Feature

January Wildcard Strategies

Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers have now been handed their second Wildcard of the season. A new broom for the New Year – a chance to refresh their entire squads ahead of the remaining Gameweeks of the campaign.

Some will greet such an opportunity with open arms and look to utilise it with haste, banking on the Wildcard to revive ailing fortunes, whilst also playing the markets to maximise team value. Others may decide to delay their surgery – wait on more data and for new gems to be unearthed, with the January transfer window bringing fresh arrivals and potential targets.

This new Wildcard is a tricky beast – while there is perhaps no wrong or right time to let it off its leash, there are factors to consider and tactics to ponder. Over the course of this article, we’ll examine those variables as a precursor to our regular Watchlist update that will provide some insight into our specific player recommendations based on mid-term prospects.

Before we go further, let’s recap on the hard-and-fast rules applied to the January “use it or lose it” Wildcard. As stated by the FPL:

The January Wildcard can only be used after Gameweek 20 starts (1 Jan 11:30) until Gameweek 23 ends (1 Feb 11:30); as the January wildcard isn’t available until after the Gameweek 20 deadline, the earliest these transfers will be active is Gameweek 21.

Timing the Wildcard

It is generally accepted that there is some advantage in delaying the Wildcard until the latest possible date – in this case prior to the end of Gameweek 23. This offers the opportunity to gather more data and catch any differentials or bargains that may emerge and be missed by those who deal early. With the January transfer window and new names on the player list, there is clear potential for new targets to emerge. You only have to recall the impact of Papiss Cisse on his arrival in January to get a reminder on just how a single player can arrive and transform the second half our campaigns. The Newcastle striker notched 13 goals in 14 matches and was an outstanding mid-price prospect.

As we’ve mentioned, there isn’t necessarily any wrong time to start Wildcard trading although, if you resist the temptation to deal early, there is an incentive to hold until the week leading up to February 1 – allowing you to assess new arrivals when the Premier League transfer window closes on January 31.

Previously, we’ve seen the lure of an early Wildcard influenced by an approaching double-Gameweek that fuelled player price inflation. The African Cup of Nations has also been a factor in January, leading to trading of the players involved and obvious price drops. Neither are a factor this season, although there is still some appeal of laying down the Wildcard early. Let’s look at this option and the theories and strategies involved in some detail:

Playing It Early

It’s fair to say that this route will appeal to a very obvious group of Fantasy Premier League managers – those who, to this point, have suffered indfifferent seasons and who feel they are without several key players, rapidly soaring in value.

Indeed, the FPL markets and changing prices play a key role in influencing the decision to lay down the Wildcard early on. With such a frenzy of fixtures over Christmas, a clear set of bandwagons emerge alongside a number of players clearly out of form and plummeting in price.

The early targets are obvious – robust form has seen Arsenal pairing, Theo Walcott and Per Mertesacker, continue to attract suitors, along with Everton’s Seamus Coleman, Man City’s Yaya Toure, Chelsea’s Eden Hazard and Newcastle’s Yohan Cabaye. All of these players could easily continue to rise between this evening and the next Gameweek deadline on January 11 – a ten-day period that could feasibly see them increase by more than 0.2.

If you’re currently without three or even four of these players, the temptation to throw down the Wildcard early in order to catch such a rise will be strong. The concern being that any further delay in acquisition will see them soar out of reach of your budget. In addition, should you also own players likely to experience rapid price drops due to injury or poor form, you will again have to carefully assess the merits of an early refresh.

On the flip-side, if you already boast three or four of the popular transfer targets and have just one or two players dropping in ownership, the lure of the early Wildcard diminishes. You should be able to use free transfers to address any issues to ensure that you lock in funds and catch any remaining rapid risers.

There is, however, another incentive to deal early – the opportunity to cash in on a potentially volatile market and earn a precious few million. In a nutshell, this involves bringing in players likely to rise by 0.2 between this evening and January 11, regardless of whether they are mid-term targets for your squad. The objective is to sell them on prior to Gameweek 21’s deadline, in order to claim your 50% profit and an extra 0.1.

While this is a valid strategy with a 10-day span between deadlines, you have to consider just how many of those players rising by 0.2 or more that you will eventually look to sell on ahead of Gameweek 21. By definition, such players are popular targets with strong form – there may be instances where viable alternatives are available (Laurent Koscielny at 5.4 vs Mertesacker at 6.4), but these may well be edge cases. You have to beware of being distracted by profit and selling on players you should otherwise think about retaining.

I speak from experience here – when playing my Wildcard with such a strategy, I excitedly sold on both Aaron Ramsey and Mesut Ozil in order to earn funds from their 0.3 price rise while my Wildcard was active. Distracted and buoyed by the small profit made, I sold both only to watch them rack up handsome hauls from that point on. My failure to keep them during the Wildcard phase and the refusal to admit my error by transferring them in as soon as possible, cost me points and saw both players continually rise out of my reach. This is a valuable lesson – once the Wildcard is played, it takes a strong Fantasy manager to immediately admit any mistakes and address them. The understandable tendency is to back your Wildcard decisions to the hilt.

Another drawback of dealing early, aside from missing out on potential new arrivals, is that there is a tendency to be attracted to existing bandwagons – understandable due to price considerations. While these players will be worthy targets, it can distract from assessing other options that could offer valuable differentials. If your incentive for dealing early is to attempt to make up ground on your mini-league rivals, signing several players already ensconced in their lineup, which were bought for a cheaper price, is unlikely to help your cause. There is perhaps more merit in holding on to see if they play their Wildcard first and then deal yours to address as many differentials as possible – within reason, of course.

The ability to completely reconstruct your team can obviously give you the opportunity to gain ground on rivals and, if you can interpret the fixture list in your favour and make the right acquisitions, there is every chance that you will make up ground either immediately or in the few Gameweeks that follow. Having said that, if you consider the January Wildcard as your biggest opportunity to make some points back on a rival, you have to remember that, by playing yours first, you’re showing your hand. Your rival will get to see your selection on the following deadline and, while you may make up some ground initially, they will have their own Wildcard to use to cover and react to any differentials you may have acquired, potentially nullifying your advantage pretty quickly. This is not a major consideration if you have another Wildcard up your sleeve but, if that’s also spent, you have to think about playing canny with this one last opportunity.

The Pros
Potentially an instant boost for those suffering red arrows
You can catch the current market trends
You can exploit the market over an 10-day interval prior to Gameweek 21.

The Cons
It’s easy to fixate on bandwagons
You lose the ability to build around new player list additions
You can’t build a team around the current crop of injured heavy-hitters
You reveal your hand to mini-league rivals

Playing It Late

As mentioned, there are a number of key benefits to delaying until the final possible Gameweek to conduct the reconstruction of your squad. The Premier League’s January transfer window could well introduce new players into the mix but, in addition, there are also existing assets – notably Sergio Aguero, Daniel Sturridge and Aaron Ramsey who will all likely return at some point next month. Play your Wildcard early and you may waste the opportunity to build your team around such key figures. Delay it, and you’ll get to assess their form upon returning to fitness and weigh them up next to any new additions to the player list.

Crucially, the later you leave it, the more data and information you’ll have to govern your decisions. This goes beyond team and player form – we may yet see postponements that lead to potential double Gameweeks and the Capital One Cup semis this month will reveal the finalists, certainly creating postponements in Gameweek 28 and a likely double Gameweek to follow. Fixture congestion in January will also inevitably lead to further injuries that may bring some bargains into play.

We should also revisit the key objective of the Wildcard – to gain some advantage on your rivals. As we’ve said, if you play early, you reveal all to your mini-league and allow them to react. If you delay until the final Gameweek, you may get to respond to their changes or, at the very least, refresh your squad at the same time – thus protecting any differentials you may have targeted.

The drawback is, of course, the escalating player prices. It’s hard to predict the level of transfer activity and the market could be volatile. However, you may be able to use free transfers to position your squad to exploit this and avoid losses, without using the Wildcard. Indeed, a recent hot topic from Triggerlips discussed this very topic and advocated using points hits to avoid being pushed into bringing the Wildcard to play prematurely.

Finally, here’s another twist to consider. Gameweek 23 delivers a set of midweek fixtures – meaning that we’ll have teamsheet information prior to the deadline at 7.30pm. This unlocks a number of possibilities, including the option to save transfers or spend points on short-term options, knowing that you have a banked the January Wildcard to play immediately afterwards to repair your squad.

The Pros
You will have more data and information at your disposal
You can exploit any new players that arrive in the Premier League window.
You may be able incorporate the current crop of injured heavy-hitters.
Your protect your strategy from your rivals.
You may be able to react to your rivals’ Wildcards should they play it early.
You may be able to exploit the Gameweek 22 deadline.

The Cons
You forgo the potential to immediately revive your squad.
You may pay a premium for a bandwagon target.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

4,486 Comments Post a Comment
  1. It’s A Joke
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Best striker to warm my bench when Oscar doesn't play for 4.8 mill or under?

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    1. GTS
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      chamakh?

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    2. Bubz
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I don't understand?

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    3. mischty
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Chamakh is the only one I can think of...

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    4. Yossi
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Probably just Chamakh

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    5. It’s A Joke
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      That's what I was thinking considered the west Brom lad but he doesn't start enough

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  2. Mojo Rojo
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Szczesny
    Coleman - Luna - M.Olsson
    Cabaye - Hazard - Silva - Walcott
    Lukaku - Rooney - Suarez

    Mannone - Mutch - Ward - Chester

    Bank = 0.6
    FT = 1

    A) Luna > Evans
    B) Lukaku > Adebayor
    C) Hold for the time being

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    1. mischty
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      United def. is always tempting but they're just not doing it- Luna to a Sund defender?
      I say C, until Adebayor is proven fit from his knock ...

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  3. mischty
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Gents,
    Eriksen (CPL ,swa MCI), or

    Cabaye (MCI, whu, nor)

    for the next 3?

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    1. Rafabio
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Fixtures edge it for Cabaye but both would be good picks based on current form

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      1. mischty
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I was thinking Eriksen as a differential, but common sense suggests you're right.

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    2. GTS
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      cabaye.
      Eriksen would come good as well.

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      1. mischty
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        cheers

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  4. Lizard Lips
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    RVP will be fit for Swansea, differential (c) incoming.

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    1. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Wait for news

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      1. The Finnisher
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        "We have a few players with knocks and niggles who may or not play. RVP may or may not be one of them"

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        1. BantamPhil
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Typical Moyes...

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        2. Lizard Lips
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          He will be back. Rooney and Evra to RVP Ward incoming 🙂

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  5. Viper
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I was wondering why overall rank hadn't updated but then I realised it had updated and I had gone from 14.5k to 14.9k

    As close as i'm ever likely to get to a grey arrow!

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    1. stephenl15
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I went up 23 places 😀

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  6. King H
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    How can i improve this team .. by using my WC

    Howard
    Bardsley Coleman Mertz
    Hazard Yaya Cabaye Walcott
    Suarez Rooney Lukaku

    Gazz Chester Ki Whittikar ...

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    1. mischty
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      pretty solid team.
      If you're looking to free up funds you could drop Howard down to Mannone, Mert to Kos. ,Yaya to Silva. Rooney to Aguero when he's fit? Lukaku to Ade?

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      1. King H
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Thank you very much bro .. very helpful indeed !;-)

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  7. Total Foot 5
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Who is Best going forward:

    1--lukaku
    2--negredo

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    1. King H
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      2

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    2. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Neither TBH. Get Ade

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      1. Total Foot 5
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        doing my WC TEAM. i drop either one im selling each for a profit of .3 but problem is if i want to rebuy either b4 gw 21 ill have to pay up .3
        miht drop then lukaka ? welebck to get welbeck price rise

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  8. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I wonder was SIr alex was mumbling to himself when he was sitting in the stands watching united stumble under moyes.

    Martinez is the real deal.

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    1. Rafabio
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      He was considering Moyes to Martinez for a hit!

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  9. Parm
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Rooted to the bottom of the last page...

    Any ideas?

    De Gea,
    Distin, Turner, Koscielny,
    Walcott, Hazard, Silva, Whittingham,
    Rooney, Suárez, Lukaku,

    Rudd, Sterling, Gabbidon, Rosenior.

    2FT; £0.9m in the bank.

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    1. Heydudes13
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Sterling over Whittingham perhaps?

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      1. Parm
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Would rather Whitts at home to West Ham than Sterling at Stoke,

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    2. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Roonpig>Jrod + Whit > YOLO toure

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      1. Rafabio
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Like this idea but not the personnel.

        Cheaper striker in for Roons and upgrade Whitts to Gerrard, Eriksen etc.

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        1. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          I think its impossible to ignore Yoyo anymore

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          1. Rafabio
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Just being stubborn, silly non Ramsey owner here 😉

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    3. the cromulent one
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Are you sure that you want to play DDG every week? It might be prudent to get a playable backup. I have not at all looked at how ManU rotates with any budget option.
      Otherwise, it is a decent team.

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    4. Get up ya bum
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Sterling and Whittingham > Eriksen and Mutch?

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  10. the cromulent one
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Any news on Glen Johnson? Any speculation as to the severity of the injury?

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    1. Rafabio
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Nothing he's probably knackerd too. Can't believe Pool kept a CS

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      1. the cromulent one
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Could he not have just limped around for a few minutes and earned the clean sheet points before getting subbed off?

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  11. blauriecon
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Boruc Szczesny
    Coleman Evra GJohnson Koscielny BTurner
    Barkley Cabaye Hazard Walcott Whittingham
    Lukaku Rooney Suarez

    Yes or No on WC

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    1. mischty
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      You can wait, imo.

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  12. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Why have people Early WCed? Was there no threat of a DGW?

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  13. Viper
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Any idea of a transfer to make here or should I save. Definitely no need to WC yet imo..

    Szcz

    Coleman Walker Chester Turner Gabbidon

    Hazard Walcott Silva RavMo Sterling

    Suarez Rooney Lukaku

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    1. Hibbo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Looks strong.

      Maybe get Koscielny in?

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      1. Viper
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Would you believe I was actually looking at Walker & Rooney -> Koscielny & RVP (c)

        Walker has Palace at home though..

        I have 1.7m in the bank btw..

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        1. Hibbo
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          That's sounds good if Persie is fit.

          I think this place goes a bit mad at times about injured players I'd say wait and see but definitely something different.

          I'm well fckd off with Rooney tbh

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          1. Viper
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 10 months ago

            I think he could be a great differential for a while. I got on the Walcott & Suarez wagons before they even left the station which proved to be very important..

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  14. FPL FREAK
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Hi guys need an advice….. Should I use jan WC….?? My team can b transformed in to 2 teams…… Which one is better…..??

    My team current::

    Mignolet£5.5 Boruc£4.6

     Clark£4.5 Zabaleta£6.0 Distin£5.2 Turner£4.3 Ward£4.0

     Walcott£9.5 Hazard£10.2 Cabaye£6.7 Morrison£4.7 Bannan£4.4 

    Negredo£9.6 Rooney£11.3 Suárez£12.1

    Team 1::

    Mignolet. K davies

    Zaba. Distin. Whittaker. Chester. Ward

    Wallcot. Hazard. Yaya. Cabaye. Ward prowse

    Suarez. Rooney. Roriguez.

    OR

    team 2:

    Mignolet. K davis

    Sagna. Zaba. Williamson. Whittaker. Ward.

    Walcott. Hazard. Cabaye. Lallana. Januzaj/sterling

    Suarez. Rooney. Rpdriguez…

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    1. FPL FREAK
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      In team 1 by replacing yaya wid silva i can get williiamson in place of chester...... Or any other team according to u.....??

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    2. blauriecon
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      WC No

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    3. mischty
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I don't think you need to WC yet. I like team 2 better, but I don't think Mignolet is reliable enough for that money, and Whittaker gets rotated as well.

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  15. banskt
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Wild card team plan for GW23:

    Speroni/Marshall
    Clyne, Coleman, Vlaar, Mertesacker, Chester
    Bannan, Lallana, Gerrard, Walcott, Eriksen
    Suárez, Rooney, Agüero

    I have to start transfers this week to take the help of price movements.

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    1. Arsenal USA FC
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Would rather have Silva/Yaya/Haz/Oscar than Gerrard

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    2. DÏLKS
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      That midfield is terrible.

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  16. Arsenal USA FC
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    What should I do with this lot?

    1FT & .5 In the Bank
    ________________________
    .............Marshall..............

    .....Clyne Bardsley Terry.....

    ...Silva..Wally..Hazard..Fer...

    ...Rooney..Suarez..Lukaku...
    ________________________
    .Boruc..Chester..Ravel..Ward.

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  17. Foot Fighter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Just catching up on things... does anyone know why Negredo came off at 59 minutes?

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  18. BantamPhil
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    No Coloccini or Debuchy for Newcastle next week! The outlook for Toure and Silva looks good

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    1. Hibbo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Lol yanga mbiwa 😉

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    2. Royal5
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Oooh.. Good point.

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    3. the cromulent one
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Negredo!

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    4. Rafabio
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I fear for NEW, but then again I also feared for CPL.

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  19. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I think buying Koke, Reus and Lallana would help tremendously. They can also get Baines in the summer.

    Sell, Young, Chicharito, Ferdinand

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    1. Rafabio
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Koke is it!

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    2. Get up ya bum
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      This isn't football manager

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      1. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Just sharing thoughts 🙂

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        1. Get up ya bum
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          thoughts/dreams 😛

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    3. Royal5
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Chicharito is really wasting his career sitting on that bench. Think he needs to play regulary. Not looked good lately.

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  20. ILOVEBAPS
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Why are so many selling Rooney?

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    1. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Because hes 11.6m playing as a DM and Moyes hates Kagawa

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    2. BantamPhil
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Playing with an injury

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  21. FEBRI DS
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    How long debuchy banned?

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  22. Absinthe 42
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I just got my first Android device.
    I recall there were two Fantasy apps I really wanted.

    One was FPL Wizard for def rotations.
    I can't remember the other one, so what could it be?

    Thanks.

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  23. Bojan Horsemack
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Any thoughts on this wildcard team while it's quietish? Liking the looks of the hardcore five-man midfield, so will play two up top.

    Struggling with the defence though - Coleman, Mert and Chester are all set, but then I've got 8.9 for the other two. Any ideas? Hoping Flanagan's fit.

    K.Davis / Mannone

    Mert / Coleman / Flanagan(?) / Bardsley / Chester

    Hazard / Gerrard / Yaya / Walcott / Ramsey

    Suarez / Rooney or Aguero / Berahino

    Cheers.

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  24. Arsenal USA FC
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Fer RC but no ban?

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    1. BantamPhil
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Banned for FA Cup, doesn't miss a league game

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    2. the cromulent one
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I noticed that... is there no ban for a double yellow?
      Or maybe FPL is just a bit slow.

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  25. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    RVP
    ------Rooney
    Reus-Koke-Carrick-Nani/Valencia/Janu
    Baines-Vidic-Evans-Rafa
    Deagea

    Looks like the perfect brew to me

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    1. Rafabio
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Yummy!

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    2. Hibbo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Can't see United signing Reus.

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      1. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Me neither. But if they do offer 40m pounds, who knows. They need to spend even if the prices are inflated

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        1. Hibbo
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Not just the money.

          I don't think Reus would want to join United.

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          1. Get up ya bum
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 10 months ago

            this. Backwards step

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  26. Andy
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    evening all 🙂

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  27. TD Champ
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Any class players coming to the PL this transfer window?

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  28. Danny x-factor
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Best time to dump RavMo? Team as below:-

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    2. Get up ya bum
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      asap

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  29. HerbyCR
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Hello guys, happy new year! Where exactly you guys think I should make an exhaustive Overhauling? Team as follows:

    Mannone Marshall


    Gabbidon Coleman Turner Chester Ward


    Cabaye Walcott Oviedo Yaya Touré Hazard


    Rooney Remy Suárez

    Only 0.2mill available. Any help is deeply appreciated!

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  30. Cole-man of the Ca-hill
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Will Mannone lose his spot to Westwood when he comes out injury?

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    1. Get up ya bum
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Highly unlikely

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