy (Chelsea, away)
    b) Alli (MUN, away)

    Thanks!

    1. Aiders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Siggy

    2. kijsberg
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Simpson

  10. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Why no love for Ward? I like him more than Delaney

    1. FPL Daniel
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Go Delaney

  11. Viper
    10 years, 6 months ago

    A. Darmian & Bolasie (Bolasie -> Lanzini next week. Benching Darmian & Mitrovic)

    B. Lanzini & Smalling (Benching both this week) Starting Mitrovic
    .

    1. Jigger & Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      A

    2. Sid07
      10 years, 6 months ago

      B

  12. philc
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Anyone else TC'ing Lukaku?

    1. Aarono23
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Currently yes. Could change in next hour though

    2. Taribo West on a free
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I am.

  13. bring_on _the_fantasy
    10 years, 6 months ago

    One week punt guys.....Bolaise or Cabeye?

    Will be out next week for Firmino depending on how well he has recovered from injury this week.

    1. Jigger & Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Bolasie

  14. FPL ElasticO
    10 years, 6 months ago

    How is this team looking for one last time??? Guys help me out on this.

    Robles / Migs*
    Bellerin* / Lovren / Simpson / Gabriel* / Delaney
    Sanchez / Lanzini / KDB / Coutinho / Lennon
    Kun / Lukaku (c) / Mitrovic*

    *these players are in bench.

  15. Jafooli
    10 years, 6 months ago

    No preamble, gutted 🙁

    1. Jafooli
      10 years, 6 months ago

      *?

    2. BROOKLYN GOONER
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Oh, well, he's prolly still focused on smoothing out issues with the site revamp--or his WC team. 🙂

  16. Astronautovic
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Should i get coutinho for siggy for -4?

    1. Artorias
      10 years, 6 months ago

      No

  17. Jigger & Pony
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 6 months ago

    All set. Good luck guys...

  18. Sid07
    10 years, 6 months ago

    On wc
    1) get coutinho
    2) get firmino
    3) get Barkley and do Barkley to cou/ firm next week

    1. athreya
      10 years, 6 months ago

      1

    2. Christina.
      10 years, 6 months ago

      4)Get Lennon+Bolasie+Coutinho...then do Bolasie to Firmino next week

      😉

    3. Eye of the Schweinsteiger
      10 years, 6 months ago

      1

  19. athreya
    10 years, 6 months ago

    DDG/Darlow
    Dann/Gab/Sakho/Fuchs/TFM
    Lanz/Alexis/KdB/Lennon/Cout
    Lukaku/Kun/Martial.

    3 transfers in go 35 to get 11 playing. And no BB. only TC in 34.

    Big call is KdB over Payet. Looks good or crazy?

    1. Buck The Trent
      10 years, 6 months ago

      No payet here

      1. athreya
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah that's the punt. Otherwise can't get KdB.

    2. Nespinha
      10 years, 6 months ago

      If you put delaney in for Dann, do you have enough for Payet? If so do this.

      If not, and you have money in the bank, I would swap gabriel because if he is benched were F***ED

      1. Nespinha
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Or, dann to delaney and ddg to mignolet or darlow.

        that should enable lanzini to payet and...BAAAAAAAMMM what a mid it would be

    3. Eskimooo
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Without bench boost why do you feel the need to stock up on dgw players ?

  20. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Will Rojo be dropped?

  21. Nespinha
    10 years, 6 months ago

    WC team!
    This might sound STRANGE to everyone, but in our mini-league we don´t copy players so the team might be weird.

    Robles, Darlow
    Gabriel, Sakho, Lovren/Moreno, Morgan, Delaney
    KDB, Sanchez, Payet, Lanzini, Lennon
    Aguero, Martial, Defoe

    0,8/1,0£ in bank. If I do NO TRANSFERS i´ll have the following:

    GW33) 3xDGW
    GW34) 12xDGW
    GW35) 9 playing
    GW36) No worries
    GW37) 8xDGW

    Good enough?

    1. athreya
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Yep. shame about Lukaku though.

      1. Nespinha
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Obviously a major flaw. Other than that I cover a wide range of games so could pay up

  22. JimmyCoop
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Robles Mignolet
    Simpson Bellerin Gabriel Sakho Delaney
    Sanchez Firmino Payet Lanzini Lennon
    Aguero Lukaku Kane

    1. Fergietime
      10 years, 6 months ago

      That means you cant use robles or mignolet in DGW 37 though.

  23. FPL Maldini
    10 years, 6 months ago

    I'm starting to think Coutinho is more likely not to start with the amount of relentless running he did in midweek.

    Firminho surely?

  24. SpaceCadet
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Ozil or Bolasie?

    1. athreya
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Ozil of course.

  25. Fergietime
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Dont Everton have another unconfirmed DGW? apart from 37

    1. PÍE
      10 years, 6 months ago

      No, that was the CPL game that got confirmed as this Gwk

      1. Fergietime
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Ok, thanks.

  26. Mahesh_Kumar
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Pick one please
    A. Robles and Smalling
    B. DDG and Coleman

  27. siweltrebor87
    10 years, 6 months ago

    I'm really intrigued to see how Payet does against Lanzini

    Also how Kane does against the likes of KDB

    Coutinho vs Firmino is interesting too this week.

  28. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 6 months ago

    All comes down to this..already have coutinho

    A: Dann (Smalling gw34) + simpson + milner + Martial
    B: Dann (darmian gw34) + evans/reid + milner + martial
    C: Dann (darmian gw34) + evans/reid + firmino + mitrovic

  29. Wallykazam
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Morning guys, - just wondered - did Jonty stick with the wildcard team he posted in the 1st Rate my Wildcard team - did he give any changes to that team so far?

  30. Eye of the Schweinsteiger
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Last one guys:
    A)Kane + Lanzini
    B) Martial + Firmino
    (Have Coutinho, and Payet)
    Thanks!!