Community

Ownership Watch – Early-Trends

I’ve been monitoring percentage ownership (TSB%) since the new season was launched last Wednesday. Whether anything meaningful can be drawn from these figures remains to be seen – but it is interesting at least to see the ebb and flow as favourites start to emerge and former darlings fade away.

Romelu Lukaku (11.5) is clearly top of the list – but even his popularity has begun to wane a little. Moving quickly to a 48.0% ownership figure on the day after launch, interest in the new Manchester United forward has now dropped back to 45.6%. Hardly disastrous, but not quite as “essential” as he initially appeared, perhaps?

The biggest climber in terms of team selection is Tottenham right back Kieron Tripper (5.5).  He has risen from 6.6% to 15.4%, undoubtedly fuelled by his increased security of starts following Kyle Walker (6.5)’s confirmed move to Man City.  Walker himself has strengthened from 10.6% to 17.4% over the same period.

Arsenal’s new signing Alexandre Lacazette (10.5) has also shown strong growth – up from 23.7% to 27.4%, although his ownership weakened a little to 27.1% early this week.

At the other end of the spectrum it is Gareth McAuley (5.0) that has taken the biggest hit – falling from an initial figure of 26.4% to just 13.8% today. Doubts over whether he can maintain his stunning output from last season? Or unconvinced by West Brom’s supposedly easy start? Another factor is his yellow flag, with West Brom confirming the veteran is still struggling with a thigh injury.

Injuries have also curtailed interest in two set piece specialists from promoted sides, Brighton’s Anthony Knockaert and Newcastle Matt Ritchie (both 6.0). But Liverpool’s Nathaniel Clyne (5.5), who has slipped  from a high of 8.8% to 5.5%) seems to have no such excuse.

Much has been discussed on how high ownership figures can hurt those that choose to go without – but conversely, getting in early on a little-owned differential has the potential for a significant boost to your rankings.  I will therefore continue to monitor, and if there is sufficient interest will try to provide another update at the weekend.

45 Comments Post a Comment
  1. J0E
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Thanks for this. Wonder if Milner's penalty acted as a reminder that he was a defender among Clyne owners?

    1. InSalah
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Challenged by Alex-Arnold?

    2. The Lighthouse Keeper
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Woo - I've been out all day - got home to find I've been published! 🙂

  2. Boris Bodega
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Interesting post, but with still only 650K players signed up so far, these % figures will really start to move in 2/3 weeks or so.

    1. J0E
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Be interesting to see if any striker can break the Kane and Lukaku stranglehold on the frontlines.

      1. Nmcn86
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        I expect the lukaku/kane numbers to drop slightly once Chelsea's striker situation becomes clearer

        1. Boris Bodega
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 9 months ago

          I wouldn't be shocked to see Firmino right up there when all the Liverpool fans start signing up early August 😉

    2. 6thGoal
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      If Lacazette comes out firing for the Gunners I believe his ownership will skyrocket. yet if Giroud remains or if Lacazette remains on a wing position, it goes down.

  3. 007 [RoboKlopp]
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Please choose one striker between Lukaku or Kane.

    Thx you.

    1. UshFPL
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Lukaku for me

    2. Loonie1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Hard one, but I would go with Kane.

    3. Swanremainsthesame
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Proven pedigree in unchanged team
      or
      Hoping that 7th to 6th team will propel to must have mega stardom.

      Just sayin'

    4. 6thGoal
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Kane without a doubt, not that I don't doubt Lukaku, but his ability on the road last season was questionable at times. I know Harry's track record in August isn't spectacular, but I do plan on starting with both, unless the Chelsea option is better.

  4. Loonie1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Current team. Will be much changed when the season starts, I suspect. Any tips on where to start?

    Foster, Fabianski - Trippier, Cedric, Yedlin, Dunk, Francis - Alli, Pedro, Ramsey, Tadic, Loftus-Cheek - Kane, Lukaku, Gabbiadini

    So triple Spurs and triple Soton. Too much?

    1. Cocker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Southampton just werent scoring last season. Im sticking with with goalie and defender only. Many brought in Gabbiadini after his injury and he flopped.

    2. 6thGoal
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      I am not investing heavily in Spurs to start. I do own Kane, but have pass on Alli/Eriksen and don't believe Trippier will be the starter come August. I feel Spurs need to buy another RB with the departure of Walker, not that Trippier can't handle the workload, but their bench isn't deep. Trippier has been a favorite of mine since at Burnley, but I don't believe he's quite up to being a full time starter.

    3. circusmonkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      I also went with 3 Southampton, Redmond instead of Tadic. Just Trippier and Kane, not Deluth.

  5. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Very good. Thanks, Milvus! 🙂

  6. gooberman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Why are people drafting teams already when the start of the season is weeks away? So many variables to be established. Nailed on starters can not be reasonably predicted until all the pre-season games have finished. And then there are potential injuries and further transfer comings and goings. I won't be wasting time even looking at the site until the charity shield has been played.

    1. Cocker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Because we're addicted.

    2. 6thGoal
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      There's value to it, going over schedules, looking for trends in the fixtures. Many players are nailed on as starters. I think's worthwhile to put together different teams and prepare for the season.

  7. Alans Snackbar
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Nobody else putting Jesus up top?
    (excuse the pun...)

    1. Waxys
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      A lot of people have selected Jesus

    2. Sterling is £11Mill..…
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Considering Jesus and aguero double up if I ditch sane/kdb

    3. dermot.casey@bt.com
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      nailed on, that one

    4. 6thGoal
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      I would rather go Kun up top if I start with a City forward.

  8. QPRUTD
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Nice.
    Keep updating as the season approaches

  9. ste_the_legend
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Trippier's ownership could plummet back down if Spurs sign another RB as has been rumoured.

    Elliot (NEW) is a popular bargain option at GK (only 0.1% less owned than Heaton) but again Benitez is being heavily linked with keepers so that could all change.

    1. Cocker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Trippier should be number 1. He's the reason they let Walker go.

    2. 6thGoal
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Managers are going off how he finished last season, coupled with the Walker departure. By no means do I think he will be the starter come GW1.

  10. 6thGoal
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Not sure how much I put into any trends established in the TSB%. Interesting to view, but to see Lukaku dropping 2% to 46% tells me he is still a must own, the same goes with Kane. I figure at 30% many of those players will end up being template type players; Lukaku, Kane, Alli, Coutinho would be the four I would look at starting with if I could afford them with the formation I intend on using to start the season. But with time ahead of us before the first kickoff, new transfers, injuries, match fitness could all play into those TSB% numbers.

  11. Luka4
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Ryan, Begovic
    Cedric, Dawson, T.Smith (bgh), Dummett, Tripper
    Alexis, Coutinho, Ritchie, Puncheon, T. Carroll
    Kane, Lukaku, Wells
    Thoughts?! Advices!?

    1. FPL Husaria
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      What formation?
      1-3-3?-2 ??

      1. FPL Husaria
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        Don't know what happened with rest of my post.
        I did explained that I can see only 3 def 3 mid and 2 st. I know that you will change this many times.

        1. Luka4
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 9 months ago

          4-4-2. I think from these 5 back players I can benefit a lot and they dont cost much... Ritchie for me is a must have, taking penalties, set pieces in New. I have only problem with 4th mid, cause a spend almost half of budget on 4 players

  12. Now I'm Panicking
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    wtf is that haircut?

  13. beefo
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Nice post - thanks for putting this info out early.

    I'm struggling a bit to get everyone I want into my squad. Here's what I have so far:

    Heaton, Foster
    Alderweireld, Lindelöf, Dawson, Daniels, Mee
    Coutinho, Lanzini, Willian, Redmond, Carroll
    Kane, Lukaku, Deeney

    If I keep this lineup, I think I would play mostly 4-3-3 or 4-4-2. However, I'm worried about a lack of City coverage (as well as Chelsea rotation once Hazard comes back).

    Any suggestions? Many thanks in advance.

    1. Flaming Flamingo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Too much spent on goalkeepers for me. I'd also consider downgrading Alderweireld to Trippier and one of Redmond or Deeney if you're wanting to play 4 at the back. Using those downgrades you can then upgrade Lanzini or Willian to Sane maybe if you're worried about going without any City players.

  14. matth141
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    I'm happy with my side so I think I'm ready for you experts to tear it apart

    Foster (Elliot)
    B.Davies Lindelof Kolasinac (C.Taylor) (4.0)
    Mkhitaryan KDB Ramsey Willian (Loft.Cheek)
    Lacazette Agüero Rashford

    Give me your worst!

    1. IRBOX âš½
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Don't like the Rashford pick. Go with someone more nailed. Also Tom Carrol over RLC. Hard to see how he fits into palace now with Puncheon captain.

    2. LFC4EVER
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Miky and Rashford aren't starting lineup players Even Kun is not certain...

    3. Eleesium Lions
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      I wanted to play Mkhitaryan but I va etaken advice from this site and gone for POGBA.

  15. WE GO FOR IT
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Any site where I can conduct a mock FPL draft?

  16. diesel001
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    This is the best high ownership team I can come up with:

    De Gea
    Lindelof - Daniels - Trippier - Luiz
    Pogba - Coutinho - Kante - Alli
    Kane - Lukaku

    Elliot - RLC - Fletcher - Rangel

    - Highest owned goalkeeper (DDG)
    - 5 of the 6 highest owned defenders (Walker missing)
    - 5 of the 8 highest owned midfielders (KDB,Sanchez and Zaha missing)
    - Top 2 highest owned forwards (Kane and Lukaku)

  17. Eleesium Lions
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    I was going to play Mkhitayan but have followed the advice of this site and opted for Pogba. I believe that Mkhitaryan will have a fantastic season. I would be interested to receive feedback on my team please:- Forster, Trippier, Milner Bailly Bertrand with a midfield of Courtiho Ali and Pogba forwars are Lakaku, Lacazette and Gayle